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Stock Market Investing | Dividend vs Growth stocks - YouTube
Channel: unknown
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So let me start today's video by telling
you three very short, but very,
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very important stories
regarding stock markets.
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This will help you gain a fundamental
understanding about dividends.
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So the first story is about
a company called Majesco.
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So Majesco is an insurance
technology provider.
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And in 2020, it decided that it is going
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to give massive dividends,
massive dividends.
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So it gave out massive dividends for which
the yield was approximately 1000 percent.
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I'm talking 1000 percent.
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The yield was one thousand percent.
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The stock was trading
at approximately 250-300 levels.
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And then it rose to approximately
one thousand rupees. Then,
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now it is trading at ninety rupees.
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So a company that gave massive dividends,
it has now almost tanked,
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that's one. Second story is
about a company called ITC.
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Now we all know that ITC
has very stable cash flows.
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I have made a separate video on it.
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You can go and watch it.
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So ITC has very stable cash flows and it
gives dividends every single year
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in the range of five
to seven and a half percent.
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So very stable cash flows,
gives a lot of dividends.
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And ITC has been a relatively stable
company. Third company is Google.
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Google gives Zero dividend.
Over the last 15 years,
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this is how Google has grown
in terms of its portfolio size.
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So it started out at six point one
three eight billion dollars in 2005.
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Now the valuation is two hundred
and twenty billion dollars.
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I'm talking about billion, not million.
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So it's at 220 billion dollars.
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This is amazing. So 3 different
type of companies,
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one gave massive dividends, it tanked.
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Second is a stable company with stable
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cash flow, gives out dividend
regularly, and third is Google.
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It does not give any single rupee in dividend,
but the company itself has been growing.
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So what type of company
should you be investing in?
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Now, many of you would
say that hey Akshat
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we are not interested in playing
the individual stock game.
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We are mutual fund investors.
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So why should we even
listen to this video?
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You should listen to this video because
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even your money in Mutual fund,
it gets invested eventually in stocks
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that either pay dividends
or do not pay dividends.
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So on this video, we are going
to essentially understand three things.
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Number one, should you be buying stocks
that give out regular dividends?
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That's one. Second,
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we are going to take a look at how you
should develop your portfolio,
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how many dividend giving stocks
you should have in your portfolio.
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Third, I'm going to talk about how I am
investing in dividend giving stocks.
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So let's understand the entire
concept of dividend.
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Very, very important video.
Please stay tuned.
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Please watch it till the very end
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and just for fun now, I will start putting
trivias in the description box.
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So today's trivia is, check
the description box, but today's trivia is
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that tell me that why do PSU companies
give out a lot of dividends?
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I will post the answer sometime tomorrow.
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It will help me understand that you are
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intuitively learning some things
from these type of videos.
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Press the like button and let's
get this video started.
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So number one,
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let us try to understand that
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why is it that companies pay dividends?
Now, essentially whenever you're buying
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a stock, so let's say that you're
buying ITC or HUL, what are you doing?
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You're buying a business,
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you're buying a business,
you're not just buying a stock.
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Stock is just a representation
of a business.
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When you go and buy ITC stock or
Hindustan Unilever stock or Tata Motors
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stock, you are essentially buying
what? You're buying a business.
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This is a very important point.
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Now, every business model, be it Tata Motors,
Hindustan Unilever, they grow with time.
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It's like a living human
being, so it grows.
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So businesses also grow,
they change the nature.
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And therefore it is very difficult
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to predict how a business
is going to do. So
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now, let's imagine let's imagine a case
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that HUL, right. Now HUL has been
a very stable company.
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It has been growing over the years.
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So what they have is
that they need to grow.
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Every company needs to grow,
every human being needs to grow.
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So essentially, what is
HUL trying to do?
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What is the eventual goal
of HUL? HUL'S goal is to grow.
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That is what a simple one
word answer here would be.
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Now, how do companies grow? So companies
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grow by taking money and investing
in new projects.
