How Investing Works: Dividends - YouTube

Channel: CNBC

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People often talk about profit sharing as a way
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for workers and employees to gain a stake in the
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success of American businesses.
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In a world with weakened unions, how will workers
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get a cut of the profits?
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Employees overwhelmingly like the idea of profit
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sharing as a regular part of their pay.
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But there's been a way for the public to share in
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corporate success for more than a century.
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A dividend – literally dividing the profits.
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Here's how it works.
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You find a company that offers dividends.
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Then you buy their stock and wait.
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Usually each quarter the company pays out a small
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part of its profit to shareholders something like
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10 cents a share.
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It doesn't sound like much but over time that
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money can really add up.
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As long as you own the stock, you'll get
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paid. Just like in Monopoly, people bought
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utility stocks big regulated companies for small
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but regular dividend payments. But
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dividends have been around a lot longer than the
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game.
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Starting in 1790 or so when you formed
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our modern government. The companies paid out
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most of their earnings as dividends and investors
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expected to be paid a pretty healthy dividend.
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I think one of the reasons for that is you know
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we didn't have an S.E.C.
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then. And so how did investors get information on
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how well their investments were doing?
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One of the basic sources of information was the
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quarterly dividend.
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Iconic companies like General Mills, Procter &
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Gamble and Coca-Cola have been paying dividends
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every year uninterrupted since the 1890s.
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The public got interested in stocks on a much
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bigger way in the 1920s. Then was
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disappointed of course during the Depression.
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But the financial reforms I think restoring a lot
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of confidence in the integrity of the capital
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markets.
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Early in the 20th century big quintessential
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American companies were paying significant
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dividends.
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AT&T, you know it was going to go widows and
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orphans stock.
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They had a good dividend payout and so you know
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hundreds of thousands of people owned stock in
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AT&T and it was considered a blue chip stock with
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a very steady growing dividend payout. If
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you bought AT&T stock just after Christmas in
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2003, around twenty five dollars a share, the
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dividend payments that you get every quarter
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would have added up to about twenty five dollars
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by 2019.
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The stock essentially pays for itself in just
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over 15 years.
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Whether the price goes up or down and you still
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own the stock.
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Over the years dividends have made up a good
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portion of overall returns in the stock market.
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Actually not just a good portion.
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Since 1926 about 40 percent of total returns have
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come from dividends.
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As recently as the 1970s and 80s you could get 4
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percent return every year on dividends.
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But things have slowed down in recent decades.
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Why is that?
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Especially after the FCC came in, we had so
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much information on companies that was required
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by the government that we didn't necessarily
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demand that they pay out a lot of
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dividends. But taxation had something to do with
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it too. We taxed dividends and capital gains.
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But see when you pay out a dividend you know the
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corporation already paid in corporate income tax
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on the money it pays out as a dividend and the
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shareholder has to pay a tax on that too.
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So that's a kind of double taxation which may
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have discouraged paying out a lot of money as
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dividends.
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More recently new and exciting companies haven't
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offered dividends.
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The argument they need to reinvest those profits
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into growing the business.
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That's how it was with the tech companies in the
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dot.com bubble.
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They were growing very fast and if they paid out
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dividends then they would probably have to go to
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the markets and issue more stock or borrow more
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money. And there are some negative features of
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doing that.
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And investors accepted the idea that a rapidly
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growing company should probably keep 100 percent
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of its earnings and reinvested in the business
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and everybody was better off that way.
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Some of the largest companies in the world like
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Amazon Facebook and Netflix don't issue
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dividends as of 2019.
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Part of the decline has come in an era where
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stock buybacks have boomed in popularity.
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Chevron Starbucks Qualcomm and Apple just a few of
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the names of companies announcing big share
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buyback programs along with their earnings
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reports
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It's also looking like it'll be a record breaking
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year for share buybacks
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That's when companies buy their own stock to help
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boost the price.
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This chart shows how yields from buybacks have
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outpaced dividends pretty much since the mid
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2000s. In absolute value, buybacks have been
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larger than dividends every year since 2010
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according to Howard Silverblatt at S&P Global.
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It's all part of keeping more of the profits
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inside the company.
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And that rationale for declining dividends might
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make you mad.
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I think corporate managers prefer to hang on to
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the money that they earn instead of paying it out
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as dividends because a good part of their income
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may come from their stock options.
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By keeping the money in the company, the stock
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price tends to go up faster but some of the
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financial research shows that maybe the investors
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would be better off if dividends were paid to
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them.
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Traditionally it's big mature companies with
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stable businesses that participate in this type
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of profit sharing.
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Once a company pays out a dividend it can be hard
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to go back without the market punishing it by
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pushing the stock down.
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Of course dividend yield fluctuates with the
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price of a stock. As
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long as the company keeps paying out the
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dividend, if the price of the stock goes down the
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yield on the dividend goes up.
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That can be a sign of a bargain as long as the
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company is not in big trouble.
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But sometimes a dividend yield that's too high is
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a red flag.
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As of the beginning of 2019 some of the major
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companies with the best yielding dividends
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included CenturyLink, Ford, L Brands and yes
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AT&T. Still after all of these years.
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So will we see a resurgence of dividends in
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upcoming years.
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It's unclear.
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2018 saw the ninth straight year of more dollars
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being paid out as dividends.
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According to S&P Global Silverblat but yields are
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still historically low.
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I think there's some financial research that shows
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that companies that pay out higher dividend rates
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actually have higher returns than ones that pay
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out lower rates.
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I think there's still an argument to be made that
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they might be socially good if companies paid out
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more of their earnings because when the companies
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a large share of their earnings and reinvest it,
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sometimes they make mistakes.
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Regardless if your investment goals align with a
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little less risk and stable earnings, dividend
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stocks may be for you. Especially
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in times of volatility, you can still make some
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income, even if the stock falls.