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Learn to Use LEAPS to 4x Your Stock Returns đ - YouTube
Channel: Stephen Spicer, CFP
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You can strategically use long-term option
contracts to significantly increase your upside
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potential while dramatically reducing your
downside risk - like taking a stock that would
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have a 1 down to 1 up risk/reward profile
- and by using these contracts, making it
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1 down to 5 up.
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Iâll explain and Iâll show you how.
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Coming up!
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Hey there, my name is Stephen Spicer, and
itâs my goal to help you invest smarter.
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If thatâs what youâre looking for, hit
subscribe now and then make sure that notification
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bell is on so you donât miss any of this
valuable information.
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Now, this video will be building on the detail
and example packed video we just released
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exploring the basics of options as well as
how to profit from and when to use covered
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calls.
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If you missed that one, you really should
start there - Iâll link to the playlist
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in the description.
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--
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Long-term call option contracts are actually
technically called Long-term Equity AnticiPation
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Securities, or LEAPS.
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They really forced that acronymâŠ
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Since Iâm assuming youâve already seen
the last video and now have a decent understanding
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of how call options work, figuring out LEAPS
is gonna be a sinch - even easier than covered
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calls.
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When weâre writing covered calls, weâre
selling the option contract, and we do it
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with only 30-45 days until expiration - since,
as we talked about last time, thatâs when
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the time decay is increasingly working in
the seller's favor!
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With LEAPS, weâre doing the complete opposite.
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Weâre looking for contracts to BUY that
have a year or more until expiration.
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Thatâs it - itâs nothing super tricky
- itâs not even some combination of stock
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and option like we did last time or like weâll
do next time.
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Itâs just a plain vanilla call option with
a really long time period until expiration.
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Not every stock has them and this isnât
a strategy where you would go sifting through
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available LEAPS to find a good deal - none
of these strategies in this series are like
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that.
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You might use this strategy if - after you
had identified a good value opportunity - you
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then discover that LEAPS (on that underlying
stock) are available to trade.
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Then would be the right time to consider whether
using LEAPS or using the underlying stock
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itself would create the best risk/reward profile
for your investment.
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--
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Hereâs the mindset where you might find
LEAPS the more attractive option:
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Your thesis (derived from your detailed research
and analysis) suggests a significant upside
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potential (say, 100%).
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But the downside risk, even if you view it
as less likely, is also significant (say,
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100%).
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The catalyst or two that youâve identified
that will cause the stock price to move one
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way or the other will most likely occur within
the next year or two.
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Of course, youâre tempted by the massive
upside potential.
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But that downside risk, even if it is far
less likely, doesnât sit well with you.
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LEAPS (if they exist for the stock in question)
might be the perfect way to play it.
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--
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You see, when you buy call options, the premium
youâre paying is essentially made up of
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two parts, 1.
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Interest and 2.
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protection.
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The interest youâre essentially paying is
on the dollar value of the stocks you control
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with your contracts.
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So, if your contracts expire in a month, the
interest will be relatively small - you wonât
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have the rights to those underlying shares
for that long, so it stands to reason that
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youâd pay much less.
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However, if weâre talking about having those
rights for (say) 24 months, it makes sense
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that the premium would be quite a bit greater
- you can think of this like interest youâre
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paying for each additional month that you
control the underlying asset.
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And the second part youâre paying for is
the protection.
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If the stock price crashes, for example, the
holder of the option contract isnât exposed
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to that - the person holding the underlying
shares is.
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Youâre only risking this initial premium.
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So, any amount above the interest youâre
paying could be thought of as your downside
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insurance premium.
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So, in the loose example I gave earlier, by
using LEAPS, youâd limit your downside risk
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(to the premium you pay) while still being
exposed to much of that significant upside
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potential.
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--
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Letâs get greater clarity by adding some
numbers to this example:
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XYZ stock is trading at $50 today.
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There is a public concern of potential bankruptcy.
