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Hammer candlestick pattern - YouTube
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Do you want to learn about the Hammer candlestick
pattern?
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How to correctly recognize such a pattern
on the chart?
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How to use it in your trading?
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How it really performs on the charts?
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Then simply watch this video!
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In this video, we describe the candlestick
pattern called
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Hammer.
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Japanese name: kanazuchi
Forecast: bullish reversal
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Trend prior to the pattern: downtrend
Opposite pattern: Hanging Man
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Construction
white or black candle with a small body
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no upper shadow or the shadow cannot be longer
than the body
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lower shadow between two to three times longer
than the body
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if the gap is created at the opening or at
the closing, it makes the signal stronger
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appears as a long line
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The Hammer is a frequent one-line pattern
that appears as a long line in a downtrend.
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It is characterized by a candle having a long
lower shadow, two to three times longer than
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the body.
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This requirement implies that a candle can
be one of the following: White Spinning Top
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or Black Spinning Top.
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Most of the sources allow the presence of
an upper shadow.
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CandleScanner software accepts upper shadow
up to the length of the candle鈥檚 body.
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Also, the whole candle body has to be positioned
under the trendline in order to consider the
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pattern as a valid one.
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Although the pattern belongs to the bullish
reversal patterns group, it very often happens
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that is merely a brief pause on the falling
market, after which the price does move even
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lower.
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The Hammer works best in a long downtrend,
and its appearance after the declines lasting
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only two or three candles usually does not
matter.
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The strong meaning has its occurrence within
a support zone.
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As every one-line pattern, the Hammer requires
a confirmation within the next two or three
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candles, during which the closing prices should
be higher than the closing price of the pattern's
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body.
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The Hammer can also occur, for example, as
a second line of the Bullish Harami pattern
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and as a first and second line of the Tweezers
Bottom pattern.
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It was already mentioned that the Hammer's
lower shadow height cannot exceed more than
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three times the body's height.
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If a lower shadow exceeds that height, we
deal with the Takuri Line pattern.
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In other words, the Takuri Line is like the
Hammer but with a very long lower shadow.
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The occurrence of the Long Black Candle creates
a resistance zone that is strengthened by
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a high trading volume.
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The bears are stopped, however, by an Opening
White Marubozu.
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The next day, the market opens slightly lower
than the previous closing price.
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The market falls even deeper, but eventually,
the bulls are able to retake control, and
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a Hammer pattern is formed.
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The disadvantage to its occurrence is a relatively
low trading volume.
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Now, the Hammer, a bullish reversal pattern,
has to be confirmed by breaking out of the
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resistance zone formed by the Long Black Candle
two days earlier.
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The next two days bring the Hammer confirmation,
strengthened by the occurrence of the Turn
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Up pattern.
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Straight after the market tries to turn down,
the support zone formed by the Hammer and
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the first line of the Turn Up pattern is strong
enough.
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The price eventually moves up.
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The first half of the chart presents a clear
downtrend.
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The marked Black Candle occurrence is preceded
by a number of black candles formed at a high
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trading volume, creating a significant resistance
zone.
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The first instance of Bullish Harami pattern
contains a Hammer pattern in its second line.
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On the next day, the market almost cancelled
the bullish signal, but finally, another occurrence
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of Bullish Harami appeared on the chart.
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It turns out that the resistance area formed
by the Black Candle occurrence is strong,
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and the market is forming a narrow price band
sideways between $28.50 and $29.40 (3.16%).
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The chart shows the flexibility in searching
the patterns.
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In the first occurrence of Bullish Harami,
the first line is a short line, but there
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should be a long line as it was in the second
occurrence of Bullish Harami.
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In this case, the short line does not differ
much from the long line.
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Therefore, the pattern occurrence was perceived
as appropriate, which was confirmed in the
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next few days.
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Please note, however, that it is up to the
trader whether he or she wants to treat this
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pattern as a valid Bullish Harami or not.
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When using computer algorithms for scanning
the candlestick patterns, we have to define
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some strict rules stating the effect that
a short or long line has on search results.
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CandleScanner implemented a more sophisticated
approach: although we see on the chart that
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we have a short line, we can accept a small
deviation and still allow the found pattern
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to be considered as a correct one.
