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This Lithium Penny Stock Could Explode ($LTMCF + Lithium Chile) - YouTube
Channel: Tyler McMurray
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With the coming boom in electric vehicles,
you might be tempted to invest in EV companies
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or even electric battery manufacturers.
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But I think the safer and more profitable
strategy will be investing in lithium, an
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element that is essential to the lithium-ion
batteries used in EVs and other energy storage
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solutions.
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The easiest way to do this is with lithium
mining and manufacturing companies, which
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there are quite a few of across the globe.
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But in this video, weâre focusing on the
one that I believe to have the greatest potential
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of them all, and thatâs Lithium Chile, ticker
LTMCF.
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To get us started, weâre going to take a
look at the overall lithium market and landscape.
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This will help us better understand why Lithium
Chile is perhaps the best pure-play lithium
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investment on the market.
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Then weâll dive into Lithium Chile and what
sets them apart from other businesses in the
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lithium space.
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Make sure you stick around for this, because
they are incredibly well positioned for the
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future of lithium.
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Next, to round out this analysis, weâre
going to discuss some potential valuations
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for the stock.
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I donât usually talk penny stocks, but with
all things considered, I think Lithium Chile
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could produce some life-changing returns.
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And as with all investments, there is some
risk involved here, so last weâll be taking
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a look at a few things youâll want to consider
before investing in this stock.
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Letâs get started.
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The transition to electric vehicles and renewable
energy storage is accelerating faster than
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previously predicted, with analysts upgrading
EV expectations from 20%, to 40%, to even
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70% annual growth.
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Lithium is one of the key materials used in
these technologies, so as they become more
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widespread, the need for lithium increases.
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And because lithium is forecasted to be so
integral to our energy needs in the coming
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decades, itâs even being called âthe new
oilâ.
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According to the United States Geological
Survey, over 70% of the worldâs lithium
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supply is being used for batteries, up from
about 50% in 2019.
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This shows that Lithium Ion batteries are
single-handedly driving demand for lithium.
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With the continued penetration of electric
vehicles, lithium demand is expected to more
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than double by 2024.
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And itâs at this point in 2024 that the
demand for lithium is expected to exceed the
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available supply.
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By the close of the decade, demand will be
far greater than the available supply and
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put pressure on lithium prices, which have
already started soaring back as of December
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2020.
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So as an investor, lithium looks like an attractive
commodity to be involved in.
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But not all lithium is created equally, because
there are many different geographies and materials
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itâs found in around the world.
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So weâre going to take a look at the three
main sources of lithium, which are clay deposits,
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hard rock deposits and brines, which are underground
saltwater deposits.
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Clay makes up the smallest portion of the
worldâs lithium reserves, at an estimated
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3% of our total lithium supply.
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Most of these deposits are found in North
America, specifically in Mexico and Nevada.
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Because of this, a lot of domestic companies
are aggressively chasing after ownership of
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these clay deposits.
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Tesla has announced plans to produce lithium
in Nevada, and Lithium Americas, ticker LAC,
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has gotten some publicity lately for securing
Thacker Pass, which is believed to be the
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biggest clay deposit in the U.S.
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The first problem with clay deposits is that
many believe they are the least economical
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source of lithium.
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According to Jade Cove research, this could
change in the next decade, but for now, clay
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is not believed to be economically feasible
because it contains lower grade lithium than
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other sources.
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Additionally, itâs not yet believed that
extracting lithium from clay will have any
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environmental benefits compared to other extraction
methods.
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Since environmental concerns are part of this
EV shift, the carbon footprint of lithium
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extraction is something weâll have to keep
in mind.
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So by focusing on clay extraction, businesses
are probably paying more to go after a smaller
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supply of lithium without any clear benefits
other than its location within the United
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States.
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Hard rock mineral deposits are the next biggest
source of lithium, with an estimated 30% of
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our worldâs total lithium supply.
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This lithium is found within other minerals,
the most common being a mineral called spodumene.
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This and similar lithium sources are the most
evenly distributed around the world, with
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some of the biggest operations taking place
in Australia, China and Canada.
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In addition to their widespread availability,
rock deposits generally have higher concentrations
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and quality of lithium than other sources.
