When HODLING Costs You $1.5 Million... - YouTube

Channel: unknown

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every now and then in life i feel like
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we're thrown a really great opportunity
[3]
or we get really lucky
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i think one factor in becoming
[6]
successful and whatever you do is being
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able to spot those opportunities
[10]
and making the correct decision today
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we're going to be looking at someone who
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took a big gamble and hit
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he basically walked into a vegas casino
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put all his money in slot machine
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dropped the lever and 10xed his money in
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a matter of about four months
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pro the doge is his internet name and i
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feel like he's been a great
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representation of the crypto bull run
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and mania that the markets have
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experienced in late 2020 and early 2021.
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he initially invested about 180 000 into
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dogecoin when the coin was 4.5 cents
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as dogecoin went to the moon his initial
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investment grew exponentially so you
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took 180 000
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right correct this was your life savings
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you sold
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stocks you borrowed money on margin you
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maxed out your credit cards
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and you just yolo to all that money into
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dogecoin correct i'm a big fan of taking
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huge risks i personally think a lot of
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young people should take massive risks
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when they aren't married or have kids
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like this guy did
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you only really need one big win in life
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everyone's win
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looks different my big win was youtube
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taking off my youtube success is going
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to turn
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into a nice real estate portfolio and
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possibly some other investments that
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will pay off big
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pro the doge's big win was dogecoin
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taking off investing becomes a lot
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easier as you have more money to play
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with
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and it's not common that an investment
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turns a hundred and eighty thousand into
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two million dollars
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you probably only get one of those wins
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in your life if you're lucky
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and you've got an overall return of all
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time
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822 percent yeah that's insane dude my
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return
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is a million 115 because on my channel i
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make a lot of videos about fake gurus
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why athletes go broke and reacting to
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get rich quick schemes but at the center
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of the content is the psychology around
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money
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financing and investing i think pro the
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doge's investment gives us some really
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interesting insights into a get rich
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quick scheme that actually worked and
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paid off
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very few people ever have the
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opportunity to invest their money into
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something where the return
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is life-changing and it happens in a
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matter of a couple of months here's the
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thing the way
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i think most people see this is like
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this guy just
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won the lottery right and when people
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ask you what are you gonna do with this
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money are you gonna cash it out are you
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gonna reinvest like what are you gonna
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do with it you say that you're just
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gonna keep it in until it's 10 million
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dollars which is like
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for most people the equivalent of saying
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i won the lottery
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and i'm gonna put this money to buying
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more lottery tickets let's look at the
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crypto market today
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you see a lot of these coins down 15 20
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25
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in the last seven days buying all coins
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during a mania phase is like going to a
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casino and gambling just as andre
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mentioned
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a couple of people are going to hit and
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a lot are going to be disappointed
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dogecoin rose to 70 cents a coin in just
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a couple of weeks but is down
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around 70 since with no signs of it ever
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reaching those heights again
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playing the lottery is fun when you win
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but putting money back into the lottery
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is like
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by miracle hooking up with the hottest
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bartender in your city and then trying
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to have a threesome with her best friend
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sometimes you gotta be careful with
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pushing your luck a little too far in
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life
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up until yesterday i had been a
