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Why did Xi Jinping punish Didi, after the biggest IPO 2021? - YouTube
Channel: Lei's Real Talk
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On Jun 30th, China's largest rideshare app
Didi was listed on the New York stock exchange,
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becoming the second-largest Chinese IPO since
Alibaba.
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However, within 5 days, China's Cyberspace
Administration announced the launch of a "cybersecurity
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review" of Didi, and ordered all app stores
to pull the app, alleging that Didi had "illegally
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collected users' personal data."
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Shares of Didi fell, wiping out a quarter
of total market value and taking the stock
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below the IPO price.
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Some experts say that the Chinese communist
party is politicizing its war with America
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in the capital market.
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Others say it's tightening the grip on data
and Chinese big techs.
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Why does the Chinese regime punish one of
its own tech companies in the American stock
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market?
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Hello, welcome to my show.
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I'm Lei.
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Despite deteriorating Sino-US relations, a
record 34 Chinese companies have raised $12.4
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billion dollars in New York during the first
half of 2021.
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This is a huge increase compared with the
18 companies and $2.8 billion during the same
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period last year.
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The surge has delivered $460 million in fees
for Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley.
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However, more than two-thirds of Chinese companies
listed in the US markets this year have sunk
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below their IPO price, causing losses to investors.
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A US law firm is filing class-action lawsuits
against Didi on behalf of investors and demanding
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compensation for losses.
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Didi’s drama isn't about data security or
antitrust.
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It's not about competition with America, either.
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Didi's trouble with the CCP is fated in the
system of Chinese state capitalism.
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As various CCP factions clash over power and
control, this infighting has now spilled over
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to the American capital market.
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I'm making a series of videos on this topic.
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Let’s first look at what Didi is.
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When Didi was launched in 2012, Uber was already
a leader in the global carpool industry.
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Didi's strategy was to aggressively cut prices
and offer lucrative subsidies to drivers and
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passengers.
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Its goal was NOT to make money but to dominate
the market quickly.
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The company’s annual subsidies exceeded
20 billion yuan at its peak.
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Meanwhile, Uber lost over $1 billion dollars
every year during its bruising battle with
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Didi in China.
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For 8 consecutive years till 2020, Didi lost
a total of 60 billion yuan or close to $10
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billion dollars since its establishment.
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It turned profitable in the first quarter
of 2021 and immediately went for an IPO in
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the United States.
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The major Chinese financial portal Caixin.com
commented that Didi's financial data released
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in its IPO prospectus is "a game of whitewashing
reports" because "the calculation method has
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a lot of room for judgment."
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For example, the year-over-year quarterly
revenue increase of 100% was compared to the
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worse quarter during the pandemic as a benchmark.
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In addition to losing money, Didi has been
under antitrust investigation by the regime
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since as early as 2016.
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Right after Didi announced acquiring Uber
China in August 2016, the Ministry of Commerce
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stated at a press conference that Didi had
not reported the acquisition, and that the
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ministry was conducting investigations per
the Anti-Monopoly Law.
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In the following years, officials have made
noise about investigating Didi.
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In 2018, for example, Wang Fumin, deputy director
of the Guangdong transportation Department,
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complained on-record to about Didi's monopoly
and refusal to submit its data.
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It's rare that a government official complains
about a private enterprise.
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In communist China, they usually don't complain;
they order you to change or else they shut
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you down.
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In 2019, the Chinese Supreme Court even streamed
a live trial of a case against Didi for market
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monopoly.
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This public trial seemed unusual.
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But eventually the noise quieted down.
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We can see that the regime authorities have
been trying to go after Didi for 4 years.
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But they haven’t made a dent.
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Didi has been successfully dodging the bullet
all this time.
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That makes us wonder:
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According to "CVS Investment Data," nearly
20 state-owned enterprises have invested in
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"Didi."
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This includes the national giants: Bank of
Communications, China Merchants Bank, Poly
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Capital, China Life, CICC Alpha, CITIC Capital,
and Ping An Insurance.
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These state-owned financial institutions provided
enormous capital to help Didi stay afloat
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while fighting Uber.
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From May 2015 to 2016, before Uber ceded,
Didi raised over $8 billion in capital, while
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Uber China raised only $1 billion.
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The battle between Didi and Uber was between
an American private company and a Chinese
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company supported by the communist state.
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It's a fight between their investors and their
pocket books.
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Uber couldn't win the battle with an opponent
that doesn't care about losing money.
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In addition to state-owned financial institutes,
Didi received investments from private equity
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heavyweights: Boyu Capital, Sequoia Capital,
Hillhouse Capital, and Primavera Capital.
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Other notable shareholders are Alibaba, Tencent,
and Ant Group.
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Well-known international shareholders include
Japan's soft Bank, which is Didi's biggest
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shareholder, American company Apple, Taiwan's
Foxconn Group, and Singapore’s Temasek.
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Didi also has ties with the Chinese military.
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The company’s president, 柳青Liu Qing,
is the daughter of the founder of Lenovo,
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柳傳志Liu Chuanzhi.
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Lenovo Group is a computer giant with strong
ties to the military.
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And China's military industry giant, Poly
Group, invested more than $400 million dollars
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in Didi.
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So, Didi is backed by a powerful alliance
of both Chinese and international finance
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heavyweights.
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And each of the Chinese giants is controlled
by one or more powerful princelings and their
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red families.
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Now you understand why Didi could easily "kill"
more than 30 competitors, including Uber,
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in just 4 years.
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And why it was able to fight off the authorities’
regulatory probe for the past four years.
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Most importantly, these princelings and red
families might not be on the same side as
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Xi Jinping.
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In fact, Didi is so powerful that it's able
to fight off something that even Jack Ma wasn't
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able to.
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After derailing the planned IPO of Jack Ma's
Ant Group and an antitrust probe, Xi Jinping’s
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officials fined Jack's Alibaba a record $2.8
billion dollars.
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But the powerful Didi didn't want to put up
with that.
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When Xi Jinping's officials advised delaying
IPO in the US, Didi and its backers ignored
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it and went forward anyway.
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It became obvious that Xi’s "antitrust investigation”
wasn’t enough to intimidate or strike down
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Didi.
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The authority had to use a more powerful weapon.
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So, the charge of a "data and national security
violation" was brought in.
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And it caused damage.
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This time, Didi was hit.
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So you may ask why Xi Jinping is fighting
Didi and its backers in the first place?
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That's a very good question.
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Because infighting and factional struggles
among the communist leaders are their way
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of life and have existed from day one.
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This is the nature of all communist organizations.
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If communist leaders don't feel threatened
by their people and don’t fight with each
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other, they wouldn't be communists.
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However, it is very difficult for Wall Street
to interpret the political infighting.
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Unless you've lived in communist China long
enough and follow Chinese politics closely,
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it's difficult to fathom their actions.
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Chinese may understand it but don't want to
talk about it.
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That's why following my channel and other
channels like this one is critically important
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if you deal with China and Chinese investments.
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I'm running out of time today, but in my next
video, I’ll talk about the CCP’s political
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infighting and how that’s impacted Didi,
as well as what it means to us.
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Stay tuned!
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See you next time!
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