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What is LIBOR? | The Big Explainer | Refinitiv - YouTube
Channel: Real Vision Finance
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So the spectrum of the LIBOR based聽
instruments is very, very, very wide, and聽聽
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a total notional of LIBOR instruments is around聽
300 trillion. So it's it's huge. It's massive.
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Welcome to The Big Explainer.聽聽
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Funding markets are essential to the聽
financial plumbing of the global system.聽聽
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Businesses and consumers across聽
all parts of the economy will聽聽
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probably have loans or mortgages that were聽
referenced off LIBOR in its various forms.聽聽
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LIBOR is a benchmark of which an estimated 300聽
trillion dollars worth of products are referenced.聽聽
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That's the equivalent of over four聽
times the size of the global economy.聽聽
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This is a huge market and a key, but also normally聽
mundane component of the financial system.聽聽
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Funding markets were, however, brought into聽
sharp focus during the financial crisis of 2008.聽聽
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LIBOR was then hit by a price fixing scandal that聽
has influenced an overhaul of this massive market,聽聽
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with the changes to be implemented聽
by the end of next year.聽聽
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So what is LIBOR? I asked Alex Hardouin,聽
Head of Rates at Refinitiv for an overview.
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LIBOR just refers to London Interbank聽
Offered Rate, so it's meaning of rates,聽聽
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it is representative of the rates at which large聽
institutions, large banks could fund themselves in聽聽
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selected currencies for certain tenors. So it has聽
been there for almost since the 80s, pretty much,聽聽
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it is across five currencies. It was, it is聽
still based because it is still active, that's聽聽
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what you have to that people have to understand.聽
It is based on submission's provided by 20 banks.聽聽
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So normaly these submissions are intended to聽
reflect where the market is. The thing is that聽聽
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back in 2013, 2014, there has been some聽
manipulations of those submissions,聽聽
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meaning that the banks that were submitting LIBORS聽
were submitting a rate, which was not the rate聽聽
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effective on the market, but the rates delivered聽
of the rate at which they want that rate to be.聽聽
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So that has caused a big issue in the market聽
that everybody talked about at that time.
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LIBOR is a generic name in reality,聽聽
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there are a number of different聽
IBORS for different currencies.
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I mentioned five currencies, so聽
the L in LIBOR stands for London,聽聽
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but IBOR is used of course in the UK, in the US,聽聽
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in the Eurozone, there is an equivalent called聽
Euribor, which is the euro version of the LIBOR.聽聽
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And then you have LIBOR in a lot of different聽
geographies. So when we are talking about LIBOR聽聽
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transition is not only the LIBOR per-se, but it's聽
all those IBOR type risk free rates. So you will聽聽
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very often hear about LIBOR transition, IBOR聽
transition or transition to new risk free rates.聽聽
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And those risk free rates are very different from聽
the LIBOR. I mentioned that there were various聽聽
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tenors which allowed to build term structure from聽
overnight. Spot one week, one month, two months,聽聽
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three months, six months, one year. So pretty much聽
the near end of the curve was there with LIBOR.聽聽
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Most of those ex-IBOR rates are now replaced by聽
overnight index rates, which are daily rates, and聽聽
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those rates are very different in nature. So LIBOR聽
was a risk free range, which is considered to be聽聽
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an asset risk free with with no premium on top of聽
it. Overnight is the same, it's also considered聽聽
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to be risk free rates, is used as a benchmark聽
by the market so that's why it's so important.聽聽
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And the new risk free rates are overnight based.聽
So for US, it's now called SOFR, for Sterling,聽聽
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it is SONIA, for euro, it is ESTA for Japan聽
LIBOR, it is TONAR for Swiss, LIBOR it is SARON.
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This funding market is a key聽
part of the plumbing because聽聽
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of the size of the market and the wide聽
range of products that it influences.
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So it's important because you have derivatives聽
like interest rate swaps, basis swaps聽聽
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OIS, cross-currency basis swaps, swaptions,聽聽
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caps and floors. So the spectrum of the LIBOR聽
based instruments is very, very, very wide.聽聽
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And a total notional of LIBOR聽
instruments is around 300 trillion.聽聽
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So it's it's huge. It's massive. So that's聽
why it's a big, big challenge for all market聽聽
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participants. And it will be the number one topic聽
in 2021 for anybody in the fixed income market.
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One of the key differences between the聽
new reference rates and the old IBOR rates聽聽
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is that the new reference rates are based聽
off actually traded overnight rates,聽聽
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which are far more liquid and therefore聽
more accurate than the old IBOR rates聽聽
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where the regulators were concerned that these聽
were no longer liquid enough for this key market.聽聽
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Alex focuses on OIS or overnight index swaps.聽
This is an interest rate swap where the reference聽聽
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rate is an overnight rate, but the term of聽
the swap is fixed over a specific period.