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Unfortunately, this advantage is offset by
the costly mining process required.
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Mineral ores are mined using traditional methods,
simply digging into the earthâs surface.
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Then, the lithium has to be extracted from
the mineral ore, which is both an expensive
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and heavily carbon-intensive process.
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In fact, hard rock mining is expected to produce
four times more carbon emissions than the
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next extraction method weâre discussing,
brines.
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This has some serious implications for the
future of lithium hard rock mining, despite
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it being an efficient, accessible and high
quality source for lithium.
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The final source of lithium is in brines,
which again are underground saltwater deposits.
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These are estimated to make up over 60% of
the worldâs lithium supply.
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The vast majority of these brines are located
in whatâs known as the lithium triangle,
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an area that covers Bolivia, Argentina and
Chile.
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The lithium triangle is estimated to be home
to 50 to 60% of the worldâs lithium supply,
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making it the most concentrated area of lithium
reserves on the globe.
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This ownership is largely dominated by Chile,
which is estimated to have about 50% of the
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worldâs lithium supply within its borders.
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To extract this lithium, the saltwater is
pumped to the surface and distributed into
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shallow pools.
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In the dry climates, this water is evaporated
over time until only dry minerals are left.
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Then, the lithium can be easily extracted.
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Lithium extraction from brines is cheaper
and easier than previous methods, but it also
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takes the longest at about 12 to 18 months
for the evaporation process to complete.
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While itâs also less environmentally taxing
in terms of carbon emissions, there are some
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concerns that this process drains the natural
water supply of the surrounding regions.
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So to quickly review, Clay is not currently
an ideal source, but it has some US based
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businesses excited.
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Hard rock deposits have higher costs and carbon
impacts, but may offer higher quality lithium.
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Brines are the largest and most efficient
source of lithium, especially in Chile, but
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theyâre not without their own issues.
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With so many different ways to mine lithium,
thereâs a huge variety of lithium producers
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to invest in.
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However, I think Lithium Chile makes a case
for being perhaps the most attractive investment
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opportunity.
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This is thanks to their geographic positioning
and properties, their partnership with summit
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nanotech and of course their current valuation.
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Lithium Chile has a portfolio of 13 properties
throughout the country of Chile, which as
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we know holds more economical lithium reserves
than anywhere else in the world.
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They own 100% of this land, meaning they owe
no rights or royalties to anyone else.
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With this ownership, they are the largest
land owner of lithium reserves in Chile, except
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for the Chilean government and SQM, a chilean
lithium producer that happens to be one of
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the largest in the world.
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However, itâs worth noting that SQM currently
mines lithium in only one location - the Salar
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de Atacama.
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This salar alone produced 36% of the worldâs
lithium in 2017, which shows how powerful
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a single one of these resources can be.
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So with the properties that Lithium Chile
possesses, itâs possible that theyâre
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sitting on reserves that could also supply
massive amounts of lithium.
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And what theyâve done is perform sampling
and analysis on their properties to determine
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which ones are the most prospective candidates
for large amounts of lithium.
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With these results, theyâve identified the
most valuable properties based on their size,
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their ease of access or how deep the lithium
brine is underground, and the concentration
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of the lithium samples in each location.
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Iâm not going to cover each of their properties
here, but pretty much all of their properties
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look incredibly promising.
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Iâll link their investor presentation below
as well as an interview with CEO Steve Cochrane
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if you want to learn more about the distinct
advantages of each one.
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Weâll talk more about their properties when
we discuss valuation, but the big idea here
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is that Lithium Chile has massive ownership
in the lithium capital of the world.
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Just a single property could enable them to
become a leading producer of lithium, and
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they have 13 properties to further explore
and develop as lithium demand grows.
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This gives them a huge advantage over other
producers who have significantly less land
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ownership and are in less advantageous geographic
locations.
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In addition to having the land ownership,
being located in Chile gives them the absolute
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cheapest cost of lithium production.
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Because theyâre able to extract from brines
instead of clay or hard rock, most of the
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work is done by the Chilean climate.
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With this advantage, they estimate their cost
of lithium production per ton to be approximately
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one half the cost of lithium produced anywhere
else in the world.
