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Why the next Recession doesn't matter | Stock Market Analysis | S&P 500 Outlook - YouTube
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hi friends I've done multiple videos on
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why the stock market will keep going up
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and the last video being this one up
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here well the market has still been
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going up I know it sounds a little bit
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crazy but I have given you the facts I
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given you sources of the sources but
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somehow I didn't address everybody's
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concern
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whenever I debunk fears the next day new
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fears will keep coming in I'm getting a
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little bit tired so the goal of this
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video is this I'll permanently set your
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mind straight knock some sense into you
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and perhaps this will let you focus
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better on more important issues I know
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you've enjoyed this as an investor it's
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a hundred percent that you will keep
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yourself up to date with the news when
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you check the news you will see like
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this this and this I don't care who you
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are you could be either a fund manager
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managing billions of dollars or an
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investor who just got started investing
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this kind of news is going to stir up
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some kind of emotion I've seen some
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comments coming in saying they were
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selling their shares seeing this news
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this triggered me to make so many videos
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and you kid and shift your focus
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it's funny when the videos with more
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views are the ones with me nagging at
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you maybe I should be doing videos
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shouting at you just do it I could maybe
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get another million views before I move
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on go appreciate a little time it helps
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a lot to tell YouTube to reach to more
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people thank you I think comments or
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comments thanking me saving your
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portfolio my videos that prevented you
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from selling you add more stock on the
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way down etc too many
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I'm really happy seeing these comments
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each video I do takes plenty of work and
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it makes all this work more fun so the
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point is one day one day the stock
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market is going to do the same [聽__聽] over
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again and I foresee myself panicking and
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I'm not panicking for me I'm panicking
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for your portfolio so the goal in this
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video is to open your mind to the truth
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set your mind straight and to be an
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awesome investor
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despite my videos there are still some
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of you clicking the sell button and
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taking the loss and holding cash as the
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stock goes up you ask me is it too late
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this is for more fear of missing out I'm
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not too sure about you I've been in your
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shoe and it sucks taking the loss and
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seeing your money fly away
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I know how it feels that's why I take a
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lot of effort to do such videos so Troy
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history every year every month every
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week there are news some good some bad
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do you agree with me on this so how do
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you remain calm but how do I remain calm
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how do I make the right decisions so why
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despite high unemployment riders trade
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war politics
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I seem to mostly make the right call and
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usually let's go to the graph I'll be
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laying major events on a line graph of
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the war stock market returns to help us
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reflect on like some of the difficult
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financial situations so this is like QG
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of 2018 and there are quite some
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negative news over here like Greece
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bailouts are going to end and you
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realize that entire quarter there's
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always funny news if you look back at
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2018 through the entire past chapman's
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from q3 2018 there are so many negative
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news and yet the markets do move like
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sideways and a little bit at the end of
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it you see stuff like Congress passes
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memo spending bills ever shut down so
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this is 2018 there are so many crap that
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happened throughout 2018 so let's look
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at 2019
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this is q3 of 2019 and if you look here
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there are so many bad news along the way
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global oil prices goes into a bear
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market Dow Jones has 800 points in the
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biggest job of the year and he goes on
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you know so many news and if you look
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back at the entire 2019 this is the
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timeline for it so many bad news so
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break Z so many bad news breaks it
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indexes closed was yearly losses is 208
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despite all these news and yet the
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market still went up from this point to
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this point it's two-way now if you look
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at the longer term it's still going up
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let's take this to even longer term
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until 1970 all these years has passed by
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us there are so many things that happen
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including SMP down 43% remember we just
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went through like 20% or 30% which is
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not much SMP was down 43% before there
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were black Monday's these are like the
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worst [聽__聽] that happened remember the
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y2k scare
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lived through that the dot-com bubble
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911 we've been through all this crap and
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still the stock market is up here
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despite all these headlines happening so
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if you ask me regarding the recent news
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is nothing new it's just humans being
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humans okay and a graph it reflects on
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some of the difficult financial events
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that have occurred over the past few
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decades like was financial crisis high
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inflation significant bear markets like
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the one I show you 43% among others so
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when all those events occurred the
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market often reacted negatively but is