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This deviation is a setting in the algorithm
of CandleScanner application.
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Let's see some basic statistics of the Hammer
pattern that are produced by the CandleScanner
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software.
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For that purpose, we use the stocks from the
S&P500.
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Statistics is calculated for the 20 years
period, starting from the beginning of 1995
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to the end of 2014, using daily data.
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Within this period, there are over 2.2 millions
of candlesticks that are analyzed.
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Please remember that the results that I will
show now shouldn't be treated as a trading
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recommendation.
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The topic is far more complex to cover it
in just a few minutes.
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That's why what I present here may look somewhat
different for different markets, candlestick
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timespan, or search criterias used to find
patterns on the charts.
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I deeply encourage you to do your homework,
which is now a much easier thing while using
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software like CandleScanner.
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Before going into the detailed Hammer's statistics
let's quickly see some statistics on a higher
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level for all patterns.
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As I said, we are analyzing 20 years' period
for all stocks from the S&P500 index.
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Among over 2.2 million candle lines, CandleScanner
found almost half million patterns, not only
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Hammers, but all patterns in general.
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We can see that there were slightly more bearish
patterns during that period than the bullish
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counterparts.
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We can see also that the 2-line patterns are
the most frequently occurring patterns.
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The Hammer pattern belongs to the 1-line pattern
group.
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The 4 and 5-line patterns are extremely rare.
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Further, we can see the efficiency settings,
splitted into 5 and 10 candles period during
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which it was measured.
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I'll return to that topic a bit later when
discussing the Hammer's efficiency.
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For now let's only see that less than 20%
of all patterns' occurrences are marked as
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FALSE.
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These occurrences would produce losses when
we would open positions following that pattern.
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This means that in more than 80% of occurrences
we had chances to break even or to generate
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a profit.
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Let's see now how frequently the Hammer pattern
occurs on the S&P500 daily charts.
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It turns out that during 20 years, among 500
stocks, there were over 10 thousand Hammer
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occurrences, which is about 2% of all other
patterns occurrences.
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In practice, it means that the Hammer is neither
a frequent nor a rare pattern.
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Here we need to add however one more important
remark.
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As you maybe still remember from this video,
there is a pattern which is very similar to
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the Hammer, called the Takuri Line.
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Its only difference is a longer lower shadow,
which has to exceed more than 3 times the
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body's height.
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Depending on the particular market that is
traded, differentiating between these two
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patterns, that is the Hammer and the Takuri
Line, may or may not make sense.
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Looking at the very broad statistics of the
S&P500 it turns out that these patterns could
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be interpreted the same way.
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More differences may be seen on the level
of particular stocks, however.
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If we would treat the Hammer and the Takuri
Line as a single pattern, then we would end
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up here with almost twice more occurrences,
making the pattern among the more frequently
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occurring patterns.
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The efficiency of a pattern is measured by
checking the maximum price (for bullish patterns)
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or minimum price (for bearish patterns) within
test period.
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CandleScanner is using two periods: 5 or 10
candles following the pattern.
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Every period is producing a separate result.
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Stop Loss order is used to have more realistic
results.
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If Stop Loss level is reached, the algorithm
stops and the so far the most extreme price
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is used to calculate efficiency level.
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The user can set Stop Loss level, and ranges
for FALSE, LOW, MEDIUM and HIGH efficiency.
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These settings may have a great impact on
the efficiency readings.
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Let's move now to the Hammer's efficiency
statistics.
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In general over 20% of all Hammer occurrences
were classified as FALSE.
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On the other hand over 40% Hammers ended in
moving the price up by over 3.5% within 10
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candles period following the pattern.
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On average in more than 70% cases, if we would
open a long position, following just the pattern
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occurrence, we would either break even or
generate some profit.
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These figures are only to visualize that there
is a market edge behind the Hammer pattern.
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It is up to the trader to come up with a detailed
trading strategy which would use this information.
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The strategy should contain detailed entry
and exit conditions plus a position sizing,
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that is how much capital we should place on
every single trade.
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On this screen here you can see how the Hammer
pattern performed on particular symbols.
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Even more detailed information is accessible
under the specific symbol's statistics.
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