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For example, instead of five factories
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that HUL currently runs, it might
start running 100 factories.
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For that, it needs to put in more money.
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It needs to invest.
Right.
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So this is called as project financing.
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I'm explaining it in very simple terms.
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This is almost an MBA class, give it
a thumbs up, MBA is very expensive.
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All this knowledge is free.
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Now, how are these projects financed?
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The first option is that HUL can go
to a bank and it can take a loan
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from a bank and it can pour in
money and finance the project.
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But HUL is already a big company
that does not need a loan.
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So it mostly funds this project
from operations income.
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So you must have seen on the balance sheet
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that there is something
called operations income.
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So this operation's income actually
finances their projects that if HUL has to go
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from building five factories, to
100 factories.
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It can literally pick up its operational
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revenues, all the stuff that it is selling
in a year, whatever money is coming in,
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it can pick up that money and use
it to grow their business.
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So this is called project financing.
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Now every project finance has something
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called as IRR, internal rate
of return, don't worry.
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Right.
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And you will understand all
these things very intuitively.
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So internal rate of return.
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I've given this example before
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that internal rate of return means that,
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for example, my internal rate
of return is 15 percent.
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Why?
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Because I believe that I can grow
my money, whatever I'm putting
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in the stock market at 15 percent. Now,
will I go and and invest in an FD?
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The answer is no.
Why? Because FDs only
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give me six, seven percent,
my internal rate of return is 15 percent.
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So I will make the investment in the stock
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market because my IRR is 15,
which is much higher than the FD returns.
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Now, if someone else's IRR is five
percent, they will say that
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we don't want to play the stock
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market game, we will simply go live
a peaceful life and invest in an FD.
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They are not incorrect.
I'm not incorrect.
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Right, both are fine.
Similarly, companies also have their own
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IRR, while making this project
financing decisions. So many times,
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what happens is that HUL, for example,
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in the current year, let's imagine
that it earns a hundred crores.
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Right now it is sitting on all
this cash, all this cash.
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Right.
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And now is not getting any projects
that it wants to invest in.
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It is saying that, you know what?
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We have already 100 factories now.
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We don't see any point in building
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the hundred and one factory,
but we are sitting with all this cash.
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So what do we do?
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So then they give it out
in the form of dividends to
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their shareholders, right?
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So this is the money that you
get in form of dividends.
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This is an oversimplified
explanation.
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This is something that I will hope
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that you will remember that if company is
sitting on excess cash and it does not
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know what to do with it,
it does not have more projects to finance
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which will serve its IRR,
which will serve its IRR,
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it just tells the investor that just take
this money and go and invest yourself.
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Right.
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So this is the reason why companies
declare dividends that they do not have
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better project financing opportunities
or investment opportunities.
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They just go and tell the shareholders
that, hey, take your money.
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We have made a lot of cash this year.
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Just go and invest yourself in different
projects, FDs, stocks that you deem fit.
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This is the primary reason why companies
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declare dividend that they do not have
better reinvestment opportunities.
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Now, answer in the comments that what
do you think would have happened
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that if HUL would have just kept this
100 crore rupees in their bank account?
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They would not have invested it,
this money would not have grown.
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It would have just been sitting
in their bank account eating junk.
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Right.
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And current account, you get
zero interest rate, by the way.
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Right.
So this is a very interesting fact.
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So I run multiple companies
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and the current account money
that is sitting in my bank account.
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I get zero interest rate on it.
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So similarly, if you HUL
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is keeping this entire 100 crore in cash
flow in their own bank account.
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They are making zero rupees
on it. Due to inflation next year
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this money will come down.
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So therefore it is better
to declare the dividends.
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So this is the number one reason.
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Now, there are multiple other reasons
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that it adds to the signaling effect
that if a company like ITC gives out
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dividends, it tells the shareholder
that this company cares about
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their shareholders,
people feel really good that, hey,
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we are getting dividends from the
company that we have invested in.
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They feel like a family member.
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So it acts as a signaling effect also.
