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O poder da R煤ssia p贸s-Uni茫o Sovi茅tica. E a hegemonia de Putin - YouTube
Channel: Nexo Jornal
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Russia is one of the largest powers
in the world today.
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In many contexts, it is the major opposition
to the political and military power of the United States.
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This permanent dispute between the two poles
shaped the history of the 20th century.
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But not just that.
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The persistence of Russian influence in contemporary politics
also promises to be one of the hallmarks of the 21st century.
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To understand Russia鈥檚 power currently,
it is necessary to go back until at least 1991.
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In that year, the country emerged in its current form,
built on the heritage and the
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rubble of the Soviet Union.
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Until then, the one-party regime - the
Communist Party - had dictated the direction
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not only of the Russians and Soviets, but
also of dozens of other countries
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in Moscow's sphere of political and economic
influence.
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This monolithic communist power
actually began to weaken in the late 1980s,
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when then-Soviet leader Mikhail
Gorbachev began a program of slow
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political opening, known as glasnost
and gradual economic opening known
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as perestroika.
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Gorbachev's reforms were
an attempt to calm the growing
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tensions within the Soviet bloc.
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These internal tensions were compounded
by the high cost of the arms race
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with the United States during the Cold War,
when the two countries vied for aerospace,
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military, economic, cultural and ideological leadership.
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The Soviet Union was dissolved in 1991.
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Gorbatchev, the reformer, fell.
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And Russia's first elected president,
Boris Yeltsin, took his place.
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All other former Soviet republics
became new sovereign states.
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In this rearrangement, Russia emerged
as the largest country in the bloc and the world
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in territory.
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But Russian entry into the capitalist
world was turbulent.
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Instead of the gradual opening attempted by Gorbachev,
Yeltsin bet on a capitalist shock.
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The country launched a wave of privatization
of its state-owned companies.
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The Russian economy was opened
to foreign companies, which entered a market
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of nearly 150 million consumers.
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This was a new market, untapped and eager
for contact with the West.
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Former Soviet bureaucrats became
oligarchs.
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A new class of Russian millionaires emerged,
great tycoons - many of them involved in
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corruption schemes and organized crime.
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This turmoil during the transition led
the country into a new crisis, sparked by
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the dynamics of capitalism and newly
won civil liberties.
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And in 1993, political crisis hit.
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Under pressure from his opponents, Yeltsin dissolved
the Parliament and suppressed demonstrations
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in Moscow, causing dozens of deaths.
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Nonetheless, he was elected to a second term
in 1996, beating a Communist Party opponent
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in the second round of voting.
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In 1998, economic crisis hit.
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Deeply in debt, drowning in inflation and
unemployment, the country defaulted on its foreign debt,
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causing negative impacts on the global economy.
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Internally, it saw a considerable decline
in social indicators in relation to the Soviet era.
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The Human Development Index and GDP per capita
fell throughout the 1990s.
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And the life expectancy, which was 69 years old
in 1988, fell to 64 years old in 1994.
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The overlapping crises marked the end of
Boris Yeltsin's second term.
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Worn out and cornered - accused by
the Russian press of showing up drunk to public
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ceremonies - the country's first elected president
announced to the national media that
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he was leaving office.
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Yeltsin's resignation in 1999 cleared the
way for the rise of then-Vice President
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Vladimir Putin to power.
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A former agent with the KGB, the dreaded Soviet
secret service, would henceforth become
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a hegemonic leader in Russia.
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No other politician could rival
Putin for decades to come.
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After replacing Yeltsin for a year, Putin
ran for and won his first presidential election,
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in the year 2000.
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He won with 53% of the votes.
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And that was just the beginning.
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In 2004, he had another electoral victory.
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Putin was re-elected president for a new four-year term,
this time with almost 72% of the votes.
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The early Putin years saw
improvement in key indicators.
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Life expectancy, for instance, which was
65 years old when Putin arrived at the Kremlin
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in 1999, rose to 67.949 in 2008.
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And the Human Development Index rose
to levels above those recorded during
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the Soviet Union.
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During this period, the Russian president
consolidated powers.
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In addition to securing a majority in the Duma and
the Federation Council - both houses of the Russian parliament -
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Putin also expanded the use of intelligence services
and police to crack down on
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civil movements.