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Additionally, theyâve found resources like
gold, silver, copper and even cesium among
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these properties, which will add some extra
value and diversity to their portfolio.
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In fact, Lithium Chile has already stated
that theyâll allow other companies to mine
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these non-lithium resources, which will allow
them to cash flow off of these properties
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without having to put in any work themselves.
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The next huge advantage that Lithium Chile
has is their partnership with Summit Nanotech.
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Summit Nanotech is pioneering a new method
of lithium extraction known as Direct Lithium
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Extraction.
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Iâm paraphrasing the CEO Amanda Hall, but
she says theyâve designed this technology
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to mimic the human kidney.
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The idea here is theyâll use a sponge-like
device to instantly soak up the lithium directly
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from the brine, eliminating the need for the
lengthy evaporation process.
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This will substantially reduce the extraction
time and costs to improve the efficiency of
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lithium extraction.
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Of course, one of the most significant benefits
here is that it also completely eliminates
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any environmental concerns associated with
brine lithium extraction, since theyâre
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not evaporating the natural water supply or
expending other resources.
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So this technology can dramatically cut costs
and improve production for Lithium Chile.
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Their partnership with Summit Nanotech is
non-exclusive, so itâs possible that other
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lithium miners will also benefit from this
at some point, but Lithium Chile is confirmed
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to be the very first lithium producer to test
this new technology.
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Theyâre expected to get the first unit deployed
in July of this year, which could really put
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Lithium Chile at the forefront of the future
lithium mining.
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This will give them a big advantage in local
communities that are concerned with the environmental
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impact of lithium mining, since theyâll
be one of the first to offer this greener
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solution.
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So letâs talk valuation, because this is
one of the biggest reasons I see Lithium Chile
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as a huge opportunity in lithium.
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My thesis here isnât that Lithium Chile
will become the worldâs largest supplier
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of lithium, although it could be possible
in several years.
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Instead, I see the opportunity in Lithium
Chile being that theyâre so criminally undervalued
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based on the assets they currently own, with
a current market cap of approximately $60
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million at 50Âą a share.
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Considering their portfolio of properties
and the lithium reserves they hold, I believe
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they should have a higher valuation that reflects
their properties and future supply capabilities.
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So letâs start with Salar de Coipasa, which
the CEO has stated is one of the most exciting
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prospects that Lithium Chile has.
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About one third of this lithium source is
located in Chile, while the other two-thirds
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is located in Bolivia.
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Lithium Chile owns about 70% of the property
on the Chilean side.
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In 2019, Chinese electrical equipment manufacturer
Xinjiang TBEA Group invested $1.3 billion
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for approximately 50% ownership of the Bolivian
side of this salar.
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At that price, the entire salar would be worth
approximately $4 billion.
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Lithium Chileâs ownership equates to just
under 25% of the entire salar, which suggests
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that their ownership of this property alone
could be worth as much as $1 billion.
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In total, the company has ownership of 166,150
hectares of property.
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They acquired this property at $3 per hectare.
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In 2018, amidst the previous lithium boom,
hectares were trading hands around at $1,000
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each.
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This puts the potential value of Lithium Chileâs
portfolio over $150 million, which is still
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more than double their current market cap.
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Plus, given that their exploration has already
discovered probable prospects of lithium and
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other metals, itâs likely that their portfolio
is worth even more.
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At this point, Iâd also like to draw a comparison
to Lake Resources, a similarly positioned
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lithium junior mining company.
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Theyâve gotten a lot of attention lately
for their technology partnerâs direct lithium
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extraction method, which is similar to that
of Summit Nanotech, and has been famously
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backed by Bill Gates.
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Their portfolio is also located in the lithium
triangle, mostly in Argentina, and includes
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roughly 50% more hectares than Lithium Chile.
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However, 90,000 of these hectares are not
brines, they are hard rock deposits, so they
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actually have ownership of less brine than
Lithium Chile.
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Their flagship project makes up more than
half of their brine ownership, where they
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have found lithium concentration around 200
mg/L. For reference, Lithium Chileâs best
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properties range up to 1,400 mg/L, making
their lithium sources considerably more concentrated
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and potentially more valuable.
