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Tether: Crypto's Biggest Threat - YouTube
Channel: Max Maher
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Tether, the largest stable coin in the world
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can't seem to stay out of trouble.
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Shady ties to shadow banking,
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lawsuits and potential connections to
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short-term Chinese corporate debt.
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- Do you smell a scam in Tether?
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- I've been saying that since, wow, since 2017
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because there is no transparency in Tether.
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That's the problem.
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- Tether executives reportedly facing a criminal probe
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- Tether accused of concealing from banks,
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but these transactions were linked to crypto
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- It's possible that Tether and by proxy the
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entire crypto market has been providing backdoor finance
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into the property sector in China.
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- If true, this would have a cataclysmic effect on the crypto market.
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So is this the end for Tether?
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Should we stay away completely?
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To understand the full picture, we need to know what Tether is.
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Tether is a fiat-collateralized stablecoin
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under the ticker symbol USDT.
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And this is just a fancy way of saying
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Tether is a crypto that's always worth $1,
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and this just offers the ability to buy and sell blockchain based assets
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without having to worry about price fluctuations.
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The idea is if investors don't have to
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worry about volatility, they'll just go ahead and
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leave their money deposited on crypto exchanges.
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Tether originally launched as RealCoin in July 2014
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before rebranding later that year to Tether.
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From small beginnings came massive growth.
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As of December 12, 2021,
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Tether had total assets amounting to $77.4 billion,
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and they've only grown.
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Their assets have increased 360%
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since the beginning of 2021.
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If Tether was a country,
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it would be the 91st largest by assets, just ahead of Libya.
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when the Panama Papers revealed 11 million documents
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spilling the golden beans about 200,000 offshore companies.
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The Panama Papers leaked that another company,
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previously only speculated to be affiliated with Tether,
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had actually set up Tether in the British Virgin Islands in 2014.
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This company was Bitfinex,
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the 37th largest crypto exchange in the world,
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and behind the scenes puppet master of Tether.
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And this is important because Bitfinex
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outright lied about their ties to Tether
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prior to the Panama Papers leak in 2016.
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And the reason that this was kept secret
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became clear as this was just the start of a series of
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bad choices, legal battles and questionable behavior that
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the companies haven't shrugged off to this day.
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The first big legal scandal started back in 2017,
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when Wells Fargo and other banks decided
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to stop processing transactions
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between the exchange of Taiwanese banks and its US customers.
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This forced Bitfinex to turn to a shadow bank
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for payment processing.
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This company is called Crypto Capital Corp.
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This banking relationship created even more trouble for Bitfinex.
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And the thing is, Crypto Captial Corp has a list of its
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own controversies as well from allegedly stealing from clients,
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covering up losses and a criminal manhunt.
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But either way, by 2017, four years after its incorporation,
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Crypto Capital Corp was the go to shadow bank
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for many prominent cryptocurrency exchanges.
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BitMEX, Bitfinex and Kraken were all clients.
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Now, as scary as the name shadow banking sounds,
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it's really not that serious.
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A shadow bank simply provides services similar
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to commercial banks, but does so on the
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outside of normal banking regulations.
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Okay, that still sounds bad, but it's not, I promise.
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Insurance companies and even pawn shops could be considered
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part of the shadow banking industry.
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In fact, the shadow banking industry
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is about six times larger
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than the regular banking industry. It's huge.
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But hold on. What does this have to do with Tether?
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Well, Tether is the sister company of Bitfinex.
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In fact, both Bitfinex and Tether
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have the exact same executives.
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So not just sister companies, but
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more like identical twin sister companies.
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Either way, the connection was deeper than just people.
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Tether lent Bitfinex $625 million
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after BitFenix was hit with a massive loss
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that it held with a certain payment processor, Crypto Captial Corp.
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With so much money missing, the Bitfinex exchange
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was not functioning properly,
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and this caused huge delays and
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transaction issues for customers.
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This is when authorities caught wind.
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The New York Attorney General's office contacted three companies,
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Tether, Bitfinex and their parent company, iFinex.
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This order requested the companies to
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stop everything and report to them immediately.
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What the Attorney General's office uncovered
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was that the money BitFinix had lost through Crypto Capital Corp,
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was actually direct from Tether's reserve.
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And we haven't even talked about the messages yet.
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The New York AG found messages between a
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Tether-Bitfinex executive under the alias of "Merlin"
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and a Crypto Capital Corp executive
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who goes fittingly by the name "Oz".
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The messages showed Merlin pleading and begging Oz
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for the return of their missing cash,
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hundreds of millions of dollars
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in missing cash from Tether's reserves.
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And this is important because all 70 billion USDT coins
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are supposed to be backed exactly by $1,
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a promise that was proudly advertised on their website,
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a promise that can't be true if
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Tether's missing $850 million.
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Well, a few months later, Tether changed their website,
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changing it to say every Tether is 100% backed
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by reserves, not cash.
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Reserves can include currency, investments,
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or loans made by Tether to third parties.
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So problem solved, right?
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If you can't meet your promises, change them.
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Bitfinex eventually settled with
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the New York Attorney General's office in February 2021
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by paying out $18.5 million in fines.
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Yet it's still a mystery of what Crypto Capital Corp did
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with the missing $850 million in cash,
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something we may never have a clear answer to.
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But the story for Tether doesn't end here.
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It's really only just beginning because
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suspicions continue to swirl as to whether
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Tether even has a full asset backing,
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much less a one-to-one dollar backing.
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They do have third party audit reports done,
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which appear to happen on a quarterly basis,
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and the most recent report shows full asset reserves.
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But there are questions as to what
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they're investing this money into and a call for more transparency.
