Fundamentals for Soft Commodities | how to trade agricultural commodities - YouTube

Channel: The Diary of a Trader

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Hi.
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And this video I'm taking a look at fundamentals for soft commodities now soft commodities
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are going to be grains livestock.
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Just think agricultural products.
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So for example if you are interested in trading the wheat markets you would need to know what
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the outlook is for the wheat crop worldwide.
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But the largest mover without a doubt is going to be the USDA the United States Department
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of Agriculture.
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And you can see here on the website that I'm on USDA dot gov is their official address
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and here you can pull down quite a bit of information and it tells you all about the
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USDA bid for traders.
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They're really going to be interested in certain reports.
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So you click on agency reports tells you the release dates of reports coming up which of
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course is very important.
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And in this particular case it's the coming week and I'll tell you what's coming out.
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So for example let's say that you decided that you wanted to trade cattle.
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There is a announcement on Friday and give you an idea of what the cattle markets might
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do.
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There are obviously plenty of other markets that you can get involved in and there are
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some pretty obscure reports like sweet potatoes and sugar beets which you're not going to
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trade.
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But nonetheless it is there you can go to latest leases and some of these are going
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to affect the market some of them are just going to be the USDA business in general.
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And that being said you can look for various releases that may affect the markets and you
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want to trade.
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And as you can see there is a lot to glean from these Web sites.
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The most important ones of course are going to be the ones that you go and you look and
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you see in case you missed it and it gives you the results.
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This gives you the results in a PDA format and of course news story.
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It also will telling you how much there's a podcast available.
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How much was produced in wheat and corn etc. and that is exactly what you're looking for
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you're looking for things such as you know how much is the wheat market going to be affected
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by supply.
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Is there an oversupply of wheat.
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Are the wheat crops doing well.
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If they're doing well and they're doing very well then an oversupply should drive down
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price.
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On the other hand if there's been a drought it's possible that we would have issues with
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supply and that of course brings up the price of such things as wheat corn whatever you
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know.
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So it is definitely a Web site that you need to look at.
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Not every week is going to have your particular announcement.
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You could be looking at wheat next week or maybe it's three weeks down the road.
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But nonetheless you do need to get an idea of what's going on in the markets as far as
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supply and demand.
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And that gives you the opportunity to project longer term trade production agriculture.
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You know you can see what the production has been you know and what the USDA is doing to
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help expand that and get results sooner or later you get the ability to get an idea of
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where price should go if there's a lot of pressure then obviously you want to own that
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commodity.
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On the other hand if it seems like there's more than enough obviously it might be something
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you want to short.