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So these are a couple of very basic
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reasons why companies declare
dividends in the first place.
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Second, let us try
to quickly understand that
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is it a good thing that the company is
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paying dividend or is it a bad thing
that the company is paying dividend?
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So let us understand
this from an example.
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So right now, ITC is trading at two
hundred and eight point six.
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So you as an investor,
how do you make money that if this share
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price goes to 220, you will be making money
approximately 11.4 rupees per share
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right.
Or if the company is giving you dividends,
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for example, if you take a look at here,
this particular tab,
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the dividend returns are higher than it
would be because ITC usually has
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a dividend yield of six
to seven point five percent.
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These are the two ways in which you
are making money as a shareholder.
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Now, is it a good thing or a bad thing
that the company is paying dividend?
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My short answer is that it
does not matter right. Now,
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you would say that
I heard of Mr.
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Warren Buffett, he invests in companies
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that pays a lot of dividend
and he has strongly advocated it.
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Yes, he has advocated the fact that you
should go and invest in companies that are
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paying regular dividends,
because according to him,
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this is a good sign that if a company has
stable cash flows
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and if it is giving out dividends,
that's a good sign of a stable business.
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Right.
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He's not investing in companies
because they are paying dividends.
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He invest in stable businesses
and they end up paying dividends.
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Let me just very, very quickly,
right,
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without spending too much time here,
let me show you the financials of ITC
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and you will see that how stable a company
this is, even during pandemic, it's sales
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actually rose. So
from forty five thousand crores to 50,
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52, 51, approximately
the same 51905
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and profits have been somewhat stable
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again, very, very stable growth.
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It has stable growth, therefore it
has options of giving stable dividends.
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Similarly, Coca-Cola gives a dividend
of two point five percent.
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Now you will say that FD
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returns are like seven percent in
India, Coca-Cola is giving 2.5 percent.
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What's the big deal?
Actually, there is a huge deal.
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In the US, the inflation is very
low. In India, inflation is massive.
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It's up to five, six percent.
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So the two and a half percent
of dividend in Coca-Cola in which Mr.
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Warren Buffet is an investor,
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that in real terms comes out
to be more than ITC dividend.
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That's a very interesting fact.
Now just for fun,
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I will put a picture here of companies in
India that are paying massive dividends.
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You will be very tempted to invest
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in companies like Polyplex because it gives
a dividend yield of 17 percent, NLC, PNB
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like 14 percent,
13 percent yield its massive.
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So just look and zoom on
this picture for fun.
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It's very, very interesting.
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This will give you an understanding
of what type of companies are giving
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dividends. Now just to complete
the thought process there
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that is it a good thing that the company
is paying dividend or a bad thing?
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It really depends on the type of business,
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but generally speaking,
it does not matter at all.
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So let's imagine that ITC in total was
paying a dividend of hundred crores,
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the total dividend that needs
to go out to all the shareholders.
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So if it was hundred crores. Now in case ITC
decides that we are not going to pay
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dividends on this, then what
happens to this hundred crore?
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It gets added to their
balance sheet, right.
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It gets added to their balance sheet
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and that further propels
the price of the stock.
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And what did I tell you earlier?
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That how do investors make money?
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Either the stock prices go up
or the dividend yield goes up.
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So if they are reducing paying
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the dividends here and this is going up,
then honestly, it does not matter.
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What matters is that how productively and
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the economic concept pertains
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to the productive use of capital,
productive use of capital.
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Now, if this 100 crore rupees
can be used by ITC
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too generate a growth of, let's say,
10 percent, right.
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10 percent
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and you if they pay you a hundred crores
to you or me and if I can generate 15
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percent on it, then am I better
off taking the dividend or not?
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The answer is yes.
Right.
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But if you are an FD investor and you are
making only seven percent and ITC is
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growing your money at 10 percent,
then are you better off or worse off?
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The answer is that you are worse off.
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So it does not matter.
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The company is paying dividends or not as
long as they are reinvesting your money.
