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How to Construct a Butterfly Spread - YouTube
Channel: SJ Options
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Hi there everybody!
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This is Morris form San Jose Options.
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Today, we're going to talk a little bit about
the long butterfly option strategy.
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Over the years, this has been one of my favorites.
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Typically, I use the unbalanced butterfly
style or broken wing but first we're going
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to talk a little bit about your basic at-the-money,
long butterfly.
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This strategy is a limited profit, limited
risk strategy that involves 3 different strikes.
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You're going to be selling the strike in the
middle.
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This could be constructed with calls and puts
or just calls or just puts.
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When you construct the spread, it's going
to look something like this.
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And you'll buy one over here and then you'll
sell two in the middle and then you'll buy
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one over here.
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Typically, this will be at-the-money, right
in the middle.
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The goal in this type of trade is to make
money as the underlying goes sideways.
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You'll be looking for something that maybe
forming a neutral type of channel and something
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that's not too volatile and kind of stays
within that kind of channel as you go through
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time.
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If you do that, then this strategy can be
very rewarding.
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This could be done with calls, where you would
have a long call, 2 short calls and one long
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call here.
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You can also do this with all puts, where
you have a put, 2 short puts and a long put.
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Or you can actually have a put, a short put,
a short call, and a long call.
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There's different ways to do it.
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If you do it using puts and calls, then they
typically call it an iron butterfly.
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Those are just some basic terms.
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Let's move down and see what else we can discuss.
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When to use the butterfly spread?
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We talked about this a little bit.
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If you think that your underlying asset is
really going to go sideways for a decent amount
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of time but I'll also talk about another way
to make money with this type of trade.
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And that's when you think volatility of your
underlying is going down.
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If you know, the volatility is going to drop,
then, you can make some money with this spread.
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One thing we like to do is in at-the-money
butterfly over earnings.
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Typically, over earnings, you're guaranteed
that the volatility is going to drop on your
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underlying asset.
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This is one of the strategies that we do sometimes,
on our course and we do these butterflies
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at-the-money or slightly out of the money
or broken wings over earnings.
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To do this, obviously, it helps to have some
statistics and that's one feature that we
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actually have in our course.
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We have an instant back tester for you to
help you with earnings that'll actually scan
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through them, back test and everything for
you and we could do, for example, 4,000 back
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tests in about 1 minute to help you pick those
out.
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This is a great way.
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Sometimes it works, sometimes it doesn't.
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The key is to find your underlying that tends
to not move so much over earnings.
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You're looking for once it moved maybe, let's
say, less than maybe 5%.
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If you find these symbols like apple, apple
tends to work really well.
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But if you find ones that move about 5% or
less over earnings and then the volatility
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drops, let's say, 20 to maybe 30%, we drop
over earnings they typically make pretty good
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return.
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That's just another time that you might use
this type of strategy.
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Profit expectations, your profit are going
to be maximized when you're right in the middle
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of that butterfly.
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Again, if it's with calls, it'll be right
at the short call.
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If you're doing puts, it'll be right at that
short put you get towards the expiration.
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Not easy to do but, I mean, certainly could
happen if you do a lot of them.
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Typically, with this spread you'll probably
exit before expiration.
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It may not be wide enough to go into expiration
unless you do a really wide one.
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Maximum profit must get into, let's see, the
breakeven.
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You're going to have 2 breakeven points with
this spread.
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Typically, it's going to look something like
this.
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You may have a zero line and it comes right
through and you'll have your breakeven here
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and a breakeven here.
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Anywhere between this point and this point
is going to be a profit.
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Outside, over here, which is this zone here
and then that zone there will be a loss.
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You have to finish above the zero line.
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Basically, all this would be profit.
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This would be a loss and then over here would
be a loss on the trade.
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Typically, at expiration, it's about maybe
40% wide probability, or POP we call it: probability
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of profit at expiration.
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That's going by your black shawls formula
in typical pricing models using the standard
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deviations.
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It is a rather low probability trade.
