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These Fake Gurus Are Losing Money (And Won't Admit It) - YouTube
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since we're nearing the end of the year
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it's almost time to have an award show
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for worse sports bettors of 2021. here's
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the first nominee who is the heavy
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favorite to win the award for worst of
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the year what's going on guys it's your
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boy cody covers guys as you know i only
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take on a limited number of new clients
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i do this to give each one of my clients
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my undivided attention that means a lot
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to me that being said i have not signed
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a new client over two months
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he hasn't signed a new client in two
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months because people are starting to
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find out that this loser is possibly the
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worst sports betting fake guru on social
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media tonight game two of the world
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series i see a lot that i cannot resist
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guys
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a lot of the year winner that is going
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to hit with ease tonight if you're new
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to the channel this is cody covers who
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claims to be an expert at sports betting
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he strains more blood vessels in his
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neck making instagram stories than the
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money he makes gambling hit with ease
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tonight i'm hooking you guys up with
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this play for only 9.99
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it's normally a 3 000 lock people who
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invested in the squid game token right
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before the rug pool had a better roi
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than people buying cody's picks cody
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dropping his price 99 indicates he
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finally learned to read a business book
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where a key lesson was yell at the
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camera right before you lose your final
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customer later in his ig stories he
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flexes on his audience with his
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inability to type a coherent sentence
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but this finally answered a question i
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had he clearly outsources his edits to
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the same third world
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non-english-speaking country as he
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outsources his picks guys a client sent
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me a screenshot of his betting account
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this morning
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as you guys can see he's up over 230 000
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he's been taking every single bet that i
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dropped daily for exactly 60 days now
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the easiest way to have 231 000 in your
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account after using cody's picks is to
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start with two million dollars and uses
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picks for five days cody claims to have
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happy clients but you should ask him
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what his client retention is i can bet
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you it's the same percentage as his lock
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of the century pick that he started
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shouting on his instagram stories a few
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days later before we get to that let's
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look at one of his happy clients
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testimonials this guy cody covers
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destroyed my bankroll three separate
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times in like 10 weeks bought his
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lifetime pass for like 1k a few months
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back he blocked me after i complained to
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him a few times his nfl and mlb have
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destroyed me the good ol fake guru
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customer service trick promote getting
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rich customer pays for products then
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block them when they question if the
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smokey blew up their behind was fake
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cody had a lock of the year bet on the
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braves and astros totaling under 8.5
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runs the astros defeated the brave 7-2
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which totals nine runs cody helped his
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clients lose 500 units what's even more
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damaging is that cody helped his clients
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lose 300 units the day before this on
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october 26th a day where the braves won
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6-2 over the astros cody told his
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clients his whale play was the astros to
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win straight up for 300 units guys i
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need you all a part of it so i'm hooking
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it up only 99 cents yes i am a sick
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guys i appreciate you i'd be nothing
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without you guys but guys today i just
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dropped today's card uh nfl sunday i'm
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absolutely loving it i'm doing something
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i have not done in a very long time it's
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probably been two plus years a massive
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lock of the century nfl sunday is
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tonight i've got five bets cody
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desperately attempted to get his
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followers to buy his lock of the century
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pick basically indicating that he
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thought his picks that day were a
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guarantee to make a bunch of money
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unfortunately for cody i had a source
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who sent that day's picks to me his lock
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of the century minnesota vikings lost to
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the dallas cowboys so the only people
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making money from this were his clients
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bankruptcy attorneys if his clients
