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Top 5 mistakes new investors make (AVOID THESE!) - YouTube
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Hi, it’s Mia! Mistakes are one of the best
ways to learn, but when you're dealing with the
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stock market, it's better to learn from other
people's mistakes than to make them yourself
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since mistakes can cost you hundreds or thousands
of dollars--even your entire life's savings. I was
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guilty of making these very same mistakes when
I first started investing. It took me years of
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investing, spending thousands of hours reading
books, blogs, and forums, and studying the works
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of Nobel laureates in the field of economics,
that I recognized these mistakes, changed them,
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and grew my portfolio exponentially. Here are
the five common mistakes made by investors so
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you can avoid them. Mistake #1: Panicking when
the market drops and selling off your stocks.
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According to Nobel Prize–winning economist, Harry
Markowitz, “The human tendency is to buy when the
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market is going up and to believe that it will
continue to rise, and to sell when the market
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is going down because you believe that it will
keep falling.” This is known as recency bias,
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where investors place greater emphasis on recent
events because they are freshest on their minds
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even though they are not relevant or reliable.
Selling when the market drops is a huge mistake.
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According to Vanguard, between 1980 and 2017, the
stock market had 11 corrections. A correction is
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defined as a period in which there is a decline of
10% or more. During this same time period, there
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were 8 bear markets, periods in which there was a
decline of 20% or more, so these huge fluctuations
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are not rare events. You will go through many of
them in your lifetime. While the overall trend
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of the stock market for the past 100+ years
has been up, on a day-to-day basis, even on
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a minute-to-minute basis, there will be a lot of
up and down movements. This is normal because 90%
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of the trades on Wall Street are made by
professional fund managers and they are reacting
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to news that affect the publicly traded companies
in varying ways all day long. If you are investing
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for a retirement at least 10 years from now,
these downturns should be ignored. While dramatic
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portfolio losses can be nerve-wrecking, you need
to remember to keep a long-term perspective.
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For example, investors who were spooked in
2008/2009 and got out at that time locked
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in their losses. The recovery after those years is
often described as the Nike swoosh since it took a
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dip and was followed by a rebound. A lot of wealth
was made in the years after the Great Recession.
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2008 was not an “outlier” year and it wasn’t the
worst year on record. It was a one in forty year
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event. During your lifetime, you will likely
experience a couple of these downturn events.
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Instead of panicking during these periods, the
best thing that you can do as an investor is to
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stop checking your portfolio and to turn off the
news. Mistake #2: Not having an investment plan.
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Investing is simple but not easy and the biggest
reason that it is not easy is because a lot of
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people don’t have a plan or if they do, they
don't have the discipline to stick to their plan.
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According to Benjamin Graham in The Intelligent
Investor, A Book of Practical Counsel, 1949, “The
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investor’s chief problem, and even his worst
enemy, is likely to be himself.” An investment
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plan tells you how to invest and how to make
decisions without letting emotions dictate those
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decisions. The stock market can be very volatile
and without a plan, you can be tempted to sell
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during a market downturn, which could devastate
your portfolio, or you can be tempted to buy
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stocks that don't align with your investment
goals because of the fear of missing out,
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or you switch strategies so often that you end up
at the wrong level of risk for your temperament.
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If you plan for these events in advance, you can
safely navigate through them and stay on course.
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An investment plan can be as simple or as
detailed as you like, but at a minimum,
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it should contain the following: your investing
goals, your time horizon, and most importantly,
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your asset allocation, which takes into account
your risk tolerance. Asset allocation is the mix
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of the different asset classes that you hold and
the percentage of your portfolio that will be
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allocated to those assets. The assets
should be uncorrelated investments to
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stocks (also known as equities), such as fixed
income, bonds, treasuries, REITs, real estate,
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etc., so if one asset class goes down, it
wouldn’t drag down your whole portfolio.
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Each asset class carries different levels of
risk in comparison to their potential returns.
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Bonds are considered safer and less volatile than
stocks, but they also offer much lower returns.
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Generally, investors with a longer time horizon
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have a higher risk tolerance because they have
more time to recover from any market downturns.
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Investors who are closer to retirement are
generally more risk-averse and conservative
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since they will be drawing on their portfolio
soon and will have less time to recover from
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any market downturns. If you were an aggressive
investor, your asset allocation would direct
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more funds towards stocks, or equities, than
the non-correlated investment. For example,
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if you were in your early twenties and saving
for retirement forty (40) years out, and you were
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really aggressive, your asset allocation could
be something like eighty percent (80%) stocks
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and twenty percent (20%) bonds, which means if
you had one thousand dollars ($1,000) to invest,
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you would put eight hundred dollars ($800) into
a stock fund and two hundred dollars ($200)
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into a bond fund. As you get closer to retirement,
the asset allocation would shift to hold less
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equities. It can be something like seventy percent
(70%) stocks, thirty percent (30%) bonds when
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you are ten years out from retirement,
and then to sixty percent (60%) stocks
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and forty percent (40%) bonds once you retire.
