Stock से सही time पे कैसे निकलें ? | Learn Supertrend Indicator #Learn2trade Session 15 - YouTube

Channel: Vivek Bajaj

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Welcome to the 15th Session of the Learn2Trade series
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I am Vivek Bajaj and I am teaching Annapurna trading
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Hello! Hello sir! How was your last class?
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It was good. But sir I have started trading in some stocks but I had a question
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How do I decide my exit point? I have only taught you how to enter
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You’re question is valid that you don’t want to become Abhimanyu
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Teach me how to exit. You’re trading now. What is the duration of your trade?
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Long swing, i.e., holding position for 15 to 20 days
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And you’re tracking the daily chart.
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One approach is to check the chart and see if any support has been broken to exit once
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But it’s difficult to exit at that point as you get biased while holding the position
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You need a guide and support who’s monitoring you and tells you to exit
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Otherwise your mind will not let you take the logical step
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A system needs to be built for you that can provide with an exit plan
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A lot of systems can be made.
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A lot of permutation and combination can be made on technical analysis and price based system
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Moving average in itself is a big system. If you notice I have added Moving Averages
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Of 21, 55, 100, and 200. Whenever 21 period moving average goes beyond the 55 period moving average, then sell
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It means that the stock is weak in the short term
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If you want to check smaller duration, then add another moving average
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Add 9-period moving average. Let’s add another moving average
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9 period moving average has been added
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Whenever 9 period moving average goes beyond 21 period moving average, sell
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In this case of Tata Motor
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9 period moving average in this stock.
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This is 9 period moving average and this is the 21 period moving average
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As soon as the 9 period moving average goes beyond 21 period moving average
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The stock has given a sell indication. If you’re position is open, then you can plan to exit as per this pattern
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If you want to trade small, then you can check the convergence of 9 and 21 periods
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If you want to trade big, then monitor when 21 period moving average goes beyond 55 period moving average
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Larger the trade, higher possibilities of getting a larger swing.
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If 21 is above 55, and you must have bought around 138
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If you’ve bought at 138, and if you have to sell at 250, then it’s okay
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What if I had bought the stock on 15th February
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If you bought on 15th February for a duration of 7 to 8 days
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You’ve bought at a price of 331, then you’ll exit at a price of 314
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You’ve incurred a loss since the moving average has gone down
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Do you like loss? No. Start liking loss now. You should like loss if you want to trade in the share market
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There’s an ad ‘Daag Achhce hai’ Why? You’ll use Surf only because there are stains
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You’ll only incur profit when you like loss. Don’t be afraid of the loss
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Learn how to book loss, don’t crib over the lost money
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If you don’t lose, you won’t gain. Don't worry about it
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You bought, the price changed its trend and now you need to exit. It’s simple
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There will be a new rally and we will enter again. It’s not like you’ve forgotten this stock
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You’ve bought Tata Motor for some reason. The theme might still be intact
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You buy again if the moving average goes up again. This is a very simple moving average
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The oldest priest. This is a way to trade in the stock market
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There’s a new indicator trending named Super Trend
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The indicators are evolving continuously and new theories are being formed
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Leading to the development of modern indicators. There’s an indicator known as super trend
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You can insert it as well. Indicator, super trend, search for super trend
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You’ll get all these in StockEdge as well. Super trend indicator
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It has its parameters. If you go to settings. ATR Period of 10 and ATR Multiplier 3
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I won;t go into details. ATR is an indicator itself. Average True Range
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It tries to evaluate the average range of each stock for past days considering the average of high and low
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10 denotes the average of past 10 periods. We can change it to 15
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It calculates the average of high, low, gives a range and ATR multiplier multiples the range 3 times to give the super trend formula
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That’s all you need to know, don’t go into a lot of details in it It’s a trending indicator which signals you that the tend has changed.