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happen to have any leftover cash they
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were down a total of 850 units if they
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placed bets on all the games he
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recommended if you were a client of
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cody's you basically walked into a
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casino put all of your money on black
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and the spinner landed on red goodbye
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thanks for playing there's an atm to
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your left if you'd like to withdraw cash
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and play again 4-0
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4-0
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4-0 yeah that's right i'm giving you
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guys four winners for only 44. once
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everyone finds out that every single one
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of cody's clients go broke he'll need a
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new career consider this instagram story
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as his job application for 15 people for
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44
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given how much he misses with his picks
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i don't know if you'd want him fist
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pumping around that area here's a
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screenshot of the sales page for a new
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client special which is the only page on
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his website that gets traffic because
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the page for returning clients receives
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a 404 error a hundred dollar bettors can
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expect to profit three thousand dollars
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plus on this package i've been given
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access to cody's picks for weeks and
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this dude is so in the negative that
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someone needs to bring a class action
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lawsuit against him if you lost money
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with cody's picks and bought because of
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advertising like this email me and i'll
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reach out to a lawyer to see if we can
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get your money back in that day's
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stories he shows an alleged client
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having 705 dollars of earnings in six
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days but just a quick look at the top of
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the screen shows that this person has
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over a thousand dollars in their account
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if they have a thousand dollars after
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six days then that means they probably
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started with around five thousand
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dollars yes i am a sick i know you
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probably won't believe this but cody has
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a brother that is even crazier than him
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this is legit the best video you'll see
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today
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what's good dave you little
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you're running from the roof like a
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little swing set toy i'm gonna punch
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like a little
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yo mozzie 100 grand a day you're my for
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ten dollars a day
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clean sleep baby
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i'm not kidding when i say that this is
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my favorite video to ever exist on the
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internet parlay travi is his name and
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he's cody covers his brother but the
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grant cardone 10x version of cody he
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calls out vegas dave mazzy vs he chugs a
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beer throws a lamp into the wall the
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only thing missing is a sales pitch to
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buy his picks
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15 000 will all we do is win if you're
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on the team you already know what i'm
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talking about
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whale fleet sweep full car clean sweep
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3-0 tonight everything hit every cash
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drop comment big day tomorrow let's run
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what has blown my mind since i started
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analyzing a lot of these loud and
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obnoxious sports bettors is how many
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people buy their picks in this
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screenshot he has 40 of the 50 spots
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full at a price of 125 that's a 5 000
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day if no one else buys i've been in
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contact with someone in this industry
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and he's confident that travis sells the
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50 daily spots routinely it's not
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possible it's likely that parlay travie
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is making six figures a month chugging
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beer and yelling at the camera
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all right just open 10 final spots
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75 off vip all access is 125 for every
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single play oh well plays all parlays
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all preamp plays first game 7 eastern
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click the link let's run and he sold out
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then he opened up 10 new spots which
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probably sold out he actually adheres to
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the limit so he makes around seventy
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five hundred dollars on days that he has
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picks which is nearly every day
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nothing like easy
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money baby
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lock a week winner everybody cash
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tonight three win over on prem plays
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three parlay winners that's five
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straight days with multiple parley
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winners as his name suggests parley
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travi likes to play parlay bets which is
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a natural segue into our next featured
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sports handicapper parlay p this guy
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riled up his fanbase to get me to make a
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video on him so i'm finally getting
