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Cardano : The Most Realistic Price Target (5x, 10x or 100x?) - YouTube
Channel: unknown
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Hi Everyone, I've been seeing a lot of really
high price targets flying around on Cardano
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over the past few weeks.
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Some of them are in the triple digits.
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I wasn't expecting to do such a video, but
I feel like some of the crazy price predictions
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are actually doing more harm than good for
new joiners of the ecosystem.
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I do believe that Cardano is going to go high,
but I want people to be able to recognize
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when something is unrelastic.
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In today's video, I want to share with you
the emotional intelligence and psyhcology
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around price targets.
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Share with you the reality of Cardano, and
give you a more a realistic price target for
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$ADA.
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Hello Everyone my name is Jerome, I do videos
about cryptocurrencies, trying to bring you
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unique content and perspective on the crypto
market.
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My goal is not to make you rich financially
but richer emotionally and spiritually.
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I will share with you my experience of fund
manager in a french hedge to help you become
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independant, and ultimately become financialy
empowered.
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So if you want to be part of this challenging
yet very exciting journey, please consider
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subscribing but clicking on the red button
below or joining my telegram channel.
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Today's video will be broken down into 3 parts
:
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1) The psychology around price targets : why
it's a double edge sword.
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2) Why too much optimism is your biggest enemy
?
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3) What is a more Realistic price targets
for Cardano ?
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Stay until the end, and don't miss the french
quote of the day, which will be from XXXXXXXXXX
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Alright part #1 : the psychology around price
targets :
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• Humans don't like uncertainty.
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We don't like not knowing what the future
will be.
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• From a survival standpoint, uncertainty
about the future means death.
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• So what do we do ? We fill the void of
uncertainty with assumptions.
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• In finance, there is this concept of price
target : It usually means that you think that
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the price of an instrument is going to reach
a particular level.
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• Price targets can be lower or higher than
the current price, and it translate your view
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on how you think this instrument can grow
in the future.
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• All the financial models that were build
over the past 40 to 50 years, were trying
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to exactly this : fill the void of uncertainty
by predicting a price in the future.
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• So the psychology around this is the following
:
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○ Price targets give you sense of control
and comfort.
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I makes you think that you know where things
are going to go and helps you pull the trigger.
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○ When the price target is very high, what
it usually builds, is a sense of FOMO (Fear
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of Missing Out): you start feeling like you
HAVE to jump in, and buy the underlying.
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○ And this is when things become dangerous
for newer people, because you come into the
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space, hear how great something is, how its
going to go to the moon or 10'000X in the
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matter of months.
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And you go throw all your money at once, because
someone told you.
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• Even though I do understand the practicality
of this, if you want to build long term wealth
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and become independant, you have to take the
responsabilities of the investments you make.
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• Real growth takes effort : if you want
to deserve the money and the success you will,
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watching a 5mins videos promising you to become
a millionaire in two days is not making you
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a favour.
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• Making money is a byproduct of your own
growth.
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If you do learn new thing, about Crypto, DeFi,
Macro economics, Technical analysis, it doesn't
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matter as long as your mind expands.
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• Most of the time, the hardest path is
usually the best when it comes to growth.
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Challenging the status quo will make you grow
:You have to do what the 99% don’t do, in
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order get the rewards only the 1% get.
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• I see for example people blaming Elon
Musk because they bought Dogecoin at the highs
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and lost money, but in the end, they are the
ones deciding to pull the trigger and buying
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dogecoin.
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• When someone, weather it is a youtuber,
someone on twitter, gives a high price target,
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its not necessarily bad.
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• But when this person is telling you that
we are going to get there FAST and that you
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need to act NOW, maybe you should a little
bit suspicious.
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• No ONE knows when things are going to
happen.
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• On my channel, I don't undertain 100x
returns, because I think its not a good mindset
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to have.
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Like I said in other video, I'd rather try
to do 10x, twice , on high quality coins,
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rather than gambling on a noname coin.
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This leads me to part 2 : Good things take
time.
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• We might be in a bull market, but it doesn't
mean that things will go parabolic forever.
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In fact for the past two years, we had months
and months of price going nowhere.
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So you should manage your expectation just
in case things don't continue to rise as fast
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as the past few weeks.
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• it is healthy for the market to actually
take a breather.
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Just like someone who runs and needs energy,
you can sprint for a short period of time,
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but in between sprints, you need to take a
breather to refuel some of your energy.
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The market works the same, and uses emotions
like fear, optimism, conviction, panic as
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a fuel to move around.
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• For a company as great as Tesla, it took
18 years to build the foundation of what they
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are starting to deploy today.
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• If Tesla wants to deploy autonomous ridehailing
services, It needed to build great batteriesm
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charging networks, fully autonomous and self
improving AI in the cars, etc etc.
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• Often times, our emotions can get getting
ahead of the speed of innovation.
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• For Cardano to grow, it will take lots
of trials and errors before it can think about
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competing with Bitcoin or Ethereum.
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What I like about Cardano is that it took
the time to design the foundation very well
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before building anything.