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Your money is that the cash flow that they
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are making now, you're
the owner of that money
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also, you are the part
owner of that money.
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If they pick that money and are able to
grow it, then you will anyways benefit.
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So it doesn't matter from that angle.
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So I hope that this complex topic is clear
to you. Now just to consolidate this point
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further, here is another table that I
would want to take a look at.
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And this has names of some of the biggest
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companies in the world that have
exhibited massive growth.
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If I ask you to name top five companies
in the world, few of them will be on this list,
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they pay zero dividend but have
exhibited massive growth.
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Their share prices have gone up
and they have benefited investors.
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So, for example, Google, Alphabet is Google
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and they do not pay any dividend
and their growth has been massive.
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Same goes for Amazon.
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Same goes for Alibaba,
zero dividend.
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Same goes for Faceboo,
zero dividend.
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But you will start seeing certain trends.
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So this is important to decipher
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and this brings us to point number three.
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Point number three is that there are
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certain types of businesses
that pay dividends
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versus not and this ties
into what I was explaining earlier.
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Now, if you take a look at that chart
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that I just showed you, Amazon, Facebook,
Google, Alibaba, zerod dividends. Why?
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Because these are tech firms,
they have great investment opportunities.
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You might have heard
that in Reliance jio, Jio platforms,
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Facebook, Google has made
massive investments.
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These are investments.
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They need money so they can
pay it out in dividends.
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They are saying Facebook,
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Google and Amazon are saying
that we are growth companies,
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we will anyway grow your money.
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So what will you do ny taking the money?
Give it to us.
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We will grow it for you.
So that is what is happening with these
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tech companies and they are somewhat
justified. Now on the other side,
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and please take a look at the trivia,
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because this is where
the answer emanates from.
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If you take a look at utility company,
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for example, electricity generation board
or very, very stable companies.
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They give out dividends.
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Another feature is that if the company is
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very mature, right,
then it might start giving out dividends
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because the company has
grown from this to this.
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It is already very big.
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It does not have any new investment
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opportunities, so it starts giving
out more and more dividends.
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So just to conclude this point that, hey,
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is it good, is it bad to invest
in dividend giving companies?
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It does not matter.
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What matters is that you are picking up
quality businesses here right in the first
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type of business, which are stable cash
flow, utility type of businesses and type
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two businesses, which are
technology growth oriented.
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I have said earlier in my multiple videos
that you should invest in what? Growth stocks
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plus you should invest in stable
stocks or defensive stocks.
[865]
This is the same concept here, right?
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Explained in another way through dividends.
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So Warren Buffett usually tends
to invest in these type of companies.
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Right.
[874]
Which have stable cash flows, Coca-Cola
type of companies with organic growth.
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He hardly makes any
investment in tech companies.
[881]
So I hope that this concept is clear
that you should have both stable defensive
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stocks and aggressive and growth
stocks in your portfolio.
[888]
It is very important.
So this brings us to the next point.
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And we need to understand that what are
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the pros and cons of dividend,
pros and cons of dividend?
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Now, there are three key points
that I would like to cover here.
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So first is regarding your age, right?
[902]
So if you are someone who is at a older
age, let's say 45-50 plus,
[907]
and you require a stable income source
where you do not have to do SWP,
[912]
systematic withdrawal plan,
or if you are doing a systematic
[915]
withdrawal plan, then you should pick
up stocks that are dividend giving.
[919]
Right.
For example, my mom and dad,
[920]
they deliberately asked me that hey Akshat, tell us
they don't say hey Akshat, they just come here and tell me this,
[926]
right.
[926]
So essentially, they invest
in dividend giving stocks.
[930]
They ask me that what
dividend stocks they can buy.
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And it makes sense at their age to invest
in more dividend oriented stocks.
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That's one.
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If you're young fairly your portfolio size
in dividend stocks should be less right.
[942]
You should be more growth oriented.
That's point one.
[945]
Point two is around tax treatment.
Now without becoming a CA
[949]
I'll just explain you the basic point
about taxation on dividends.
