Saudi Arabia Seizes Oil Market By The Throat; Stock Market Shokes | Rachel Maddow | MSNBC - YouTube

Channel: MSNBC

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joining us now here on set is John
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Kilduff he's founder of the Kilda
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Smokies publisher the kilduff report
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he's a CNBC contributor who specializes
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in energy trading in other words he is a
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guy who explains what happens to oil in
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the markets and boy John Kilduff are you
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the guy I want to talk to today we've
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seen the markets get battered over the
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past couple of weeks of this coronavirus
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crisis and then today something happens
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between Russia and Saudi Arabia where
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the price of oil goes through the floor
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and that seems to have driven the even
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bloodier day on Wall Street today is it
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a coincidence that this oil thing
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happened alongside the coronavirus thing
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or are they related
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I think the coronavirus was sort of the
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predicate to this breakdown between
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Saudi Arabia and Russian relationship
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regarding managing or trying to manage
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the oil market and the Russians in
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particular I think have seen the US
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shale and other producers nipping at
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their heels in terms of market share
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particularly Freeza V China as the
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Russians and the Saudis were meeting
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last week to determine how much oil
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production they should cut back the u.s.
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posted yet another record week of oil
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production and raychel another
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blockbuster not another but a
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blockbuster week of cruel exports and
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one of the biggest factors in that
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number was a cargo of crude oil from the
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Gulf of Mexico that isn't the shale
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light sweet stuff that you hear about
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but heavier sour stuff that competes
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directly head-to-head with the kind of
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crude Russia sells to their main
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customer China so Russia said we've had
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it and they told the Saudis as much and
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the Saudis threw a hissy fit basically
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and went nuclear over the weekend they
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said they were going to bump up their
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production next month over 10 million
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barrels a day and that's a lot and they
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also gave huge discounts imagine going
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to you know Walmart and getting the blue
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light special back in the day well
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that's what's flashing over every Satya
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oil tanker right now they cut their
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selling price to all the major regions
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of the world by over $10 a barrel which
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was just a feat that none of us in the
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market had ever seen before and the idea
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is to make oil so cheap that Russia
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can't make any money doing it so that
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Russia breaks Russia's will and Russia
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gets
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with OPEC the way they want to deal with
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crimp and demand and what they want to
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do with production to address that that
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and I also have to say that the US shale
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is in the crosshairs with that move to
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because nobody can come even close to
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competing with Saudi Arabia in terms of
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their cost of production it's in the
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single digits in the Permian down in
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Texas where this whole boom has been
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sprung up over the past number of years
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they really have to have $50 a barrel
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maybe some of that can be as low as 40
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or high thermal low 30 today oh yes they
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went below 20 it went below 30 for a
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time overnight that God is always $27 a
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barrel at one point so the idea as the
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price comes down in this Saudi Arabia
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nears the price to come down are they
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trying to force bankruptcies in the US
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force I mean you can't really force the
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Russian in just Russian oil industry to
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go bankrupt because it's the Russian
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state are they trying to force producers
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out of the market or are they just
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trying to change Russia's behavior or
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both I think they'll be more than happy
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to get Russia back in the fold but also
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be somewhat happy to do some damage to
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the higher cost US shale producers to
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bring out some of that excess capacity
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for four years now Saudi Arabia has been
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carrying the load in terms of trying to
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balance this oil market and keep prices
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at a decent enough level for all of them
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to sort of be happy and keep the home
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fires burning and meet their or come
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close to meeting what's called their
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fiscal budgets their fiscal breakevens
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for crude oil not the cost of production
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breakeven or where they make money but
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the money they need to support all their
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government programs and keep everybody
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happy this is a time that if Saudi was
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ever going to do this this is a time
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when the world is over well over a
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barrel for them doing it but they could
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have done this at any time any time at
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all they have the market share they have
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the market power this is for students of
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history that I know probably watch your
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show this is right out of Rockefellers
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playbook the beauty rose theory where
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you just low price lowball price the
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competition and wipe them out that's
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what the Saudis have the power to do in
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this market and that's what they're
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doing right now