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Is TSMC scared? Lost the biggest customer! Huawei chips are fully supplied from Qualcomm. - YouTube
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Hello and welcome to this programme.
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Recently, we focus on huawei chip problem,
it is worth mentioning that as a result of
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the policy of the U.S. government, global
chip supply market appeared a huge fluctuations,
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international technology trade produced a
huge loss, but the recent situation has improved,
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the government finally agreed to relax restrictions,
restart the market transaction, At the same
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time, with the full cooperation and communication
of Huawei, TSMC, Qualcomm, ASML and other
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technology companies, the national chip market
may return to the track of stable and healthy
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development, and the positive development
of the semiconductor industry cannot be achieved
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without the efforts of everyone.
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Even if Qualcomm has obtained permission to
ship 4G chips, it is still able to maintain
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Huawei's basic business lines.
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From the latest news, Huawei may be equipped
with Qualcomm's 5G chip Snapdragon 778G when
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it holds a press conference in September.
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In other words, Qualcomm may officially resume
supply to Huawei next month, which means that
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Huawei will soon come out of the predicament
of mobile phone chips.
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While even in this condition, we are more
paid attention to whether Huawei's own business
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lines can proceed normally, such as whether
the self-developed Kirin chip of Huawei's
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HiSilicon can be foundry.
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As we all know, Huawei's mid-to-high-end models
are generally equipped with its own Kirin
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chips.
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In the industry, Huawei's high-end devices
have been able to gain a good reputation,
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not only because of the support of domestic
drivers, but also the high-quality experience
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based on the performance of the Kirin chip.
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China's chip imports climbed to nearly $380
billion in 2020, or about 18 percent of total
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domestic imports, as the U.S. ban prompted
companies like Huawei to stock up on chips.
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China bought nearly $32 billion of equipment
for chip production from Japan, South Korea,
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Taiwan and elsewhere in 2020, up 20 percent
from 2019, according to a Bloomberg analysis
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of official trade data.
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"In the short term, China will rely on imports
to improve its chip manufacturing."
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"China does not yet have the capacity to produce
the chip-making equipment needed for advanced
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processes," said Wang Dan, technology analyst
at Gavekal Dragonomics.
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But China is investing heavily and success
will take more than a decade."
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Chinese chipmakers like SMIC are buying more
of the equipment needed to make silicon wafers
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and chips.
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China has become the largest market for semiconductor
equipment in 2020, according to a December
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report by The International Semiconductor
Industry Association (SEMI).
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Chinese chip imports surged about 14 percent
in 2020 as Chinese companies stocked chips
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ahead of schedule due to restrictions imposed
by the U.S. China's chip imports and exports
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of smartphones and PCS have also been boosted
by strong demand for PCS as the COVID-19 pandemic
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has forced them to work and study from home.
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According to statistics, China's chip imports
of more than $300 billion come from Taiwan,
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South Korea, Japan, the United States, Malaysia,
the Philippines and Vietnam.
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Taiwanese companies, including TSMC, have
benefited the most.
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Demand for chips will continue to grow in
2021, with the International Semiconductor
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Industry Association forecasting in December
that global chip sales will grow 8.4 percent
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this year, with companies such as TSMC, Intel
and Samsung Electronics continuing to benefit.
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Chinese chipmaking companies will also continue
to buy semiconductor equipment to produce
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more chips, which will help companies like
Tokyo Electronics and ASML grow sales.
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The point is that for the prerequisite for
the restoration of Huawei's Kirin chip foundry,
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TSMC, which has the first chip manufacturing
technology, must obtain a supply license.
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Therefore, some media reports have made a
reasonable prediction that TSMC is likely
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to supply Huawei.
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Qualcomm's full supply is imminent, is there
conditions for TSMC to resume foundry?
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First, Qualcomm's frequent upward appeals
have preliminary results, and TSMC can follow
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suit.
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According to the current results, Qualcomm's
cry has played a certain role.
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Although Qualcomm is the world's leading chip
design company, and has won the first position
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in the global mobile chip market, it is all
based on Qualcomm's embrace of the Chinese
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market.
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You know, in addition to Apple and Samsung,
domestic mobile phone manufacturers such as
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Huawei, Xiaomi, Oppo, Vivo, and OnePlus account
for most of the global mobile phone market
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share, while the mid-to-high-end models of
the last four manufacturers are basically
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equipped with Qualcomm processing.
