How to Read SEC Filings When Buying Penny Stocks | $ZYNE $YRIV - YouTube

Channel: Humbled Trader

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Are you thinking of buying and holding penny stocks overnight?
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But are worried about the potential risk of dilution and offering?
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Well today I’ll be going over how you can quickly read penny stock SEC filings and balance
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sheets in under 10 min with a few keywords and figure out whether this penny stock is
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a buy.
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We are going to use $ZYNE and $YRIV as examples in this video, these are penny stocks that’s
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been really hot the last week.
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If you think this topic will be useful to you and your trading, please make sure to
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smash that like button and subscribe!
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Now let’s get into it.
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So to start I usually go to Nasdaq.com website to look at the filings.
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Let’s do YRIV first.
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So you go to the side bar and click on SEC filings.
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Here you can see all the filings this penny stock company has ever filed.
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I’m not interested in reading every single document.
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The ones I’m looking for are the 10 K, and especially the S 3.
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Form 10 K is an annual report all the public companies including the penny stocks need
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to do to summary their financial performance.
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So that’s usually where I would start, by looking at the latest 10 K. so we are looking
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at the 10k for Yangtze river port and logistics YRIV.
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So when I look at SEC filings for these hot penny stocks, there are a few things I want
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to figure out.
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How much short term debt do they have, if they have the cash to pay for that debt, and
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stay operating, and if they need to do an offering or sell more shares any time soon
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to raise more cash.
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I’m not reading the filings and the financial statement completely to invest in the penny
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stocks long term.
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I just want quickly skiim through the filings to know the likelihood of of the stock going
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higher short term, or crash overnight.
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And from analyzing these numbers, I will plan out how to play this stock.
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Whether it’s a long, short, swing trade, or AVOID.
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Right away I want to look at whether this company is making money at all the past few
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years.
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So control - f key word “revenue”.
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And that brings us to the results of operation in the last few years from 2016 to 2018.
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So right away you can see this company hasn’t made any revenue the last three years.
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It’s all blank.
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Next is “operating expenses”.
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Wow they’ve been losing millions the last few years.
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$5 mil in 2016, 2017, and $3M is 2018.
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Now lets look up “cash” and see how much funds they have in
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cash reserve to operate.
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Okay they only have $120k left in the bank at the end of 2018.
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Omg that’s bad.
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So right away after looking at cash, revenue and operating expenses you should be asking
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the question, so if they’re not making any money at all and have only $120k in cash reserve,
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how have they been paying all the millions of operating cost the last few years?
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Next keyword is “shares outstanding”, so we can see they have over 172 Million shares
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outstanding right now.
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But what I’m looking for is a change in the numbers each year.
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So you can see in 2016 the number increased from 2015.
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Then same again in 2017.
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So from 2016- to beginning of 2018 That could be how they’ve been getting the money to
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stay operating.
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They issuing more shares and diluting them in the open market.
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Now thats just a thesis.
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We can confirm whether that’s true or not on the daily chart of the stock, because the
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chart doesn't lie.
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We can see this penny stock made a massive run up in 2017.
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Followed by a drastic drop in early 2018.
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So yes this confirms that this company has a history of diluting their shares in the
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open market in order to pull out more cash to pay for their operating expenses.
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Which we saw earlier, is about $3.5 mil in 2018.
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So next keyword I search for, is “offering”, “warrants”, “convertibles”.
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I am looking to see when’s the last time they did an offering or if they have any dilution
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activity coming up soon.
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So i can’t find any past offerings but right here “The market price of our shares could
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decline as a result of sales of substantial amounts of our shares in the public market”.
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this company admits they’ve been dumping their shares to investors in the market.
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Next I want to search “warrants”.
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They have no outstanding warrants, that’s good.
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Let’s try “convertible notes”, these are basically convertible bonds or corporate
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debt this company sell to investors and funds when they try to raise money.
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And you can see that this company has a history of issuing these convertibles.
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Essentially, they’ve been borrowing money from investors to cover their own operating
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expenses.
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But those debt have to be paid when the note matures.
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And you can see all the note redemption history in 2018.
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Looks like most of the recent notes were redeemed at the end of 2018 at $10/ share.
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That would explain this huge drop from $12 all the way to to $3 on the daily chart here.
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So another sign of dilution.
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So now that we know this company has never made many revenue, has a high burn rate of
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millions every year, and have a history of selling shares.
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We want to see how much shares this company have registered to sell.
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So let’s go back to Nasdaq filings, and look at their most recent S-3.
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So the most recent one is september, 2018.
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That was a while ago but it’s still relevant and I’ll show you why in a little bit.
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Form S-3 is a form public companies have to file when issuing new shares.
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So right away we can see that YRIV registered shares to sell for up to $300 Mil in 2018.
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Wow.
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And on form S-3 you can look up key word “shelf”.
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Shelf is a special type of offering registration that allows the company to have a 2 year window
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to sell their shares.
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Right here in the S-3 filing for YRIV, it says here, “By using a shelf registration
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statement, we may sell securities from time to time and in one or more offerings up to
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a total dollar amount of $300,000,000”
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So basically this penny stock company YRIV has until 2021 to sell these $300Mil worth
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of their shares.
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And with their high cost of operating expense, and $0 revenue, you bet they will be.
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And they can do multiple offerings too.
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Now that we know all the above information, we know they will do an offering, either through
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common shares or debt convertibles, the missing information is when.
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And that it’s hard to find out with YRIV.