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millionaire this 33 year old dogecoin
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investor refuses to sell despite losing
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over 167 thousand dollars in one day
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i'm making this video because i saw this
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blog post and thought it would make for
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an interesting video
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i dislike when people say they lost 167
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000
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in a single day because he didn't lose
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money he lost profit there's a huge
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difference
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in just a minute i will discuss the
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psychological elements happening with
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someone who made a couple million in
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like three months
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but i also thought i could share my
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opinion since i've actually lost money
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and know the difference between losing
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money and losing
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profit how much of it was skill and how
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much of it was actual luck i consider it
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being a calculated risk 10 was luck
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and 90 was me strategizing
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researching looking at all of the pros
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and cons like
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what could possibly go wrong let's be
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real it was a hundred percent luck for
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nearly anyone making a bunch of money
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from yellowing into an altcoin
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there's no calculated risk with gambling
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blindly it's full risk
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it did pay off so he can justify the
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decisions but
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many people made the same decisions on
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other coins that didn't take off
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with doge it's like volatile but it'll
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get to a place that it stabilizes so i
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feel like once it's
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over a dollar maybe a dollar fifty the
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the amount that it goes up is going to
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gradually go
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and then the amount that it goes down
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will be gradual and it'll go up and
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reveal down it but it'll eventually keep
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going up what i've
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really enjoyed seeing from the sidelines
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of the crypto world is the
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justifications that people use for why
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certain coins behave the way they do
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the coin just goes up and down and up
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and down but over time it will be worth
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more than when i bought it
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okay so what's the utility or how are
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people going to use it well you know
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in a couple years they plan on possibly
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doing something and developers are being
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interviewed and yeah it's gonna go up in
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a bull run
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everyone looks like a genius because the
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market bails you out for bad decisions
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what i find most interesting when the
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market tanks like dogecoin being down 60
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to 70 percent
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from the previous highs is listening to
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the justifications
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for why the market tanked and why the
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coin isn't back up to all-time highs
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again i consider doge like cash money
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like when i go to the store i'm gonna
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buy something with cash we all have
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money and we all buy things with small
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bits and amounts of money
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with doge that's going to be pretty much
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the same thing we're able to go buy a
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t-shirt with some doge or
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or buy some pants or or buy a hat or
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whatever you want to do it'll be like
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a daily transactional thing the problem
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the crypto coins like dogecoin face
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right now is they are nowhere close to
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being used as an actual currency as he's
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talking about here
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you simply cannot run a business where
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the capital you receive
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for providing a service or good could
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fluctuate by five to ten percent in a
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single day
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or twenty five percent in a week like it
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is right now a lot of businesses run on
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tight margins and if the
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money they receive from customers drops
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five percent after the transaction
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and stays down five percent until the
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coins can be deposited then the business
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can't operate
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a lot of businesses wouldn't be able to
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meet payroll or pay the lease if the
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currency was super volatile
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what would happen if dogecoin drops back
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down to four cents
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and you're left with 180 000 again and
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you might potentially not see a million
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dollars for
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a couple decades so that's not gonna
