The Truth About the $QYLD ETF's 12% Yield (Monthly Dividend) - YouTube

Channel: Tyler McMurray

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I’ve been receiving a handful of comments asking about the QYLD ETF, so I figured it
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was about time I covered it and took a closer look at the strategy.
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QYLD is the Nasdaq 100 Covered Call ETF, and with a dividend yield of approximately 12%
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paid monthly, it attracts a ton of dividend and income investors.
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Given that it’s a yield-focused investment, I tend to read the ticker as “q-yield”,
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so that’s what I’ll be calling it throughout this video.
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But in this video, I want to investigate the QYLD strategy to understand how it can offer
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such a sizable yield every month.
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To do this, we’ll be diving into the QYLD portfolio and what its covered call strategy
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looks like.
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Covered calls are a common options trading strategy, and understanding that strategy
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is key to understanding this ETF.
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After breaking down the strategy, we’ll take a closer look at the potential returns
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of QYLD, and when it makes sense to have this fund in your portfolio.
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We’ll also take a look at the tax ramifications of this ETF, which is always important to
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consider when dividends are involved.
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Last, if you like the sound of the Nasdaq 100 covered call strategy, we’ll consider
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a few alternatives that give investors more control over their returns.
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So let’s take a look.
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As the name suggests, the QYLD ETF invests in the Nasdaq 100 index, then uses a covered
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call strategy to generate income off of those holdings, generating dividends for investors.
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We’ll break down both of these components.
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The Nasdaq 100 index is a market-cap weighted index of the 100 largest stocks that trade
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on the Nasdaq, excluding REITs or financial stocks.
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The Nasdaq 100 claims to be an innovation-focused growth index, which as I discussed in my video
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comparing it to the Ark ETFs, isn’t completely accurate.
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Based on the Nasdaq’s history as a technology-driven exchange, it has naturally attracted more
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tech companies than something like the New York Stock Exchange.
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This is why the Nasdaq 100 has outperformed the S&P500 in recent years, because it is
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heavier into these tech-focused companies that could be loosely considered innovators.
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I think they’re trying to use innovation as a buzzword to compete with Ark Invest funds,
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but that’s just my two cents on the subject.
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Anyway, there are a few ways to invest into the Nasdaq 100 index.
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Most common is QQQ, an Invesco ETF that tracks the Nasdaq 100 by investing into all 100 of
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its stocks as they are represented in the index.
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Similarly, QYLD purchases each individual stock as represented in the Nasdaq 100 index.
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So this means it will be nearly identical to the QQQ portfolio and the Nasdaq 100 index.
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So as we would expect, the QYLD portfolio matches the Nasdaq 100 index almost perfectly.
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And this means that as an investor into QYLD, you get “long” exposure to the Nasdaq
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100 index, just like you would by investing into QQQ or a similar ETF.
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However, as the Nasdaq 100 is largely made up of growth companies that pay little or
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no dividends, this may not be ideal for an income or dividend-focused investor.
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And that’s where the covered call strategy comes in.
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Covered calls are an options trading strategy that can be used to generate additional income
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from stocks, whether or not they pay a dividend.
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To use covered calls, you have to own the underlying stocks.
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So this is something the QYLD ETF is able to do on its portfolio because it owns all
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of the stocks in the Nasdaq 100 index.
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As an individual, you have to own 100 shares of a stock or ETF to perform the covered call
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strategy.
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Then, you can sell or “write” a covered call, which means you create a contract that
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gives someone else the right to buy your 100 shares at a certain price.
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Someone pays you for this contract, which helps you earn extra cash on the stock.
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The catch is, if the price of the stock moves up, the other person can execute that contract
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and force you to sell your shares to them at the agreed upon price.
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I’ll give you a quick example with Apple stock.
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So let’s say I owned 100 shares of Apple, and I want to make more income from these
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shares than its measly dividend.
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Since I own 100 shares, I can sell a covered call.
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You can see on this option chain that Apple is trading around $134.
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I can sell a covered call with a strike price of $140 and earn $4.38 per share, otherwise
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known as the premium.
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Since each covered call contract is for 100 shares, this would be an instant $438 for
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creating the contract.
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Once sold, the buyer has until the expiration date, in this case June 18th, to execute our
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contract, and can only do so if the price of Apple stock is at least $140.
