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Does U.S. debt matter? | CNBC Explains - YouTube
Channel: CNBC International
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U.S. debt is ticking up.
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In fact, every second, national debt
increases by thousands of dollars.
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So just since you started watching
this video, debt has gone up.
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U.S. national debt is
more than $21 trillion.
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Yep, that鈥檚 12 zeros!
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Having trouble visualizing it?
Well, think of it this way.
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You could wrap $1 bills around the Earth more
than 80,000 times with that amount.
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So how did we get here?
Well, it's simple really.
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The government is spending
more money than it鈥檚 taking in.
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The government makes money
in one key way: taxes.
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Your income or payroll taxes are
revenue for the government.
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It then spends that money on things like
social security, health care and defense.
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The catch is the government doesn鈥檛 have enough
revenue to pay for all of these programs at once,
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so it borrows money in the
same way that you or I might.
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For example, as a consumer, it鈥檚 good for me to be
able to take out a loan for things like a car or a home.
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Without credit, I probably wouldn鈥檛 be able to do that.
It kind of works that way for the government, too.
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Without borrowing money, the
government wouldn鈥檛 be able to
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invest as much in education, national
security and infrastructure.
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So how does the government borrow
money? Well, it issues bonds.
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Investors and central banks buy U.S. debt
in the form of Treasury bonds and securities,
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and they get returns when the government
pays interest on those bonds.
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Of the $21 trillion debt, around $15.5 trillion
is defined as held by the public.
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The other $5.7 trillion is money the federal government
owes itself, for example in social security trust funds.
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When it comes to debt held by the public, six
percent is owned by state and local governments
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and 15% by the Federal Reserve.
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Foreign investors hold 39% of American debt
with China and Japan as the two biggest buyers.
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The remaining 40% is owned by U.S. investors.
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So that means the biggest buyer of U.S.
debt is actually the American people.
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So does all of this debt matter?
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Most economists would agree the
short answer to that question is yes,
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but there's plenty of debate
over just how much.
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Economists generally think it鈥檚 okay for debt to
increase when the economy needs a boost.
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You can see in this chart, federal debt held
by the public spiked during World War II
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and during the financial crisis, when the government
borrowed money to boost the economy.
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The problem is that the federal debt is set to
continue to increase to its highest level since 1946,
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even though the economy
is now in much better shape.
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The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act is passed.
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One reason for this is a big law
Congress passed at the end of 2017
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that lowered taxes without cutting spending,
which will result in even more borrowing.
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Another reason the national
debt is likely to grow?
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America's population is getting older.
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And that means the government will need to
pay for more programs for senior citizens.
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For example, spending will increase on
Medicare, Medicaid and social security.
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Some investors have gotten used to sky-high
debt levels that have become the norm,
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not just in the U.S., but around the
world since the financial crisis.
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U.S. bonds have remained a popular investment
and the country still has a AA+ credit rating,
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meaning it鈥檚 rated one of the safest
places in the world to put your money.
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But economists, policymakers and politicians
have warned that a debt crisis is looming
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where the U.S. won鈥檛 be able to pay
its bills or where it鈥檚 already so deep
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in debt when the next crisis hits
that it can't spend its way out of it.
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U.S. Director of National Intelligence
Dan Coats called the growing debt a
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In April, the International Monetary Fund
warned about record-high global debt levels,
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and it said the U.S. needs to address
solutions for its growing deficit.
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The Fund found that over the next five years
the U.S. is the only advanced economy
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where debt relative to GDP is likely to increase.
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That鈥檚 not even the case for Italy or Greece, countries
that have notoriously struggled to pay their debts.
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Some here on Capitol Hill have said the
growing debt needs to be addressed now
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by doing things like raising taxes or cutting spending.
But, so far, their efforts have fallen short.
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As Congress kicks the debt can down the road,
Wall Street doesn鈥檛 seem too worried yet.
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That could change as interest rates go up, meaning
the U.S. owes even more to pay off its debt.
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In fact, just since you鈥檝e
been watching this video,
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interest on the national debt has
increased by more than a million dollars.
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Hey everyone, it's Elizabeth.
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Thanks so much for watching our
video from here in Washington.
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Be sure to check out more of our
CNBC Explains over here.
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We're also always taking your
suggestions for future ideas
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so leave those in the comments section, and
while you're at it, subscribe to our channel.
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Bye for now!
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