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happen it's never gonna go back to four
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cents
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this is a great question by andre
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investments like crypto all coins carry
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a lot of unforeseen risk that is not
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obvious to us
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today a common term for this is a black
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swan event
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i think a more appropriate idea is
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simply that a lot of these altcoins just
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don't have any utility
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and aren't capable of certain unforeseen
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risk such as an entire country banning
[385]
the coins
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or new coins being created with better
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tech obviously there's
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seasons right in crypto right there's
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times when it goes dormant
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or it goes down for a period of time
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like as far as
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doge going back down i feel like the
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lowest
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let's say it it drops down right i feel
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like the lowest doge will ever
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go will be 15 cents funny enough the
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value of dogecoin is almost irrelevant
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if he doesn't plan on selling until his
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portfolio hits 10 million dollars
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the difference between 15 cents a coin
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and 70 cents a coin is negligible
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if he plans on holding until the coin
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reaches 2 dollars and 50 cents
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he just needs to hold until his
[420]
threshold is met i have a lot of respect
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for this guy he made life-changing money
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and decided not to sell
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because he believes in dogecoin enough
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to stick with it this is not easy to do
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by the way
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the problem that pro the doge is going
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to face is that he's never going to be
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able to sell and here's why
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if he hasn't sold by now then he will
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not sell until either one of two things
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happen
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a he needs the money because of an
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emergency in his personal life or b
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the coin hits two dollars and fifty
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cents or whatever and he's able to walk
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away with a ten million dollar profit
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if he didn't sell when he had over two
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million dollars then he won't sell if
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the coin fluctuates its way up enough so
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that he has let's say 1.5 million
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dollars
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he'll justify in his mind that it is
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going to continue going up
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until it surpasses its previous high and
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he'll hold until that happens
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the human mind is fascinating on how we
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justify our decisions so let's say it
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goes back to 15 cents i still 5x my
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money
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and i'd still in a better i'm still in a
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better position than i would be in the
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stock market
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in dogecoin i five exited in two months
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no more than five exit in two months but
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i'm saying if it crashes back down
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i don't see it going below 15 cents he's
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definitely right about his investment
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it has worked out for him so far my
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concern for investors like pro the doge
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is that he's never going to take his
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profits and this is the most important
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thing to remember
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the risk is still there is the entire
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stock market going to tank to zero
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no can dogecoin maybe it's certainly
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more volatile than the stock market with
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the downside being a potential to hit
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zero you said that you wanted to hold
[503]
your investment until it's worth 10
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million dollars
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like to me seems like a dude who won the
[507]
lottery who's gonna spend that money
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towards more lottery
[510]
but okay what makes you think that
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dogecoin will go to 250. this is where i
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have a lot of respect for the dogecoin
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millionaire he has principles to stand
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on
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and won't deviate from his plan at all
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he doesn't want 5 million he wants 10
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million dollars and will not sell until
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that threshold is hit
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i have nothing but respect for that the
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problem is that we as humans will
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sometimes justify ourselves out of the
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best decision possible to stick to some
[532]
principle we made up
[534]
my concern for this guy is that dogecoin
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will never reach the number he's wanting
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it to reach
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and he holds the coin for 10 years i'm
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not even convinced it will be around in
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10 years
[542]
this next video is another andre jic
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video thanks andre for the great content
[546]
they meet up with graham stefan which is
[548]
really interesting in hindsight because
