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Maximum Modus Operandi - YouTube
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what's up everyone we're going to聽
talk about max payne modus operandi聽聽
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sure you've heard of it also known as max payne聽
let's go and take a look at what this is all about
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so before we begin let's just go back to the聽
basics and op an option contract is the right聽聽
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but not the obligation to buy or sell something聽
at a stated date at a stated price options are聽聽
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leveraged instruments meaning they permit traders聽
to enhance the advantage by risking littler sums聽聽
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than would some way or another be required if聽
exchanging the underlying asset itself the roots聽聽
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of option pain dates back to 2004 one might say聽
this is as yet an exceptionally youthful theory聽聽
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to the extent we know that there are聽
no scholarly or educational researching聽聽
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as far as when it comes to this novel field聽
of study there's not there hasn't been many聽聽
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uh scholarly articles or educational research聽
done on this topic and this article we're reading聽聽
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now is from 2020. now the theory of options pain聽
roots as inference that 90 of the options lapse聽聽
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useless henceforth options riders or vendors will聽
in general bring in return all the more regularly聽聽
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more reliably than the option purchasers so聽
basically they're saying the option writers聽聽
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or the ones selling calls are going to make more聽
money than the than the people buying the calls聽聽
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that is 100 correct we see it week after week in聽
the options chain you see a high high amount of聽聽
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volume and a low amount of open interest that's聽
retail if this consensus an announcement is valid聽聽
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at this juncture we can make a lot of consistent聽
reasonings at any point just anyone can bring聽聽
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in return that is either option vendors or option聽
purchasers and yet not both so one or the other is聽聽
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going to make the money the option vendors or the聽
option purchasers but it seems that both cannot
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okay powerpoint's jacking up on me
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so if option vendors will in general bring in聽
most extreme returns at that point it likewise聽聽
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implies that the cost of the option on expiry day聽
ought to be headed to a point where it would make聽聽
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least measure of misfortune to option writers now聽
if point two is valid at that point it further聽聽
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suggests that choice costs can be controlled at聽
any rate upon the arrival of expiry if point three聽聽
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is valid at that point it further suggests that聽
there exists a group of traders who can control聽聽
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the options costs at any rate upon the arrival of聽
expiry if such a group exists then it must be the聽聽
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option vendors since it is accepted that they聽
are the ones who bring in most extreme return聽聽
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and reliably bring in return trading options聽
presently contemplating all of the above focuses聽聽
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there must exist a solitary value point where聽
on the off chance that the market lapses at that聽聽
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point it would make least measure of agony the聽
option riders or cause the most extreme measure聽聽
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of torment to alternative purchasers on the off聽
chance that one can distinguish this value point聽聽
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at that point almost certainly聽
this is where markets will expire聽聽
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the option pain theory does not does only this聽
recognizes the cost at which the market is聽聽
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probably going to terminate considering least聽
measure of pain is caused to option writers
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here is a step-by-step guide to calculate the max聽
paying value at this stage people may find this a聽聽
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bit complex but the following steps will get聽
clear once we take up a actual model now this聽聽
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is basically it there's five steps step one is聽
list the different strike prices on the trade聽聽
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and note the open interest of the both of and聽
apologize for the language this was written in聽聽
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uh pretty poor english so apologize about that聽
this basically saying list the different strike聽聽
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prizes on the trade and note the open interest of聽
both the calls and puts for these strike prices聽聽
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step two would be for every one of the strike聽
price that you have noted presume that the market聽聽
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expires at that strike price then calculate聽
how much return is lost by option writers聽聽
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both call option and put option presuming the聽
market expires according to the presumption聽聽
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on second and step two fourth step is add up the聽
return lost by call and put option writers lastly聽聽
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identify the strike price at which the return lost聽
by option riders is minimum if the strike price at聽聽
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which money lost by the option rider is minimum聽
it is the point which maximum pain is caused to聽聽
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option buyers with this idea the market price聽
is most likely to expire so in on their end of聽聽
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the field it's minimum pain on our end it's聽
maximum pain so max payne applies to us not
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the ones riding the contracts now if the聽
strike price at which money lost by the聽聽
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option rider is minimum that's the point at聽
which maximum pain caused to option buyers聽聽
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and it works vice versa with this idea that聽
the market price is most likely to expire
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now let's talk about the put call ratio the聽
pcr or the put call ratio is the proportion聽聽
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that encourages distinguishing extraordinary聽
bullishness or bearishness in the market聽聽
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foot call ratio is generally viewed as a聽
contrarian marker which means on the off聽聽
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chance that the put call ratio shows extraordinary聽
bearishness at that point we anticipate that the聽聽
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market should switch thus the vendors turn聽
bullish moreover on the off chance that put聽聽
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call ratio demonstrates extraordinary bullishness聽
at that point vendors anticipate that the business聽聽
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sector should opposite and decrease to compute聽
put call ratio one should simply isolate the聽聽
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all-out open interest of puts by the all-out聽
open interest of the calls so this is an example聽聽
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we have a table here we have strike prices right聽
here we have the call open interest here we have聽聽
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the put open interest here to calculate the聽
open interest ratio put call ratio simply um聽聽
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it's basically just the proportion between the put聽
option interest divided by call option interest聽聽
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and that gives us the pcr ratio so in this example聽
here this was measured on the 15th of may 2020聽聽
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the option interest of puts in the option interest聽
of calls have been computed and we have 370 uh聽聽
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that's not even he didn't write those numbers聽
right he missed the comma supposed to be 37
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million 16 925 divided by 442 870聽
4200 to give us a 0.863385 pcr
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now the general consensus of pcr is over one at聽
that point it brings that there are more puts聽聽
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than than calls obviously this has uh this has聽
suggests this suggests that the business sectors聽聽
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have turned very bearish and thusly kind of聽
oversold and the other way around obviously聽聽
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the non-exclusive way to deal with the put call聽
proportion is the quality somewhere in the range聽聽
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of the 0.7 and 1.0 mark that can be ascribed to聽
normal trading activity and can be disregarded聽聽
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so you want to look for for numbers for put call聽
ratio below this and above this to give you an聽聽
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indication of non-normal trading strategies now聽
what might truly bode well is to truly plot the聽聽
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day-by-day put call proportion for say one to two聽
years and distinguish these outrageous qualities聽聽
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it is likewise that the put call proportion聽
is utilized as a contrarian marker聽聽
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the clarification is somewhat precarious聽
yet the general feeling is this聽聽
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on the off chance that the merchants are bearish聽
or bullish at that point the majority of them have聽聽
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just taken their individual position henceforth聽
a high or low put call proportion and accordingly聽聽
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there are very few different players who can come聽
in and drive the situations in the ideal heading
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conclusion the put call parity is an聽
option price relationship that if violated聽聽
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generates a straightforward arbitrage trade that聽
does not require rebalancing or information about聽聽
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volatility it's seen that maximum pain and put聽
call proportion technique is more than adequate聽聽
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for retail merchants to exchange options聽
expertly a considerable lot of the best聽聽
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alternative trading techniques are straightforward聽
rich and simple to execute by considering the less聽聽
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unpredictability and count and wanted rate of聽
return in options it is demonstrated with the聽聽
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above models that maximum pain and put聽
call proportion are more than adequate
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join us at the discord let's go we have聽
some opportunity to take advantage of
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