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You conduct a thorough deep dive - like thorough
- like what we walk through step-by-step in
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my value investing course - and discover some
solid evidence to suggest that the media has
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it wrong - that within a year or two when
the smoke clears, itâll be obvious that
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XYZ is solid and should be trading at a price
that is at least double where it is today.
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There are obviously some unknowables involved.
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You could be wrong.
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The company could actually be headed the way
the media is portraying.
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But you donât think the chance of that is
near as high as its price and trend would
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suggest.
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As Joel Greenblatt says in his book You Can
Be A Stock Market Genius:
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âOf course, I never invest in situations
with complete certainty, anyway.
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Situations that make sense and offer attractive
returns given the risks involved - thatâs
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all I can really ask for.â
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So, there is risk, but if your research-based
thesis is correct, the price could easily
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double - the upside potential of just straight
up holding XYZ shares is 100%, but there is
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also a nagging case for a 100% downside as
wellâŠ
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So you could weigh your conviction against
that risk/reward profile to determine if buying
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XYZ stock makes sense.
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OR, you could check to see if there are LEAPS
available.
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Letâs say you find a LEAPS contract with
an expiration that is 2 years from today with
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a $50 strike price.
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Its premium is (say) $10.
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Now letâs play through the scenarios:
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The catalysts that you had identified that
would cause the stock price to either crash
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or surge happen at some point in those two
years.
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If the price surges to $100, as you expected,
you could exercise your option and immediately
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net $40 per share on the entire trade - because
you could buy the underlying shares for $50
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and then immediately sell them for $100.
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And then when you subtract out your initial
investment of $10 per share, you realized
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a 400% gain on the money you had exposed!
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If, on the other hand, the underlying stock
crashes, youâre out $10.
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Whereas, if youâd had the stock, youâd
be out $50 per share.
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Pretty cool, right?
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Similar upside potential with WAY less downside
risk - and those of you who have been with
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me for a while now know that combination is
music to my ears.
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One more quick example to help...
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You could think of it like this: Using the
setup from earlier, what if I offered to give
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you a loan today to buy shares in XYZ.
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I tell you that, of course, Iâm going to
charge you interest - Iâm gonna ask for
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it all up front - and itâll be a little
higher than you might see on other loans - not
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as high as a credit card though.
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Part of the reason the interest will be a
little elevated, is because of the extremely
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attractive bonus feature of this unique loan.
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Specifically, if things donât play out as
youâre expecting, you donât need to refund
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me the principle - you donât need to pay
me back.
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Can you imagine a loan like that for anything?
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A business or investment opportunity - whatever.
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Itâd be crazy, right?!
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But if you thought there was a relatively
high probability of your business or investment
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succeeding, well, youâd be crazy to not
take those ridiculously advantageous loan
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terms.
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Well, the dynamics of LEAPS - although not
technically a loan - theyâre essentially
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setting up for you this uniquely advantageous
deal structure.
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You pay the one premium on the front end for
the right to profit from the trade if all
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goes according to plan, according to your
thesis.
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But thatâs it.
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If things go south, youâre not on the hook
for any thing else.
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You see how youâre able to pay a relatively
small premium in order to leverage control
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of a much larger asset!?
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Now, Iâd only recommend this strategy when
the psychology of the trade is as I described
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- where the issues should be resolved within
the allotted time period (1 to 2 years), where
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there is significant upside potential, and
(although not an essential criteria) it makes
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even more sense when on top of all that the
downside risk from owning stock outright might
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be a little bit more than youâre willing
to take.
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--
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One final additional benefit to this is the
way LEAPS are taxed.
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That is, if you hold it for more than a year,
any gains you realize will be taxed as long-term
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capital gains.
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This is, obviously, unique for an option contract
as they are usually a pretty short term vehicle.
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--
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Again, I hope your investment wheels are turning
and you can see the benefit of learning more
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and mastering these strategies.
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Donât forget to subscribe so you donât
miss the next one!
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Until then, Iâm here to help.
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I wish you all the best.
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Take care!
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