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THE UNIVERSITY OF BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY (BUFFETT & MUNGER ADVICE) - YouTube
Channel: The Swedish Investor
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This is how much you would have gained from investing $1,000 in the S&P 500 in 1965.
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This is how much you would have gained from investing in Berkshire Hathaway
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Now, a return of 12,717%, such as the S&P 500 achieved
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isn't too bad
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For the price of a
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19-inch Senith TV in
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1965, you would be able to buy a brand new (and Swedish) Volvo V60 in
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2019. However, if you invested in Berkshire Hathaway, you could have bought that Volvo at the price of a Barbie doll instead
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In terms of market value, Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger's Berkshire Hathaway now trails only five companies in the entire world
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Their excellent investing strategies have made Berkshire the largest
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conglomerate in the world, and they own some of the world's most famous brands through the company
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Can we learn something about how to invest in stocks from these two gurus?
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Of course we can. And we shall, because this is:
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A top five take away summary of: The University of Berkshire Hathaway, written by Daniel Pecaut and Corey Wrenn
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These guys have analyzed every word that Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger have spoken during the annual
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shareholder meetings of Berkshire Hathaway of the last 30 years
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Let's see what they have to say about Buffett and Munger's investing approach
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Takeaway number one: How to invest during times of inflation
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Inflation is an enemy to the investor
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What does it help if your portfolio has increased by say 10% per year
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during the last 10 years if inflation has been 10% during the same period?
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Answer:
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Nothing at all. You're just as rich or poor as you were a decade ago.
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The aspiring investor must learn how to beat this inflationary enemy
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And this may be extra important to study today,
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when pretty much every major Western economy have record low interest rates
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At least in theory, this should lead to higher inflation
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Let’s start out with what you shouldn’t invest in:
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- Currencies
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Well, this one pretty much explains itself. As long as governments around the world keep printing money, the value of currencies will decrease
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- Bonds
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There are some special cases, but with a regular bond, the idea is that you pay a fixed sum now, and in return,
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you get a fixed future stream of cash flows
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The value of this cash flow is proportional to inflation,
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which is the reason why investors demand higher bond yields in an inflationary environment.
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- Gold
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This may upset some, but according to Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger, gold isn't a good investment in an inflationary environment either
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Actually, it's not a good investment at all!
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Sure, it will keep its value during times of inflation, but so will ANY hard asset
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You may as well buy a piece of land or a painting. The problem is that these investments don't produce anything
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One kilo of gold will remain one kilo of gold even ten years from now
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Therefore, over time, returns from such investments will be mediocre.
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To prove a point:
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In 1987 the Van Gogh painting "Sunflowers" was sold for 40 million dollars, a record at that time for a piece of art.
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Someone calculated that, even that
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record-breaking piece had only had a return of 13% per year since it was created, which Buffett and Munger,
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with their 20% return, beat by a fair margin
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Okay, so what should you be investing in then?
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To cope with inflation, you should invest in assets that produce something
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Like a company in the stock market, for example
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Not only that though, you should invest in a business that employs relatively little capital and that has pricing flexibility
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The worst sort of company to invest in during times of inflation is one that requires a lot of capital just to stay in business
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Even IF the company can raise its prices, the profits will probably be offset by the investments that were required earlier
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Many industrial companies with a lot of tangible assets on their balance sheets fall into this category
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Companies that sell commodity products often fail the second test of pricing power
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One of Buffett's favourite examples of a company that fulfills both criteria is See's Candy
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When Berkshire Hathaway purchased it in
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1971, it had revenues of $25 million with $9 million in tangible assets
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Forty years later, it had revenues of $300 million, with $40 million of tangible assets
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In other words, See's Candy needed to invest only $31 million extra to generate
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$275 million more in revenues
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The very best way to secure your personal finances against inflation is to invest in yourself though
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If you increase your earning power, you will be sure to stay ahead of inflation
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More on this in the final takeaway
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Takeaway number two: What is investment risk?
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In academia,
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investment risk is defined as the volatility of an investment. If there are huge swings
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it must per definition be riskier to invest in, right?
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WRONG!
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Warren Buffett finds this measurement of risk to be silly
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How can an investment that alternates between a
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20% return and 80% return per year be riskier than a steady 5%?
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In Berkshire Hathaway, Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger defines risk as: "The possibility of harm or injury."
