Unemployment and Full Employment - Unemployment and Inflation (2/3) | Principles of Macroeconomics - YouTube

Channel: Inspirare

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Now let's move on and talk about unemployment and full employment, and see the relationship
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between these two different concepts.
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There are a couple different types of unemployment and the first one that I want to mention is
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called frictional unemployment.
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Frictional unemployment is just the unemployment that arises from regular labour turnover.
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From people entering and leaving the labour force and from ongoing creation and destruction
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of jobs.
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Or people who are just in between jobs.
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It is a permanent and healthy phenomenon in a growing economy.
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Let's put it this way; illustrate it visually.
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We have three groups of people here: we have those who are employed, those who are not
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in the labour force, and we have a pool of people that are unemployed.
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And this we're going to say is specifically people who are frictionally unemployed.
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When we get people not in the labour force entering the labour force, generally we can
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say that they're unemployed.
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They're still looking for jobs.
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They haven't found one yet and so the unemployment rate goes up when people enter the labour
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force.
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But when you have unemployed people leaving the labour force, not working of course, then
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you have a decrease in frictional unemployment.
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At the same time, if you have people who are employed who lose their jobs then they enter
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this pool of frictional unemployment.
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And the people who are unemployed who find jobs, then you have people who are no longer
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unemployed - frictionally unemployed - they are rather employed.
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An example for this employed and unemployed (frictionally unemployed) would be someone
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who doesn't like their job maybe; who leaves their job, looks for a new one, and finds
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another one.
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So they are employed, they lose, leave their job.
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They are unemployed, then they find a job and they are employed.
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So the frictional unemployment rate changes in this way.
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We also have structural unemployment.
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There are three different things that can cause this.
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The first thing is changes in technology.
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They change the skills needed to actually perform jobs.
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For example, a secretary back in the day would've had to have really really good bookkeeping
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skills.
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But a secretary nowadays would need to have extremely good computer and communication
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skills, things like that.
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There's also changes in the location of jobs.
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An example of this could be if we have a factory that's located on one side of the country
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which then closes down and moves to another side of the country.
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This is another example of structural unemployment because the jobs have gone from one location
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to another geographical location.
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We also have these things known as sunset industries.
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And the best example of this is if you think of VHS tapes.
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Nobody uses them anymore, so basically anybody who was in the industry of making VHS tapes
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is now no longer employed because the demand for these goods and services, for example
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VHS tapes has now decreased.
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So the industry is kind of "setting" like a sunset.
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It's diminishing slowly.
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The third type of unemployment that I want to talk about is cyclical unemployment.
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This is simply just the higher than normal unemployment at a business cycle trough and
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the lower than normal unemployment and a business cycle peak.
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If we take a look, during a business cycle expansion we have an increase in real GDP
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so cyclical unemployment goes down because real GDP increases, firms produce more, they
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need more labour.
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But on the other hand, during a contraction, cyclical unemployment actually increases because
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as real GDP decreases, we have firms that can't sell as much goods and services so they
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fire some people.
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Now we're going to put this all together.
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We're going to talk about natural unemployment.
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Natural unemployment is just equal to the structural unemployment plus the frictional
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unemployment.
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The assumption here is that there is no cyclical unemployment.
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The effects of the business cycle are completely null.
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Natural unemployment is also known as the position where unemployment is at full employment.
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Let's take a look at this in an example.
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So we have a working age population of 30 million.18 million of these people are employed,
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2 million are unemployed, and 2 million of the employed are working part-time, half of
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whom wish to work full time.
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If 1 million of those unemployed are cyclically unemployed, what is the natural unemployment
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rate?
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Let's just take a second to highlight the important parts of this question.
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We have 18 million that are employed, 2 million that are unemployed, and 1 million of those
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unemployed are cyclically unemployed.
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So let's just remember this: when we say - when we try to find the number of people who are
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naturally unemployed we want to take the total amount and we want to subtract the cyclically
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unemployed - people who are cyclically unemployed because they don't actually count as part
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of the natural unemployment rate.
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So we take the total, which is 2 million and we take away 1 million which is those who
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are cyclically unemployed and we get a total of 1 million people who are naturally unemployed.
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And then we just put it into the same formula as the unemployment rate.
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We take the number of naturally unemployed and we divide it by the total labour force
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which is 18 million plus 2 million, because that is the number of people employed plus
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the number of people unemployed.
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We divide that and then we multiply it by 100 and we get a natural unemployment rate
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of 5%.