What is LIBOR? | The Big Explainer | Refinitiv - YouTube

Channel: Real Vision Finance

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So the spectrum of the LIBOR based聽 instruments is very, very, very wide, and聽聽
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a total notional of LIBOR instruments is around聽 300 trillion. So it's it's huge. It's massive.
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Welcome to The Big Explainer.聽聽
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Funding markets are essential to the聽 financial plumbing of the global system.聽聽
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Businesses and consumers across聽 all parts of the economy will聽聽
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probably have loans or mortgages that were聽 referenced off LIBOR in its various forms.聽聽
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LIBOR is a benchmark of which an estimated 300聽 trillion dollars worth of products are referenced.聽聽
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That's the equivalent of over four聽 times the size of the global economy.聽聽
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This is a huge market and a key, but also normally聽 mundane component of the financial system.聽聽
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Funding markets were, however, brought into聽 sharp focus during the financial crisis of 2008.聽聽
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LIBOR was then hit by a price fixing scandal that聽 has influenced an overhaul of this massive market,聽聽
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with the changes to be implemented聽 by the end of next year.聽聽
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So what is LIBOR? I asked Alex Hardouin,聽 Head of Rates at Refinitiv for an overview.
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LIBOR just refers to London Interbank聽 Offered Rate, so it's meaning of rates,聽聽
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it is representative of the rates at which large聽 institutions, large banks could fund themselves in聽聽
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selected currencies for certain tenors. So it has聽 been there for almost since the 80s, pretty much,聽聽
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it is across five currencies. It was, it is聽 still based because it is still active, that's聽聽
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what you have to that people have to understand.聽 It is based on submission's provided by 20 banks.聽聽
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So normaly these submissions are intended to聽 reflect where the market is. The thing is that聽聽
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back in 2013, 2014, there has been some聽 manipulations of those submissions,聽聽
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meaning that the banks that were submitting LIBORS聽 were submitting a rate, which was not the rate聽聽
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effective on the market, but the rates delivered聽 of the rate at which they want that rate to be.聽聽
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So that has caused a big issue in the market聽 that everybody talked about at that time.
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LIBOR is a generic name in reality,聽聽
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there are a number of different聽 IBORS for different currencies.
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I mentioned five currencies, so聽 the L in LIBOR stands for London,聽聽
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but IBOR is used of course in the UK, in the US,聽聽
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in the Eurozone, there is an equivalent called聽 Euribor, which is the euro version of the LIBOR.聽聽
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And then you have LIBOR in a lot of different聽 geographies. So when we are talking about LIBOR聽聽
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transition is not only the LIBOR per-se, but it's聽 all those IBOR type risk free rates. So you will聽聽
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very often hear about LIBOR transition, IBOR聽 transition or transition to new risk free rates.聽聽
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And those risk free rates are very different from聽 the LIBOR. I mentioned that there were various聽聽
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tenors which allowed to build term structure from聽 overnight. Spot one week, one month, two months,聽聽
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three months, six months, one year. So pretty much聽 the near end of the curve was there with LIBOR.聽聽
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Most of those ex-IBOR rates are now replaced by聽 overnight index rates, which are daily rates, and聽聽
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those rates are very different in nature. So LIBOR聽 was a risk free range, which is considered to be聽聽
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an asset risk free with with no premium on top of聽 it. Overnight is the same, it's also considered聽聽
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to be risk free rates, is used as a benchmark聽 by the market so that's why it's so important.聽聽
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And the new risk free rates are overnight based.聽 So for US, it's now called SOFR, for Sterling,聽聽
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it is SONIA, for euro, it is ESTA for Japan聽 LIBOR, it is TONAR for Swiss, LIBOR it is SARON.
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This funding market is a key聽 part of the plumbing because聽聽
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of the size of the market and the wide聽 range of products that it influences.
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So it's important because you have derivatives聽 like interest rate swaps, basis swaps聽聽
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OIS, cross-currency basis swaps, swaptions,聽聽
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caps and floors. So the spectrum of the LIBOR聽 based instruments is very, very, very wide.聽聽
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And a total notional of LIBOR聽 instruments is around 300 trillion.聽聽
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So it's it's huge. It's massive. So that's聽 why it's a big, big challenge for all market聽聽
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participants. And it will be the number one topic聽 in 2021 for anybody in the fixed income market.
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One of the key differences between the聽 new reference rates and the old IBOR rates聽聽
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is that the new reference rates are based聽 off actually traded overnight rates,聽聽
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which are far more liquid and therefore聽 more accurate than the old IBOR rates聽聽
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where the regulators were concerned that these聽 were no longer liquid enough for this key market.聽聽
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Alex focuses on OIS or overnight index swaps.聽 This is an interest rate swap where the reference聽聽
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rate is an overnight rate, but the term of聽 the swap is fixed over a specific period.
