Price to Cash Flow Ratio (P/CF) | Formula | Example - YouTube

Channel: WallStreetMojo

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hello everyone welcome to the channel of WallStreetmojo or watch the video till
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the end and also if you are new to this channel then you can subscribe us by
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clicking the Bell ican friends today we are going to learn a tutorial on price
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to cash flow ratio we are going to learn formula how to calculate this ratio and
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we are going to see the examples of the same so let's get into the nitty-gritty
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of the same so first and the foremost thing I'm going to show you a graph
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basically a chart as you can see over here Chevron's price to earnings ratio
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and Chevron's cash flow ratio so the first and foremost thing is that the
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currently the p/e ratio Chevron is close enough to in the neighborhood of
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149.88 so what do you think about Chevron's valuation at
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the very first end it is a definitely a sell however most of the analysts they
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have given Chevron's either a strong buy or a buy rating but none of the analysts
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has given in a sell rating now are they nuts
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why did why did they give by rating to Chevron let me show you something
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can you see this trend over here there is a strong buy over here there is a buy
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and over here it is hold so no where there is underperform or sell at the
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very first end looking at the price earning ratio the call had to be
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different the strong dry by-and-by is much more
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having their in much probability more so we have to see something something is
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here there so of course the analysts are not looking just at price to earnings
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ratio they are going beyond those horizons and they are trying to explore
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something new that's why there is a difference over here the other multiples
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like earning value to BOE ratio your EV/EBITDA price to cash flow ratio
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becomes rather more important so let's get into this see from the above graph
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the Chevron's a price to cash flow ratio was close enough in the neighborhood of
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16.01 X so in this tutorial we'll look at how the price to cash flow
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ratio is useful in the valuation at the very first end at the inception let's
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try and learn what is price to cash flow ratio see one of the most investment
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valuation ratio is P to C ratio price to cash flow ratio many financial experts
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considered this ratio as more accurate measure of judging the attractiveness of
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an investment then the price to earning ratio so there are very simple reasons
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behind it in price to cash flow ratio we consider the cash flow from the operations
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which is the exact measure of how much cash came in and how much went out from
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the core operations unlike the cash flow earnings can easily be manipulated
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because earnings that is the net income okay
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get easily affected by depreciation and other cash factors can you see the net
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income over here see the depreciation and depletion of motivation expense my
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goodness 21,037 it is literally it is evaporating or you can
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say the it is boiling down the old net income and you can see the cash
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operations cash flow headed by the operational activity is 19,456 so there
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are some things which are going wrong right so we note over chevron's here
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that cash flow from the operations like depreciation depletion and amortisation
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numbers were quite high in 2015 and it was higher than the overall cash flow
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from the operations as you can see 19,456 so you can say that though the
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price to cash flow ratio you would be able to compare the cash
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flow per share with the price tool or with the pressure which will give you an idea
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about how much value you will get out of paying the paying the kind of price you
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are going to pay so if you want to invest into the company or project price
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to cash flow ratio is one of the first one you should consider for computing
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now let's understand the formula for price to a cash flow ratio to get the
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thorough idea about the price to cash flow ratio we need to look at the two
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separate ratio understanding the two separate ratio will help us to figure
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out how to compute the price to cash flow ratio let's look at the price to
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cash flow ratio first P2 ro CF that is over here I'm writing in short price to
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cash flow ratio is equal to price to cash flow ratio is equal to your share
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price divided by your share price divided by the cash flow per share okay
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this is going to be your formula so the ratio is basically is super useful for
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investor as they can understand whether the company is overvalued or undervalued
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and however to find out the ratio we need to compute the cash flow per share
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so to calculate the cash flow for sure we need two things first we need to know
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the operating cash flow that is operating cash flow we just saw over
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there and which we will be able to see in the cash flow statement of the
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company for that period second we need to know the number of the outstanding
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shares so this is the second thing that we need so to calculate the cash flow
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for share so the cash flow per share will be I'm the starting cash flow per
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share is equal to you will have operating cash flow divided by you will
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have to do your number of outstanding outstanding shares so your operating
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cash flows formula is this now once we know the cash flow for share we would be
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able to compute the price to cash flow ratio very easily easily see let's see
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they understand the interpretation interpretation of the same knowing the
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formula is not important but interpretation is really important many
