How Much Would it Cost to Make an iPhone in America? - How Money Works - YouTube

Channel: How Money Works

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How much do you think it would cost to make a smartphone like this one here in the United
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States?
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How much do you think a manufacturer would end up selling this American made phone for?
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And most importantly how much extra would you be willing to pay for your next iPhone,
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Android or Nokia brick to have it made in America.
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You don’t need to answer just yet, but these are some very important questions that have
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equally serious implications to consumers, companies and some of the most powerful economies
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in the world.
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If you have ever looked into this issue, or even actually tried to purchase a locally
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manufactured phone you have no doubt seen a dizzying array of numbers that claim anything
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from an American made iPhone would cost ten thousand dollars all the way down to an American
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made iPhone would only be a tiny bit more expensive than a Chinese made iPhone
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So which prediction is right?
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Weirdly… both…
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But with trade and political tensions at all-time highs we might find ourselves in a situation
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where we need workable answers to this problem sooner rather than later.
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So it’s time to learn How Money Works….
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Consumer electronics are just one of many industries which have been lost in western
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developed nations over the past 40 years.
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Prior to the 1970’s most durable goods consumed in America or Europe were produced right there
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in that country because that was the easiest and cheapest way to get things done.
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Import taxes and quotas meant that foreign goods were real luxuries which commanded a
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steep premium over their domestically produced competitors.
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That’s not to say that locally made goods were cheap though.
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An average television set could easily cost the average households entire monthly income
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and the same was true of stereo’s, fridges, cameras and a variety of other household items
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that we almost treat as disposable today.
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But this started to change when countries like Japan, South Korea, and ultimately China
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built out industrial centers of their own which could manufacture and deliver items
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to western markets for cheap.
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howeverit is really important to understand that this would not have been possible with
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just cheap labor alone.
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It was actually the increase in trade deals that made it possible for foreign factories
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to compete with domestic factories.
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This had a few major benefits for the world economy.
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The first was that it let poor countries gain a foothold in the world economy.
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The salaries in these electronics factories may have been low but they were still far
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better than what these workers would have made working on a substance farm.
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The other big thing it did was make things a lot cheaper.
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An average TV today sells for about 400 bucks, and you would need to get a seriously impressive
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model for it to come anywhere close to matching the average household income even despite
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stagnant wage growth.
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Imports have become the cheaper alternative… or really the only alternative.
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So why are these goods so much cheaper?
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It’s because we can exploit the cheaper labor in these developing countries, right?
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Wrong!
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The cost breakdown of an iPhone looks something like this.
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There are the fixed costs of researching a developing a new phone model that need to
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be paid off before the first unit even hits the production line, that get broken down
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and shared amongst all the phones that are produced with that design, which goes on until
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a new model needs to be designed to keep up with the competition.
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On top of R&D there is the actual components, the camera, the battery, the processor, which
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are provided by other companies that just specialize in making these small parts.
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Then there is the labor costs.
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An article by the New York Times reported that a Foxconn factory in Zhengzhou could
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produce 500,000 iPhone a day and employed an astronomical 350,000 workers.
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This means on average it takes roughly 17-man hours to manufacture a completed iPhone from
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raw materials and components.
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This report is from 2016, so things could have changed since then with newer models
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and more automation on assembly lines, but the companies involved are naturally pretty
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tight lipped about that kind of stuff so for now let’s assume this is the industry standard.
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The next cost is the profit component of the manufacturer.
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No major phone companies actually produce their own phones, they instead outsource manufacturing
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to companies like Foxconn, Celestica and TDK.
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These companies will mark up the phones that beyond their raw manufacturing costs in order
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to make a profit themselves, after all they aren’t a charity, they want to make money
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for their shareholders.
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There is also shipping, taxes, and the profit that the companies themselves will make for
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selling each individual phone.
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Once all of these are added up we are left with the price that you pay as a consumer.
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If we think of all of these cost factors individually it makes it a lot easier to asses the impact
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of moving manufacturing on shore.
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If we assume that all other variables stay the same then we simply need to change this
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variable here.
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It takes the average worker 17 hour to produce a phone, so if we multiply 17 by the average
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wage of a production line worker at a Foxconn factory in China, we find that labor accounts
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for $42 of the price of an iPhone.