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I think it is setting new standards by raising
the barriers to entry with the use of formal
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methods for example.
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• In the end, you cannot rush great infrastructure
and innvoation, because we just don't know
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what will work.
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• People telling you that Cardano will go
to 100$ are essentially telling you that THEY
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KNOW what will work and be adopted by the
market.
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• The only thing people want is you to pump
their bags, because they bought before you.
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• As an investor, don't corner yourself
by thinking that what your heard on youtube,
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is the only thing that will happen and the
only form of truth.
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Challenge what you hear, by doing your own
research.
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• Most of the people, myself included will
be wrong on many of the things we say.
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• But overall, what you should be focusing
on instead of the returns, is building the
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right process and emotional intelligence to
make decisions on your own, and build confidence
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over time.
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• If the only thing that you are focusing
on is FAST PROFITS, you are setting yourself
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up a blow up.
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I've been there, and i've blown multiple 5
figures account.
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Everytime i've chased fast returns, It lead
to emotional decision making, and ultimately
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losing lots of money.
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SO Don't make the same mistakes as I did.
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• Your confidence will slowly build up,
as you consistently hit base hits, over and
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over again.
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Alright so part #3, What price target do I
think is realistic.
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• Well, it all depends on your timeframe.
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• The more time you're going to give it
to grow, the more potential it has.
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• Because I know Cryptocurrencies like any
other innovations work in cycles of hypes
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and despairs, I'm convinced that no matter
how high the price grows, its not going to
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be a straight line up.
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• There will be phases where people panic
sell cardano, and there will be times where
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people are rushing to the name there's no
tomorrow.
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• Here is the table of the corresponding
price target, on a fully diluted basis :
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○ A 5$ Cardano : would equal to a 150bn
market cap.
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Which would be the size of Pespi Cola more
or less
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○ A 10$: would equal a 300bn market cap.
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Which would be similar to the current size
of Nvidia
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○ A 32$ Cardano would mean that cardano
it would be larger than facebook.
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○ A 50$ Cardano: would signify that it’s
the size of Amazon
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○ A 100$ Cardano: would mean that Cardano
is 3trillion dollars, meaning that its bigger
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than any other company in the world.
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So do you how easy it is to get ahead of ourselves.
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If you take 5 minutes to make a reality check
and do this exercices of comparison, it helps
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you manage your expectation and allow you
to stay out of trouble in my opinion, especially
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if you are new to this space.
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Remember that things don't go up in a straight
line.
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Never feel rushed about buying something,
especially cryptocurrencies.
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You've seen is in my previous video, even
during bull markets, we do have significant
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retracements 40-50%.
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One of the things I mentioned on my video
previous video as the number #1 risk for crypto
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year, was the launch of Central Banks digital
currencies.
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What's opinion on where could Cardano go during
market cycle?
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Well for me, no financial advice, If everything
go as planned, I think Cardano could reach
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between 5-10$ during this bull run.
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If you were expecting me to say 50 or 100$,
I will invite you to rewind this video.
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I don’t think given the current market,
that Cardano can become bigger than Amazon
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and Apple combined.
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It could however, reach the size of something
like PepsiCola or Nvidia in the medium term.
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For me to start talking about 30$ or 50$ Cardano,
I would have to wait for Bitcoin to takeover
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the market cap of Gold.
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Bitcoin is our best ally, because its leading
the way in changing people's mind about crypto.
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If things don't go very well and cardano only
goes to 2 or 3$ on the medium I would still
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be very happy because it's still a high quality
and stress free 2 or 3x in my opinion.
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Remember that all of your friends investing
in stocks or doing real estate, are getting
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between 7 to 10% returns on average.
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So if you can make 100 or 200%, I think you'd
be doing pretty well.
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Remember that you're also getting 5% rewards
just by staking your Cardano.
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You can check out my Cardano Republic Stakepool
if you want to support my, I would appreciate
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a lot if you considered staking with me.
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If we want Cardano to be able to compete with
Things like Amazon, Or Apple.
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It needs to build great ecosystems around
it.
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We've gathered the fundamental piece of the
puzzle which is a big an great community.
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But Just like Amazon or Apple have been able
to onboard hundreds of thousands if not millions
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of businesses in their infrastructure, Cardano
needs to do the same.
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On my channel, I will for sure keep you updated
on how the ecosystem grows.
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So make sure you subscribe to the channel.
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How many of you have been dissapointed with
high expectations in the past ?
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I'd rather be conservative today and surprised
tomorrow, than having high expectaiton and
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dissapointed.
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Alright so let's end off with the french quote
of the day "“L'apparence requiert art et
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finesse ; la vérité, calme et simplicité.
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"Appearance requires art and finesse; truth
requires calm, and simplicity"
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So don't feel like you're missing, you're
not.
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Take your time and build realstic expectations.
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Don't forget to like and subscribe.
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Let's grow together and make this crypto journey
fun and enjoyable.
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Join the telegram channel if you haven't already.
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Thank you so much for your support.
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That was jerome
Until next time
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