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Trend Trading vs Mean Reversion Strategies - Which is Better? 馃搱 - YouTube
Channel: UKspreadbetting
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in this video traders we will be talking about
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mean reversion versus trending strategies
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stay tuned
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hey guys warm welcome to you alright so
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when you are starting out for when
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you're kind of finding your feet you're
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like okay well I want a strategy that
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works I want to get something that I
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really can get my teeth stuck into and
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very often the decision comes down about wanting
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to be trading a trend order or wanting to
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trade mean reversion
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Mean reversion being a stretched market that
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stretches to the upside and is about to move back to a
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mean and that could be of a swing
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trading might be a moving average it
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might be a breakout point like a support
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level it might be if you're trading
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intraday of the VWAP and open a prior
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level something like that so it's kind
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of a stretch and a pullback you
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mentioned the Bollinger Band trade very
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much mean reversion to type trade
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setting at the upper Bollinger Band
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buying the lower Bollinger Band closing
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how in the middle trend tuck trade is
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waiting for that momentum and buying a
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pullback and a continuation now the pros
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of either of both others on a trend a
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the profits can be substantial if you
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have that momentum ignition you catch it
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early and you get on it then you can get
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many many many times your risk because
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if you've got a great entry you're
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capping the wrist you've got a sweet
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spot you find a sweet spot and you can
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let it run then fantastic trades the
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downside is with the trending trades is
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that we don't often get trend days we
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don't often get trends now I'm talking
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more from a shorter term perspective
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swing trading it's slightly different
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but if we're talking a short term
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perspective how many trend days do we
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get not that many guys we probably get
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two or three if that in a month real
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trend days like opening at the low
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closing height and high closing low
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obviously depends on the season now I've
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seen it depends on what's going on the
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global news flow etc but that's a rough
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estimate but really what we can say is
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most of time we're getting mean
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reversion now I like trading both
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because I like the
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fact if you got a trend they leave it
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just wait and come back and then you've
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got you know you don't know where it's
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going to go if your thesis is right you
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could have a monster day
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but I like Mira version because that's
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very much seen where the turn is and
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that is something that happens regularly
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you know most days we're going to get
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probes to highs pros to lows probes to
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higher high a prior high should I say
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prior lows etc fails rotations you know
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we get that and as a trade intraday
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trader as something you can really grab
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onto so and it's these similars robots
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or swing traders I know that you get
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markets to do trend but very often you
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know markets will sit in ranges for a
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long time because something like Tesla
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for example yes you've got many trends
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there but very much has been kind of
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mean reverting up looking like it's
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gonna break the highs coming back down
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again you know it's very much been a
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mean reverting traders perfect scenario
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so anyway that's the point the point
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guys is this if you are choosing between
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the two then mean reversion is probably
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the one you want to pick now there is a
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personality aspect in this I understand
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that and what kind of not going to go
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into that at this point now but from an
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operational perspective purely of ok
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what should I get good at what should be
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my first step on my kind of real
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specialist area in my opinion it should
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be mean reversion now it should be a
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point where you get to you should get to
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a point where you have multiple
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strategies that you plug into the right
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kind of day because that really then
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allows you to capitalize on stuff but if
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it you was kind of just trying to get an
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expertise at something then forget about
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the trends for now
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because you want many iterations to
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learn and the trouble is if you're
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trading that's a trend SS assume you're
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trading intraday trend days then you're
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not going to get many of those we're
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getting kind of to a month you've gotta
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wait a long time to get that cycle of
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learning and to get that repetition
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where they feel trading mean reversion
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you're trying to find those turning
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points you're gonna get many of those
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per week you know my of course there's
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gonna be days with nothing's happening
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and you stay away from it but you're
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gonna get many opportunities to put your
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strategies to the test
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you're gonna find out the commonality
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between how why price turns where it
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turns you know what the volumes looking
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like what time of day you start to put
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this together so I would say you know
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this is kind of immerse sponsor to a
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couple of questions of ok I'm trying to
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find a strategy focus on the mean
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reversion strategies folk
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on the type of things that look for the
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low and high of the day and start from
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there
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so to start from what is the higher the
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day got in common with the prior high
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the prior high the pro height and C and
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then just start to work back from that
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what's the lower the day now
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not seeing gonna get the high the day
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Lalo's day every day but if that's the
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major turning point which obviously is a
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high the day's the highest it's been in
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the day Louis the lowest it's been in a
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day so if that's a major turning point
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what commonalities are there in that
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market in the high or low of the day
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print off your chart whatever you to do
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and see if there is some kind of theme
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that runs through the rest of the week
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or the rest of the month or whatever it
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may be and then you can start to piece
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together a strategy and then you can
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start to add some of the price action
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type of strategies like your candlestick
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patterns and not say you have to do the
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program of course you know you've got
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your own strategies but if you are on
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the programming do see some of the
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strategies then that is the kind of
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things you're looking for but other
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things that you might look for are in
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your just your standard candlestick
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reversals a double top a head and
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shoulders something that's textbook but
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in the right condition in the right
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environment so mean reversion Trump's
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trending all day every day purely
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because of the frequency of a mean
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reversion type day
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trend dating is good and it can get
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multiple profits but if you are trying
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to move forward trying to get learn and
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improve then mini versions the way to
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focus because purely because of the
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number of iterations you're going to get
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a number of a frequency of occurrence in
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should I say you're going to get you're
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gonna get more and more and more
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learning learning learning become better
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and better and better in a short period
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of time and then you can start adding in
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the trend a type trade alright guys take
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care get your risk managed whatever your
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training is see the next one bye bye
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you
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