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Cavenagh Capital: statistical concepts help macro traders deal with a changed world - YouTube
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The statistician who became a "coffee boy".
Asian opportunities in mis-pricing the odds in events occurrences.
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Cavenagh is seeded by IMQubator which is backed by Dutch pension fund APG.
Proximity to Asian markets is key.
Focusing on probabilities: how themes and events are priced in Asia.
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Statistical concepts help macro traders deal with a changed world:
Markets have become heteroskedastic: standard deviation of random errors not constant.
Move from unimodal to bimodal world affects global macro.
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