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Inside Europe's Worst Economy | Ground Report by Dhruv Rathee - YouTube
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Greetings, friends!
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Today, I am here at the capital of Greece, Athens.
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A city- a country that has been through the worst economic crisis over the last 10 years
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Greece is on the verge of default tonight
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Greece is the latest European economy to be on life support
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Greece is expected to default
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For now it eases some worries of the global economy
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I'd put the Greek economic crisis at the second spot after Venezuela economic crisis
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Why did this happen? What were the reasons behind this?
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How did it affect the residents here and how is it still affecting them today?
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We will find about all of this in this ground report of today
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Come, let us see
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Let us begin our story right from the start
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Greece joined the European Union in 1981
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At that time, its debt to GDP ratio was 28%
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That is the ratio of the country's debt to the country's GDP
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28% is considered to be a good ratio
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Infact, if the debt to GDP ratio is below 60%, then it is considered good
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If it rises above that, then it is said that the country's debts are rising and its economy is floundering
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Due to the mismanagement of the government that was in power here from 1981 to 1999
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Its debt continued to rise
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They spent more money than they had
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The country's debt to GDP ratio reached 97% by 1999
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The European Union had also launched the Euro currency in 1999
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Greece, too wanted to become a part of the currency and wanted Euro notes to be used in their country too
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But there was a criteria of the European Union
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If any country wanted to use the Euro currency,
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then they had to fulfill the Mastricht Criteria
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That is, a country's debt to GDP ratio should be less than 60% if they wanted to use the Euro
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They believed that otherwise, if a country had a lot of debts and it took up the Euro currency,
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then it will not be able to handle it or bear it
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It is obvious that Greece's debt to GDP ratio was not less than 60%
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But despite that Greece accepted the Euro currency in 2001
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How was it able to it is a scam in itself. It is a long tale in itself
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Basically, Goldman Sachs is a company
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They helped Greece conceal its debt and indulge in hyperbole
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They kept the fact that their debts were so high hidden
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And by fooling the European Union in a way, they adopted the Euro currency
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But this did not have a lot of effect at that time
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Infact, there was considerable growth until 2008
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GDP per capita kept rising rapidly. The people too, were very happy
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Employment was also on the rise. But so was the debt behind the doors
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Then came the economic crisis in 2008
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Its gonna be one of the watershed days in the nation's market's history
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It was a manic Monday in the financial markets
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We're in the midst of a serious financial crisis
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and the federal government is responding with decisive action
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Although the 2008 financial crisis had a negative influence on all countries,
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but it had a disastrous effect on Greece especially, because
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structural problems had already existed in its economy before
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Furthermore, when their government changed in 2009,
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the new Prime Minister revealed that the previous government had been fudging data on a large scale for years
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They were saying that their budget deficit was 6.7%
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But actually, it was crossing 15%
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This maligned Greece's reputation across the world
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Investors lost their trust and felt that they could not trust this country
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and that they should withdraw their investments
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The credit rating of this country was downgraded
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And people were scared of investing their money
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because they knew that the country could not afford to pay back
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So overall, until 2010, the debts continued to rise and no one was ready to lend any money
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The economy began to crash drastically
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The Greek government's immediate priority is to convince the Europe that it can control its budget deficit
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We are ready to take any necessary measure
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in order to make sure that our goal of cutting our deficit by 4% in 2010
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What effect did all of this have?
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Greece used to be a 300 billion dollar economy in 2010
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Its GDP growth rate stayed in the negatives for so many years
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that by 2017, it fell to be a mere 200 billion dollar economy
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Unemployment rate- which was 10% in 2010
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It soared to 28% in 2013
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At its peak, the Youth unemployment rate was 60%, that is,
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60% of the youth living in this country were unemployed
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The situations have somewhat improved today, but the youth unemployment rate stands at 40%
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The people have been driven down on the streets literally and this is quite visible
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One does not expect this from Greece which is a developed country in some ways
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They educated people who could afford to leave, began to exit the country
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because they saw no future in this country
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Alongside, Greece was also going through an aging crisis
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The fertility rate here was already very low
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In 2005, Greece's population was at its peak- at 11 million
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Today, this population has fallen to 10.5 million
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and at the rate at which the population is declining in Greece,
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it would have fallen to only 8 million by 2050
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If so many people leave the country, what effect would it have on the ground level?
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A lot of shops here have shut down
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You will find a lot of buildings here in which construction has been stopped mid way
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Buildings have been abandoned and the infrastructure is in a terrible state
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Right behind me is one such Olympics stadium
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which lies in decrepit as you can see
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They've put up barriers to prevent anyone from going inside, but from the glimpse that we can catch of the interiors
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it seems as if there's nothing inside. Everything is in a dilapidated condition and has been abandoned
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Some cats have been residing here
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And there are some similar buildings here
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Some trash is lying around
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Walking here seems like walking through a post apocalyptic situation as shown in the movies
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This week, the Prime Minister "celebrated", if that's the word, 100 days in office
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He told Greeks again, that they must change or sink
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We know the severity of the crisis is unprecedented
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And much worse than we originally thought
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But this is not the time for minor steps
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We need to be brave and decisive
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What can a government do in such a situation to improve the economy?
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and to reduce its debt?
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Think about it
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It is obvious that the money being spent by the government should be reduced as much as possible
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and to increase the government's revenue as much as possible
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so that they remain in surplus and pay back their debts
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Basically, cut down spending and increase revenue
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How can this practically be done?