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So the first very important data that people need聽 is the fixing itself. So which means the SOFR聽聽
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rates for US, for instance, or the SONIA rates or聽 the SARON or the TIBOR or ESTOR for euro. You need聽聽
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that fixing. So what we have, we see liquidity聽 in the overnight index swaps. So we will see a聽聽
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lot of SOFR OIS, SONIA OIS, ESTOR. We'll we see聽 a bit of liquidity coming on TIBOR and SARON,聽聽
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but are less developed. I would say that SONIA聽 is the most developed then SOFR then ESTOR.聽聽
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You find some short term interest rate features聽 from the values exchanges and then you will find聽聽
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derivatives like the basis swaps SOFR against聽 LIBOR, for instance, typically, which is聽聽
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something quite important to monitor because聽 you see the difference between SOFR & LIBOR.聽聽
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Also to price existing LIBOR deal is the asset聽 that, you know, there's a need to have a fallback聽聽
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rate. Or fallback language to to to transfer聽 existing LIBOR deals into the new risk free rates.聽聽
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So we will display that rates very, very soon聽 on our offering. There's also something very聽聽
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important and on top of those either broker聽 data or fixing data or fall-back. We are also聽聽
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calculating curves and curves are really, really聽 important in order to price those derivatives.聽聽
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So we have a SOFR base curve and聽 that curve is very accurate because聽聽
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now that we see liquidity on the OIS SOFR market,聽 we are getting trades executed on trade web, which聽聽
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is partially owned with by Refinitiv. So it means聽 that we can have US SOFR OIS on our terminals.聽聽
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And out of that, we create a very, very聽 accurate SOFR curve that then you can use聽聽
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to either discount cash flows of existing聽 rates, derivatives, and that is very important,聽聽
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you know OIS discounting it's also been聽 something very popular since few years,聽聽
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because the logic behind is that banks or anybody聽 in a swap needs to discount using the most聽聽
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the most liquid funding source. And OIS is a very,聽 very liquid funding source. And we have those聽聽
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curves OIS curves built for SOFR, ESTOR, SONIA聽 and it's building up on SARON and TIBOR. And then聽聽
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what we can do with those curves is that you can聽 price, meaning you can create any kind of swap.聽聽
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So we have tools in, for instance, in EIKON聽 terminals such as a Swap Pricer or in Excel,聽聽
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we have Excel function where people can value聽 swaps. If you want to enter into a new swap,聽聽
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being spot starting for starting or calculate聽 the net present value of an existing swap,聽聽
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you can use those curves to聽 project the future cash flows.
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Because the new rates are references聽 of liquid overnight rates,聽聽
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they don't have forward looking prices.聽 The old IBOR rates had a term structure聽聽
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or prices long different maturities such as聽 one month to three months. New term structures,聽聽
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therefore, will now need to be calculated for the聽 new reference rates from these overnight rates.
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I mentioned in the introduction聽 that the new risk free rates are聽聽
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backward looking, whereas聽 LIBOR was forward looking. So聽聽
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you don't have that element of term structure聽 such as you had in the past with LIBOR,聽聽
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where you had an overnight, the next one month,聽 three months, six months, and you could derive聽聽
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a curve directly from the LIBOR. You don't聽 have it anymore with with SOFR. So that's why聽聽
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we use the OIS SOFR contributions that we are聽 getting from either tradeweb or the interdealer聽聽
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brokers. But we are also calculating term rates聽 for customers, even for somebody who would need to聽聽
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enter into a mortgage, for instance, which used to聽 be against LIBOR three months. Now you don't have聽聽
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that three months point anymore. So what we are聽 building now is the what we call the term rates.聽聽
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So Refinitiv has submitted SONIA term rates and we聽 are working on SOFRt term rates ESTOR term rates聽聽
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to have that element also of tenors and calculate聽 term rates forward looking based on compounded聽聽
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OIS rates. So that's also something very important聽 for the marketplace, as well as providing聽聽
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calculation tools. So people need to be able to聽 calculate their forward cash flows. So we are聽聽
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also working on an Excel spreadsheet and little聽 app in EIKON that calculates compounded rates,聽聽
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which is very important on any on any dates,聽 meaning that even if you have a nonstandard swaps,聽聽
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you will be you will be able to calculate your聽 cash flows using the compounded rate calculator.聽聽
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So that's the things we are working on, and the聽 thing with the element we think are needed by聽聽
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the market for the numerous conversations聽 we are having with market participants.
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Many regulators are focusing on a transition to聽 take place over the next 12 months, which doesn't聽聽
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leave much time for both financial firms and their聽 customers to adapt to the new reference rates.
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From the discussion we've had with all聽 sorts of customers from buyside corporates,聽聽
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large sell side, everybody now gets ready for the聽 transition, meaning that everybody needs the data.聽聽
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I've just mentioned the valuations, the tools are聽 all there. And and as as I said, introduction that聽聽
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will be the number one priority in 2021 for a lot聽 of people because LIBOR is meant to stop in 2021.聽聽
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So then you will need to use the alternatives,聽 risk free rates and the new risk free rates聽聽
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and the associated data and and聽 the tools that we are providing.
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This is a very large market that is about聽 to change. Some have argued that these聽聽
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funding numbers are the world's most important聽 numbers because so much of our financial system聽聽
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is based upon them. But the transition will聽 involve considerable cost for financial firms.聽聽
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Some products may reference obsolete聽 numbers after the transition has been made.聽聽
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Communicating these changes will be a significant聽 challenge. The old IBOR is embedded in companies聽聽
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operating models, and transition may lead to聽 unexpected windfall losses and gains. The whole聽聽
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financial framework will be grappling with these聽 significant changes over the coming 12 months.