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Just like Lithium Chile, Lake Resources plans
to get their direct lithium extraction technology
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deployed on-site at some point in 2021 before
moving into production in 2023 or 2024.
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So by direct comparison, these companies are
at very similar stages with comparable technological
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advantages.
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But considering hard rock lithium resources
arenât a priority in this geography, you
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could argue that Lithium Chile still owns
a superior portfolio of properties.
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Yet, Lake Resources has been called undervalued
with a market cap of approximately $300 million,
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which is 4 to 5 times greater than Lithium
Chileâs 60 million.
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Purely based on the potential value of Lithium
Chileâs portfolio, and the valuation that
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similar lithium miners are getting, Iâm
confident that this stock is easily worth
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one to two dollars based on nothing more than
the properties they own.
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Plus, as more people discover the significance
of what Lithium Chile has, itâs possible
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that investors will pay a premium over other
lithium miner stocks for their more attractive
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portfolio of properties.
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Leading lithium miners are valued in the billions,
so if Lithium Chile can evolve into an operation
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like those, then we could really see some
life-changing returns from this stock.
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Of course thatâs a more speculative idea,
and something that will require a closer look
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once they begin mapping out their production
plans.
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Letâs wrap up by discussing some risks,
because as a junior lithium miner, there are
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some very important ones to consider.
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First, like weâve said, theyâre still
exploring and they havenât yet started producing
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lithium.
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Given their location in Chile and the exploration
and sampling theyâve already done, I think
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itâs a pretty safe bet that theyâll have
some economically viable lithium sources on
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their hands.
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So whereas other junior lithium miners might
be exploring at the risk of finding nothing,
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I do feel confident that Lithium Chile has
located and acquired substantial lithium reserves.
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The risk at this stage will be any setbacks
in their ability to get started with lithium
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production.
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Again, their prospects with locating the lithium
and their partnership with summit nanotech
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look good, so I think any setbacks here will
come from the Chilean government.
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Lithium Chile needs to go through the formalities
of court approval before they can break ground
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and begin mining.
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Since the pandemic created restrictions throughout
2020, this was something that limited what
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they could accomplish last year.
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Similarly, the disapproval of indiginous communities
could disrupt their plans.
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Weâve seen protests surrounding most new
lithium projects because people are against
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the environmental impact of lithium mining.
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Again, the partnership with summit nanotech
makes me feel pretty comfy here, since that
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should silence most arguments against lithium
extraction.
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The CEO has also repeatedly stated that Chile
is pro-mining, which is somewhat reassuring.
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But, Chilean citizens recently voted to rewrite
the countryâs constitution, which gives
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the indiginous people a chance to play a role
in the future of lithium mining in their country.
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As lithium has become a more relevant subject
in recent years, itâs possible that the
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outcome of this constitution will impact the
operations of Lithium Chile.
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However, if things in Chile remain friendly
towards lithium, I think itâs only a matter
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of time before Lithium Chile can capitalize
on their properties and scale to be one of
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the worldâs leading suppliers of lithium.
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Overall, Lithium Chile offers an exciting
opportunity to invest in one of the most attractive
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portfolios of lithium reserve properties.
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There are some short-term risks involved,
but with their portfolio and strategic partnerships,
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I feel confident that theyâll make it through
to production.
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Itâs arguably undervalued at current prices,
which I think suggests an immediate upside
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of 100 to 200%.
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And while there is some potential for short-term
growth, I think it may not be until 2024 or
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2025 where we really see this stock take off.
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This is when many forecasts predict lithium
demand to exceed supply, by which time I hope
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weâll see Lithium Chile actively producing
lithium.
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So for me, this is an exciting hold for any
time frame, and as a penny stock, the potential
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for explosive returns are there for anyone
with the risk tolerance.
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Before I wrap up, I gotta shout out Whoopensocker
over on Twitter, I dug up a lot of great information
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looking through their tweets.
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So if you wanna check out that account or
anything else I talked about
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in this video, Iâll link everything in
the description.
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Thanks for checking out this video, if you
liked it please consider clicking like and
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subscribing to the channel.
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Iâll see you next time.
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