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Chip, which established its market share.
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For Qualcomm, if it wants to continue to grow
or maintain its market share, it must actively
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embrace the Chinese market.
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Therefore, in the long run, the replacement
of domestic chips is an inevitable trend,
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and Qualcomm is worried that its share will
be divided.
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In the same way , not only is the 28nm lithography
machine off the assembly line at the end of
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this year, but more importantly, the domestically
produced lithography machine will achieve
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14nm mass production next year, which means
that TSMC's share will also be divided.
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In addition, Shanghai Microelectronics' new-generation
lithography machine has completed technical
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testing and certification, which means that
localized substitution is coming sooner than
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expected.
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Therefore, TSMC can follow the example of
Qualcomm by appealing to obtain a license
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for the foundry of Huawei's 4G Kirin chips
to stabilize its position.
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Second ,it is conditional exchange.
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To begin with, TSMC builds production lines
to replace labor permits.
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We all know that most of Qualcomm's orders
are made by TSMC, and even part of Intel's
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orders for the entire layout have been handed
over to TSMC.
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In other words, the chip manufacturing technology
in the United States is backward, and the
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process of 7nm and below cannot be completed
so far.
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Previously, the United States invited TSMC
to build production lines for 5nm and 3nm
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high-end chips in their home country.
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Naturally, they were interested in TSMC's
advanced process manufacturing technology.
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Under this circumstance, media comments predict
that TSMC can build factories in exchange
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for licenses to replace workers.
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It is also possible.
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After all, the United States is anxious about
high-end chip manufacturing capabilities.
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What鈥檚 more , Qualcomm chips replace Huawei's
Kirin chips.
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In the field of high-end chips, Huawei, Apple,
Qualcomm, and Samsung are obvious to all.
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Among them, the 5nm chip Kirin 9000 based
on EUV technology has been on the market earlier
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than its peers.
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Therefore, this is enough to illustrate the
research and development capabilities of domestic
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chips.
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In addition, the capabilities of 5G technology
are well known.
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In this case, industry insiders predict that
TSMC's foundry license can be obtained through
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chip replacement.
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In other words, all Huawei mobile phones are
equipped with Qualcomm's 5G chips, so Kirin
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chips cannot be used.
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HUAWEI chips usher in a turning point!Qualcomm's
full supply is imminent, is there conditions
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for TSMC to resume foundry?
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Although this argument can solve short-term
problems, the author believes that this measure
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is not feasible.
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The chairman of Huawei has made it clear that,
in any case, HiSilicon's chip research and
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development will continue.
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Moreover, the key point is that the domestically
formulated goal of 70% chip autonomy must
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be unswervingly achieved.
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Therefore, on the whole, regardless of the
accuracy of the disclosed 5G chip recovery,
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it is certain that the top priority is to
fully realize the domestic substitution of
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chip design, manufacturing, and lithography
equipment, which is a long-term benefit.
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China has overcome multiple difficulties and
promoted the chip production and manufacturing
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process, which is also a manifestation of
the spirit of self-reliance and self-reliance
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of the Chinese nation.
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Faced with the current shortage of domestic
chips and the chip production and manufacturing
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technology is not mature enough, China can
unite the power of all walks of life.
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In a short period of time, through continuous
research, the process of independent manufacturing
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of chips has been greatly improved, which
has also promoted the development of China's
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science and technology.
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Advanced chip production can lead China's
high-end manufacturing industry to make new
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breakthroughs.
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It is believed that in the future, Huawei
can truly achieve self-sufficiency in chip
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production without the need for chip foundry.
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To sum up, the Chinese chip technology has
made the very big breakthrough, no matter
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from the chip design and chip manufacturing,
to the production stages, including build
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a chip of semiconductor industry chain, science
and technology of China is using his actions
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chip technology to the world a lesson, we
also believe that, with alibaba, under the
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guidance of Chinese technology companies such
as huawei, The development of China's chip
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technology will continue to break new highs,
to become a scientific and technological power,
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no longer subject to the technology blockade
of foreign countries, and at the same time
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drive the high-quality development of China's
economic level.
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This is also in line with the realization
of China's strategic goal of becoming a scientific
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and technological power and the ambitious
goal of becoming a world-class power.
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