ROSCAs and Chit Funds - YouTube

Channel: Marginal Revolution University

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Hi, today we're going to be looking at ROSCAs and Chit Funds.
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What is a ROSCA, what is a Chit Fund?
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A ROSCA is a Rotating Savings and Credit Association
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Here's how it works.
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We have four people, Aadi, Hansa, Viraj and Prija.
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In period one, they each put 10 dollars into a pot,
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creating a pot worth 40.
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One of them is then randomly chosen to receive the entire pot.
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Let's suppose it's Hansa.
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In period two, each one again puts ten dollars into the pot.
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The pot is again worth 40 dollars.
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Hansa, however, is no longer eligible to receive the pot.
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So there's a random choice among the remaining three.
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Let's suppose Aadi wins the pot.
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In the third period we have the same thing.
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Each one of them puts in 10 dollars.
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One of them is randomly chosen to receive the pot.
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And then finally, in the fourth period,
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each one of them puts in 10 dollars and the one remaining person,
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in this case Prija, receives the pot.
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Okay, you might be asking what's the big deal?
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Aadi, Hansa, Viraj and Prija each paid 40 dollars in total.
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Each received 40 dollars.
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What's the advantage?
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Well, the advantage here is that with no ROSCA
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each person saves 10 dollars per period and spends 40 in period four.
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With the ROSCA Hansa receives 40 dollars in period one, three periods earlier.
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Aadi receives 40 in period two, two periods earlier.
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And Viraj receives 40 in period three, one period earlier.
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Prija receives 40 in period four, the same as before.
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So three of them are better off in getting the money earlier.
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The fourth one is at least as well off as before.
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In fact, in expectation, all of them are better off.
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So this is a Pareto optimal scheme, to use the language of economics.
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At least some people are better and no one is worse off.
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Okay, that's a ROSCA.
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This is called a random ROSCA.
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In a random ROSCA, the person who wins the pot is chosen randomly.
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In an auction ROSCA, the partial pot goes to the highest bidder.
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Let's show how bidding works.
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Bidders are going to bid how much they are willing to pay for the pot.
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So suppose the pot is 40.
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Aadi bids 5, Hansa bids 9 and Viraj and Prija bid 0.
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In this case, Hansa wins the pot.
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She receives the 40 dollars minus her 9-dollar bid, or 31 dollars in total.
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Hansa's 9-dollar bid is then split equally among the other members,
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three dollars, three dollars, three dollars.
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A nice thing about the auction ROSCA
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is that it allows those who have more urgent needs
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to receive the funds earlier than those with less urgent needs.
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So again, this is the Pareto optimal improvement to a random ROSCA.
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Another interesting thing about these Auction ROSCAs
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is that how much people bid,
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that implicitly is setting up an interest rate.
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It's telling us how much people are willing
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to pay to receive the money earlier.
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So it's an interest rate.
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And how much people are going to bid is going to be dependent therefore
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on how good their borrowing opportunities are elsewhere in the economy.
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What's the interest rate among moneylenders or among
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microcredit organizations, or family and friends, and so forth.
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This means that the bidding process is actually quite complicated
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because it depends upon the situation elsewhere in the economy.
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Also, since some of the bids are going to be returned,
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you know, it might be a little bit of an incentive to bid higher
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to get the other person to bid higher, so that you get a little bit more.
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So, it's a quite complicated auction process.
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And comparing theory and practice, it turns out people actually do quite well
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at solving these problems.
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ROSCAs are very common, both in history and around the world,
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Africa, Latin America, Asia.
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And in several African countries,
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it's been estimated that 50 to 90 percent of the population participates in a ROSCA.
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In India, the indigenous term for ROSCA is Chit Funds.
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And in addition to informal Chit Funds, there are actually thousands
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of regulated commercial chit funds which advertise their services.
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In a commercial chit fund, a foreman organizes the fund
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and guarantees the pot against a fault in return for a commission.
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Often the foreman might get the first pot, for example.
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Organized chit funds are more common in urban regions
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where people don't know each other as well as in villages.
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And the foreman's job is to balance membership between savers and borrowers
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and to make sure that no one defaults.
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And if someone does default, to make up for the pot.
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Some of the regulations require foremen to put up, in advance,
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at least one pot to have that in escrow.
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In addition, there's a limitation in many states
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on how much people are allowed in an auction ROSCA to bid for the pot.
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So in effect, this is an usury rate, a limit on the interest rate.
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Some of these regulations are probably a good idea.
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More recently, there's been more regulation
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and this has been pushing people, particularly the poor,
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into the informal chit fund area.
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There are at least 10 times as many informal chit funds
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as there are regulated commercial chit funds.
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Both tend to work reasonably well.
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Though the informal chit funds are more risky,
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particularly if you don't know the other people who are investing.
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So why do people invest in ROSCAs?
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Well, as the name indicates, it's about savings and credit.
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First it's a way of creating discipline to save,
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helping to overcome a self-control problem,
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having, every month, to put something in the pot helps you to save.
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This could also be another control problem.
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That is having to put something in the pot every month
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means that somebody else can't spend that money.
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Perhaps a wife wants to stop a husband from drinking the money away, for example.
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Sometimes that does happen.
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These savings are then often used to purchase lumpy goods,
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perhaps a small business investment,
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an investment in a consumer durable like a washing machine,
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investment in a marriage or even in jewelry,
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especially in India that's quite a common big item to purchase.
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The Auction ROSCAs are also used for emergency credit situations.
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Sometimes it's hard to distinguish these two uses.
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So, in a survey, 72% of chit fund members
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said that they were doing this for savings reasons.
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That was ex-ante, however.
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If you looked among bidders in any given month,
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why they were bidding,
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'emergency needs' was listed by 56%,
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followed by business investment at 30%.
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So it's a combination of savings,
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having that money also available for an emergency use.
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We'll be talking more about finance in future lectures.
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It's important to keep in mind that
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ROSCAs and chit funds are part and parcel of a large set of ways of getting credit.
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Borrowing from family and friends is another,
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from micro lenders, from moneylenders,
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even from banks.
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Microcredit's very important, ROSCAs are very important for balancing
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particularly consumers and consumer durables and purchases.
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Even more important for a country, however,
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is raising lots of money to invest in big business,
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to invest in factories and things of that nature,
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economies of scope and scale.
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That's what we'll be talking more about in future lectures on finance.
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Thanks.