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So the first very important data that people need聽
is the fixing itself. So which means the SOFR聽聽
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rates for US, for instance, or the SONIA rates or聽
the SARON or the TIBOR or ESTOR for euro. You need聽聽
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that fixing. So what we have, we see liquidity聽
in the overnight index swaps. So we will see a聽聽
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lot of SOFR OIS, SONIA OIS, ESTOR. We'll we see聽
a bit of liquidity coming on TIBOR and SARON,聽聽
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but are less developed. I would say that SONIA聽
is the most developed then SOFR then ESTOR.聽聽
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You find some short term interest rate features聽
from the values exchanges and then you will find聽聽
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derivatives like the basis swaps SOFR against聽
LIBOR, for instance, typically, which is聽聽
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something quite important to monitor because聽
you see the difference between SOFR & LIBOR.聽聽
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Also to price existing LIBOR deal is the asset聽
that, you know, there's a need to have a fallback聽聽
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rate. Or fallback language to to to transfer聽
existing LIBOR deals into the new risk free rates.聽聽
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So we will display that rates very, very soon聽
on our offering. There's also something very聽聽
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important and on top of those either broker聽
data or fixing data or fall-back. We are also聽聽
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calculating curves and curves are really, really聽
important in order to price those derivatives.聽聽
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So we have a SOFR base curve and聽
that curve is very accurate because聽聽
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now that we see liquidity on the OIS SOFR market,聽
we are getting trades executed on trade web, which聽聽
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is partially owned with by Refinitiv. So it means聽
that we can have US SOFR OIS on our terminals.聽聽
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And out of that, we create a very, very聽
accurate SOFR curve that then you can use聽聽
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to either discount cash flows of existing聽
rates, derivatives, and that is very important,聽聽
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you know OIS discounting it's also been聽
something very popular since few years,聽聽
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because the logic behind is that banks or anybody聽
in a swap needs to discount using the most聽聽
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the most liquid funding source. And OIS is a very,聽
very liquid funding source. And we have those聽聽
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curves OIS curves built for SOFR, ESTOR, SONIA聽
and it's building up on SARON and TIBOR. And then聽聽
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what we can do with those curves is that you can聽
price, meaning you can create any kind of swap.聽聽
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So we have tools in, for instance, in EIKON聽
terminals such as a Swap Pricer or in Excel,聽聽
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we have Excel function where people can value聽
swaps. If you want to enter into a new swap,聽聽
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being spot starting for starting or calculate聽
the net present value of an existing swap,聽聽
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you can use those curves to聽
project the future cash flows.
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Because the new rates are references聽
of liquid overnight rates,聽聽
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they don't have forward looking prices.聽
The old IBOR rates had a term structure聽聽
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or prices long different maturities such as聽
one month to three months. New term structures,聽聽
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therefore, will now need to be calculated for the聽
new reference rates from these overnight rates.
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I mentioned in the introduction聽
that the new risk free rates are聽聽
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backward looking, whereas聽
LIBOR was forward looking. So聽聽
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you don't have that element of term structure聽
such as you had in the past with LIBOR,聽聽
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where you had an overnight, the next one month,聽
three months, six months, and you could derive聽聽
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a curve directly from the LIBOR. You don't聽
have it anymore with with SOFR. So that's why聽聽
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we use the OIS SOFR contributions that we are聽
getting from either tradeweb or the interdealer聽聽
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brokers. But we are also calculating term rates聽
for customers, even for somebody who would need to聽聽
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enter into a mortgage, for instance, which used to聽
be against LIBOR three months. Now you don't have聽聽
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that three months point anymore. So what we are聽
building now is the what we call the term rates.聽聽
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So Refinitiv has submitted SONIA term rates and we聽
are working on SOFRt term rates ESTOR term rates聽聽
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to have that element also of tenors and calculate聽
term rates forward looking based on compounded聽聽
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OIS rates. So that's also something very important聽
for the marketplace, as well as providing聽聽
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calculation tools. So people need to be able to聽
calculate their forward cash flows. So we are聽聽
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also working on an Excel spreadsheet and little聽
app in EIKON that calculates compounded rates,聽聽
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which is very important on any on any dates,聽
meaning that even if you have a nonstandard swaps,聽聽
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you will be you will be able to calculate your聽
cash flows using the compounded rate calculator.聽聽
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So that's the things we are working on, and the聽
thing with the element we think are needed by聽聽
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the market for the numerous conversations聽
we are having with market participants.
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Many regulators are focusing on a transition to聽
take place over the next 12 months, which doesn't聽聽
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leave much time for both financial firms and their聽
customers to adapt to the new reference rates.
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From the discussion we've had with all聽
sorts of customers from buyside corporates,聽聽
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large sell side, everybody now gets ready for the聽
transition, meaning that everybody needs the data.聽聽
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I've just mentioned the valuations, the tools are聽
all there. And and as as I said, introduction that聽聽
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will be the number one priority in 2021 for a lot聽
of people because LIBOR is meant to stop in 2021.聽聽
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So then you will need to use the alternatives,聽
risk free rates and the new risk free rates聽聽
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and the associated data and and聽
the tools that we are providing.
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This is a very large market that is about聽
to change. Some have argued that these聽聽
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funding numbers are the world's most important聽
numbers because so much of our financial system聽聽
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is based upon them. But the transition will聽
involve considerable cost for financial firms.聽聽
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Some products may reference obsolete聽
numbers after the transition has been made.聽聽
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Communicating these changes will be a significant聽
challenge. The old IBOR is embedded in companies聽聽
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operating models, and transition may lead to聽
unexpected windfall losses and gains. The whole聽聽
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financial framework will be grappling with these聽
significant changes over the coming 12 months.
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