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If they choose to execute the contract, I would be forced to sell my 100 shares to them
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for exactly $140.
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However, if the stock doesn’t reach that price by the expiration date, I get to keep
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my shares and all of the money I collected in premium.
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So as you can see, if you don’t expect the stock price to increase beyond a certain price,
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a covered call lets you earn some nice income on your shares.
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However, it also limits your potential returns, because if a stock shoots up, you’re forced
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to sell your shares at the set strike price, no matter what price the stock ends up reaching.
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But in a nutshell, this is the strategy that QYLD uses on its holdings to generate high
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dividends for investors.
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The only difference is, instead of selling covered calls on individual stocks in its
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portfolio, it sells a covered call on the entire Nasdaq 100 index, essentially tying
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up its entire portfolio in a single options strategy.
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Let’s take a closer look here.
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The QYLD ETF writes their covered call contracts on a monthly basis, with each contract expiring
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the following month.
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When they do this, they select the closest available strike price above the current price
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of the Nasdaq 100 Index.
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This is known as an at-the-money option, because the price needs to move very little for the
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buyer to execute the contract.
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This is different from the Apple example I showed you earlier, because the $140 strike
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price was farther away from the current stock price of $134.
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So in the case of the QYLD portfolio, they’re almost guaranteeing that they won’t earn
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a large positive return on their portfolio, because the contracts will likely be executed
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if the index above that strike price.
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However, the interesting thing about these covered calls on the Nasdaq 100 index is that
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they can’t be executed early, unlike regular call options which can be executed at any
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point before the expiration date.
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So the contract only gets executed if it expires with the Nasdaq 100 index at or above the
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strike price.
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And this means QYLD covered call strategy has some very specific implications for investors.
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First of all, you’re not expecting the ETF to produce returns via price growth.
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The price of the ETF will fluctuate a little bit based on the performance of the individual
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stocks in the Nasdaq 100 index, but only to a certain point.
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You’re expecting to receive most or all of your returns from the premiums collected
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from the covered call contracts.
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And this is why the price of the ETF has been more or less the same since inception, bouncing
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between $20 and $25.
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It caps its own growth potential in favor of collecting cash premiums and distributing
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them to investors every month.
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In comparison, you can see that the Nasdaq 100 index as measured by the QQQ ETF has produced
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huge price appreciation over the last several years, while only offering about a half percent
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dividend yield.
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This particular chart makes QYLD look pretty bad - but when you consider the total returns,
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which includes dividends, it’s historically produced around 9% returns a year before taxes.
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Another important thing to understand about the QYLD ETF is the impact of market volatility.
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First, because the covered call contracts cannot be executed until the end of the month,
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market volatility doesn’t really matter until the last day of the month.
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The NAV may fluctuate throughout the month, but the main concern for investors should
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be whether the price of the Nasdaq 100 index falls above or below the strike price of the
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contract written at the beginning of the month.
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Volatility does play a role in the value of options contracts, because premiums will be
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higher in a volatile market.
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And that’s something we’ll consider more in a minute, because QYLD will produce higher
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dividends in higher volatility, which is exactly we’ve seen recently.
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But volatility aside, there are 3 potential outcomes for QYLD in a given month, which
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will tell us which kind of markets we might want to hold this ETF in.
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First is that the market goes down, and the month ends with the Nasdaq 100 index priced
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below the strike price of the contract.
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In this case, QYLD gets to keep their options premium and their stocks.
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While the NAV of the fund would drop in this case, these losses would be offset by the
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dividends that investors receive.
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So in a bear market, QYLD can be a hedge against downward price action to limit your losses
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and continue receiving dividends.
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Second is that the market stays flat, with the index priced at or near the strike price
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of the contract at the end of the month.
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In this case, QYLD gets their options premium and the contract would likely not be executed,
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so the holdings of the fund will remain the same.
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This is the optimal outcome for investors, because the NAV remains the same but you still
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get to collect the dividends.
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The last outcome is if the market goes up.
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In this case, QYLD still gets that option premium, but they’ll likely have to liquidate
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their holdings to satisfy the contract when it gets executed.
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This will have a small increase in fund NAV, but as we mentioned, it will be limited because
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the holdings have to be sold at the strike price.
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So if the Nasdaq index moves far above the strike price, investors are missing out on
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any additional returns.