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If we change this to reflect the average salary of an unskilled production line worker in
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the United States this number would grow to $263.
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So if both Apple and their manufacturing partners wanted to maintain their profit margins then
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an iPhone would cost the end consumer an extra $221.
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This actually doesn’t sound so bad.
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The average smartphone is much more expensive today than the early models that came out
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a decade ago.
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Ironically the prestige of having an American made phone might actually be enough to attract
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certain buyers, which is almost the opposite of consumer behavior 40 years ago when foreign
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imports were the status symbol.
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Foxconn actually did invest heavily into manufacturing in the US, but these projects have since mostly
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been abandoned.
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Whether that was because of the pandemic or whether it was because of economics that just
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didn’t make sense is quite hard to say.
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But let me re-raise the question I asked at the beginning of the video, how much extra
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would you be willing to pay to have an American made phone?
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I don’t think many of you would actually be willing to part with this extra money.
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I am personally about as pro local industry as they come, and I honestly don’t think
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I would pay the extra if given the choice.
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But as you might have expected it only gets worse from here.
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So far we have only changed one variable, the labor costs.
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But moving manufacturing to the States does much more than just that.
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Tim Cook has said that the biggest hurdle to domestic manufacturing is not labor costs,
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it’s the skills and infrastructure.
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The iPhone is made of dozens of components which are made in countries like Taiwan, Vietnam,
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India or China itself.
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Importing individual electronic components into America is much less efficient than importing
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completed products, so the shipping and handling costs would increase drastically.
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These increased costs might be offset slightly by the reduced cost of transport for the finished
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product within America, but iPhones are sold all over the world.
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One of the biggest markets for the phone IS China, a market with consumers who are poorer
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and therefore more price sensitive.
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Due to higher sales taxes an Iphone actually costs more in China than it does here in the
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states, needing to ship components from Asia, across the pacific and then back again would
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only expand this price imbalance against the country that can least afford it.
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So, what if American iPhone were made in America, and iPhones for the rest of the world were
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made in their own local hubs.
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This actually happens quiet a lot in the automobile industry.
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Some of BMW’s largest plants are not actually in Germany, but rather South Carolina.
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This is primarily done to avoid the costs of shipping in import duties, but it costs
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much more to ship a 4,000-pound car overseas than it does to ship a comparatively tiny
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iPhone.
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This reduction in domestic shipping costs would be dwarfed by the increased costs of
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needing to retool and retrain a dozen factories rather than just one factory every time a
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new phone is released.
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Anyway, this doesn’t really solve the main issue, an iPhone assembled in America from
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parts made in Asia doesn’t mean we are any less reliant on fragile global supply chains
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or any more immune from the actions of potentially hostile governments.
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So, let’s go from the feet up and asses what would happen if we moved everything onshore
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just like the good old days.
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Well, this is where the prices get out of control very quickly.
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Let’s start off with the good news, shipping would cost less, but everything else would
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cost a lot more.
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Finding enough people in America to just work in the assembly plants might be a major challenge
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right now.
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When you throw in the need to manufacture all these components locally as well, then
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it would be almost impossible, especially considering that component manufacturing often
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involves skill sets that just aren’t trained in America anymore.
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Of course, money can solve everything so with enough research, development and training
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it is possible, but it’s going to be expensive.
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A company would need to train an entirely new workforce AND pay them enough to tempt
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them to leave their current jobs.
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These components are going to cost a lot more because they themselves are influenced by
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the labor costs that go into putting them together.
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In the very long term these costs may be brought down once infrastructure is established, and
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training in micro component manufacturing is something that people do themselves to
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get a job (rather than have training given to them as a requirement to gain the necessary
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manpower).
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But In the short term an iPhone would be just the same as a TV 40 years ago, ridiculously
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expensive.
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Unfortunately, most established businesses really can’t make huge, risky bets that
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only have the potential to break even decades into the future.
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They have stakeholders to keep happy, and the status quo is great at achieving that.
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Now obviously wages have been a major variable throughout all of these calculations, but
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if the headlines are to be believed then all of that might be about to change.
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Go and watch my video on the real reason why 40% of people are about to quit their jobs
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to find out.
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As always, a big thank you to my channel member and patrons on Patreon for making it possible
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for everybody to keep on learning How Money Works.