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How to Trade the Dead Cat Bounce Pattern - YouTube
Channel: StocksToTrade
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- I tell you what,
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I love my house cat.
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I've actually got several
house cats and I love 'em.
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But today, we're gonna talk about
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the dead cat bounce pattern
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and why does a pattern to either avoid,
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especially as a new or
intermediate trader,
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or potentially short sell.
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(upbeat music)
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Hey everyone, I'm Lead
Trader with StockstoTrade,
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Tim Bohen here.
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Be sure to subscribe,
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as well as ring that bell.
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Today we're gonna be
breaking down chart patterns.
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Something great to always have in mind.
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But we're also doing every single week,
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a YouTube Live, every Monday night,
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so, be sure to ring that
bell so that you get notified
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when I go live.
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We talk about the hot stocks of the day.
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You wanna be there live.
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We engage in chat.
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I answer every question,
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so, be sure to subscribe
and ring the bell.
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As I mentioned,
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we're gonna talk about a pattern
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that I think gets a lot
of traders in trouble.
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And it's something that really,
I think should be avoided.
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I mentioned in the beginning,
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you can look to short this pattern,
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but it's difficult to short
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because a lot of these stocks
are very hard to borrow.
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Remember, if you're not
familiar with short selling,
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you need to get to borrow,
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a lot of these stocks are low or float.
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They can be very difficult to borrow.
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So, let's talk about why I
think you should avoid it
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and what trips up many traders.
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So, let's get to the chart.
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You'll see, this is a stock,
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I mean, hey, who wouldn't love this.
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This is GTBP.
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The news today was they may,
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and remembering low
price penny stock land,
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they always talk about
may and might and hope.
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But they may have a cure for HIV.
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So, great news,
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I mean that's the kind of news
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that people like to get behind.
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You can see the stock closed up 79% today.
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Huge move from 30 cents to 57 cents,
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closed at the high of the day.
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This is the kind of stock that, I think,
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traps in a bad way.
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Traders, they see the news,
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see the price movement and get impulsive,
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they get bit by that FOMO.
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They wanna get in early.
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They wanna be in day one
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and then, the next day,
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the stock gaps down and they were like,
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wow, how did I, you know, lose again?
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You know, why doesn't trading work for me?
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Well, I'm gonna show
you a couple of patterns
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and why I think you need to back out
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and think about the long-term pattern.
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So, why do I call it a dead cat bounce
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and this isn't my term,
I didn't innovate it.
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It's an old, old, old school pattern.
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But, the idea is,
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and remember we're
talkin' figuratively here,
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we're not literally throwing
a cat out the window.
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But, the idea behind the
joke or the analogy is
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if you throw a dead cat out the window,
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it'll bounce, but it's
not gonna bounce long.
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You know, it'll hit the concrete, jump up
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and then it's right
back where it came from.
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And the reason GTBT is exactly that
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is up 80% today, on the one day chart.
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Let's look at the one year chart.
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This is even something
that could trap you.
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Because now you see, stock's been choppy,
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it's spiked recently,
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I mean you can see
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it's gone from a $1.50 to
$2.75 a few months ago,
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it's gone from 75 cents to $1.75, again,
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recently, about six months ago.
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And you see this big
candle and this big volume.
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And you think, today is the day,
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has the news, has the move,
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I wanna take this stock overnight
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because it's making that high of the day.
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Why is this my example
as the dead cat bounce?
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Let's go over to that five year chart.
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Now, you might not be a technical trader,
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you might not be a long-term trader,
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but I think you can quickly see
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what the prospects long-term
are for this thing.
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Now, this stock has done
reverse splits in the past.
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We've done other videos on reverse splits
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if you're not familiar with that.
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It's a term you should be familiar with.
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This stock never actually
traded at $5,000 a share.
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They've done numerous reverse splits,
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which is even more doom inducing
for these low price stocks.
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But look at the difference,
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focus on that idea.
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Don't get caught up in FOMO of day one.
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I don't care if there's news.
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I don't care if it's up 80%.
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When a stock has a
long-term chart like this,
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the odds of it succeeding
over multiple days
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are very, very low.
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There's a lot of examples of this,
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but always, please,
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if you're thinkin' about
trading a stock overnight
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or swing trading,
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look at that one year chart,
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look at that five year chart.
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Be a professional, okay?
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Think about what other
traders are looking at
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and the biggest thing I see
so many get in trouble with
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is that FOMO,
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that fear of missing out.
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They see the news, the see a big move
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and then the next day the stock gaps down
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and they can't figure out
why they're not consistent.
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So, thank you again everyone.
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Have you traded a chart pattern like this?
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Have you traded that day
one bounce on a stock
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that has been down trending
for five plus years?
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Has it worked for ya?
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Has it not?
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Do you believe in the
dead cat bounce pattern?
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I mean if you catch it early in the day
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it might work,
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but I think it's an avoid.
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Let me know below.
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Do you like this pattern or not?
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Thanks for watchin' our video.
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Be sure to comment below with
any trading related question.
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We love answering your questions.
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