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He violently smothered separatist movements
in rebel Chechnya and did little
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to solve the assassinations of critics
of his government in Moscow.
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Unable to run for president for
the third time in a row, Putin appointed
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a bland ally, Dimitry Medvedev, to office, while
placing himself in the position of prime minister.
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In semi-presidential systems, such as Russia鈥檚,
the president is the head of state,
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and the prime minister is the head of government.
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But this formal division did not keep Putin
from exercising control of almost every affair
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in the country - even when he remained
prime minister from 2008 to 2012.
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Medvedev never came close
to overshadowing Putin.
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Nor did any other opponent.
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One of his biggest antagonists, Alexei Navalny,
even managed to mobilize some demonstrations
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against Putin starting in 2008.
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But real opposition never took off.
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Largely due to violence and persecution,
reported by international human rights
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organizations and other countries.
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Putin again ran for
president in 2012.
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And he won again.
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Only this time, the presidential term
was no longer four, but six years,
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due to a constitutional reform.
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Internal cohesion has boosted greater
international ambitions for present-day Russia.
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Russia's military budget multiplied by
more than 12 times between 1999 and 2012.
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The nuclear threat - central to
the Soviet years - has subsided.
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The decline in the number of nuclear warheads proves it:
from a little over 35,000 in 1989
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to just over 4,000 in 2014.
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The country is the world's second largest
arms exporter, second only to the US.
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But the most ambitious international bid
of the Putin era came in 2014, when Russia
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took over the territory of Crimea.
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The move was a mix of military
and political pressure exerted on the government
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of Ukraine, which was cozying up to the
European Union.
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In addition to sending the military to Crimea,
Putin backed a referendum
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allowing residents of the peninsula to decide to
leave Ukraine and join Russia.
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The US and European powers protested,
but Putin did not listen.
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This is the best example of the latent dispute
between Russia and the Western powers.
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As was the case with the Soviet Union
in the Cold War, the Russians try to keep
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a buffer zone of Eastern European
ally countries.
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But this movement is not restricted
to the former Soviet republics alone.
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Since 2015, Putin has also become the largest military sponsor
of the Bashar al-Assad government in Syria.
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And even extended his influence over Venezuela,
here in Latin America,
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on the Brazilian border.
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In addition to military operations, Russia
has also taken international action
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to destabilize electoral processes
of foreign countries.
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In 2016, US intelligence services
said Russian agents had access
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to private messages from the Democratic Party
during that year's presidential election.
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An investigation was then opened
to determine whether US鈥檚 Republican President,
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Donald Trump, acted in collusion with the Russians
to derive political and
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economic benefits from this relationship.
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In subsequent years, European countries also
accused Russia of spreading fake news
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and running an army of bots
on social media to undermine their electoral processes.
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While showing strength internationally,
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Putin continued to collect victories internally.
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In 2018 he won the presidential election
for another six-year term.
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Putin's popularity in Russia shows
no sign of ebbing.
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The 2018 victory came with 76% of the votes.
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From stepping into the Kremlin as president
for the first time in 1999, until the end
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of his fourth elective term,
expected to end in 2024, Putin shall complete
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25 uninterrupted years in power - between his roles
as president to prime minister.
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This would leave him trailing only the 29 years
Josef Stalin spent in control of the
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Soviet Union between 1924 and 1953.
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Putin鈥檚 Russia is not what
Stalin鈥檚 Soviet Union once was.
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Communism has virtually disappeared from
the country鈥檚 political horizon and the nuclear race
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with the US has been put on hold.
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But Moscow still holds ambitions of
becoming a superpower, and its role goes
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far beyond its immediate surroundings.
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Putin has autocratic characteristics, journalism
faces serious constraints in the country,
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civil rights movements have little space
and opposition is nearly absent.
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Violent oppression of LGBTI rights
has become a negative feature of present-day Russia;
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a feature that got worldwide attention
during the 2018 FIFA World Cup,
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when tourists were warned not to
display same-sex affection in public.
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The outlines of this new Russia lure leaders
from many parts, including the West.
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And they defy the US model
of liberal democracy.
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Decades after the collapse of the Soviet Union,
Moscow remains an indisputable center of
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power and influence for the whole world.
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