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There are cases with penny stocks that it’s easier to estimate an offering date which
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I will show you later in this video.
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But with YRIV, they don't have any real news release.
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If they were a biotech company you could predict from their upcoming trial dates etc. but this
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is a Chinese shipping company.
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So the best we could do is to look at their daily charts with technical analysis.
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So on the daily chart we can see the clearest major resistance is $3.
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That’s what this penny stock has room to.
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They haven’t even announced any PR yet.
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I can’t see anything major on yahoo finance.
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Now if I were the company.
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I would try to release more PR and pump the shares up as high as I could and then issue
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the offering there after a 400% gain from 70 cents.
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Get the most bang for your buck right?
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Just dump your shares to the open market and dilute your investors.
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I’m not saying to buy and hold to $3.
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I personally would not hold this overnight knowing they could issue an offering any time
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they want.
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But if I were trading this penny stock intraday, I would see if it could break above previous
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high of $1.90.
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After that it would have room to $3.
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And if I want to scale in short, $3 would be the key level I would look at for more
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dilution.
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But definitely no overnights for me personally.
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But this is NOT an advice, just my opinion.
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Next stock I want to look at is ZYNE.
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This is a penny stock that’s been breaking out the past few days.
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I have not traded it but after looking at their SEC filing and financial statements
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etc I actually really like it for a long continuation, and I’m about to tell you why.
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So let’s repeat the same simple process we just did with YRIV.
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We’ll go back to Nasdaq.com and search up ZYNE.
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We can see all the fillings for this company.
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We’ll start with 10-K. Search for the key word “Revenue”.
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Now we can see they are not making any money just like YRIV. but the key difference between
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the two penny stocks is that, ZYNE is a bio tech company.
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Typical biotech companies do not generate revenue consistently.
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They keep on raising funding from investors to fund the drugs in their pipeline.
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They go into research, trials, FDA filing, FDA approval process.
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Therefore these biotech companies can be burning through investors’ money for years before
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they make any profit.
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But these companies are most likely still going to have access for more cash because
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investors and funds are betting on them getting the drug approved many years down the road
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and finally churn out big profit.
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So that’s something to keep in mind.
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The revenue figure for biotech companies are worth looking at.
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But what matters more is whether the company has enough cash to cover their operating cost.
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So on the balance sheet we can see here we can see they have operating expense of about
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$40 million in 2018.
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Now let’s see if they have the cash to cover that cost.
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So next you want to search up key word “cash” to look at their cash reserve.
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So you can see they have about $59.7 million.
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So that will cover the operating expenses.
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But just in case on ZYNE, let’s double check the keyword “offering”.
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So you can see ZYNE’s offering history.
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And you can see in Jan to March this year, they’ve already completed their offering
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and raised an additional 18.7 million dollars to fund their research.
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That was just last month, so that’s a positive.
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If the last offering on a biotech penny stock was a while ago, and they have a high burn
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rate and are low on cash reserve and only have $120k like YRIV, then that could be a
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serious warning sign that they may do an offering soon to keep the lights on.
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We saw that exact example just in my last video reading the SEC filing for AVEO.
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The company didnt have cash to cover their operating expense, they have a drug coming
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up they need to put into trial soon, and they haven’t done an offering since last summer.
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And they’ve been pumping out PR to prop the share prices up since two weeks ago.
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So they did an offering.
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Feel free to check out that video for a more detailed breakdown on AVEO and OPTT.
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But in this case I think we are fine on ZYNE.
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Whats even better is that down here they say they have no debt.
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So this is where i can be confident, that this penny stock company raised the money
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to actually fund their research and trials on their drugs, as opposed to raising the
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money to pay back debt obligations like YRIV.
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Now after reading SEC filings and scanning for recent news and drug trials, let’s look
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at the daily chart for ZYNE.
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Gorgeous daily chart, Increasing volume, uptrend on daily, breaking out room to run till $12,
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it’s also in a hot sector and now has cash and catalyst.
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If you’ve seen my video on my beginner swing trading strategy, you’ll see how this penny
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stock is prime for a multi day breakout.
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If it dips and holds the $8 level, this stock will be on my watch for day trading and swing
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trading for sure.
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So this is how you do a quick penny stock SEC filing analysis quickly with keywords.
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In summary the keywords you are looking for are “revenue”, “cash”, “operating
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expense”, “offering”, “convertibles”, “warrants”, “shares outstanding”,
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“shelf”, “atm offering”, which stands for at the market offering.
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And you’ll be looking for those key words in Form 10 k and S 3.
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Again, the goal of this search is not for long term investment, it’s to find out if
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this company has cash to cover their expense and debt short term, and if they don’t,
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do they have any outstanding shares, warrants or convertibles registered for an offering
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that they can be sold at any given time.
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Play around with those keywords, it takes some practice, but after trying it out a couple
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of times you will be able to skim through these filing keywords in under 10 min.
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I made this reading the SEC filing video after receiving so many requests from my last video.
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I really took me a long time to compile the research on the stocks and explain the process
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in the simplest way possible for you guys.
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So please make sure to give me a like on this video, subscribe, and let me know down in
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the comments below if you found this useful.
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if you have any questions or if you have a faster way of reading the SEC filings, feel
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free to let me know as well.
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Im always looking for feedback and hearing other traders’ process and streamline my
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own research.
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And feel free to check out my other videos on the channel for beginner day trading and
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swing trading strategies if you’re interested.
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This is the humbled trader, thank you guys for watching and I ll see you next time!