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around to it parley p only bets parlays
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which i'm about to show you is
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essentially always a sucker's bet parlay
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p will post winning tickets like this
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one it looks amazing right you bet a
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thousand dollars and you walk away with
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over fifteen thousand dollars in one
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day's work just by placing a bet a
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reasonable person would think oh man i
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just need to hit once a week or so to
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make this super profitable this is the
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tease of parley bets and why the sports
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books make a killing from dumb sports
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bettors since nearly everyone doesn't
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understand sports betting including most
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of these social media gambling experts
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here's a quick breakdown for
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understanding sports betting and how to
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figure out if a guru on social media is
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a sharp or a square aka a guy who makes
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money long term or loses money long term
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there is a game tonight between the
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minnesota wild and the arizona coyotes
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the wilder minus 210 favorites which
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means you need to bet 210 dollars to
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profit a hundred dollars the wild aren't
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as good so they are plus 175 meaning
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betting 100 will actually profit 175 the
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reason for the difference is because one
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team is better than the other and so the
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odds create a more efficient market
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here's how you figure out the edge the
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sports books have over all of the
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squares betting in vegas who think they
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are winning long term go to an odds
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calculator plug in minus 210 into the
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moneyline input box the implied
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probability of that bet winning is 67.7
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percent write that down the other team
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was a plus 175 moneyline so plug that in
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the implied probability of that bet
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winning is thirty six point four percent
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if you add the sixty seven point seven
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percent in the thirty six point four
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percent you get one hundred and four
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point one percent that's odd why isn't
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it one hundred percent even well my
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friends that's the edge that the sports
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books have on this specific bet the 4.1
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percent is their edge meaning they will
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profit 4.1 percent over the long haul by
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taking this bet against you mr
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squaresports better this is how you
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analyze moneyline bets the other bet
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that you'll see in a second is a minus
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110 bet on either side well class if
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you've been paying attention what is the
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edge that the books have on a minus 110
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bet 52.4 on one side 52.4 on the other
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and you have a 4.8 percent edge for the
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sports books meaning they will profit
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nearly 5 percent long term on every bet
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they take
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now do you understand why they love
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taking your bets even though you think
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you're winning long term back to parlay
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p's winning ticket i'll break down why
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even this winning ticket shows us that
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he's a losing better long term quick
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disclaimer understand that these guys
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win a lot if you're winning fifty
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percent of your plays you're winning
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five times out of ten that's a lot of
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winning tickets to post on social media
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the point i'm making is to show you why
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they're actually losing money long term
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and by investing in their packages you
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are losing money as well the first three
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games on this ticket are minus 110 odds
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which i showed you just a second ago
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give a 4.8 percent edge to the books
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over time so for each of those bets
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he'll lose 4.8 percent the other two
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games are heavy favorites which has an
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equivalent edge to the books i'm not a
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master at this so i'm going to give you
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rough estimates of why sports betting is
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so profitable for the books these aren't
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exact numbers but they're close enough
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so you can have a baseline understanding
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the first three picks are against the
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spread so they're essentially coin flips
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they each have a 50 chance of hitting or
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one over two in fraction form the other
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two are roughly 66 probability of
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winning but closer to 63 if you remove
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the sportsbook edge what you do with
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parlays is you multiply all of the
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fractions together the result is about a
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5.12 chance of hitting that means that
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by playing these odds this ticket will
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statistically hit 5.12 times out of
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every hundred let's make the numbers
