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Asset Location - YouTube
Channel: Ben Felix
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I think that most of the people watching
my videos would agree that it is next to
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impossible to beat the market consistently through
stock picking or market timing. Knowing that,
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it is sensible for investors to look for other
ways to get more out of their investments.
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Tax planning is one way that investors
can keep more of their returns. Asset
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location is a form of tax planning. I
am not talking about asset allocation,
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which is deciding how much of each asset class
you should hold. Asset location is the practice of
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holding certain asset classes in certain account
types. For example, holding bonds in the RRSP,
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and Canadian stocks in the taxable account
to minimize the overall tax drag on returns.
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Finding the optimal location for each asset class
is accomplished by holding the assets with the
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highest tax costs in non-taxable accounts. Easy
right? Well, it is easy if you know the magnitude
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and characteristics of future returns, and future
tax rates, otherwise it’s really, really hard.
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I’m Ben Felix, Associate Portfolio Manager
at PWL Capital. In this episode of Common
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Sense Investing, I’m going to tell you why you
shouldn’t get lost trying to locate your assets.
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Asset location typically follows a set of rules.
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The rules make sense assuming
that we know future returns.
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Hold Fixed Income in your RRSP because
interest income is taxable at your full
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marginal tax rate, and the lower expected
returns should lead to lower RRIF minimums.
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Hold Canadian Equities in your personal
taxable account because Canadian dividends
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are taxed at a more favourable rate
than interest or foreign dividends.
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Hold International Equities in
your TFSA because International
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stocks tend to have higher yields and
foreign dividends are fully taxable.
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Hold U.S. Equities in your RRSP (but not before
Fixed Income) because a U.S. listed ETF of U.S.
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stocks will avoid U.S. withholding tax, which
would otherwise be unrecoverable in an RRSP.
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Much has been written about asset location and the
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value that it might be expected
to add to after-tax returns.
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The value of asset location is measured
against holding the same mix of assets
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in all accounts. In a 2013 paper from
Morningstar, David Blanchett and Paul
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Kaplan determined that asset location might
add twenty three basis points of value per
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year to after-tax returns. In a 2014 paper
my PWL colleagues Dan Bortolotti and Justin
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Bender determined that optimal asset
location would have added thirty basis
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points per year to the after-tax returns
to an ETF portfolio between 2003 and 2012.
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In a 2017 paper I used statistical analysis
to test an asset location model and found
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that optimal asset location would add
twenty three basis points per year on
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average to after tax returns in an ideal
situation. My ideal situation included
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an investor taxed at the highest marginal
rate in Ontario with enough RRSP room to
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hold most of their bonds while staying in
line with their target asset allocation.
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Using Monte Carlo analysis I tested this optimal
asset location strategy against uncertain returns
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by running 1,000 simulations and found
that in about eighty percent of outcomes
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asset location did in fact added value.
While this was an interesting finding,
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I was still assuming that we are able to predict
future returns. Any asset location optimization
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decision is based on the expectation of future
returns. Of course, we cannot know future returns.
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To test the robustness of my optimal asset
location decision against my inability to
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know the future, I ran the Monte Carlo model
against actual returns instead of the expected
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returns that had been used to make the
optimal asset location decision. Under
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these circumstances the average value added
dropped from zero point two three percent to
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zero point zero seven percent. More
importantly, the optimal asset location
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strategy only outperformed holding the same
portfolio in all accounts 58% of the time.
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When we realize that asset location does
not guarantee higher after-tax returns,
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we should start to wonder about the other issues
that may arise. There is some regulatory risk.
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An optimal asset location strategy under the
current tax rules could become sub optimal
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under new rules. For example, if the tax rate
on Canadian dividends increased, or capital
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gains inclusion increased, a previously optimal
location of assets could become sub optimal.
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There is also the added complexity. If
you are managing your own portfolio,
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complexity makes things like rebalancing
or investing new money a challenge. If
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your assets are managed by a wealth management
firm, optimizing asset location reduces their
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ability to scale, inevitably leading
to higher fees over the long-term.
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I am not alone in my skepticism about optimal
asset location. In a 2009 paper, Gerard O’Reilly
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of Dimensional Fund Advisors outlined his attempt
to model optimal asset location, and concluded
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that the model was too sensitive to its inputs
to define an optimal asset location strategy.
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In a recent blog post John Robertson,
author of The Value of Simple,
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explained “When the experts can’t even agree
on what optimal is, then you know it’s not
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worth your time to worry about. If you defer
investing your contributions for a year or
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two because you have to find a bigger block
of time to plan out where everything goes,
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or if you ignore rebalancing because it’s too hard
with everything in separate accounts, then it’s
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not worth the potential savings.” He concludes the
post “This is all very confusing and my default
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suggestion is that it’s best to just replicate
the same allocation in all your accounts.”
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In response to a comment on one of his blog posts,
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my PWL colleague Justin Bender wrapped
my thoughts up perfectly: “There are many
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thoughts on the asset location decision and
in the end, it probably doesn’t matter much.”
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Put simply, if we cannot predict the future,
the value of trying to optimize for asset
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location can be called into question, and
it may even make you worse-off in the end.
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I think that this should be considered
by anyone struggling with the complexity,
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or even worse delaying the implementation of
their portfolio due to asset location concerns.
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I do not attempt to optimize the location
of assets in the portfolios that I oversee,
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opting instead to hold the same
mix of assets in all accounts.
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Do you have an opinion on the asset location
decision? Tell me about it on the comments.
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Thanks for watching. My name is Ben Felix
of PWL Capital and this is Common Sense
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Investing. I’ll be talking about a lot more
common sense investing topics in this series,
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so subscribe, and click the bell for updates.
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