The Terrifying Future of Artificial Intelligence - YouTube

Channel: Koranos

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For decades, the growth of artificial intelligence  has fascinated scholars and scientists alike.  
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Today, intelligent machines aid and streamline  our lives, but the next fifty or a hundred years  
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may yield even more powerful AI, which could  elevate or transform our species. If humans  
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do create sophisticated, super-intelligent  machines, how will the growth of artificial  
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intelligence affect the future of humanity? Over the last 20 years, global interest in AI  
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has steadily increased. Universities, government  agencies, and wealthy investors are pouring  
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billions of dollars into AI-focused  projects and research groups. 
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Already, in the early 2020s, almost every industry  uses intelligent, context-dependent machines,  
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called narrow or weak AI. In manufacturing,  narrow AIs work alongside humans in factories.  
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In hospitals, virtual nurses monitor vital  signs and analyze patient data. In fact, entire  
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industries, like digital marketing, rely on data  collected by artificially intelligent software. 
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With so many industries seeking newer, faster  technologies, the production of narrow AI  
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continues to grow. On smartphones and computers,  intelligent machines are already woven into the  
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fabric of our lives, but these machines capture  only a small fraction of what narrow AI can do. 
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In the next 20 years, leaders in the field predict  significant growth in the production and diversity  
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of narrow AI, thereby improving the communication  and productivity of our society as a whole.  
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Some experts are optimistic about the future  role of narrow AI as stepping-stones toward  
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a more advanced human society, but other experts  worry humans will become over-reliant on machines. 
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For example, the advancement of narrow AI could  transform the global workforce. By 2040, at least  
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50% of routine, quantitative jobs may be performed  by narrow AI, but that number could climb as high  
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as 90%. Large companies are already replacing  human workers with hundreds of thousands of  
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robots. As narrow AI becomes more popular and less  expensive, many companies may reduce their human  
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workforce to a mere 10% of its current volume. These estimates foreshadow a bleak future for  
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humanity, but the growth of narrow AI also  offers humans a unique opportunity. The loss of  
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repetitive, non-creative occupations may trigger  a global re-education of the workforce. Average  
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workers may obtain higher-paying, bigger-picture  roles — no longer responsible for basic processes  
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like construction or routine manufacturing. A  higher density of machines will also require a  
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substantial increase in engineers, programmers,  and repairmen. More and more workers will learn  
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how to maintain robots, create software, and  speak the coded language of artificial systems. 
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Over time, the elevation of the workforce  and the higher demand for skilled workers  
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may cultivate a stronger global economy,  increasing wages, decreasing poverty rates,  
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and making higher education more accessible for  the general population. The growth of narrow  
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AI could theoretically remedy lopsided political  and economic systems by reducing the gaps between  
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socio-economic classes; but there’s no guarantee  powerful AI will benefit the greater good.  
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The growth of artificial intelligence could  just as easily destabilize our global economy,  
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radicalizing pre-existing hierarchies  by catering to the extremely wealthy. 
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At the same time, the growth of narrow AI will  increasingly intrude upon basic human freedoms,  
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therefore changing the relationship  between humans and technology.  
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Already, digital privacy is a source of  controversy around the world. For example,  
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social media algorithms collect, store, and share  personal information, allowing machines to develop  
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intricate profiles and predict, with astounding  accuracy, your needs, wants, and interests.  
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In the coming decades, the complexity of our  machines may increase, but so will violations  
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of privacy and other basic freedoms. Suffice to say, narrow AIs are  
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impacting our society on a grand scale;  however, these context-specific machines  
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pale in comparison to strong AI, also known  as Artificial General Intelligence or AGI.  
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Unlike narrow or weak AI, which are restricted to  a specific set of tasks, an AGI can generalize the  
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knowledge it learns to solve a variety  of problems in a variety of contexts. 
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Research into the development of AGI is still  broad and largely theoretical. Though humans  
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have created very intelligent machines — like  IBM’s Watson, which is capable of learning  
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and processing language — nobody has created a  system as intelligent as a human being. But some  
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leaders in the field do expect an important  scientific breakthrough as early as 2050. 
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Before humanity leaps into the unknown world  of strong AI, we must consider the ethics and  
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consequences of producing machines as smart  as humans. Beyond the fantastic dystopias  
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displayed in the media, scholars do foresee  real dangers in the production of strong AI. 
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Hypothetically, a machine capable of  general intelligence could expand and  
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surpass the human mind. One day, that very  same machine could achieve self-awareness,  
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though experts widely disagree on whether  computers can ever be self-aware. If possible,  
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a sentient machine may outperform humans in  every discipline, making humans irrelevant  
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in the shadow of our own creation. With the proper precautions, however,  
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AGI could launch our society and our species  into an age of transcendent growth. But how do  
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we program super-intelligent, possibly sentient  machines to protect the interests of humankind? 
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The Three Laws of Robotics, designed  by author Isaac Asimov in 1942,  
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act as a fictional vehicle for this complicated  issue. Instead of power or intelligence,  
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developers of strong AI should place more value  on cooperation between humans and machines.  
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An AGI must be programmed to prioritize  the safety of humans above all directives,  
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including the pursuit of knowledge and  the protection of its own existence. 
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Even a human friendly AGI does not guarantee  a healthy, lasting relationship between humans  
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and machines. Similar to the overproduction of  narrow AI, the growth of strong AI could stifle  
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the agency, autonomy, and competence of humanity.  If we rely on machines to solve our problems,  
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we may lose our creativity, our drive, and our  sense of purpose. If humans become complacent in  
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a machine-driven paradise, we may abandon  the aspirations that define our species. 
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In the growing field of artificial intelligence,  a single breakthrough can affect our society on  
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a macroscale. Soon, sophisticated machines will  spread, for better or for worse, to every industry  
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and every household in the world. As narrow AIs  evolve into strong AIs, machines could one day  
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bring about the downfall of humanity; however, the  same machines could better our social systems and  
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significantly improve our quality of life. Either  way, humans are moving steadily toward a future  
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defined by intelligent machines, but one critical  question remains: is the risk worth the reward?