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simple and say it's five percent five
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percent means that this ticket will win
[654]
one out of every twenty okay so that
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means if you bet one thousand dollars
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like this ticket and you win one out of
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every twenty then the payout will need
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to be twenty thousand dollars for you to
[663]
break even long term i hope this is
[665]
making sense one thousand dollar bet one
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win every twenty if the payout is twenty
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thousand dollars then you will break
[671]
even over the long term now let's see
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what his payout was his payout was 15
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272.75
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which means he will lose around 4 800
[679]
over the long term if he makes this bet
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20 times statistically speaking he'll be
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bankrupt every 80 bets but on social
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media it's big wins we're making so much
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money and one day i turned a thousand
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dollars into over fifteen thousand
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dollars but the sports books are over in
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the corner thinking to themselves man i
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really hope these guys never read books
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on probability and statistics this is
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how the casinos are billion dollar
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companies they have an edge on every bet
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you place i sent parlip an email asking
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for spreadsheets so i could evaluate his
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picks to see if he ever had an edge we
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don't want you to purchase based on pass
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because it doesn't equal the future is
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their response to not posting
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spreadsheets even though the entire
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social media is all the winning tickets
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we don't post past results as a
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contradictory statement the reason why
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these guys don't keep spreadsheets is
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it's the one way to track wins and
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losses not only can i see that you're
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losing better but i can also evaluate
[729]
your ability to beat the closing line or
[732]
see if you have an edge on the books
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we've been doing this long enough to
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know that when people ask for stats they
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try to make a decision based off of data
[738]
but those numbers can be deceiving and
[740]
manipulative because of the past wins we
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don't like that type of business but
[744]
they do like the type of business of
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having no idea on how to evaluate being
[748]
a sharp or a square if i asked him to
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explain to me why his powerlite bets are
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losers long term he wouldn't be able to
[754]
explain why i'm not picking on parlay p
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it's just that all of these guys i go
[757]
after don't know anything about sports
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betting and they make money because
[761]
people buy the flash he includes his
[763]
packages at the bottom somehow thinking
[764]
i would be interested in buying after
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his train wreck of an email 500 a month
[768]
for the package that will make you go
[770]
bankrupt slower than the thousand dollar
[772]
a month package that expedites your
[773]
bankruptcy enough picking on parley p
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now let's shift to someone who also
[777]
likes to yell at the camera mazzy vs
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early exclusive plays are looking better
[781]
than 10 supermodels if you miss the
[784]
early exclusive card don't worry i have
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a late exclusive card also if you missed
[789]
the early exclusive card the latest card
[792]
is just fire lucky for you all a
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customer of his sent the picks to me to
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show what kind of supermodels were
[798]
talking about surely his picks were
[799]
winning right on the day where his picks
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were absolute blowout winners the chiefs
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lost straight up the dolphins
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miraculously covered the 2.5 in one and
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the under 42.51 but the washington pick
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lost the texans got hammered and lost by
[812]
26 and the eagles got beat by 11. for
[814]
those counting at home he was two and
[816]
four on the day because the chief's game
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was a moneyline play and they were minus
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two ten favorites it was basically like
[821]
losing two games in one he was
[823]
essentially two and five on the day an
[825]
absolute blowout loser and i'm giving
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you the top player that that's a
[828]
guaranteed winner big day today fully
[832]
loaded late card exclusive players
[833]
available now regular exclusive card is
[836]
favored now if you miss the early game
[838]
do not miss out on the later games
[840]
there's a lot of action day
[842]
fully loaded exclusive car if you watch
[844]
mazzy's instagram stories every day
[847]
he'll tell you that he's blowing up the
[848]
sports books if you believe him ask him
[850]
for proof of his track record ask him
[852]
how he tracks his ev if he doesn't track
[854]
his picks or have the ability to explain
[856]
to you how he has an edge then he is a
[858]
verified losing sports bettor over the
[860]
long term the guy who sent me mazzy's
[862]
picks watched my video a couple months
[863]
ago and then bought mazzy's picks right
[865]
after he lost a boatload of money
[867]
clearly didn't learn from my video he
[869]
bought mazzy's picks again two weeks ago
[871]
and lost money and that's when i
[873]
realized how strong gambling addiction
[875]
is mozzie's picks are fifteen hundred
[877]
dollars for a day mathematically
[879]
speaking it's basically impossible to
[881]
make money with his picks long term
[882]
unless he gets his picks from someone
[884]
who is a sharp and your bankroll is in
[886]
the millions every other scenario you
[888]
will be losing money long term the guy
[890]
who helps me with gambling videos behind
[892]
the scenes is a winning sports bettor so
[893]
i know it's possible and he's shown me
[895]
how to think like a sharp it's all in
[897]
betting against the lines not embedding
[899]
teams the most important thing i'll
[901]
leave you with if you're looking to pay
[902]
for picks you need to understand that
[904]
sports bettors that win long term have
[906]
an edge by analyzing lines and numbers
[908]
not by yelling into the camera you need
[910]
to start asking these guys what kind of
[911]
edge they have and how they calculate ev
[914]
ask mozzie what ev means if they don't
[916]
know it's a hundred percent indisputable
[918]
fact that they're a losing sports bettor
[920]
and only make money on selling picks
[922]
this video was just scratching the
[923]
surface for sports betting i've had
[925]
multiple people reach out sharing their
[926]
spreadsheets with me showing that they
[928]
are profitable long term they're
[930]
analytical quiet and have spreadsheet
[932]
data quite the opposite from cody and
[934]
mozzie i wonder why thanks for watching
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