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Considering these three outcomes, we can speculate as to when the best times to hold the QYLD
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ETF would be.
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As we said, it can be a good hedge in bear markets when downward price movements can
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be expected.
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In these cases, you can still earn some returns through dividends that can cancel out or mitigate
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a loss in portfolio value.
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We can see that QYLD has performed better than the Nasdaq 100 in these environments.
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The best time to hold this kind of investment seems to be a flat market or a highly volatile
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market.
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In a flat market, the Nasdaq 100 index would not be producing returns, making QYLD a great
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way to earn returns through dividends when the underlying assets aren’t moving.
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Similarly, since options premiums increase with market volatility, this strategy would
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be more profitable in a volatile market.
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But, if the volatility skews towards the upside, you may want to reconsider.
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This is because in a bull market, you’re limiting your potential returns with the covered
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call strategy.
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You’ll still receive dividends, but your total returns would be far greater if you
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just held the QQQ ETF or a similar investment.
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One last key thing to consider about QYLD is the tax implications as a dividend-focused
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investment, because the cost of taxes can quickly eat into the returns of this ETF.
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Ordinarily, gains from covered call options in this strategy would be taxed at 60% long-term
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capital gains tax rate and 40% short-term capital gains tax rate.
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Depending on your particular tax bracket, you may choose to hold this in a tax-advantaged
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retirement account to reduce the impact of those taxes on your returns.
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However, QYLD has been doing something pretty interesting with their recent distributions.
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Throughout 2020 and so far into 2021, their distributions have been 100% return of capital.
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A return of capital means they’re returning a portion of your initial investment back
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to you, which is not immediately taxable.
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When you receive a return of capital, you don’t pay any taxes on it, but it reduces
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your cost basis in your investment.
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So eventually, if you sell your QYLD shares after receiving one of these distributions,
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you’ll pay capital gains taxes on an amount equal to the difference in the current share
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price, and your initial purchase price minus any dividends you’ve received.
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This is considered tax-deferred, because you don’t have to pay any taxes until you sell
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your shares.
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You just have to be careful here, because the tax hit can be pretty heavy if you’ve
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held for a long time and you’re not expecting it.
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But this is a clever strategy that QYLD uses to give investors more control on when they
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realize their tax obligation.
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They’re able to use any capital losses they receive throughout the year to offset the
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gains from options premiums.
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Then, they choose to give you “return of capital” instead of the money they’ve
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earned through premiums.
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So currently, you could be holding QYLD in a standard investment account with no immediate
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tax obligation, which is great for the short term.
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You just have to be aware that you will eventually owe taxes on these dividends when you decide
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to sell your shares.
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And that’s just about everything you need to consider about the QYLD ETF.
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However, I wanted to quickly point out two alternative strategies you may also want to
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look into.
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First is performing the covered call strategy on your own with the QQQ ETF.
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To do this, you’ll need to own 100 shares of QQQ, which is about a $34,000 investment.
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But if you can pull this off, you’ll have much greater control by selecting the covered
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call contracts you create.
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Then you can choose strike prices that give you more room for upside growth or you can
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choose different time frames to customize the strategy.
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Additionally, you’ll only be paying the .2% expense ratio of QQQ, instead of the .6%
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expense ratio of QYLD.
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The second alternative is the new QYLG ETF.
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This is the perfect blend of QQQ and QYLD.
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In contrast to QYLD, which writes covered calls on 100% of the portfolio, QYLG only
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writes covered calls on 50% of the portfolio, and still has all of the same stocks as the
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Nasdaq 100 index or QQQ.
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So with this strategy, you’re getting more upside potential than QYLD, but also getting
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a larger dividend than with QQQ.
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Since the high yield and covered call strategy of QYLD is a superior choice to QQQ in flat
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or bear markets, QYLG, which gives its portfolio more potential upside, might fit well into
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a portfolio during a volatile market or a flat market that has some potential for gradual
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upside price action.
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Long-term, we’d probably expect to see the yield from QYLG fall somewhere between QQQ
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and QYLD, likely in the range of 5 to 6%.
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But that’s all I’ve got for you guys on QYLD and its covered call strategy.
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Leave me a comment and let me know how you’re using this fund in your portfolio, if at all.
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As always I appreciate your support and I’ll see you in the next video.