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inverse get busy in computing price-to-earnings
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ratio but if you look at the price to cash flow and price to earnings ratio
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sorry price earning ratio you would see that many companies can manipulate it to
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attract more investor like for an example if there are many non-cash
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factors affecting the net income companies which want to manipulate the
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net income can increase or decrease the non-cash factors so the price to
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earnings ratio is not always able to provide an accurate picture of the
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company or or the of a new investment however when we look at the cash flow it
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changes it changes the game completely in cash flow statement the the non-cash
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okay then the non-cash factors would be included thus there is no way one would
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manipulate the net net cash flow at the end of the period so if we can compute
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the operating cash flow that is the which we saw operations that's what I
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told you in the very beginning if you see the operating cash flow using the
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cash flow statement and divided by number of these shares outstanding
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outstanding shares over here and then we'll be able to concentrate the idea
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about how much cash flow we can generate per share and then we can compare
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these same with the price per share to conclude whether the investment is good
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or not so if we try and try to find out the optimal optimal ratio or optimal
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level of ratio then we will need to look at the particular sector for
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example if we look at the new technological start technology startup
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its growth would be much more faster resulting into higher C to F okay and if we
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look at the utility company which is operating for decades the price to
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complete price to cash flow ratio would be lower for them so in case of text
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startup as it growths growth is tremendous the investors would put more
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valuation to it than the utility company which has stable cash flow but fewer
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opportunities for the growth now let's understand the basic example of the same
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so that we get to know how things work out this is a company called G
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corporation okay and they have price per share as 10 per Share the cash flow per
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share is 4 per share so from the example we can directly compute the
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price to cash flow because we have both of things so price per share and price to
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cash flow per share we have both the things just divide a by
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B we get 2.5 right so at the very first and depending on as you can see depending
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on the G sector on which sector G corporation belongs we can compare the P
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to CF ratio and find out whether it is good at it its number or or not now
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let's understand the second example there is a company called MNC over here
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they have given the price per share as 12 per share
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they've given the operating shares and the outstanding shares so over here you
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need to calculate your denominator so let's see how they have calculated in in
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this example we have two things to compute the first we need to compute the
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cash flow per share so we have operating cash flow divided by number of share
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we'll get cash flow per share and then the price to cash flow per share C the
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operating cash flow is 6,00,000 the outstanding share is 5,00,000 so the
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cash flow per share is 1.2 per share now the next thing the price per share is 12
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per share and we have got the cash flow per share as 1.2 per share so our price
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to cash flow is going to be 10 so again the similar thing is applicable in this
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regard as well depending on the sector this company belongs to we need to
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compare the price to cash flow ratio and find out whether it is good number or
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not let's take another example to find out the cash flow ratio now over here we
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have been given or information regarding ABC company there is a price per share
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that is the market price per share there are number of shares that are
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outstanding there is net income over here which is 70,000 okay loss on the
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sale of property 2000 decrease in accounts receivable 1000 so over here we
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need to form the price or the cash flow statement here increase in the inventory
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2000 increase in accrued interest payable 700 account increase in the
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accounts payable 1000 deferred taxes 500 and depreciation amortization 3,000 so
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over here we need to literally form the cash flow statement from the details at
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least it is visible so from the above example the first thing that we have to
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compute is the cash flow right so we have the net income that is given to us
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70,000 and we will do some adjustment over there so first let's add back some
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of the non-cash expenditure light that is
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the deferred taxes decrease in the account receivable okay that should be
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added increasing the inventories that should be deducted then there is accrued
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interest and accounts payable in Sale of property after making the adjustment of
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this that is you have basically forming the cash flow statement that is you are
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basically forming the net cash flow from the operating activity which gives you
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around 76200 of these adjustments you get the net
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cash flow from the operating activity as 76200 and
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the number of outstanding shares so it would be really be very easier to
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compute the cash flow per share now the operating cash flow 76200 the outstanding share is 30000
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so your cash flow per share is 2.54 once you get this you have
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your price per share that is 12 and your cash flow per share is
