Nifty Prediction | Share Market Crash Analysis | Stock Market Trading - YouTube

Channel: Pushkar Raj Thakur: Business Coach

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Well, there will be many questions in your mind at this time about why the market is
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falling and the bigger question is, how much will it fall?
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Today you will watch this video till the end.
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You will get an answer to your questions, FIIs have been selling regularly in the market
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and now till when they do, and since this repo rate has changed, you are seeing that
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the market is falling but the question is which is in your mind that how much will fall
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now when our portfolio goes to red, no one likes it.
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And Since the last few months if you want to earn money by investing then you will see
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that in most of the stocks we are not able to earn anything by investing in the stocks
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and even stocks are falling, then what should be done whether to sell and exit in loss or
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else there is an opportunity to buy more.
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Now the question is, how much more it will fall then now I am going to give you my analysis
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and you must have some other analysis then you can tell in the comments and see the first
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thing that the support of Nifty, and at this time Nifty has the strong support of approximately
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15700 and I don't think that it will take too much time to reach this level and to break
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this level and if Nifty breaks its support then there could be a significant drop from here
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I don't know how much will come.
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But yes after breaking its support you know that simple Technical Analysis if support
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gets broken then the price gets fall and price can fall, the situation is telling this, and
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in the last one month, Nifty fell 9.5%, at this time I am making this video, and I want
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to tell you that if you follow simply technical The analysis then by looking at the price
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action we can understand that nifty can reach this level very quickly and after breaking
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the support level you can see the bigger fall in the market, then there is a possibility
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that you will see Nifty at 15400 and 15200 and 15000 also and is this a thing to panic,
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we will talk about it now?
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The money is not made from investing for some time now, but how can the money be made, we
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will talk about this too.
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So this was my first analysis.
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Secondly, now we will talk, about what we have seen in the long run, not immediately
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but definitely that the Indian Index follows the India US Index.
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If I only see the NASDAQ then NASDAQ is falling very much and If you talk about just one month,
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then it has fallen more than 15 per cent.
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There has been a decline of 28.35% in the last six months in the NASDAQ already and
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you saw the stocks like Amazon have fallen 30% in very less time and think which I am
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telling you and that is personal that at this time when the market is falling at this time,
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I have also made a good investment in US Stocks and especially I purchased the Stocks of Apple,
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and despite that, see I have also invested money and nobody knows that how much market
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will fall but I have a long term horizon and I have invested a substantial amount in the
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shares of Apple, but despite that, I am getting some loss in it but the loss is only on paper
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at this time, I will get a loss when I will sell it, here I have told you my one thing
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that I am also Investing even in this market, but is this right time because I will answer
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the questions which are in your mind then what is the important concern here.
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The concern is that in the US and decline came in the US Index, its effect will also
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visible on Indian Index and we have seen more decline in the US Index then we have seen
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downtrend clearly in the NASDAQ, but if you will see Nifty
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carefully then it is also at the Sideways moment but after support will break, the decline
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can come and that is my analysis number two and Third, if we see Vix, and if you want
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me to make video on Vix Separately because i can talk on this very long and i can only
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teach you very much that how can you trade only after see Vix, and if you will say in
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the comments then we will make a special dedicated video, but understand it for know that those
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who do not know Vix, that is Volatility Index and it gives NSE data after seeing the prices
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of options trading, then generally what happens that Vix is increasing at this time and increasing
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of Vix is not good for market and there is a negative correlation of Vix with Index and
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if Vix will increase then we are getting to know that probability increases that it falls,
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then where Vix is running at 24 plus, right know there is a probability that you may see
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this at 28 and above that and here I am talking about the Indian market, Indian Vix and If
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you will see Vix in the national market, then you see that it is 32 Plus then if it is 32
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Plus then market is falling and we see this correlation and i think that untill your Vix
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will come under 18, market will not stable till then, then this downtrend can be continued
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and this is my analysis number 3 that Vix have to come under 18 by which we get a stability
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then your question that when should we do investment then we should invest after Vix
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gets stable and you can invest a little regularly, then there is a very famous quote for stock
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Market that invest in Red to enjoy the Green then when market is falling then see that
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you are getting stocks at cheap price and at discount then you keep investing little
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by little continuously.
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But my advice is that whenever you invest or trade, never trade by taking loan and never
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invest money more than your limit, so i Invest only that money in stock market, which i don't
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fear to lose and which money i don't need immediately, because you are investing in
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equity and there is risk involved in equity so if you have a long term horizon of one
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year, two year or five year, then you can definitely invest in equity but if you want
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to use your money within one year then maybe you won't get good returns in the one year,
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