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The payout could be pretty high if you happen
to stay towards the center of that butterfly.
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Let's talk a little bit about managing the
trade.
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Obviously, if you don't adjust the trade,
then you could realize that maximum loss.
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I'll just show you some basic adjustments,
maneuvers you could do.
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Let's say you have your butterfly here and
let's say you start in the middle, so this
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again is like your zero line.
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Let's say the underlying starts to go this
way.
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As the underlying goes this way, you can take
some of this side off and you can raise this
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leg right that and it's going to help flatten
it, your delta, and help protect this side
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so you don't lose all the way down here because
you raised it up to here, for example.
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There's different ways you could do it.
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You could take off part of this spread or
you could actually add to this spread, make
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this come down farther and then that's going
to tilt it.
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It's almost kind of this tilting back and
forth, back and forth and you're trying to
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balance that trade out and keep the delta
rather flat.
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If the market went this way, you could do
the opposite where you could take off some
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of this, move this side up higher or drag
this side down lower and again balance at
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your delta so you minimize your risk.
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In most cases, you won't realize a maximum,
most cases you won't have this maximum or
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this maximum but you can certainly have some
decent losses especially if the market whips
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ours around, then you're kind of titter tottering
back and forth all the time.
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That could be the tough part of the trade.
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But if it does trend one way, then you could
keep doing your adjustment and have really
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not a lot of loss on it which is kind of nice.
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The key behavior will not show up until the
final month.
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There is an interesting topic, again, about
decay.
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When you're talking about decay rates, when
they're at-the-money, they're actually not
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really that fast.
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You have, in this particular spread, you have
your short contracts here and then you have
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your long ones to the sides, where this is
at-the-money in the middle.
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Your at-the-money is actually going to decay
slower than these outside contracts.
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That's what so interesting about this spread
because you have a positive theta and even
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though this is close to the money, it has
the highest theta possible because it's right
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at-the-money.
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However, it's decay rate, and it's something
we really get into in our program, but your
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decay rate here
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at-the-money is lower.
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You have a higher theta, so theta is higher
but your decay rate is actually slower right
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here at-the-money.
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In this case, if you're doing an iron butterfly,
you would have, again, you would be short
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a put, short a call, long a put, long a call,
and this one here is going to be decaying
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faster than this one and this one's going
to decay faster than this one too.
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Your middle decay is the slowest but it has
a higher price and it has more thetas.
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The overall trade has higher theta but if
you actually look at the decay rate of each
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of the strikes, the middle part is decaying
the slowest.
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These decay first and then you'll get this,
that's why you get this thing that kind of
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curves down.
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It'll kind of curve down here because this
one loses its value so does this one.
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And then toward the end, the middle part decays
and then this will go up to the top part the
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last week or so of the trade because this
is the last part that should decay at that
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slowest decay rate.
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Very interesting trade.
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Covered a lot of things here, negative vega:
you can make money on this when volatility
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drops up here to like the one other thing
that you can think about is the way it talks
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about how the time decay doesn't show up to
the last month.
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That's 'cause this last part actually decays
over here at the money but just remember that,
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I mean, the trade could make money one month
out, for example, or even two months out.
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Go ahead and test them over earnings and you'll
find out.
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The reason is is because of volatility.
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Remember, with your option pricing model,
the volatility's the strongest factor in that
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pricing model.
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As volatility drops, you can actually move
all the way up to the top of the butterfly
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really fast.
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You don't have to be at expiration.
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You can just maximize a profit or get close
to it or at least 20-30% sometimes, even if
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the trade's out a month or two, if there's
just a collapse in volatility.
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This is, the time decay thing, is true but
remember that volatility can certainly play
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a very important role with this type of trade.
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There you have it.
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Hope you enjoyed that tutorial on the butterfly.
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Remember for more information, go to sjoptions
dot com (sjoptions.com) and we're also working
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on some amazing software for you guys that
has a tool that no other platform in the world
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has.
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Check us out and have a good night.
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Good luck with your trades!
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Thanks for watching this tutorial.
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