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Bloomberg published an investigative article
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alleging that USDT was partially backed by
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short-term Chinese corporate debt, possibly Evergrande.
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- Social media footage shows crowds
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protesting in front of the offices of the
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Chinese real estate developer, Evergrande.
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- One of China's biggest property developers.
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- It's one of the most indebted companies in the world.
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- Evergrande borrowed a lot of money,
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what we call offshore in international financial markets.
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- And it might not be able to pay it.
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- Government is continuing
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we can see just how far this bleeds into the system.
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- Evergrande and China's looming risk to Tether.
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- There's rumor that Evergrande holds quite a bit of Tether.
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- Tether claims this is simply a publicity stunt.
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They say that Bloomberg was taking snippets
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of old news from dubious sources
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and trying to fit this predetermined narrative.
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They say that the Bloomberg piece cites
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misinformation from a disgruntled individual named John Betts,
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the former head of Noble Bank, a bank that Tether fired.
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Hindenburg Research has since offered a $1 million reward
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to uncover Tether's true backing.
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Tether also responded to this by calling it
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a cynical, pathetic bid for attention.
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Based on all available information, I've put together
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this chart of Tether's assets.
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We can see currently, only 10% of their reserves
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is held in cash, 28% treasury bills,
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16% in loans, bonds, funds and precious metals,
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44% in commercial paper with an average rating of A-2,
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around 1.6% or $500 million
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of their commercial paper is rated too low
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to be to be given an investment grade.
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This is the debt that has eyes on it,
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but their debt and asset reserves aren't the only concerns.
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Tether had another massive scandal when
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a group of traders alleged that Bitfinex
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used USDT to manipulate the cryptocurrency market
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during the 2017 and 2018 bull runs.
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This appears to be unlikely, though,
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as one of the largest claims was debunked.
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The CEO of Circle, a Tether competitor,
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stuck up for Tether here saying that
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exchanges use wallets that pool all customer balances together,
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and therefore an analysis that shows a single wallet
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was involved in this stunt can't be accurate.
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This wouldn't likely crash the markets, but
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it could change the way that crypto is transacted.
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The Stablecoin Act of 2020 proposed to
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outlaw stablecoins in the United States.
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However, this bill hasn't gained much traction.
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A more likely occurrence would be a crackdown
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on stablecoins in conjunction with
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a government issued stablecoin referred to as a CBDC.
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Now that we understand Tether's history, I want to
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talk about stablecoin lending and why rates are so
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high compared to interest rates found in traditional finance.
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There are very few opportunities to earn
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8% to 20% interest on cash like you can through stablecoin lending.
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I have personally made $22,000 this year
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through lending stablecoins alone.
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I'll have this site linked in the description
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if you're interested in trying it out for yourself.
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The average interest earnings savings account in the US
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is currently 0.6%, over 100 times less than what you can get
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lending out Tether or other stablecoins.
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How is this possible?
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How is this sustainable?
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There's a few factors at play here.
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The first is risk.
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Crypto does not have access to
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traditional financing options that more established sectors have.
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And on top of this, there's no
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FDIC insurance on your stablecoin holding.
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This means the supply and demand curve
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for stablecoin lending might look a little bit different
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than regular old US dollar lending.
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Most people wouldn't trust putting all their
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money in a stablecoin, but they do trust a bank account.
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And then we have borrower credit worthiness.
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Many crypto loans are taken by people
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who may not be able to get loans
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elsewhere due to credit risks.
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This leads to higher rates.
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Now exchanges do counter this risk
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by implementing insurance funds,
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but there is additional risk.
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And finally some of the rates are fake.
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Well, kind of.
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Exchanges know that if they offer high yields on these "risk free"
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stablecoin lending rates, users will flock to their platform.
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Because of this, many exchanges will simply
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lose money paying out these rates
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in order to attract more customers.
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So will rates remain this high forever?
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Probably not.
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More regulation will come, bringing more safety to the space,
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and companies will eventually begin lowering their rates
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as they attract more and more users.
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So where does all this leave Tether?
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Given the amount of publicity that this company
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and its reserves have received,
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it's hard to say that they will ever collapse.
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Even if they did collapse, they're so large that we're
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getting to the point of too big to fail territory.
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A collapse of Tether would collapse crypto in general,
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we don't want this to happen.
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The best thing we can hope for is
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more use of other stablecoins with more
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trustworthy backings and frequent third party audits.
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The biggest two in terms of safety and popularity
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are USDC and Dai.
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USDC was founded jointly by
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a company called Circle and by Coinbase.
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They receive monthly audits.
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Dai takes a bit of a different approach in that it's
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not backed by fiat but instead backed by other cryptocurrencies.
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Djed is a soon to be launched algorithmic stablecoin
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built on the Cardano blockchain,
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Magic Internet Money is the largest stablecoin on Avalanche
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and is backed by fiat dollars.
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So the problem is, at this point in time,
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it's hard to get away from Tether completely.
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If given the choice, I prefer not to use it.
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But that's not always an option.
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However, the good news is that alternatives seem to be
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getting more and more popular.
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We seem to be slowly getting out this
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abusive relationship with Tether.
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So from here I would like to let you know about my Patreon.
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I'm on a mission to create the best resource
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for financial content on the planet.
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Every month we're adding new, exciting things like
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high level coaches and daily signals
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on top of regular buy alerts, a private community and additional content.
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I am really, really proud of this community.
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You can check it out linked in the description of this video.
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From here, I recommend checking out this video
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on the best methods to store your crypto safely
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and I would like to thank you so much for watching
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and I hope you have a profitable day!
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