Asset Location - YouTube

Channel: Ben Felix

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I think that most of the people watching  my videos would agree that it is next to  
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impossible to beat the market consistently through  stock picking or market timing. Knowing that,  
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it is sensible for investors to look for other  ways to get more out of their investments.
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Tax planning is one way that investors  can keep more of their returns. Asset  
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location is a form of tax planning. I  am not talking about asset allocation,  
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which is deciding how much of each asset class  you should hold. Asset location is the practice of  
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holding certain asset classes in certain account  types. For example, holding bonds in the RRSP,  
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and Canadian stocks in the taxable account  to minimize the overall tax drag on returns.
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Finding the optimal location for each asset class  is accomplished by holding the assets with the  
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highest tax costs in non-taxable accounts. Easy  right? Well, it is easy if you know the magnitude  
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and characteristics of future returns, and future  tax rates, otherwise it’s really, really hard.
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I’m Ben Felix, Associate Portfolio Manager  at PWL Capital. In this episode of Common  
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Sense Investing, I’m going to tell you why you  shouldn’t get lost trying to locate your assets.
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Asset location typically follows a set of rules.  
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The rules make sense assuming  that we know future returns.
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Hold Fixed Income in your RRSP because  interest income is taxable at your full  
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marginal tax rate, and the lower expected  returns should lead to lower RRIF minimums. 
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Hold Canadian Equities in your personal  taxable account because Canadian dividends  
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are taxed at a more favourable rate  than interest or foreign dividends. 
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Hold International Equities in  your TFSA because International  
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stocks tend to have higher yields and  foreign dividends are fully taxable. 
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Hold U.S. Equities in your RRSP (but not before  Fixed Income) because a U.S. listed ETF of U.S.  
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stocks will avoid U.S. withholding tax, which  would otherwise be unrecoverable in an RRSP.
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Much has been written about asset location and the  
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value that it might be expected  to add to after-tax returns.
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The value of asset location is measured  against holding the same mix of assets  
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in all accounts. In a 2013 paper from  Morningstar, David Blanchett and Paul  
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Kaplan determined that asset location might  add twenty three basis points of value per  
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year to after-tax returns. In a 2014 paper  my PWL colleagues Dan Bortolotti and Justin  
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Bender determined that optimal asset  location would have added thirty basis  
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points per year to the after-tax returns  to an ETF portfolio between 2003 and 2012.
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In a 2017 paper I used statistical analysis  to test an asset location model and found  
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that optimal asset location would add  twenty three basis points per year on  
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average to after tax returns in an ideal  situation. My ideal situation included  
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an investor taxed at the highest marginal  rate in Ontario with enough RRSP room to  
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hold most of their bonds while staying in  line with their target asset allocation.
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Using Monte Carlo analysis I tested this optimal  asset location strategy against uncertain returns  
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by running 1,000 simulations and found  that in about eighty percent of outcomes  
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asset location did in fact added value.  While this was an interesting finding,  
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I was still assuming that we are able to predict  future returns. Any asset location optimization  
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decision is based on the expectation of future  returns. Of course, we cannot know future returns.
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To test the robustness of my optimal asset  location decision against my inability to  
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know the future, I ran the Monte Carlo model  against actual returns instead of the expected  
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returns that had been used to make the  optimal asset location decision. Under  
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these circumstances the average value added  dropped from zero point two three percent to  
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zero point zero seven percent. More  importantly, the optimal asset location  
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strategy only outperformed holding the same  portfolio in all accounts 58% of the time.
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When we realize that asset location does  not guarantee higher after-tax returns,  
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we should start to wonder about the other issues  that may arise. There is some regulatory risk.  
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An optimal asset location strategy under the  current tax rules could become sub optimal  
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under new rules. For example, if the tax rate  on Canadian dividends increased, or capital  
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gains inclusion increased, a previously optimal  location of assets could become sub optimal.
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There is also the added complexity. If  you are managing your own portfolio,  
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complexity makes things like rebalancing  or investing new money a challenge. If  
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your assets are managed by a wealth management  firm, optimizing asset location reduces their  
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ability to scale, inevitably leading  to higher fees over the long-term.
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I am not alone in my skepticism about optimal  asset location. In a 2009 paper, Gerard O’Reilly  
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of Dimensional Fund Advisors outlined his attempt  to model optimal asset location, and concluded  
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that the model was too sensitive to its inputs  to define an optimal asset location strategy.
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In a recent blog post John Robertson,  author of The Value of Simple,  
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explained “When the experts can’t even agree  on what optimal is, then you know it’s not  
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worth your time to worry about. If you defer  investing your contributions for a year or  
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two because you have to find a bigger block  of time to plan out where everything goes,  
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or if you ignore rebalancing because it’s too hard  with everything in separate accounts, then it’s  
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not worth the potential savings.” He concludes the  post “This is all very confusing and my default  
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suggestion is that it’s best to just replicate  the same allocation in all your accounts.”
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In response to a comment on one of his blog posts,  
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my PWL colleague Justin Bender wrapped  my thoughts up perfectly: “There are many  
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thoughts on the asset location decision and  in the end, it probably doesn’t matter much.”
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Put simply, if we cannot predict the future,  the value of trying to optimize for asset  
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location can be called into question, and  it may even make you worse-off in the end.  
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I think that this should be considered  by anyone struggling with the complexity,  
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or even worse delaying the implementation of  their portfolio due to asset location concerns.  
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I do not attempt to optimize the location  of assets in the portfolios that I oversee,  
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opting instead to hold the same  mix of assets in all accounts.
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Do you have an opinion on the asset location  decision? Tell me about it on the comments.
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Thanks for watching. My name is Ben Felix  of PWL Capital and this is Common Sense  
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Investing. I’ll be talking about a lot more  common sense investing topics in this series,  
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so subscribe, and click the bell for updates.