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What is the TPP 11? | CNBC Explains - YouTube
Channel: CNBC International
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At this grocery store, you can get
produce from all over the world like
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this kiwi fruit from New Zealand
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dragonfruit from Vietnam
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and this avocado from Mexico.
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Soon all these fruits will get cheaper, but
only for consumers in 11 countries.
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That鈥檚 because of the world鈥檚
biggest trade deal since NAFTA.
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The TPP 11, or the CPTPP, is the
world鈥檚 newest trade deal.
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It was signed by 11
countries on March 8.
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CPTPP stands for:
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It鈥檚 a mouthful, but it sounds
familiar, doesn鈥檛 it?
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This trade deal was previously known as the
Trans-Pacific Partnership and included the U.S.
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The TPP deal had been signed in 2016,
but American President Donald Trump
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withdrew the U.S. on his
third day in the job.
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Great thing for the American worker.
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Many experts thought that meant
the end of the TPP.
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Without the U.S., the TPP 11鈥檚 share of
global GDP went from 38% to about 13.5%.
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But the 11 countries, led by Japan, surprised
experts and pushed through the deal.
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It鈥檚 now the world鈥檚 third biggest
trade bloc by GDP.
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Many people are excited about the CPTPP
because it's seen as a high-quality trade deal.
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That鈥檚 because the CPTPP involves deep,
fast tariff cuts - and a lot of them.
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It also includes many areas not typically
covered in trade agreements.
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I think you鈥檒l be pleased to know that
avocados are part of the deal.
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At the moment, countries like Japan, Mexico,
Malaysia and Vietnam have avocado tariffs.
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But with the TPP, avocado tariffs will fall
in most countries, and for Vietnam
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the slowest to implement cuts, it will
fall to 0% in four years.
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Avocados from TPP countries will likely be
cheaper than those from non-TPP countries.
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So, it seems like consumers are the
biggest winners in this trade deal.
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Are there other winners and losers?
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All the TPP countries are expecting
significant economic benefits.
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New Zealand estimated a boost of between
$880 million and $2.9 billion
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while Canada will get a
boost of $3.2 billion.
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But Japan is a clear winner.
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Other than economic benefits, it sees the
CPTPP as a geopolitical strategy to counter
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another trade pact in negotiations, the Regional
Comprehensive Economic Partnership.
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The RCEP is seen as a deal backed by China,
and makes up nearly half of the global population.
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Farmers and food exporting countries like
Mexico, Australia and New Zealand are also
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seen as big winners as agricultural produce
is usually left out of trade deals.
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Service sectors aren鈥檛 typically included
either, but the TPP 11 does include them.
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This means more firms, such as accounting,
design and tourism services
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benefit from market access
across 11 countries.
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However, there are many who see themselves
as possible losers of the TPP 11.
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For instance, the jury is still out in Canada
about the benefits for companies there.
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While it will enjoy access to new markets
like Japan, some industries such as dairy
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and automobile think that the
concessions outweigh the benefits.
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Workers in developed economies are likely
to be fearful that firms will move production
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to lower-wage countries. However, the TPP 11 has
rules on labor rights, meaning less developed
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countries will have to abide by international
standards, including the minimum wage.
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But how countries will implement
this is still up in the air.
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And some economists say it鈥檚 the United
States that is losing out.
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According to one think tank, the CPTPP would
have raised U.S. wages, grown exports by 9.1%
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and increased U.S. real incomes by
$131 billion a year to 2030.
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Delaying the launch of TPP was projected in
2016 to be a $77 billion loss to the U.S. economy.
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But Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz
echoed the sentiments of many Americans
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warning that the original TPP 12
helps only big corporations.
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But even Donald Trump is becoming more
open to the party he declined to join.
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If we did a substantially better deal,
I would be open to TPP.
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The CPTPP is likely to come into
force by the end of this year.
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It鈥檚 a strong signal to the U.S. that despite
growing calls for protectionism,
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11 countries and many more are looking
to throw in their lot with free trade.
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Hi. Thanks for watching.
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