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in the short-term sometimes
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significantly like the recent coffee as
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one would expect
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yeah market eventually recovered and
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proceeded to a new high so one of the
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stock market often react adversely to
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events in the short term investors soon
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recognize the fundamental value of the
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companies that make up the stock market
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after all if you strip away everything
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the stock market is just a bunch of
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companies if you don't panic or try to
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time the market as I've been telling you
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all this while you'll be well positioned
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to weather storms over the long term
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these headlines do not explain the
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market returns instead they serve as a
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reminder that investors should view
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daily events from a long-term
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perspective and avoid making investing
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decisions solely based on the news the
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second point on the cover in this video
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is how do you look at money like all the
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money in the world add up together so I
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took a long time to do this chat up
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these are the sources I put it up here
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you can go and check so these are all
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the money in the world
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added together so the blue column here
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refers to the real estate so how much
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u.s. did are they in the wall so every
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value of every building it becomes
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roughly 43% stocks is in red here so
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stocks make up 14% go make something
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about 1.7 percent cash mix up 1% so what
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is cash cash is basically the money in
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your wallet not that dollar not so you
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add up everything everybody's cash in a
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wall in your wallet yeah 1%
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don't about cryptocurrency
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cryptocurrency was such a small line
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that I didn't even put in a chart
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the next thing is that that refers to
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like government debt your personal
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they're all together all the debt over
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the war we can
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go to IIF that monitor to check this out
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so basically this is all the depth in
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the wall so looking at this pie chart
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here I want you to remember something
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money doesn't disappear money is
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transferred so for example doing the
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recent stock market crisis this portion
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got lesser but where did the money go to
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the money would have probably went into
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one so this under the depth section
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where bond is usually classified as the
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safe haven I will show you in a chart so
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this is the long-term Treasury bond so
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from here what happened the bonds shot
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up albeit a lot so the stocks shrink the
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that increase maybe some window the rest
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it may be more people pile up on cash
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but basically a lot of money here was
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transferred out I think that central
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result punting more money into bonds so
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if you do let me redraw the entire chart
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you will look something like that why
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does the central bank does this because
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central banks cannot directly buy stocks
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or real estate this is called market
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manipulation so instead they draw plenty
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of money into the debt section the bonds
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and the money will slowly flow from debt
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to real estate that to stocks maybe that
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will be or cash this is how the central
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bank's trigger the money down the line
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of course over the long term the pop up
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I will start to go back to normal and it
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will look like that all over again
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the difference is inflation will occur
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roughly how does inflation occur if you
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take this and draw this make it bigger
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this is exactly how inflation looks like
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it is basically the same PI so this PI
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over here just the same amount in change
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just that houses got more expensive if
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you look at under the stock section here
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the amount of stocks didn't go up in
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fact just the stocks got more expensive
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so this is generally how inflation looks
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like it is the same PI but bigger this
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is why I've been telling you many many
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times the hyperinflation will happen in
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the stock market I know there we
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appreciate recovery and it's very
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important for all of us to invest in the
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stock market concluding this video no
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one could have ever predicted most of
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the events listed in a chest no they
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could have predicted the degree to which
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markets would be
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it is impossible again to consistently
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predict the markets if you watch the
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movie wolf of Wall Street yeah there are
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few people they predicted the movie or
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night crisis but where are they now
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they're probably having shitty
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performance one of them is a test last
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shot anyway most investors fall into the
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trap of worrying about bad things
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happening somewhere in the war or
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believing that there is something like
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detrimental on the horizon ultimately
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stock market is mirror on billions of
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people who are investing for different
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reasons and at different times so no one
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can consistently and accurately predict
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what events on how the markets will
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respond but as the chart reflects
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investors who don't panic or try to time
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the market will fare much better I did a
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video in fact two videos part 1 and part
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2 on timing the markets again appreciate
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those who helped me with the thumbs up
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you are awesome for helping me grow this
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channel invest see
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