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Rule #1: Develop a Workable Plan | Investing for beginners - YouTube
Channel: FinancingLife
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Some of our dreams need a little money.
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This list is where we begin.
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We need to have some idea of how much we need
to save and how we will save that.
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There may be part of you rebelling already.
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Relax!
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Of course you don't know the future!
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But it will serve you to imagine one scenario.
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The enemy of a good plan is the search for
a perfect plan.
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Make assumptions, and then change them when
you get better ideas, or better information.
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Our goal is to enable these possibilities.
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Let's pause here and consider some simple
arithmetic.
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This set of videos is not about retirement,
but for most of you, saving for retirement
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will be the biggest item -- by far!
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Hopefully you have a long time to save for
retirement so I want to share two guidelines
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so that you can choose an appropriate goal
for our investment plan.
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If you reach retirement age in good health,
there's a very good chance you, your spouse,
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or both of you, will enjoy 30 years of retirement.
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A good rule-of-thumb is that you'll need 25
times what you'll draw from your savings for
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30 years of retirement.
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For example: someone may wish to retire at
age 65 on $60,000 a year.
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If they expect $20,000 a year from Social
Security then they'll need $40,000 a year
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from their savings.
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That means you'll need to save 25 x $40,000,
or $1 million to be fairly confident you won't
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run out of money if you live to age95.
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You might want half this; or twice this.
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It's a personal choice.
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This guideline does account for inflation
and most stock market scenarios, but assumes
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your money is invested wisely, like we'll
describe in later videos.
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Invest money you'll need soon very conservatively,
like in a MoneyMarket or a Bank CD; definitely
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not the stock market.
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On the other hand, money you need beyond 10
years really must be invested in a portfolio
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of stocks and bonds, and that is what most
of my videos will help you understand how
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to do correctly.
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But Rick, you say, the stock market is WAY
too volatile.
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Correct!
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This is a history of annual returns of Large
Company Stocks.
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In any given year the value might fall by
half!
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Look what happened in 2008.
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Now let's look at the historical outcomes
for holding stocks still longer.
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Each bar represents the return after holding
for 10 years.
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Sometimes people lose money after holding
10 years!
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(like 2008!)
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But, most of the time stocks outperform an
even bigger risk: inflation.
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Your risk of losing your investment in the
stock market is small over a long holding
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period.
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Your risk of losing the value of your investment
due to inflation is much larger!
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This is why YOU MUST INVEST: and you need
an investment return bigger than inflation.
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Suppose you plan to retire in 30 years and
inflation is just average -- every $1000 you
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save today will be worth only $410!
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But wait, does this chart suggest we should
own only stocks and hold them for a very long
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time--until when you need that money?
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It's true our investments would grow, but
we can't change the volatility of the stock
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market.
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Remember, we saw that any given year your
stock holdings might lose half of their value.
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We'll see in Rule#3 that each year we will
want to gradually convert some of our stocks
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to bonds so that we don't hold too much risk
by the time we need the money.
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One popular guideline we'll discuss later
is to "own your age in bonds".
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We're going to continue working on this plan
all the way through Rule#10.
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Right now it probably looks like you are going
to need a lot of money.
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OK.
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So how much do you need to save?
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Here a short answer that works for most young
adults: 5% of your gross paycheck for those
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big ticket items, and another 10% for your
retirement.
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And if you haven't already, you should use
the very first money you save to establish
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a sound financial lifestyle before investing
for the future.
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I have a separate video about this.
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If you get a paycheck, you already get a large
slice withheld for various taxes.
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These are just guidelines--it will vary state-to-state,
individual-to-individual.
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Our human behavior is that if we don't see
it, we don't miss it.
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So a time-proven strategy for saving is to
pay yourself first with that 15% automatically
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deposited.
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Here's a balanced budget that works for many
people.
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See how this works for you.
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It applies 45% of your gross income to your
essential expenses that you NEED, and 15%
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to discretionary, or fun stuff.
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Initially you might be thinking that you need
everything you spend money on.
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Use these questions to get at your true foundation
expenses:
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1.
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Could you live in safety and dignity without
this purchase?
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2.
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If you lost your job, would you keep spending
money on this?
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3.
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Could you live without this purchase for six
months?
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If you withhold money from your paycheck to
pay your taxes, and you pay yourself first
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with an automatic deposit for your long-term
savings, then you don't need a complicated
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budget.
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You simply spend what you have left: one dollar
for fun expenses for every three dollars you
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spend on the essentials you need.
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Some of you might be thinking, "Hey, you're
only young once.
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Maybe I should save 10% for big-ticket items,
and only 5% for retirement."
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This is a tradeoff that only you can make.
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Time is your friend.
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You'll see in this next very short video example
how you can harness the power of compound
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interest by starting to save early.
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Find other explanatory videos, smart tips,
and links to useful resources at FinancingLife.org.
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