Can Airbnb Outperform a Potential Recession? | WSJ - YouTube

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- [Presenter] This is a tiny home on Airbnb.
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So far this year,
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this listing has brought in over $20,000 for its host.
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The typical U.S. host in 2021
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earned over $13,800 according to the company.
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- The tiny home doesn't cost a lot to build,
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and yet it could charge hundreds of dollars a night.
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- [Presenter] Airbnb posted a profit in its second quarter,
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as guests booked a record number of stays and experiences
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and hosts increased prices for rentals amid high inflation,
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but people didn't book as much as analysts had projected,
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and the company's summer bookings forecast
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fell short of expectations.
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- Obviously it's an incredibly dynamic period of time,
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but I'm still expecting
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an incredibly strong period of travel
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even if people pull back spending some.
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- [Presenter] So how did the largest
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home sharing platform in the U.S.
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navigate its biggest crises?
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And could it borrow those lessons
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to weather fears of a recession?
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This is The Economics of Airbnb.
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- Airbnb started
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around the time of the 2008 financial crisis.
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This was a time when people were really hard hit
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by the recession,
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and they were looking for a way to make an extra buck.
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- [Presenter] In 2016,
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the company launched Airbnb Experiences,
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which let travelers book classes, tours, and outings.
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Airbnb also spent more as it grew.
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- The CEO branched out into all kinds of things
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like he wanted to have a media studios,
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he wanted to branch into transportation.
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- [Presenter] And then the pandemic hit.
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Business was down 80%
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forcing Airbnb to take on $2,000,000,000 in debt,
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and pause all non-essential projects.
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- I hope I never do a side project again in my life.
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I learned a lesson,
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and I think the lesson is
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when you try to do new things as side things,
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they don't work.
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- [Presenter] Summer of 2020 was a turning point for Airbnb.
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- [Rana] People started quarantining with their families.
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Friends started taking staycations
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while they could work remote.
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So that's something that definitely benefited Airbnb.
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- [Presenter] Local travel became its stronghold,
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and people started using the platform for longer stays.
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The company was one of the hottest public listings of 2020,
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though with stock price has fallen since then
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amid a broad market cool off.
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In August, Airbnb projected record third quarter revenue
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on the back of higher rental prices,
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and said it expects to post its first full year profit
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this year.
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- A lot of businesses have lucky moments,
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but there's something to be said about getting lucky
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and also being able to ride that wave and capitalize on it.
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- [Presenter] That's what Airbnb says
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it has done from the start.
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- Back then in 2008, a lot of people turned to hosting,
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because they were losing their homes,
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high housing prices,
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and a lot of people because they didn't have as much money
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were looking for more affordable ways to travel
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than ever before.
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- [Rana] That really helped them
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bring a lot of people who were looking for
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ways to make up for lost income onto the platform.
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And you can really see them capitalize on timing
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during the pandemic as well.
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- [Presenter] Airbnb redesigned its app and website
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to focus on local stays during the pandemic.
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Last summer, it launched a flexible search feature,
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which curates trips for people
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who don't know where they want to go.
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- [Rana] The pandemic and remote work
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gave us that flexibility.
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You know, we could travel during the week
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and still work remote.
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So Airbnb starts noticing this trend and it says,
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oh my God we can,
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you know, we can sort of capitalize on this, and they do.
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- [Presenter] In May,
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Airbnb launched another redesign of its search tool
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that split homes into more than 50 categories
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as a way to steer people to places
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they wouldn't otherwise have picked.
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- [Rana] So what they're trying to do is
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they're trying to fill existing homes
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instead of adding more and more homes.
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- [Presenter] Some analysts say
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this is key to the company's future growth
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since global occupancy rates are low.
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When it comes to addressing safety issues on its platform,
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some cities have complained that
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Airbnb has been too hands off.
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- They're not actively monitoring these properties
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because frankly they can't, they don't own them.
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So that's really where a lot of their problems stem from.
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- Four people killed, another four hurt,
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all of it happening in a house rented out on Airbnb.
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- [Presenter] After a 2019 Halloween shooting,
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the company announced safety measures
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including a 24/7 neighborhood hotline to field complaints.
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- [Brian] We've banned all parties globally on Airbnb.
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We have a risky reservation queue
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where we looking at any suspicious activity,
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and we have a pretty hands-on team that's using
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some pretty advanced like machine learning technology
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to essentially identify anything we think is suspicious.
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If it is, we'll continue to seek more information.
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- [Presenter] The company says
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the number of party complaints
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have dropped 44% in the last two years.
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Airbnb has also been trying to reduce that rate further
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by doing things like blocking one or two nights stays
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on new year's Eve and Halloween
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for guests without a history of positive reviews,
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but incidents keep happening.
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- [Rana] Earlier this year,
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we had a shooting in Pittsburgh,
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and again, you know, people were injured.
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- [Presenter] City officials have also blamed Airbnb
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for ruining the long term rental market
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in some small communities
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- What's happened is a lot of people
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are just snapping up properties and renting them.
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And as a result,
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locals don't have enough properties to rent long term.
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Airbnb doesn't think that it's actually
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affected the long term rental market,
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but you know if you ask city officials,
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they have a different story.
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- [Presenter] For example, in 2020,
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the Mayor of Sedona, Arizona, a tourist hotspot,
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said that the demand for Airbnb rentals
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worsened the shortage of affordable housing
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and demolished the long term rental market.
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- If we are, you know, part of the problem,
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we are gonna work with cities.
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That's why we've done numerous agreements with cities
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to create restrictions.
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We actually do want Airbnb
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to get more and more into long term housing.
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We want people to really feel invested in the community.
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- [Rana] One of the things that Airbnb is doing now
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is it's trying to direct people
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to areas where it has supply,
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and that sort of also takes the load off of certain places
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that everyone might go to
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and that might get sort of overburdened
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- [Presenter] In April,
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Airbnb announced
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that its employees can work from almost anywhere
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without a pay cut.
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- So if more businesses do follow Airbnb's lead,
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Airbnb stands to gain in its home rental business
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because that would mean, more digital nomads,
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more people traveling, and likely booking more Airbnbs.
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- [Presenter] But some travelers are concerned
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about rising nightly rates,
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and some analysts believe that hotel chains and competitors
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like Expedia Group,
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stand to gain as business travel picks up this year.
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So the question is, can Airbnb keep up the momentum?
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- We're an incredibly lean company.
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We've already been preparing for a storm
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that we thought was inevitable for years to come.
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- [Presenter] Airbnb dramatically cut costs
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during the pandemic,
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and analysts have credited the company
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for keeping those down even as travel rebounded.
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While a potential economic downturn could decrease demand,
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Airbnb says it could also bring more hosts to the platform.
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- As the economy is gonna be slowing down,
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I think more and more people
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are gonna be interested in saving money,
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and I think they're also gonna be interested
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in new ways to make money.
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- [Presenter] And unlike hotels with fixed properties,
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Airbnb can adapt quickly
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by spotlighting properties
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that serve travelers changing needs,
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like it did during the switch to local travel.
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- I think even as we're entering a recession,
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people have been kind of isolated for years
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and they're yearning to get out.
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And the one thing
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I think you're gonna see them spend money on,
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is they're gonna continue to travel.
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