(17 of 20) Ch.9 - IRR vs NPV approach when comparing 2 projects - YouTube

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Next example, A and B, two projects, are mutually exclusive.
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Which project should you accept and why?
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What do we know for each project?
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Project A would require spending $400 in year zero.
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In year one, it will return $325, in year two, it will return $200.
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We also know that the internal rate of return for project A is 22.17% which is also something
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you can calculate yourself.
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And at 10% discount rate, the net present value is $60.74.
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For project B, cash flow zero is negative 500, cash flow in year one is 325, cash flow
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in year two is 325 again, the IRR is 19.43% and the net present value at 10% discount
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rate is $64.05.
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So, the question again is which project should you accept and why?
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Because A and B are mutually exclusive, it means we can only pick one project if both
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look acceptable, right?
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Now, we are given the IRR and we are given the net present value for each.
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So, let's see which project would be picked based on the IRR criteria.
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So based on the IRR rule, you can see that the IRR is higher for project A than for project
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B, right, 22.17% is larger than 19.43%.
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And so, for this reason, you can say that we make a higher return on our money, right,
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for every dollar invested, right, for project A. And because in both cases you make a better
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return than what's typical, which is 10% per year, technically both are good projects but
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because they are mutually exclusive, we need to pick the one that's better and that's project
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A. You can also say that project A is the winner because it has a wider range of acceptable
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required returns.
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Now, let's look at which one we would choose based on the net present value rule.
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So, both net present values are above zero, making both projects acceptable except we
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need to pick one because they are mutually exclusive.
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So, which one is better?
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The one with a higher net present value is better, and that's project B, right?
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Project B will generate an overall profit of $64.5 and project A will only generate
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a profit of $60.74.
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So based on the IRR rule, project A is the winner.
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Based on the NPV rule, project B is the winner.
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So, what do we do?
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The two approaches sort of contradict each other, right, when we are applying them to
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comparing to competing projects.
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And in this case, you should always go with the net present value approach, with the recommendation
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that the net present value technique provides.
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And this was also the case on the earlier slides in this chapter when we would try using
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the net present value approach and one more approach, let's say, the profitability index
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approach or the payback period approach.
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And in all those cases, we would always conclude that when in doubt, when there is a conflict
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between the NPV approach and one other approach, then always go with the NPV approach.
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Why?
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Because that's the approach that tells you exactly how much cash you will get as a profit.
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So, to conclude this [inaudible] for example, project B with a higher NPV should be the
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winner.
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Now, let's look at the same exact problem but we are only changing the wording slightly.
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A and B are no longer mutually exclusive, they are now independent.
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What does independence mean?
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It means if both projects happen to be acceptable, we will accept them both.
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Again, let's make our decision based on the IRR criteria.
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The IRR rule says a project should be accepted if the required return, which is 10% in this
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problem, is less than the IRR and both IRRs are above 10%, which makes both projects A
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and B acceptable.
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And because they are independent, we are independently making our decision regarding each project.
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So, we are going to choose them both, both A and B. Now, the net present value rule,
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what does the rule say?
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A project should be accepted if the net present value is above zero dollars, right?
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Is it?
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Yes, $60.74 for project A, that's above zero dollars, and for project B, the NPV is $64.05,
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again, a positive number.
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So once again, if we make our decision on each project independently, we would be accepting
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both A and B. So here, we didn't have any sort of contradiction between the two approaches.
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They agree and it's going to be a clear decision to make.
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We're going to accept both projects in this situation.