If you don’t know what your asset allocation is,
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a lot of stock brokerage companies offer online
questionnaires that you can take to figure out
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your ideal asset allocation based on your
investing goals, time horizon, experience
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with investing, and risk tolerance. I'll link
Vanguard's questionnaire in the description below.
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When you take these questionnaires, you
need to be completely honest with yourself.
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There is nothing worse than having the wrong
asset allocation because it can result in a
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lot of sleepless nights and doubts during a market
downturn, and may lead you to make decisions that
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can hurt your portfolio. If you want a template
for an investment plan, I'll put a link in the
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description where you can get a copy of the
editable file. Mistake #3 is trying to time the
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market. People who try to time the market rarely
ever get the timing right. To time the market,
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you have to buy at the perfect time when the stock
is at its low and sell when it’s at its high. The
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truth is that it is very difficult to time the
market, and today’s high may be tomorrow’s low. If
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we look at this chart from Vanguard, the y-axis
represents the returns in terms of percentage
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and the x-axis is a timeline of the trading days
between December 31, 1979 and January 31, 2018
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with 1979 being on the left and 2018 being on the
right. The bars in blue represent the best trading
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days and the bars in red represent the worst
trading days. As you can see, the best and worst
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trading days can happen very closely together, so
if you were to sell on one of the worst trading
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days and sat out of the market to wait for the
market to get better, you could have missed out
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on one of the best trading days when the market
rebounded. Instead of trying to time the market,
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the better approach is to make investing something
that you do consistently and automatically,
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where you invest a fixed amount of money at
regular intervals. This is known as dollar cost
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averaging. Remember this: Your time in the market
is more important than trying to time the market.
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You can be an investor who has the worst timing
and invest at the top of the market each year, but
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if you started earlier, you will end up with more
money for retirement than the person who may the
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luckiest investor and buys stock at their low each
year but started investing later. Mistake #4: Not
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being diversified enough. Diversification reduces
risk and can actually improve performance. Nobel
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Prize–winning economist Harry Markowitz, famously
called diversification “the only ‘free lunch’ in
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finance.” Investors need to diversify across
companies, asset classes, global markets, and
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in a volatile market, they also need to diversify
across time by using dollar cost averaging. To be
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diversified with individual stocks, you need to
hold stocks from at least 30 different companies.
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The risk with individual stocks is that a company
can go bankrupt and your investment is reduced to
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nothing. To offset this risk, you would have to
hold stocks from a diverse number of companies.
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Index funds greatly reduce this risk because they
track hundreds to thousands of companies. Index
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funds are described as self-cleansing because poor
performing companies will drop off and will have
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a smaller effect on the remaining portfolio of
companies, while companies with a better chance of
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success are added to replace that poor performing
company. The risk of the index fund falling to
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zero is almost non-existent. Here’s a story to
highlight the importance of being diversified.
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In 2001, Enron, the one time darling company
on Wall Street, went bankrupt because they
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were discovered to have fudge their accounting
numbers to hide millions of dollars in debt, and
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their audit company, Arthur Andersen, had known
about it but they were pressured to overlook these
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accounting discrepancies. There was a secretary
from Enron who was getting ready to retire right
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before the company was discovered to have these
phony accounting practices. While she had a
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modest secretary’s salary, her 401k, which was
invested exclusively in Enron stocks, was worth
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$3 million. When the company went under, she lost
not only her job, but her entire life's savings.
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She wasn’t the only one, unfortunately. Many
people who worked for Enron were on the same boat.
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The lesson here is to not put all your eggs
in one basket. Mistake #5 is checking your
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portfolio too often. Investors who check their
portfolio often are more likely to make short-term
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decisions like over-trading and chasing
returns due to recency bias or hindsight bias.
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A Barclay’s study found that “investors
who prevented themselves from over-trading
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through specific strategies were, on average, 12%
wealthier than those who did not use self-control
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mechanisms.” Investors who jump in and out of the
market may make a quick profit in the short-term,
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but in the long-run, studies have shown
that their returns actually underperform.
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You only need to check your portfolio once a year,
to make sure your asset allocation hasn’t changed
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and to re-balance if it has. If you enjoyed
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