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2.54 which gives you your price to cash flow as 4.72
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so the price to cash flow is 4.72 depending account upon
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the sector ABC company belongs to we can compare to find out whether
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4.72 is good enough number in regards to price to cash flow or not
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now let's see the price to cash flow ratio of Chevron's if you see over
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here the net income some of the adjustments that have been made just
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like what we did on it in our previous example number 3 in the similar fashion
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things have been done over here and you can see the net cash flow provided by
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the operating activities which is 19,456 so let's see some details regarding
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2013-2014 and 2015 so the very first thing Chevron's price
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to cash flow ratio in 2013 was 35000 that is cash flow sorry the
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cash flow from the operations as you can see over here is $35,002
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million the number of shares in 2013 is 1917 million and the cash flow per
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share in 2013 was 18.25 so because we have number of shares detail
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we have the cash flow from the operations if you have both the details
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we can get the cash flow per share as we know very well so the price to cash
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flow will be the price divided by the cash flow that is the price to cash flow
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per share so that gives you 6.33X now let's see the data for 2014 so in
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the similar fashion things have been calculated right and we have again the
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price to cash flow ratio as 6.91 and for the 2015 it is 11. 2 X so what do
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you understand over here we note that the P/CF that we
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earlier saw for Chevron 16.01X is the trailing 12 months price to cash
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flow now let's see some of the oil and gas company who are using this
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particular ratio now that we have very fair understanding a very good
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understanding after analyzing these formula and some concepts some examples
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will compare some of the data for oil oil company like Exxon Chevron BP PCF
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ratio so over here all three companies price to cash flow ratio has been
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basically taking a really great leap or high it's going up so what do you what
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do you have to say about this see the oil and gas P2 price to cash flow
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ratio has has been slowed down since 2013 and 2014 oil prices directly affect the
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cash flows so due to lower oil prices this company saw a really significant
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decline in their ratio in the cash flow from operation so the oil and gas
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companies declining cash flow was a great hit to them so with this reduced
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cash flow from operation in the recent quarters the price to cash flow ratio
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for this companies who are in upward trend are now its I mean higher
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the price to cash flow ratio is and is an expense is I mean that means that the
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form the expensive the form is so this was some of the leaders regarding the
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oil and gas sector can you see this table basically this table is priced to
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cash flow ratio of the top oil exploration and production companies and
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you can see over here there is a market cap and over here the ratio is there you
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can see we here the average price or average price the ratio is
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13.83X so is it good or is it bad so the one single answer to this
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is that you know some important points over here that we note over here is
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average price to cash flow ratio 13.83X the EOG
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resources okay over here and pioneer natural EOG resources over here and
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there is one more company Pioneer Natural resources they both are two
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outliers in the sector with price to cash flow of 26.25
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and 20.90 and if we remove the outliers then the average PCF
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comes to only 11.36X so after looking at this we should also
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look at the downside there are some limitation to the price to cash flow
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ratio so there is only one limitation to this ratio it is it is that you know it
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also has one loopholes and that is is this that it doesn't take capital
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expenditure took account so if you want to know the rigorous measure of this
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ratio we need to extend beyond the price to cash flow and we need to calculate
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the free cash flow and compare it with the priced per share so the free cash
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flow is the amount of the cash flow which is available to the business after
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deducting the capital expenditure and computing the free cash flow may sound
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complicated but here is the deal all we need to do is that to go back to
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income statement of the company and pic net income then we need to add back
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depreciation in amortization as they are non-cash charges the next will take into
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account any changes in the working capital and thus will get the operating
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cash flow now at the very final analysis in the final analysis I can say that it
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can be easily we said that price to cash flow ratio is very useful for investor
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it gives almost an accurate picture it accurate picture of how good an
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investment is and the P to CF is useful because there is a little or no chance
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of manipulation in this cash flow if as an investor you would like to invest
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into new project or a new startup use this ratio as measuring grid and you can
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say that the you can also use 2 you can also use this ratio but the price to
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cash flow ratio is is by all means a better measuring grid I hope you have
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got a great knowledge about this so that's it for this particular topic if
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you have learned and enjoyed watching this video please like and comment on
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this video and subscribe to our channel for the latest updates thank you
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everyone Cheers