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Crypto and NFTs Are Environmental Disasters...But Do They Have to Be? - YouTube
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The ways that we live our lives online
are changing very fast. When I first
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got on the internet, no one was
predicting a world anything like the one
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we are living in today.
The tools that have made that possible,
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for good and bad, are really cool
and advanced and, for the most part,
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we do not understand them that
well.
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Like, most of us don’t really know
what “http” means let alone what impact
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inviting billions of people into
many-to-many communication has had and
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will continue to have on society.
But that does not mean we’re stopping the
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changing…or even slowing it
down.
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Here’s what I’ll say to start…blockchains are
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controversial. Controversial
because of how they are used,
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what they enable, and the impacts that
they are having and may have on our world.
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And when something is the subject of
controversy, the expectation is that
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everyone should have an opinion.
But in this case, we at SciShow, are
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not offering an opinion. Instead, we
want to interface with a reality….these
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tools exist, they are not going to
stop existing, and they are often
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extremely energy inefficient,
but maybe they don’t need to be.
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First though, let’s define some
of what we’re talking about.
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This technology is fairly new, as far
as the whole history of digital tech is
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concerned, but is quickly
becoming more and more popular.
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Cryptocurrencies are a kind of digital
currency that’s transferred and
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tracked and authenticated by a
distributed network of users rather than
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something like a centralized bank.
The idea of a cryptocurrency is that
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each unit of the currency is interchangeable…
just like a dollar is a dollar,
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a bitcoin is a bitcoin. They’re all
identical and worth the exact same
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amount. There’s a word for
this… they are “fungible.”
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NFTs are… non-fungible tokens. They
are also just information stored
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on a ledger maintained by a distributed
network of users, but each NFT is
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different and not interchangeable.
This means you can have them contain
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information, like saying, “This token
represents ownership of this piece of
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digital art… or this token represents ownership of
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1% of the rights to a
song.”
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How people use them is legally complex,
but basically they’re just notes
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on a ledger that can be marked as
being owned by a person…or wallet.
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Now the real secret sauce to
both cryptocurrencies and NFTs is
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blockchain: a digital ledger that keeps
track of all the transactions made,
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and thus who owns what.
Because, like, we’re all aware
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that you can easily make digital copies of
something. Like if you have a movie file,
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and you send it to me, we both
have the movie file. But if you
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have a dollar, and you send it to me, we
don’t both have the dollar. We need a
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system to keep track of where the
dollar is and prevent people
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from making infinite copies of them.
This is what makes blockchains a valuable tool.
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The blockchain is a public ledger
that is stored on many many computers
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all over the world. Everyone who
mines bitcoin has the exact same copy
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of the ledger…which is the blockchain.
And the blockchain has a record of
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every single transaction of that
currency that has ever happened. As more
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transactions happen, the blockchain
keeps getting longer. Currently, the
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bitcoin blockchain is around 400
gigabytes. So, big, but maybe not as big
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as you’d think.
So bitcoins are not files…they are
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notes on a file that lots of people have
access to and keep track of.
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Because everyone has a copy of the
blockchain, no one can change it in
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one place without getting caught
by all of the other people.
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But also, you need to be able to
add new transactions to the ledger,
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because part of the whole point
is moving these representations of
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ownership around. And you don’t just
want anybody to be able to do it.
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If you want to go deeper on how all
of this works, our video from 2016,
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when the ledger was just 100 gigs,
is still very good and still totally
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applicable. But, basically, to add a
transaction to the ledger, you have to
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solve super complex math problems.
And, if you do that…you solve the
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problem, and you add a new block of
transactions to the chain. As a reward
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you get a bit of the underlying
currency of the blockchain.
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This is what people are talking
about when they say they are mining
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crypto. They are maintaining the
ledger, and adding new blocks of
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transactions, and verifying those
transactions. Each block is verified by
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several users, so it’s almost impossible
to forge a transaction….but you
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don’t get to do any of that unless
you’re the one solving the super
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complex math problems. You can’t
make money mining if you don’t solve
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the problems first. So people are in
an arms race to solve these problems
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very quickly.
But the math problem
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only exists to make it inherently expensive to add
and verify transactions… so expensive that it is
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impossible for a bunch of
hackers to work together
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to add false transactions.
Since some cryptos are now
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worth a fair chunk of change, there’s more
incentive for people to join the mining race.
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Enter the environmental impact. These
math problems are inherently and
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intentionally tough to solve. People
are competing with each other to
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solve them, and so there is
tremendous economic incentive to buy
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extremely expensive, state of the
art computer hardware, and use a
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tremendous amount of energy to
solve useless math problems so that
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you can be the one who adds
the blocks and makes the money.
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And depending on how that power
is generated, that means a lot of
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carbon emissions.
On top of all that, mining and all this
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hardcore computing generate a lot of
electronic waste.
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So the question becomes whether it’s
possible to reduce energy demand,
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waste, and overall footprint for cryptocurrencies.
When it comes to crypto, miners need to have
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a lot of computing power
because, the more power
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you have, the quicker you can make guesses
and the more likely you are to be the one to
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solve the problem and get the
cash.
