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The Terrifying Future of Artificial Intelligence - YouTube
Channel: Koranos
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For decades, the growth of artificial intelligence
has fascinated scholars and scientists alike.
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Today, intelligent machines aid and streamline
our lives, but the next fifty or a hundred years
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may yield even more powerful AI, which could
elevate or transform our species. If humans
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do create sophisticated, super-intelligent
machines, how will the growth of artificial
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intelligence affect the future of humanity?
Over the last 20 years, global interest in AI
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has steadily increased. Universities, government
agencies, and wealthy investors are pouring
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billions of dollars into AI-focused
projects and research groups.
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Already, in the early 2020s, almost every industry
uses intelligent, context-dependent machines,
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called narrow or weak AI. In manufacturing,
narrow AIs work alongside humans in factories.
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In hospitals, virtual nurses monitor vital
signs and analyze patient data. In fact, entire
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industries, like digital marketing, rely on data
collected by artificially intelligent software.
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With so many industries seeking newer, faster
technologies, the production of narrow AI
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continues to grow. On smartphones and computers,
intelligent machines are already woven into the
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fabric of our lives, but these machines capture
only a small fraction of what narrow AI can do.
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In the next 20 years, leaders in the field predict
significant growth in the production and diversity
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of narrow AI, thereby improving the communication
and productivity of our society as a whole.
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Some experts are optimistic about the future
role of narrow AI as stepping-stones toward
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a more advanced human society, but other experts
worry humans will become over-reliant on machines.
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For example, the advancement of narrow AI could
transform the global workforce. By 2040, at least
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50% of routine, quantitative jobs may be performed
by narrow AI, but that number could climb as high
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as 90%. Large companies are already replacing
human workers with hundreds of thousands of
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robots. As narrow AI becomes more popular and less
expensive, many companies may reduce their human
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workforce to a mere 10% of its current volume.
These estimates foreshadow a bleak future for
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humanity, but the growth of narrow AI also
offers humans a unique opportunity. The loss of
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repetitive, non-creative occupations may trigger
a global re-education of the workforce. Average
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workers may obtain higher-paying, bigger-picture
roles — no longer responsible for basic processes
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like construction or routine manufacturing. A
higher density of machines will also require a
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substantial increase in engineers, programmers,
and repairmen. More and more workers will learn
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how to maintain robots, create software, and
speak the coded language of artificial systems.
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Over time, the elevation of the workforce
and the higher demand for skilled workers
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may cultivate a stronger global economy,
increasing wages, decreasing poverty rates,
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and making higher education more accessible for
the general population. The growth of narrow
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AI could theoretically remedy lopsided political
and economic systems by reducing the gaps between
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socio-economic classes; but there’s no guarantee
powerful AI will benefit the greater good.
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The growth of artificial intelligence could
just as easily destabilize our global economy,
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radicalizing pre-existing hierarchies
by catering to the extremely wealthy.
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At the same time, the growth of narrow AI will
increasingly intrude upon basic human freedoms,
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therefore changing the relationship
between humans and technology.
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Already, digital privacy is a source of
controversy around the world. For example,
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social media algorithms collect, store, and share
personal information, allowing machines to develop
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intricate profiles and predict, with astounding
accuracy, your needs, wants, and interests.
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In the coming decades, the complexity of our
machines may increase, but so will violations
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of privacy and other basic freedoms.
Suffice to say, narrow AIs are
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impacting our society on a grand scale;
however, these context-specific machines
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pale in comparison to strong AI, also known
as Artificial General Intelligence or AGI.
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Unlike narrow or weak AI, which are restricted to
a specific set of tasks, an AGI can generalize the
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knowledge it learns to solve a variety
of problems in a variety of contexts.
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Research into the development of AGI is still
broad and largely theoretical. Though humans
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have created very intelligent machines — like
IBM’s Watson, which is capable of learning
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and processing language — nobody has created a
system as intelligent as a human being. But some
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leaders in the field do expect an important
scientific breakthrough as early as 2050.
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Before humanity leaps into the unknown world
of strong AI, we must consider the ethics and
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consequences of producing machines as smart
as humans. Beyond the fantastic dystopias
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displayed in the media, scholars do foresee
real dangers in the production of strong AI.
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Hypothetically, a machine capable of
general intelligence could expand and
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surpass the human mind. One day, that very
same machine could achieve self-awareness,
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though experts widely disagree on whether
computers can ever be self-aware. If possible,
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a sentient machine may outperform humans in
every discipline, making humans irrelevant
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in the shadow of our own creation.
With the proper precautions, however,
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AGI could launch our society and our species
into an age of transcendent growth. But how do
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we program super-intelligent, possibly sentient
machines to protect the interests of humankind?
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The Three Laws of Robotics, designed
by author Isaac Asimov in 1942,
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act as a fictional vehicle for this complicated
issue. Instead of power or intelligence,
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developers of strong AI should place more value
on cooperation between humans and machines.
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An AGI must be programmed to prioritize
the safety of humans above all directives,
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including the pursuit of knowledge and
the protection of its own existence.
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Even a human friendly AGI does not guarantee
a healthy, lasting relationship between humans
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and machines. Similar to the overproduction of
narrow AI, the growth of strong AI could stifle
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the agency, autonomy, and competence of humanity.
If we rely on machines to solve our problems,
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we may lose our creativity, our drive, and our
sense of purpose. If humans become complacent in
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a machine-driven paradise, we may abandon
the aspirations that define our species.
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In the growing field of artificial intelligence,
a single breakthrough can affect our society on
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a macroscale. Soon, sophisticated machines will
spread, for better or for worse, to every industry
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and every household in the world. As narrow AIs
evolve into strong AIs, machines could one day
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bring about the downfall of humanity; however, the
same machines could better our social systems and
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significantly improve our quality of life. Either
way, humans are moving steadily toward a future
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defined by intelligent machines, but one critical
question remains: is the risk worth the reward?
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