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This Is About To Happen To GOLD!! - Chen Lin | Gold Prediction - YouTube
Channel: The Financial Brief
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okay when people start to have a tiny
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little bit advertised to put money out
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and people feel like
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uncertain about the future they tend to
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put money into gold
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actually you found out that every uh
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recession every downturn in the stock
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market go always the first to come out
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of it always the first so if you think
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about that in 2000 2008 and then even
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the recently
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2020
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uh stock market crash gold come out
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first so
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for even for investors not interest in
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gold you're watching gold price actually
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can give you a direction of the where
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market is going to be in the next few
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weeks or a few months what happened was
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there's a margin call there's a fear
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usually
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money goes to the cash the sideline
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right and then the u.s dollar go very
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strong that's negative for the gold so
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when the market crashed gold actually
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tends to go down initially however
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when there's a lot of money on the side
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okay when people start to have a tiny
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little bit advertised to put money out
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and people feel like
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uncertain about the future they tend to
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put money into gold it would be bad for
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gold but if you think about that
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people are talking about a co-worker
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potentially raising a very high-end
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crash everything including gold but that
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was then this is now we have 30 trillion
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i mean united have 30 trillion in that
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okay if interest will go up even you go
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up to four percent you think about how
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much trillions of money will pay each
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year for the interest rates you think
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about there's so much population in in
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the in us united states right now people
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will say oh we don't want to pay the fat
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cat the saudi arabia we don't want to
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pay china or the interest rate right
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there will be our rule on that so i
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don't think united states for the fed or
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the interest rate can go to a very
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significant high actually necessary to
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crash inflation i don't see that
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happening which will rise faster
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interest rates or inflation from now
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oh intrusion will rise into a different
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right but i see personally i feel
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inflation there's a very strong
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evidence there's a lot of
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materials are going down but other
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prices are going on computer components
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like ipads going down because there was
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over built during the pandemic the price
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is dropping very hard i said in my one
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of my slides the memory went down 70 in
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the past few months so there
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the good inflation already start coming
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down but it really is a service a house
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those inflation will take will stay for
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a while so i see in general inflation
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rate
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may come down a little but interest
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rates will come up definitely if you
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look at the united government data it's
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q1 it's already q2 we are actually
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writing very very soon okay at the end
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of uh
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this month is end of q2 then the data
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will come out in august there's a very
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reasonable chance q2 or we may go
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negative on gtp again then the two
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quarter of negative gdp it's a recession
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so many companies are laying laying out
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people i mean the crash and then the
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sentiments going down consumer
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sentiments lowest in the decade so all
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these come we still have a few weeks to
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go for the for the quarter we may have a
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negative quarter again oh recession is
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already here
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what science is a lot of in a lot of
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sectors in a lot of sectors you think of
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what you know stock market is a leading
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indicator okay and then you have a
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consumer demand consumer willingness to
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buy good buy buy car by large item all
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these are at a historical low
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right so the fact if they that
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they they're tightening probably already
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people already pre already preset
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pre-prepared for that the market stock
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market the four looking
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animal right they already look at
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forward they say oh we we will have a
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crash so that's why everything's coming
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down in the past few weeks has gold
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typically been a leading related lagging
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indicator of a reset of a economic
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recovery actually it is a leading
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indicator every time gold bottom first
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gold goes up and then the economy
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becomes
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what happened was usually if you watch
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it carefully each time gold goes up and
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then stock market goes up after a few
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weeks or a few months a nine general
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market goes up because everything is so
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gold actually is a canary in the coleman
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so
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for everyone for the method not
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interesting gold watching gold can give
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you a good indicator of the where market
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goes when you first sell off right now
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we are in the middle of the huge money
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pile into the
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bank account in the sidelines and the
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waiting the collecting zero or negative
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interest rates people are so scared
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gold actually is a
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tiny tiny tiny tiny risk right if you
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want to take a little bit of risk which
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thing you buy first thing you buy is
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gold because and also people see coming
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out of the recycling gold will do very
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well so when people willing to a tiny
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little bit of risk they go to gold we
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have to see the tech the data in q2
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right we still have a few weeks
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and
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and then we potentially getting real a
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real recession next year okay what when
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we coming out of it i think it's i one
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day
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we can watch that the
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finally blink they say okay we we cannot
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you know tighten like this anymore
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that's when the gold will rally really
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really hard and then
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a lot of other risk assets will rally
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and then we that's where we start coming
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out of research maybe we need to do
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another qe oh i personally i think the
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best investment still in commodity
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because if you look at all the past
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recessions okay the the inventory
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commodity not just gold and silver uh
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inventory are quite low okay so and then
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the commodity price likely dropped but
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beca and but then the quick any quick
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stimulus the commodity price will come
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back very quickly in particular i like
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silver i think where i the eve of a
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silver boom for the next decade okay so
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you were bearish on the crypto
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currencies what about stocks do you
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think the s p 500 the nasdaq has fallen
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enough
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oh i think they've fallen a lot uh if
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it's enough if the bottom i'm not sure
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they may go down another five ten
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percent easily yeah okay but for invite
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long-term investor you should start
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looking for opportunity in gold stock in
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ada in biotech and other stuff gold star
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should do well go struggle very well
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yeah go to talking to learn that like in
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the
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1930s 1920s 30 i mean at that time gold
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price was fixed yes okay gold prices
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were fixed and then the the economy
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stock market going down the cost is
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going down
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okay a lot of people looking for a job i
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had to go start it very well i'll
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perform everything
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