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How to Read SEC Filings When Buying Penny Stocks | $ZYNE $YRIV - YouTube
Channel: Humbled Trader
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Are you thinking of buying and holding penny
stocks overnight?
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But are worried about the potential risk of
dilution and offering?
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Well today Iâll be going over how you can
quickly read penny stock SEC filings and balance
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sheets in under 10 min with a few keywords
and figure out whether this penny stock is
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a buy.
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We are going to use $ZYNE and $YRIV as examples
in this video, these are penny stocks thatâs
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been really hot the last week.
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If you think this topic will be useful to
you and your trading, please make sure to
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smash that like button and subscribe!
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Now letâs get into it.
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So to start I usually go to Nasdaq.com website
to look at the filings.
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Letâs do YRIV first.
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So you go to the side bar and click on SEC
filings.
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Here you can see all the filings this penny
stock company has ever filed.
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Iâm not interested in reading every single
document.
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The ones Iâm looking for are the 10 K, and
especially the S 3.
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Form 10 K is an annual report all the public
companies including the penny stocks need
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to do to summary their financial performance.
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So thatâs usually where I would start, by
looking at the latest 10 K. so we are looking
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at the 10k for Yangtze river port and logistics
YRIV.
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So when I look at SEC filings for these hot
penny stocks, there are a few things I want
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to figure out.
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How much short term debt do they have, if
they have the cash to pay for that debt, and
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stay operating, and if they need to do an
offering or sell more shares any time soon
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to raise more cash.
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Iâm not reading the filings and the financial
statement completely to invest in the penny
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stocks long term.
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I just want quickly skiim through the filings
to know the likelihood of of the stock going
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higher short term, or crash overnight.
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And from analyzing these numbers, I will plan
out how to play this stock.
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Whether itâs a long, short, swing trade,
or AVOID.
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Right away I want to look at whether this
company is making money at all the past few
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years.
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So control - f key word ârevenueâ.
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And that brings us to the results of operation
in the last few years from 2016 to 2018.
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So right away you can see this company hasnât
made any revenue the last three years.
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Itâs all blank.
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Next is âoperating expensesâ.
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Wow theyâve been losing millions the last
few years.
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$5 mil in 2016, 2017, and $3M is 2018.
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Now lets look up âcashâ and see how much
funds they have in
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cash reserve to operate.
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Okay they only have $120k left in the bank
at the end of 2018.
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Omg thatâs bad.
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So right away after looking at cash, revenue
and operating expenses you should be asking
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the question, so if theyâre not making any
money at all and have only $120k in cash reserve,
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how have they been paying all the millions
of operating cost the last few years?
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Next keyword is âshares outstandingâ,
so we can see they have over 172 Million shares
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outstanding right now.
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But what Iâm looking for is a change in
the numbers each year.
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So you can see in 2016 the number increased
from 2015.
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Then same again in 2017.
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So from 2016- to beginning of 2018 That could
be how theyâve been getting the money to
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stay operating.
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They issuing more shares and diluting them
in the open market.
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Now thats just a thesis.
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We can confirm whether thatâs true or not
on the daily chart of the stock, because the
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chart doesn't lie.
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We can see this penny stock made a massive
run up in 2017.
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Followed by a drastic drop in early 2018.
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So yes this confirms that this company has
a history of diluting their shares in the
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open market in order to pull out more cash
to pay for their operating expenses.
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Which we saw earlier, is about $3.5 mil in
2018.
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So next keyword I search for, is âofferingâ,
âwarrantsâ, âconvertiblesâ.
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I am looking to see whenâs the last time
they did an offering or if they have any dilution
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activity coming up soon.
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So i canât find any past offerings but right
here âThe market price of our shares could
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decline as a result of sales of substantial
amounts of our shares in the public marketâ.
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this company admits theyâve been dumping
their shares to investors in the market.
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Next I want to search âwarrantsâ.
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They have no outstanding warrants, thatâs
good.
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Letâs try âconvertible notesâ, these
are basically convertible bonds or corporate
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debt this company sell to investors and funds
when they try to raise money.
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And you can see that this company has a history
of issuing these convertibles.
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Essentially, theyâve been borrowing money
from investors to cover their own operating
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expenses.
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But those debt have to be paid when the note
matures.
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And you can see all the note redemption history
in 2018.
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Looks like most of the recent notes were redeemed
at the end of 2018 at $10/ share.
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That would explain this huge drop from $12
all the way to to $3 on the daily chart here.
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So another sign of dilution.
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So now that we know this company has never
made many revenue, has a high burn rate of
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millions every year, and have a history of
selling shares.
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We want to see how much shares this company
have registered to sell.
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So letâs go back to Nasdaq filings, and
look at their most recent S-3.
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So the most recent one is september, 2018.
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That was a while ago but itâs still relevant
and Iâll show you why in a little bit.
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Form S-3 is a form public companies have to
file when issuing new shares.
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So right away we can see that YRIV registered
shares to sell for up to $300 Mil in 2018.
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Wow.
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And on form S-3 you can look up key word âshelfâ.
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Shelf is a special type of offering registration
that allows the company to have a 2 year window
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to sell their shares.
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Right here in the S-3 filing for YRIV, it
says here, âBy using a shelf registration
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statement, we may sell securities from time
to time and in one or more offerings up to
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a total dollar amount of $300,000,000â
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So basically this penny stock company YRIV
has until 2021 to sell these $300Mil worth
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of their shares.
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And with their high cost of operating expense,
and $0 revenue, you bet they will be.
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And they can do multiple offerings too.
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Now that we know all the above information,
we know they will do an offering, either through
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common shares or debt convertibles, the missing
information is when.
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And that itâs hard to find out with YRIV.