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NFTs run into the same problem
because they are also often stored on
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ledgers that use this same system
and are bought and sold with
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cryptocurrencies.
Now, numbers on this aren’t
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super easy to get, but they are mind
boggling. Research done by the
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University of Cambridge in the UK
estimated that as of November 2018
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the top six cryptocurrencies
consumed between 52 and 111
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terawatt-hours of energy every year.
To put that in perspective, that’s
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about the same amount of energy as the
entire country of Belgium used in 2016.
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And it gets worse as the
currencies get more popular.
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When cryptocurrencies were first
coming onto the scene, there weren’t
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that many new transactions being
added to the ledger and the currencies
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weren’t worth all that much, so
the stakes weren’t super high.
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That meant the computer power and
energy needed weren’t massive.
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Most miners could probably do
it from their home computers.
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But as this tech has become more
popular, miners have needed whole
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warehouses of super-powerful
computers to outcompete other mining
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rivals.
And that energy consumption keeps on growing.
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Cambridge researchers estimate that
at the time of the filming of this
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episode, Bitcoin will use more than
120 terawatt-hours this year, more
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than a 40 percent increase from last year.
In 2020, The Central Bank of the
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Netherlands estimated that a single
bitcoin transaction produced around 402
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kilograms of carbon emissions.
That equates to about two-thirds of the
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monthly emissions of an average
Dutch household.
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This is, for clarity, not comparable
to the inefficiency of any other system
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of moving money around.
Then there’s the electronic
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waste from all these processes.
Because miners compete against
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each other, they always need to
upgrade so the physical hardware,
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like computer chips, becomes
outdated really quickly.
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We’re talking obsolete in one or two
years, then it’s out with the old, in
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with the new and more powerful.
That means a single Bitcoin
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transaction makes around 355 grams of
electronic waste, or a little more than two
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iPhones or three-quarters of an
iPad.
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So… that all seems pretty bad.
Between the massive power demand
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leading to carbon emissions and the
arms race of electronic waste, it
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seems that there is a problem here
that desperately needs to be solved.
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Luckily, just because blockchains
have been this way, that doesn’t mean
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they have to be this way.
You can change the way
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blocks are added to the blockchain.
The method we described earlier,
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where lots of supercomputers around
the world compete to be one of the ones
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to solve the super hard problem,
is called proof of work.
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The literal fact that proof of work
requires so much energy is part of what
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makes it secure. You have to prove
that you did a lot of work in order to
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add a transaction block to the chain.
If you didn’t have to do all that work,
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anyone could add blocks to the chain
more easily, and lots of people
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would do it, and hackers could mess things up.
But there is another way to make adding
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and verifying a block hard to do.
Instead of proving that you did work,
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you prove that you have some of the
currency. You put some skin in
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the game… some collateral. You prove
that you have a stake in the project. So
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instead of proof of work, this is
proof of stake.
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Instead of a free for all competition,
proof of stake means miners have to
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buy into a lottery for the chance to
be one of the users to create or check
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a block of transactions
Each miner puts up their own
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amount of cryptocurrency and then only a
few of the miners, instead of thousands,
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are selected, at random, to solve
the math problem.
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And instead of competing against one
another, the block is only validated
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once all the selected miners
have solved the math problem.
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This means a miner can’t gain
an advantage by adding another
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supercomputer to their setup.
The arms race will de-escalate.
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Proof of stake should cut energy use,
the carbon emissions that go with
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it, and cut down on e-waste since
those computers shouldn’t have to work
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as hard. Hardware that would be
entirely obsolete for proof of work, can
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be used much longer for proof of stake.
And this isn’t hypothetical.
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Solana and Cardano are fairly large
cryptocurrencies that use proof of stake.
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They each have total market
value of around $30 billion.
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And one of the most popular
cryptocurrencies, Ethereum, has proposed
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to make the switch to this method in
the second quarter of 2022. But this
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is a complex technical challenge and
also a complex cultural challenge,
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as many Etherium miners have invested
a lot of money in systems that
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will no longer be as valuable. But it
looks like it’s definitely going to
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happen. Though, of course this
is software, and everyone knows
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launches can be delayed.
Experts are estimating that this shift
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could cut Ethereum’s energy use by
99.95%.
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Bitcoin, on the other hand, will likely
never change from proof of work and
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so, as long as it exists and thrives,
will remain a massive consumer of
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electricity.
Miners could attempt to use
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more renewable energy, or only use energy
that is produced during times when
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there is excess energy. But,
ultimately, that will be up to
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individual miners and will be very difficult to
track. Regardless, nearly all of the energy used
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for Bitcoin could be being
used for something else.
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So while some cryptocurrencies are
already solving this problem, Bitcoin
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will likely chug along consuming
huge amounts of power every time
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someone makes a transaction.
Like we said up top, we know this
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stuff is controversial and people have
strong perspectives. Please
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be respectful in the comments. No one
knows where the future is taking us,
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but we can all be fairly certain that
cryptocurrencies aren’t going
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anywhere anytime soon, and also we can
agree that putting less carbon dioxide into
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the atmosphere would be
good.
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I hope watching this was a good use of
your time, I certainly learned a lot
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