The Consumer Price Index (CPI) - YouTube

Channel: EnhanceTuition

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In this video you will learn about the consumer price index.
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It is a method to measure inflation that is commonly used throughout the world.
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Each country examines different sets of data, but uses a similar approach.
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Before explaining the CPI it is important to understand what a market basket it.
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The market basket is a fixed set of goods and services whose prices are used to calculate
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changes in prices year on year.
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The goods and services in the basket vary by country due to differing consumption habits
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and also have different weightings.
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The consumer price index is measured by analysing the price of the goods and services in that
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market basket.
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Well now that we know the CPI is measured by looking at changes in the prices of the
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market basket, let’s see how it’s actually done.
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Let’s look at a series of years and the nominal prices of the same market basket in
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each year.
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We’ll start with 1990 and use it as our base year.
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By base year I mean it will be the year against which we compare changes in price.
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It is the beginning year for this set of data.
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In the second column we list the nominal prices of the market basket each year.
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You can see a trend of increasing prices and we’ll use this information in the final
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column to calculate our price index.
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The CPI is calculated by dividing the current price of the market basket by the market basket
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of the base year, which is then multiplied by 100.
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It’s also very important to remember that the CPI is not a percentage so we don’t
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add a percent sign afterwards.
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Applying this formula to each year we are able to arrive at the consumer price index
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from 1990 to 2005.
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I’ve used simple calculations to illustrate but you may see some examples that are slightly
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more complicated than this.
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By looking at the CPI over years, we can calculate the inflation rate.
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Let’s see how that works.
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In this table we’ll layout the same years and the CPI we calculated for each year.
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As we’re always comparing to the base year, we’ll also calculate inflation for each
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year compared to the base year of 1995.
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When calculating the inflation rate, it’s vital that you subtract the CPI of the comparison
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year from the CPI of the new year and then divide by the value of the comparison year.
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We don’t always calculate inflation against a base year, and it’s far more common to
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see year on year comparisons of inflation as well as monthly comparisons.
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The information provided in this slide is just to act as an illustration.
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The following inflation rates have been calculated for each year.
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We always include the percentage sign when calculating the inflation rate.
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Always ensure that you’re calculations are written out as such if necessary.
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Don’t skip any steps in your work when responding to exam questions.
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Although these calculations help provide us with a picture of inflation and how prices
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are changing, there are some issues surrounding the use of CPI as a measure of inflation.
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The ‘typical household’ does not represent every household
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The market basket used in the CPI is based on purchases made by a typical household.
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It’s not an exact science and since we tend to buy different goods and services, the CPI
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does not apply equally to us all.
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2.
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Product substitution - as goods and services become more expensive people switch away from
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them.
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For example, if beef becomes more expensive, people may start consuming lamb.
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Therefore the CPI can overstate inflation if it accounts for goods and services that
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people are consuming less of due to increases in price.
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3.
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Consumption of new products is unaccounted for - the market basket updates but may not
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include new products that people are using more frequently.
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It takes time to catch up to consumption trends so the CPI will not always capture new goods
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and services.
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4.
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Changes in quality - If certain goods increase in price but also increase in their lifetime
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use, it is not accounted for in inflation.
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If products bought this year last longer, then their per use price could work out lower
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than the previous year product’s per use price.
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The CPI does not account for this.
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5.
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Outlet substitution - As the price of goods and services rise, people may change where
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they buy these new items.
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Whereas before they may have purchased certain goods from supermarkets, they may now be shopping
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at discount outlets, online stores and food wholesalers.
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That brings us to the end of our session on the consumer price index.
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While there are other ways to measure inflation, the CPI is the focus for the CIE syllabus.
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You should also be familiar with the GDP deflator which was referenced in the nominal vs real
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data video earlier in the inflation series.
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As always, I hope you found this video helpful in developing your understanding of the CPI
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and the methods by which to measure inflation.
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If you have any questions leave them in the comments below or email me at [email protected].
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You can also tweet me @enhancetuition.
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That’s us done for now and I will see you in the next one!