How to calculate Total Shareholder Returns - YouTube

Channel: SkillFin Learning

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Welcome back.
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In our earlier video, we had discussed about the meaning of total shareholder returns,
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how to calculate the annual total shareholder returns and the factors driving the returns.
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We got follow up questions on how do we calculate the total shareholder return
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if the holding period of the share or security is more than one year.
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In this video, we will discuss how to calculate total return to shareholders
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or total shareholder returns if the investment period is more than one year.
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Let us look with the help of a simple example.
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So, here we have a share price of a company from 31 December 2015 to 31 December 2020.
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This company hasn't paid any dividend during this period.
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So, just to recap, total shareholder returns is driven by two factors,
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the one is the capital appreciation
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with the increase in the share prices and second is the dividend yield.
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So, in this case, we will calculate both the share price appreciation and dividend yield.
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So, share price appreciation is the share price during the closing period
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minus share price at the start of the period.
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So, that gives us the share price change divided by the share prices at the start of the period.
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So, in the year 2016, if someone invested in this stock at $110 on 31 December 2015,
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so, the share price appreciation from 31 December 2015 to 31 December 2016 was 4.5%.
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We will calculate the share price appreciation for each year.
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To calculate the share price appreciation, we will select the range and then press F2
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and then Ctrl and Enter.
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So, the share price appreciation in the first year was 4.5%,
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in the second year, the share prices declined from $115 to $90.
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So that is a negative 21.7% shareholder return.
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In the third year, the share prices increased from 90 to 120. So, it's a 33%
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appreciation similarly 12.5% and 8.9% in the fourth and fifth year.
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The dividend yield is calculated as dividend paid during the period which is zero in this case,
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divided by the share price at the beginning of the period.
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The dividend yield is zero, but to calculate for all the periods,
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then select the range Press F2, and then Ctrl + Enter,
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dividend yield is zero.
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Now, total shareholder return is share price change which is 4.5% plus dividend yield.
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The total shareholder return is 4.5% in year one.
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And similarly if we Press F2 and Ctrl and Enter, we get the shareholder return for each period.
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Now, to calculate the year-on-year TSR, we'll use the GEOMEAN function in Excel.
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To use the GEO function type is equal to, GEOMEAN 1 + select the range,
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close the bracket and then -1 and then press Ctrl Shift and Enter.
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So the total shareholder return for this company during the period of 5 years is 6%.
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We can also calculate it with a different formula.
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So there is an alternate way to calculate the shareholder return
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when there is no dividend payment.
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So if someone invested $110 on 31 December 2015
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that investment became $147 in year 2020.
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So we can just calculate the compounded annual growth rate which is 147,
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the closing share price divided by the share price at the start of the period
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to the power of 1 by 5, because we are calculating the returns for five years,
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1 and then Press Enter.
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So we get the same answer using this formula
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but this formula can only be used when there is just the share price increase or decrease
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and no dividend payment.
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In this case, the total shareholder return is just the share price appreciation,
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which is 6% on an annualized basis, for the last five years.
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Moving to the second example, so here we have a company
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where we have a share price at the end of each year from 2015 to 2020.
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This company has also paid dividends during each year.
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So again, we will calculate the TSR on the year-on-year basis,
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which is sum of the capital appreciation, which is share price change and dividend yield.
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So let's quickly do this.
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So share price appreciation is share price at the end of the period,
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minus share price at the beginning of the period
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divided by the share price at the beginning of the period,
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so it's 4.5%, dividend yield is the dividend paid during the year
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divided by share prices at the start of the year. So it's 5.5%
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and total shareholder return is the sum of capital appreciation and the dividend yield.
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So the total shareholder return in the year 2016 is 10%.
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So likewise, we'll calculate the TSR for each year.
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So first, for the share price change, we'll select the range
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and then Press F2 and then Ctrl and Enter,
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so the dividend yield again, Press F2 and then Ctrl and Enter
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and TSR is just the sum of these two,
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Press F2 Ctrl and Enter.
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So we get the TSR on a year-over-year basis.
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To calculate it for the period of five years, we can do it again by two methods.
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First is by using the GEOMEAN function in Excel.
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So we can use by typing is = GEOMEAN 1+ select the range, the TSR range
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for the entire period,
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1 and then since it's an array function, Press Ctrl, Shift and Enter.
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So the TSR for this company is 13.3%.
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We can calculate the TSR with an alternate method also.
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So suppose you have invested $100 in this company on 31 December 2015.
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This investment becomes 100 multiplied by 1+ the TSR during 2016 that is $110 in 2016.
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And likewise, if we Press F2 and Ctrl and Enter.
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So we see that $100 invested on 31 December 2015 became $186.3 on 31 December 2020.
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Now we can calculate the annualized TSR.
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So annualized TSR is the value of the investment at the end of the period
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divided by value of investment at the start of the period
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to the power 1 by the number of years, which is 5 years, - 1 and then Enter.
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So we get the same answer.
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TSR for this company is 13.3%.
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So this is the way how we can calculate the TSR
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if the holding period of the security is more than one year.
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Hope you enjoyed this session.
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Thank you.