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Slash the pension and the social benefits being given out the people
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And increase the tax- the VAT, the corporate tax upon the people
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These are called "Austerity measures" in economics
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You could ask that won't it anger the people if the government does this?
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because basically, austerity measures involves taking money from the people
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and giving it to the government to enable the government to pay off its debts
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This does happen
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The people do get angry- they were furious in Greece as well
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And there were riots in 2015 due to these austerity measures
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The people came out on the streets and resorted to rioting
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Last week, demonstrators battled the police in downtown Athens
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furious about tax hikes they've already suffered
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as well as job losses and an overall pay cut of 20%
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Unofficial estimates put the real number of unemployed people at 40%
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This sign says that Greece should just walk away from its massive debt
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and its an idea a lot of Greeks support
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The danger is that it could trigger a catastrophic and global financial meltdown
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Usually when a country faces such economic crisis, there is another option apart from austerity measures
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that is to devalue its currency- to reduce the value of its currency by printing more notes
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A lot of countries do this. It was done in Venezuela and Zimbabwe in extreme cases
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that led to their currency becoming devalued very swiftly
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It is debatable as how successful this solution is. But in the case of Greece,
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this solution was not possible because its currency was Euro and Greece was not the sole country using Euro
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There were other European countries (using it) as well
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So it was not in the hands of Greece to devalue its currency so this solution was not available to Greece
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Another interesting thing is that European Union too, did not want Greece's economy to flop
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and for Greece to completely crash down as a country
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because that would affect the reputation of the Euro currency
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and experts believed that if Greece's economy did crash,
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then it would negatively affect the rest of the European nations
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In fact, a lot experts also believed that it could trigger another financial crisis worldwide
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had Greece crashed completely
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And this is why, even the European countries wanted Greece to become successful
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and they were trying extremely hard to keep the economy of Greece from crashing
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And they made bailout plans for this purpose
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The country needs a 17 billion dollars emergency loan, mostly from European banks and governments
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by the start of July just so it can pay the interest on its massive debt
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The IMF and European Union gave the first bailout, worth 110 billion Euros, to Greece in 2019
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This meant that this amount of money was given by both these organizations to Greece
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and in return asked Greece to implement austerity measures in its country
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But this bailout failed. This huge amount of money was indeed given but it could not revive Greece's economy
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And so, a second bailout was given in 2012
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and Greece was asked to implement even more austerity measures in exchange
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By 2015, the residents here got so irate that they voted for an anti austerity party
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who were promising to put a stop to austerity measures in their country
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and were promising to hike the salaries and wages of the people
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40 year old Syriza leader Alexis Tsipras
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a politician who promises to restore dignity to the country that says is being humiliated
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by the demands of its international lenders
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Supporters cheered as he set to take charge in the country
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Greece is turning up hate
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Greece is leaving behind the catastrophic austerity
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Syriza has convinced Greeks to reject austerity but the hard part will be to convince Europe as well
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But by 206-17, this party too realized that Greece had no other option
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that they had to implement austerity measures if they want to revive their economy
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After this, a third bailout of 86 billion Euros was provided
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and by 2018, its positive results finally began to dawn
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Now, finally, the GDP growth rate of Greece's economy has slightly risen
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The situation looks like its getting under control
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But as of now, Greece owes around 280 billion Euros, in total, to the European Union and IMF
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in exchange of all these bailouts
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And Athens (Greece) has promised that by the t=year 2060,
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they would stay in budget surplus and not run in deficit
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But there's a visible hope for economic revival
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After years of staying in the negative, Greece's GDP growth rate finally climbed into positive in 2017
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and it has been predicted that it will remain 2.4% for 2019
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And even if they continue to grow at this rate, by the time they reach 2030,
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then the size of its economy will grow to become what it used to be in 2010
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So overall, Greece endured a loss of 20 years because of this economic crisis
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While revival, the tourism sector will play a very important part
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because tourism is a major sector that drives Greece's economy
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For example, this is a huge tourist attraction here
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These monasteries that you can see behind me are a great tourist attraction
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We can learn immensely from the story of Greece
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First of all, I'd like to ask you
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what lessons could you imbibe from this story which could serve as an inspiration for our country
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and what are the things that our country should keep in mind
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Write down in the comments below
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In my opinion,
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It is obvious that you will compare India's situation with that of Greece
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There are some vast differences. For example,
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Our country is in a slowdown while Greece was in a recession
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And the second difference is that the debt to GDP ratio of our country is 68%
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The condition is not as bad as Greece's
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Not that massive debt has been accumulated
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Another difference is that our country has its own currency
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If any such situation does arise,
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then the government would first try to devalue our currency
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which can be done easily, unlike in the situation of Greece
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But there is one important thing to observe in Greece
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of which the Indian government should be mindful and that is
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the way data fudging is done by the governments
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And what bad a negative influence it exerts on the country's reputation
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The Indian government does this too
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Fudging the GDP data, showing fake data, concealing the unemployment data
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The government of Greece did all of this as well
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That is a very important lesson that we can learn from this economy
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All of this is my opinion
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I hope you would have liked this video. Share it.
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And I'm able to make such videos and such detailed ground reports with so much research
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only because of your support
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The support which you extend through Patreon and by being members on YouTube
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If you too want to support, then the link of Patreon is here
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You can become a YouTube member by clicking on the join button
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We will meet again in the next video
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Thank you
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