Intrinsic Value Formula (Example) | How to Calculate Intrinsic Value? - YouTube

Channel: WallStreetMojo

[10]
hello everyone hi and welcome to the channel of WallStreetmojo to know more
[14]
about this with your intrinsic value formula watch the video till the end and
[18]
also if you're new to this channel then you can subscribers by clicking the bell icon
[22]
like and that's given below welcome everyone to this channel and today we
[25]
are going to study a topic which is a valuation topic yes we're going to study
[30]
some of the valuation principles well we have the intrinsic value formula which
[35]
is again as I repeated that it's so valuation formula intrinsic value of the
[39]
business is basically the free cash flow of the equity 1 2 and so on and so forth
[45]
till n plus the last value that is a terminal value which is all divided by 1
[51]
plus R that is 1 rate of interest back basically raise to the n the intrinsic
[56]
value the stop is the intrinsic value the business divided by the number of
[60]
the outstanding share that will give you a single valued well let's try and
[64]
understand this in a much more detail format first of all I'll make you
[68]
understand for what is intrinsic value formula what exactly this is see the
[77]
intrinsic value formula is basically this formula for Intrinsic values
[82]
basically represents the net present value of all the future FCFE of the
[88]
company during the entire of course of its existence so it is the reflection of
[92]
the actual it is the reflection of the actual worth of the business or underline
[99]
the stock that is the amount of the money that can be received if the whole
[104]
business and all of its assets are sold today so let me take you to the formula
[115]
mathematically the intrinsic value formula the business can be represented
[119]
as we had we saw the dialog box okay that was the part of the business this
[128]
is a part of the value of the business formula now when we talk about let me
[133]
just write for you for biz refer the box that is given in the website second for
[145]
the stock how are you going to value
[151]
well the calculation of the intrinsic value the formula of the stock is done
[155]
by dividing the value of the business by the number of the outstanding shares of
[159]
the company in the market so the value of the stock derived by this way is then
[166]
compared with the market price of the stock which I give the stock is trading
[169]
about at part or below the intrinsic value so the intrinsic value of the
[174]
stock Is is equal to the intrinsic value of the business divided by the
[183]
number of outstanding shares well let me give you an explanation of this
[190]
particular formula see the calculation with this formula can be done using the
[194]
steps I will please go through the steps first to determined you have to determine
[201]
the future FCFE for all the project to do is based on the available financial
[209]
plan so the projected FCFE can be computed by taking the latest FCFE okay
[214]
and then multiplied with the growth rate so FCFE *G that is your growth
[222]
step number 2 now the discount rate what the discount rate is determined
[230]
based on the current market return from the investment with a similar risk of
[233]
one so this discount rate is noted by R 3 now you what you need to do is you
[241]
need to calculate the PV of all the FCF by discounting them using the
[247]
discounting the rate step number 4 is that you add up the pv of all the FCF
[255]
calculated in step three so FCFE 123 to late and then you do add up
[263]
the fifth step is the terminal value that is computed by multiplying the FCFE of
[271]
the last projected year bye factor in the range of 10 to 20 beyond the project
[277]
period run until the businesses shut down 6 so 6 step will be now to
[285]
arrive at the value for the entire business and add up the value for the
[290]
step 4 and discounted value of this step i along with cash and cash
[296]
equivalents if available step number 7 finally the intrinsic value of the
[305]
shares can be derived by dividing the value in the step 6 by the number of
[314]
shares of the company well let's study this with the help of
[321]
the example to get much more detailed explanation
[328]
let us let us take an example of the company let's say XYZ which is
[334]
currently trading at the stock market price somewhere close to $40 per share
[341]
with total number of the shares outstanding 60 million
[347]
this is per share this is million and cure let's say the analyst intends
[353]
to predict the intrinsic value the stock based on the available market
[356]
information so the prevailing required rate of return expected by the invest in
[359]
the market that is the R is 5% so on the other hand the free cash flow of the
[367]
company the FCFE free cash flow of the company is expected to grow at let's
[377]
say 8% so the following you know so the numbers that will that must be predicted
[384]
and based on which the let's say FCFF or let's say the FCFE that is the from
[392]
the equity let's say it comes down to 95 dollars
[398]
so FCFE is calculated using with the help of your net income plus your
[403]
depreciation plus Amortization less any increase in the increase or decrease in
[409]
the working capital less any increase in the Capax - any sort of debt repayment
[419]
of the existing plus any sort of fresh debt that is raised okay so FCFF let's
[431]
say FCFF comes down to 95 so now how we are going to calculate so FCFE is
[440]
95 the growth
[444]
we'll add the growth in this sorry this into 1 +
[454]
let's
[459]
you just have add this
[464]
as number so it will come down as 102.60 so the projected
[470]
FCFE is going to be 10204 financially year and let's say this is for
[475]
financially year 20 FY20 then let's say for 21 is this will be 95 into you will
[491]
multiply with 8 so you will increase 8% twice for 2 years which
[495]
will give you closely around 110 okay and then for financially year 22
[505]
let's say you added for 3 times and you get around 119 and then 423 again
[514]
you had it for 4 years you get 129 closely around that so now you will
[519]
calculate the terminal value now the terminal value is the factoring that is
[526]
the last this into one divided by the required rate of return that is 5%
[535]
that gives you 2580 okay
[540]
but now the terminal value is 2580 what you simply need to do is
[546]
that this are all the projected of values that is let me just copy this
[553]
down here
[559]
and all these values down here
[567]
let's keep it as 102 and we have the terminal value
[576]
you
[579]
which is standing at 2580
[584]
so if you see the intrinsic value of all of this will be
[593]
how are we going to calculate it's just that you have to divide each and every
[599]
of them okay like I'll give you an example 102/5 % so you will say 1
[608]
+ 5 % ok raise to 1 + this financially a 21 divided by 1 plus 5%
[624]
raise to 2 plus this value so that you will keep continuing till
[635]
the time
[645]
last one that's 129 okay this divided by 1+5%
[657]
raise to 4
[665]
okay and then at the last but not the least because we have added all the
[675]
values will be adding nothing but the terminal value so we have added all the
[683]
values we'll add the terminal value so that will be this 2580 divided
[691]
by 1+5% raise to 5 that comes down too closely
[701]
around 2427 so that is how the value is determined now let me give
[708]
you some of the relevance and the uses of the intrinsic value see the value of
[712]
the Investor built by developed by purchasing the fundamental strong stocks
[716]
at a price you have very three below the fair value of the company so the idea
[721]
behind the form below the intrinsic is that the short of the market usually
[725]
delivers the irrational prices okay so but in the long run the market
[733]
correction will happen such that the stock price on the average will return
[736]
to the fair value so I hope you have got a fantastic idea regarding this
[742]
particular topic if you have learn and enjoy to watching this video please like
[746]
comment on this video and subscribe to our channel for all the latest updates
[749]
thank everyone once gate for journey the session cheers