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There are cases with penny stocks that itâs
easier to estimate an offering date which
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I will show you later in this video.
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But with YRIV, they don't have any real news
release.
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If they were a biotech company you could predict
from their upcoming trial dates etc. but this
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is a Chinese shipping company.
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So the best we could do is to look at their
daily charts with technical analysis.
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So on the daily chart we can see the clearest
major resistance is $3.
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Thatâs what this penny stock has
room to.
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They havenât even announced any PR yet.
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I canât see anything major on yahoo finance.
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Now if I were the company.
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I would try to release more PR and pump the
shares up as high as I could and then issue
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the offering there after a 400% gain from
70 cents.
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Get the most bang for your buck right?
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Just dump your shares to the open market and
dilute your investors.
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Iâm not saying to buy and hold to $3.
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I personally would not hold this overnight
knowing they could issue an offering any time
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they want.
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But if I were trading this penny stock intraday,
I would see if it could break above previous
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high of $1.90.
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After that it would have room to $3.
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And if I want to scale in short, $3 would
be the key level I would look at for more
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dilution.
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But definitely no overnights for me personally.
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But this is NOT an advice, just my opinion.
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Next stock I want to look at is ZYNE.
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This is a penny stock thatâs been breaking
out the past few days.
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I have not traded it but after looking at
their SEC filing and financial statements
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etc I actually really like it for a long continuation,
and Iâm about to tell you why.
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So letâs repeat the same simple process
we just did with YRIV.
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Weâll go back to Nasdaq.com and search up
ZYNE.
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We can see all the fillings for this company.
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Weâll start with 10-K. Search for the key
word âRevenueâ.
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Now we can see they are not making any money
just like YRIV. but the key difference between
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the two penny stocks is that, ZYNE is a bio
tech company.
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Typical biotech companies do not generate
revenue consistently.
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They keep on raising funding from investors
to fund the drugs in their pipeline.
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They go into research, trials, FDA filing,
FDA approval process.
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Therefore these biotech companies can be burning
through investorsâ money for years before
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they make any profit.
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But these companies are most likely still
going to have access for more cash because
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investors and funds are betting on them getting
the drug approved many years down the road
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and finally churn out big profit.
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So thatâs something to keep in mind.
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The revenue figure for biotech companies are
worth looking at.
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But what matters more is whether the company
has enough cash to cover their operating cost.
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So on the balance sheet we can see here we
can see they have operating expense of about
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$40 million in 2018.
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Now letâs see if they have the cash to cover
that cost.
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So next you want to search up key word âcashâ
to look at their cash reserve.
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So you can see they have about $59.7 million.
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So that will cover the operating expenses.
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But just in case on ZYNE, letâs double check
the keyword âofferingâ.
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So you can see ZYNEâs offering history.
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And you can see in Jan to March this year,
theyâve already completed their offering
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and raised an additional 18.7 million dollars
to fund their research.
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That was just last month, so thatâs a positive.
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If the last offering on a biotech penny stock
was a while ago, and they have a high burn
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rate and are low on cash reserve and only
have $120k like YRIV, then that could be a
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serious warning sign that they may do an offering
soon to keep the lights on.
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We saw that exact example just in my last
video reading the SEC filing for AVEO.
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The company didnt have cash to cover their
operating expense, they have a drug coming
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up they need to put into trial soon, and they
havenât done an offering since last summer.
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And theyâve been pumping out PR to prop
the share prices up since two weeks ago.
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So they did an offering.
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Feel free to check out that video for a more
detailed breakdown on AVEO and OPTT.
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But in this case I think we are fine on ZYNE.
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Whats even better is that down here they say
they have no debt.
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So this is where i can be confident, that
this penny stock company raised the money
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to actually fund their research and trials
on their drugs, as opposed to raising the
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money to pay back debt obligations like YRIV.
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Now after reading SEC filings and scanning
for recent news and drug trials, letâs look
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at the daily chart for ZYNE.
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Gorgeous daily chart, Increasing volume, uptrend
on daily, breaking out room to run till $12,
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itâs also in a hot sector and now has cash
and catalyst.
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If youâve seen my video on my beginner swing
trading strategy, youâll see how this penny
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stock is prime for a multi day breakout.
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If it dips and holds the $8 level, this stock
will be on my watch for day trading and swing
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trading for sure.
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So this is how you do a quick penny stock
SEC filing analysis quickly with keywords.
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In summary the keywords you are looking for
are ârevenueâ, âcashâ, âoperating
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expenseâ, âofferingâ, âconvertiblesâ,
âwarrantsâ, âshares outstandingâ,
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âshelfâ, âatm offeringâ, which stands
for at the market offering.
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And youâll be looking for those key words
in Form 10 k and S 3.
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Again, the goal of this search is not for
long term investment, itâs to find out if
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this company has cash to cover their expense
and debt short term, and if they donât,
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do they have any outstanding shares, warrants
or convertibles registered for an offering
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that they can be sold at any given time.
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Play around with those keywords, it takes
some practice, but after trying it out a couple
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of times you will be able to skim through
these filing keywords in under 10 min.
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I made this reading the SEC filing video after
receiving so many requests from my last video.
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I really took me a long time to compile the
research on the stocks and explain the process
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in the simplest way possible for you guys.
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So please make sure to give me a like on this
video, subscribe, and let me know down in
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the comments below if you found this useful.
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if you have any questions or if you have a
faster way of reading the SEC filings, feel
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free to let me know as well.
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Im always looking for feedback and hearing
other tradersâ process and streamline my
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own research.
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And feel free to check out my other videos
on the channel for beginner day trading and
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swing trading strategies if youâre interested.
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This is the humbled trader, thank you guys
for watching and I ll see you next time!
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