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In other words, something that can potentially damage your returns permanently
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With Buffett's buy-and-hold strategy of stocks, market swings are therefore irrelevant
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Instead, he looks at three different types of business risks:
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- Capital structure
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The higher the leverage, the riskier the business
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Excess leverage can sometimes cause people to make really dumb decisions, even if they've been very successful before
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This goes for individual investors as well, be very careful with leverage
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Buffett says:
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"Anything times zero is zero"
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- Capital requirements
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A company that requires a lot of capital just to stay in business is riskier than one that doesn't have this characteristic
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During times of financial turmoil, this may cause severe liquidity issues
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- Commodities. A company that is selling a commodity like product without any pricing power always face the risk of a pricing war
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During such times, only the low-cost producers survive
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Takeaway number three: Invest using filters
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Charlie Munger states that:
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"Few humans have an edge if they follow 40 companies or more"
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There simply isn't enough time to go around for you to investigate EVERY company in the stock market in detail
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Therefore, you must use filters so that you don't waste time on unproductive investing ideas
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Berkshire Hathaway doesn't have a one-size-fits-all system for filtering companies though, as
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Buffett and Munger
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think that each industry is different
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So regarding key ratios, such as price to earnings or return on assets, they have nothing generic to share
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However, they have two other types of filters that every investment they make must pass:
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- Great management,. If the company doesn't have great executives, who also act in the best interest of shareholders,
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Buffett and Munger will avoid it
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For more on this investing 101 tip, head over to my summary of The Essays of Warren Buffett
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- Circle of competence
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If you don't have a good idea of how the business will perform in the next, say, 5-10 years,
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you should simply avoid it
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This is one of the key principles to Berkshire Hathaway's great success
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Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger are masters of some industries and some businesses
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But more importantly, they know the boundaries of their competence
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For example - Berkshire has long stayed away from technology and pharma stocks
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Back in 1999, Buffett actually questioned if anyone could understand technology companies during the peak of the dot-com bubble
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He jokingly said that: If he was a business teacher,
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he would, for the final exam, present an Internet company and ask the students how much it is worth
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And anybody who gave him an answer, he would flunk
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Another interesting point regarding filters that Charlie Munger expressed during the year 2017 annual meeting was this:
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"You must fish where the fish are"
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China has a lot of fish. In the US market, there are too damn many boats
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Takeaway number 4: The share of mind principal
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Okay, here comes a quick test. I want you to say out loud the first company that pops up:
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- Soft drinks
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- Shaving blades
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- Smartphones
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- Ketchup
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- Kids movies
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Were these the companies that you came to think about? Please comment down below how many of them that matched with what you thought about!
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This is the share of mind principle
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The brands of these companies are so strong that they sometimes are mixed up with the products themselves
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It is not a coincidence that Berkshire Hathaway has owned, or currently owns, a
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substantial number of shares in these companies
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The advantage of these companies, as Buffett explains it, lies in the pricing power that such associations lead to
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For example:
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If you are thirsty and perhaps also a little bit tired and you need something refreshing, the go-to for many is a Coke
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On the other hand, if you need to free some time while the kids are at home, you put on a Disney movie
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You don't go for other products, because you're not certain that they will solve your problems
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Therefore, it doesn't really matter if Coke or Disney costs 20% more than their competitors
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The brand's have great pricing power
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Warren Buffett puts it as simple as this: "If share of mind exists, the market will follow"
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Take away number 5: Invest in yourself
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You are your own greatest asset.
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In George Clason’s “The Richest Man in Babylon”, it is suggested that you should always pay yourself first.
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Always, give yourself 10% of what you earn first. The world can have the rest.
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Charlie Munger read this book at an early age and learned about the power of compound interest
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Money, that earns money, that earns money that earns money ..
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Yeah. However.
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It was not until later that he also understood the power of mental compound interest
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He decided to always give himself the best hour of the day to improve his mind
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Then the world could have the rest
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In takeaway number one, I talked about how you can cope with inflation well if you invest in yourself
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For example, if you are the best surgeon in town, your wage will likely be more than indexed to inflation
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Warren Buffett spent tons of hours in his early days reading every single book he could fetch about investing from the local library
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Some of them even twice!
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He suggests that you should fill your mind about competing ideas and then see what makes sense to you
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if only there was a place where you could do that without having to spend tons of hours, and,
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without having to travel to the local library every day ...
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Hmm ...
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Also, the earlier you can start, the better
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Not only does money compound but as Buffett and Munger suggest - learning does as well
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Making your first investing mistakes while your account is still small,
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and to start building up a database of great stocks in your mind, is what they would advise every aspiring investor to do
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If you are still in your teens watching this, please comment "started early!" down below
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All right time to sum up:
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- Businesses that require little capital to grow and that possess pricing flexibility are the investors greatest defense against inflation
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- The risk associated with an investment is not dependent on the price fluctuations of its stock,
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but on the underlying characteristics of the business
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- Use filters to avoid wasting time on unproductive investment ideas
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- A great branded product is often a good investment. If share of mind exists, the market will follow
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- Invest in yourself
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Use compounding, not only for your bank account, but also for your mind
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I've made a few summaries of books about Warren Buffett before, and
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there's much much more that we can learn from this investing guru on how to make money
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than I wasn't able to squeeze into this single video
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So if you're interested in hearing more, click on my summary of Warren Buffett investing books.
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Cheers people!
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