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"How To Bet Football" Sports Gambling Advice From A NFL Betting Expert - YouTube
Channel: MyBookie Sportsbook
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Thanks for checking out how to bet football.
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I am Sean Green from the Sports Gambling Podcast
and I'm here to explain, simply how to bet
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on football.
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I know what you're thinking.
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Why should I listen to you, Sean Green?
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Well, since 2011 I’ve picked every NFL game
against the spread.
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I've gotten a lot right and I've gotten a
decent amount wrong.
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So I'm here to share with you my winning bedding
strategies and also a couple of mistakes you
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may want to avoid if you're new to betting
football.
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I'm going to walk you through the basics.
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The first is, what is the spread?
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Next to the team names you'll see a number,
in this case minus seven.
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And what does that mean?
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Well, it means the Browns have to win by seven
or more for them to cover the spread.
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Another way to bet on football is simply betting
the money line.
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It's the easiest bet to make in football,
and it's simply you're betting on who's gonna
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win the game.
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For instance, in this example, it's -300 Cleveland,
which means you have to bet $300 for the Cleveland
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brands to win and you'll win $100 if they
win the game.
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Let's say you like the Jets for some reason.
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Well, if you bet $100 on the Jets right now
and they win the game somehow, you'll win
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$240.
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The other main way to bet on football is with
the total, the total is the total number of
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points they expect to be scored in the game.
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Now you're either betting that total is going
to go over or under.
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For instance, the Browns score 35 the Jets
score 21 that's 56 total points it's going
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over.
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Let's say the Browns score 20 the Jets score
17 that total is 37 and the under would hit.
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The last way to bet on football is with prop
bets.
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Prop bets are a bet about a specific outcome
in the game.
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For instance, you think Odell Beckham Jr is
gonna score touchdown in this game.
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You can bet that at -140 which means you'd
have to bet $140 and if Odell Beckham scores
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a touchdown, you win $100.
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Now that we got through the basics, let's
talk about some winning football betting strategies.
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First off in the NFL, you always want to fade
the public.
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Anytime everyone's saying, “Oh Hey, they
can't lose!
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They're going to cover, they're gonna destroy!”
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That's the type of team you want to bet against.
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Why?
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Well, because when bookies, like MyBookie
set the betting line they're setting a number,
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they're trying to get equal action on both
sides of the bet.
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So let's say they open the line at (-7) but
everyone's betting the Cleveland Browns.
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Well, they may have to give the Jets some
extra points to get people to bet on the Jets.
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It's really hard to get people to bet on the
Jets.
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So let's say the move the line to eight points,
nine points, ten points, whatever it takes
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to get equal money on both sides.
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So if you're getting extra free points long
term, that's the side you want to be on.
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The next money betting strategy we're going
to hit on is the spread is dead theory.
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I know you're bummed out cause we just learned
about the spread and it's already dead, but
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it's the truth!
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In 2018 NFL season, the spread only mattered
18% of the time.
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And what does that mean when you're actually
laying these bets?
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Well it means there's not really a ton of
value in betting the Cleveland Browns (-300)
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right?
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Because it means when the favorites win, they
also cover the spread.
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And on the other side it's not really that,
it's not really worth it to bet the Jets (+7)
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because if the Jets are going to cover, they're
also probably going to win.
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So you're better off taking the Jets (+240).
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Another winning betting strategy to hit on
is taking the home team on Thursday night.
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Since 2014 up to the beginning of the 2019
season, the home team is covering 61% of the
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time.
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So if you're looking for some action Thursday
Night and are just blindly get a bet, take
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the home team.
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A couple of mistakes you want to avoid when
bedding on the National Football League.
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First off is don't bet with your heart, right?
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You have a favorite team.
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You want them to win, unless it's you know,
let's say the Eagles in Super Bowl 52, you
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want to avoid those situations where you factor
in in your own biases because you're blind
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to the team.
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You watch them all the time, you overlook
a lot of their glaring flaws.
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So when in doubt, avoid betting on your team.
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Another thing you're going to want to avoid
is betting on Kirk Cousins in primetime.
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I don't know why he can't win in primetime,
but he just can't and he has good numbers,
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but he just doesn't deliver in prime time.
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So avoid betting on Kirk Cousins in prime
time at all costs.
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Another situation you're going to want to
avoid is betting on the Kansas City Chiefs
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in the playoffs.
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Andy Reed is a great coach, but he just can't
figure it out in the playoffs and when the
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team wins, they don't cover the spread.
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So avoid betting on the Chiefs in the playoffs
whenever possible.
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Thanks again for watching “How To Bet Football!”
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