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You can see the buy and sell indicator in it. I’m in it till the super trend is positive
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I’ll exit when the super trend is negative. You can enter when it’s positive again
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This is daily chart. If you don’t want to wait and want the signal beforehand for you to exit
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Then change the daily chart to a 2-hourly chart. The 2-hourly chart will give you an early signal
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It has given you a signal very early. I have a question
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In this chart there are 2 big buy signals but there’s a small red signal to sell in between
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How do I sell there? The buy, sell alerts will increase if you reduce the duration
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The larger the duration, the alerts will be less
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The trades will be more with smaller duration, where some trades will be successful and some unsuccessful
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You need to accept it as a part of your model. If there’s signal to sell, then sell it
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Buy it again if the signal says buy. It’ll be difficult as you sell at this point and buy at this point
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You will have pay more to the market, but it’s okay. It’s a part of your model
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We can reduce it to 1 hour. Look
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The more you reduce the duration, the more buy, sell signals you’ll get, the more you’ll be confused
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The more engaged you’ll have to be in the market. So my advice for you is to track 2-hourly chart
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Since you’re talking about 15 to 20 days, then 2-hourly chart is sufficient for you
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You can distribute a day into 3 parts - morning, afternoon, evening session of 2 hours each
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2-hourly chart will be sufficient for you. I have a question. One strategy is
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When a smaller duration moving average goes beyond the longer duration moving average, it’s a cue to sell
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The second strategy is this one. Can we combine both and then decide. We can
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Most of the time it’s going to be the same decision as this has also been derived from moving average
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But you can combine both. My final objective to teach you trading is that
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I’m picking up each component and finally I’ll make a template for you
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And you need to use that template in your stocks. We’re 25% there already
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By the end of this module, when we complete 100%
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you’ll learn how to make your own template combining multiple templates and then you’ll mint money
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My suggestion to you is to track 2-hourly chart when you’re doing swing trading
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There are delays in daily chart and you might not be okay with it and you can give time to the market
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You don’t have to sit in front of the screen throughout but you’ll get an idea of the price roughly
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If I see a 2-hourly chart, does not mean I’m sitting in front of the screen throughout
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I’ve added alerts. I get the alert if there’s any activity and that’s when I get active in the market
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What if I want to do intraday? Intraday is a different ball game
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Remember I had shown you how you select stocks where there can be momentum using price and volume action
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You enter, book a small profit and then exit. It’s a different ball game
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This is a different ball game. As a youngster, millennial and someone who has other things to take care of
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I will never recommend intraday trading to you. Focus on swing trading, you’ll earn the same
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You’ll earn the same in intraday and swing, but there’s more pressure in intraday and
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You’ll have to sit in front of the market the entire day
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In swing, you can track the markets while doing other activities. Trade when you want to
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You can probably trade 10 times in a month, why do you have to trade 10 times in a day
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You’ve understood the super trend and moving average. Let’s take an example
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I can sell all your 10 stocks here. You’re tracking Reliance as well
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What is the 2-hourly chart of Reliance telling you? The supertrend is asking you to buy
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There’s a small moving average. Let’s remove all the other noisy moving averages
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Let’s just consider 9 and 21. The dark one is 21, and the lighter one is 9
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If we combine both, then the 9-period moving average is still beneath 21-moving average
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Although supertrend is telling me to buy. I’ll hold then
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When the 9 goes above 21 and the super trend is still buy, that’s when I’ll enter. I’ll wait till then
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Next is HDFC Bank. Its condition is also bad, so I won’t do anything in it
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Next is ICICI Bank. Its condition is also bad
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Next Maruti. Its condition is also bad, recently it’s been worse
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Next. Hindustan Unilever. Its situation is better. Although there’s a sell signal but the moving average is still above
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I’ll enter it whenever the super trend gives me the buy signal
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So you should note it down that there can be buying in Hindustan Unilever
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Dabur. Its situation has gone bad recently. Tata Steel. Idea
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Its situation is also bad. If you see that the trend for all stocks are negative in the market.
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Just Dial can probably take support.
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Indigo has just entered the negative zone. The super trend is negative
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but the moving average has not given the negative confirmation
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That’s what you have to do. Identify as per your setup on your stocks daily
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Whenever your super trend is showing positive and the moving average crossover is also showing positive
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And a tendency has been created of the price going above the demand zone
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That’s when you can take a position. When will you exit?
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Whenever there’s negative signal in super trend or moving average, that’s when you exit
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This is the model till now. This is not the final model. We have to create the full model
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But if you adapt the basic concept and start tracking it,
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You’ll be able to see entry and exit points and a broader trend which can be missed by price
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You’ll be able to identify it through these 2 tools, super trend and moving average
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You can also make it in StockEdge, if you don’t have TradingView
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If you go to any stock, suppose Tata Motors
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You can add both moving average and super trend in Edge chart. How?
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But this is not the 2-hourly chart, it’s a daily chart. I’ll add super trend here and I save it
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You have Moving Averages and the super trend. You can use Edge chart as you get the delivery data
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My suggestion would be to use TradingView to check intraday 2-hourly chart
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And track your stock movements in StockEdge at the end of the day
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This was a small video to introduce the basic concept of super trend
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And told Annapurna about Moving Average crossover and I think she will be very comfortable
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She’ll start making a template for herself and start following it
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Even you should make your own template, setup and a set of rules
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And start tracking the market according to yourself, but don’t start trading yet
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We’re still a bit far from the right trade. We’re almost there but we have still not reached
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In more classes where I will refine this template further and give you a final template
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Till then, keep learning, teaching other people and sharing my work
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Thank you friends. Bye