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Understanding Portfolio Beta - Risk Management - YouTube
Channel: Option Alpha
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Hey everyone.
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This is Kirk, here again at optionalpha.com.
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And in this video, we’re going to be talking
about portfolio Beta.
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What is Beta?
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Beta is simply market risk.
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That’s really what Beta is going to measure.
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It’s a measure of a stock’s volatility
in relation to the overall market.
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If we are measuring a stock’s volatility
in relation to the market, we have to know
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what the market is.
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By definition, the market has a Beta of one
and generally, we accept that the S&P 500
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index is the best and most efficient portfolio
and that's the index that we’re going to
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relate as a Beta of one.
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Individual stocks are ranked according to
how much they deviate from how the S&P 500
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trades.
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How do we use it?
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As you can imagine, the concept of risk is
pretty hard to pin down and factor in a stock
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analysis and valuation.
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What’s risky to one person may not risk
be risky to another person.
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We use Beta as a central focal point and the
statistical rating to judge the level of risk
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a stock has compared to the overall market.
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We use the market as our benchmark or backdrop
and then we overlay that stock’s Beta to
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see how it relates to the most efficient portfolio
out there.
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Remember that the S&P 500 index is the efficient
frontier.
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It’s the most efficient combination of 500
securities that you can have.
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Therefore, Beta offers a clear quantifiable
measure which makes it easy for us to work
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as stock traders and portfolio managers.
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On just a side note, I’ll be covering this
on other videos in the coming weeks and months.
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Beta is definitely a key component for the
capital asset pricing model which is called
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the CAPM and it’s used to calculate the
cost of equity.
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Generally, the higher the Beta, the more expensive
an equity becomes because there's more risk
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and that’s just plain commonsense I guess.
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The higher the risk, the more expensive it's
going to be for the cost of equity.
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When we talk about high or positive Beta,
basically what we mean is that a Beta of one
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shows that a stock is as volatile as the market
and will more or less tend to follow the market.
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A Beta of one means it’s actually equal
to the market, so it’ll follow the market
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pretty well.
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For the S&P 500 index, a Beta of one stock
would be the SPY which is its correlating
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ETF.
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It’s going to follow the market pretty much
in lockstep.
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If the market climbs by 5%, then the price
of the stock is also going to climb by 5%.
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This is a Beta of one.
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Betas greater than one make a stock riskier
than the market and more volatile.
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For example: If a stock has a Beta of two,
then the stock is going to climb 10% when
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the market climbs 5% possibly.
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That shows you how the differences in Beta
work.
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When we talk about low or negative Beta, we’re
talking about stocks with negative Beta that
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are theoretically bound to move in the opposite
direction.
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A Beta of negative one versus one means that
if the market climbs by 5%, the price of the
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underlying stock is going to fall by 5%.
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Betas less than one make the stock less riskier
than the market and thus less volatile.
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Actually, that should be more risky than the
market and thus more volatile.
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If we look at a histogram here of monthly
returns on the S&P 500, you can see that a
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Beta of one is going to be in this red and
you can see that it’s generally a nice even
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bell curve distribution.
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Most of the returns on a monthly basis are
between 1% to 3%, very little monthly returns
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in the +10 or –11 area.
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A lower Beta stock may have returns that are
more distributed.
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It's lower Beta, it’s less volatile, so
it’s not going to have these big high spikes.
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These averages around 1, 2 may have a general
average in the 4, 5 type of range.
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This is how we use Beta as a benchmark to
understand how a volatile stock is compared
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to the overall market.
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When you hear a lot of people talking about
Beta, they’re usually talking about how
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they can adjust Beta, how they can compensate
for Beta in their portfolio.
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Generally, people like to create strategies
and add stocks that make up a Beta rough to
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or equally around one, so that they mimic
the S&P 500 without having to go out and buy
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all 500 securities.
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I hope you guys have really enjoyed this video
as always and thanks for watching.
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