[951]
Up until last year, there was something
called as dividend distribution tax.
[955]
This was levied directly on companies.
[957]
For example, if ITC used to give out
[960]
a dividend of seven point five percent,
ITC used to file dividends on your behalf.
[964]
So there the tax treatment was
on the lower side that you used to pay less.
[968]
Now that rule has changed and now
dividends become a part of your income.
[972]
So if you're a high earner,
it is a bad move for you.
[974]
So the more dividend stocks that you have
[977]
on your portfolio, the more
tax that you will have to pay.
[980]
Now, I'm not a CA, I will not get
into the taxation treatment here now,
[984]
but simple, easy to understand lingo,
that nowadays government wants to make
[988]
more money, so they will
keep on taxing you more and more.
[990]
So this is one more hathkanda of the government
to taxing more by turning around this DDT rule,
[996]
dividend distribution tax rule and linking
it to your personal income tax now.
[1000]
So you end up paying
more in dividend stocks.
[1003]
But having said this,
[1004]
there is a massive benefit
in terms of owning dividend stocks.
[1009]
One is that if you are owning good
[1011]
dividend stocks, then your
cash flow gets stabilized.
[1014]
So, for example, if you're paying EMIs
on your house and if you know that every
[1018]
year I'm getting a stable cash flow
from ITC dividends, then it's fine.
[1022]
Right.
[1022]
I mean, there is a sustainable
source of income for you.
[1025]
It becomes like a passive
source of income.
[1027]
It becomes like a passive
source of income for you.
[1030]
You don't have to work for it.
[1031]
Company works for you
and they give you a dividend.
[1033]
It's good and reliable source of money.
[1035]
So it's good from that angle.
[1036]
So this brings me to the final part
of the video that what is it that I am
[1040]
doing in my portfolio and how am
I going about investing in this?
[1043]
So, yes, I have shown it earlier that I
follow the principle of diversification.
[1048]
I keep cryptos,
I keep real estate investments,
[1051]
I invest in aggressive stocks, I invest in
defensive stocks, stable stocks.
[1055]
In fact, if you watch my analysis of ITC,
you will understand that I have invested
[1059]
in ITC also. Why? Because it's
a dividend giving stock.
[1062]
So I need a little portfolio where I know
[1065]
that I'm going to get reliable cash flow
and that is the reason why I hold ITC.
[1069]
Now, if you are good at stockpicking
and if you are a seasoned investor,
[1073]
go and like me, buy ITC and similar
dividend giving stock and
[1076]
optimize your portfolio.
[1078]
Otherwise, my suggestion is now depending
on your age, you must have around 15
[1082]
to twenty five percent of your entire
capital in dividend giving stable stocks.
[1087]
So what are these stocks?
[1088]
I think Smallcase has done
a wonderful job on it.
[1091]
If you just go and type dividend
[1093]
aristocrats, this is a very good
Smallcase for you to consider.
[1096]
You can do a simple SIP
and start investing in it.
[1099]
You can take a look at the stocks and
weights, these are excellent companies.
[1104]
Asian Paints, brilliant.
Bajaj Finance, very good.
[1106]
Finolex, Excellent.
[1107]
HDFC Housing Development
Finance Corporation,
[1110]
it owns a part of HDFC Bank, wonderful
company, good mix of company, ITC Nesko.
[1116]
All these are very, very good
companies and they pay dividends.
[1119]
So you must dedicate your
portfolio on these type of stocks.
[1122]
So I hope you found this video to be
[1124]
useful and informative
and do check the description box.
[1127]
There's a trivia question I would want you
[1129]
to answer that and I will
post my answer tomorrow.
[1131]
So I hope you enjoyed the video.
[1132]
Please give it a thumbs up,
helps with the YouTube
[1134]
algorithm and share
my videos with your friends.
[1136]
A lot of you have been reaching out, they
have been saying that you love my videos.
[1139]
Thank you so much.
[1140]
And do keep supporting and I
will see you tomorrow.
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