[549]
i think graham nailed it with his advice
[551]
we gotta see it we need an update i
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almost doubled my money
[555]
2 million 178
[558]
79 000 66 diamond hands baby
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can you imagine flipping 188 000 into 2
[565]
million in a couple of months
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that's winning the lottery this guy has
[568]
built a really solid brand around being
[570]
a dogecoin millionaire and being the
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social media face for the rise of
[573]
dogecoin
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what's going to be really difficult for
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him is that he's now identified as the
[577]
dogecoin millionaire
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it's his brand and identity by selling
[580]
dogecoin he will be selling off a piece
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of his identity
[583]
this is a fascinating concept so i hope
[585]
it makes sense once you build up an
[587]
identity of yourself in your mind it's
[589]
incredibly difficult to change
[591]
this is why using labels on yourself can
[592]
be very inhibiting
[594]
and not allow you to see outside of your
[596]
echo chamber once you identify as
[598]
xyz trying to become a new version of
[600]
yourself let's call it w
[602]
x y z can be challenging what pro the
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doge is going to be confronted with at
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some point
[606]
is a battle between real life actions
[608]
and his identity
[610]
think about it he's built up a brand of
[611]
being the dogecoin millionaire
[613]
it's his social media it's how he's on
[615]
the news it's how he gets to hang with
[616]
graham stefan and andre
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jick by selling he will be removing the
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identity he's built
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which psychologically is incredibly
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difficult to do to me this is like
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we're in las vegas you went to a casino
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and you put all your money on the
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roulette table and you happen to win
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that doesn't make it a good investment
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that doesn't mean that like wow it
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worked
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let me keep doing it graham knows it was
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a once in a lifetime gamble that paid
[643]
off i love that he is keeping his
[644]
dogecoin because it's interesting
[646]
content
[646]
and every time i check the price of
[648]
dogecoin his portfolio comes to mind
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great job with the personal branding you
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would consider this life-changing right
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yeah
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yeah for sure so why risk it
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my thing you've already won the game you
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you beat the game
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there's very little difference in
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between you know making 2.3 million
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dollars and
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2.7 3 million there's not really a big
[670]
difference between that
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to go a step further there's very little
[672]
difference between two million dollars
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and 10 million dollars
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i know i know it sounds like a huge
[677]
difference just talking about having
[678]
your needs met there isn't a difference
[680]
at 2 million
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you're good you can move to a reasonable
[683]
cost of living city
[684]
and have all of your needs met for the
[686]
rest of your life the difference between
[687]
2
[688]
million and 10 million becomes just a
[690]
matter of nicer consumer consumption
[691]
but all needs are met at both levels
[693]
this video is definitely not me trying
[695]
to tell him how to live his life
[697]
i'm sure he gets a lot of joy out of the
[698]
dogecoin experiment and it's probably a
[700]
fun game for him to play
[702]
you know a reason to get out of bed in
[703]
the morning my argument here
[705]
is that we're going to the moon
[710]
and it's going to hit a dollar elon musk
[712]
is going to be on saturday night live
[714]
this saturday
[715]
this is really interesting to watch in
[716]
hindsight knowing what happened in the
[718]
weeks following this video
[719]
the real answer is it has become his
[721]
identity and brand to hold dogecoin
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if he sold then he'd be battling against
[726]
his own beliefs
[727]
which is basically impossible to do will
[729]
dogecoin ever hit a dollar
[730]
i don't know it will be the great
[732]
mystery of the next couple of years real
[734]
question if you had to bet on one of two
[735]
options in 2023 dogecoin will either be
[738]
a dollar a coin or 10 cents a coin which
[740]
would you put your money on but do you
[742]
think it's gonna dump
[743]
if it dumps it might dump by ten percent
[746]
ten
[747]
ten percent so it's going to go with
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it's gonna hit a dollar and then dip to
[750]
90. it'll it'll hit a dollar and dip to
[753]
like
[753]
60 which is still higher my thing is if
[756]
he doesn't mention it it's going to drop
[758]
way more than ten percent but because
[759]
people's expectation yeah
[761]
you're so sure you think he's got
[762]
dogecoin definitely dropped by more than
[764]
10
[764]
what really happened was the smart money
[766]
realized a lot of dumb money was trying
[768]
to buy in on the mania
[769]
and we're going to push for a dollar the
[771]
smart money got out ahead of the tsunami
[773]
of selling action
[774]
and the coin tanked with a lot of people
[776]
holding the bag i just love the
[777]
conversations surrounding crypto mania
[779]
see there's this guy who talks about a
[781]
coin on twitter he's going to appear on
[783]
snl and if he talks about this coin
[785]
then people are going to react a certain
[786]
way causing the coin to do certain
[788]
things
[788]
this is not investing my friends this is
[791]
pure speculation off of a saturday night
[793]
live event
[794]
can you imagine a large company stock
[796]
being tied to like sunday night football
[798]
see if tom brady throws for a touchdown
[800]
in the second quarter then the stock is
[801]
going to increase
[802]
if he doesn't that's it everyone all the
[805]
excitement's leading up
[806]
jack says the same thing jack's like
[808]
it's gonna hit a dollar and i'm gonna
[810]
i'm like everyone says that well you
[812]
wanna scram nailed it because he's
[813]
generally
[814]
a pretty conservative investor he saw a
[816]
grand slam gamble and was like sell sell
[818]
sell while you can
[819]
the funny thing about dogecoin is that
[821]
everyone was in on the same game
[822]
thinking they were going to outsmart the
[824]
other person
[824]
i'm going to hold until it hits one
[826]
dollar and then i'm gonna sell
[828]
yeah every single person who put money
[829]
into doge to help it get to 70 cents
[832]
had the exact same strategy this is a
[834]
greater full investment where you're
[835]
just hoping that you're the first one to
[837]
jump off the rug
[838]
before it gets pulled out from
[839]
underneath you so why are we talking
[841]
about selling you said you don't want to
[842]
ever sell right
[843]
facts no i do want to sell why when i
[846]
hit 10 million
[847]
but why but i want to sell 10 percent
[849]
the point is but the point is the other
[851]
9 million in there because that's how
[852]
much i believe
[853]
yeah but the point is to use it that's
[854]
the whole argument you're saying i want
[855]
to use it
[856]
yeah i'll use the 10 i'll use a million
[858]
to live with doge though why do you want
[860]
to convert it to the dollar
[861]
so i can buy a house one of the best
[863]
games to play in life is where a friend
[864]
asks you why
[865]
repeatedly because you get to the core
[867]
of your wants and needs i really hope
[869]
this guy isn't holding out for 10
[870]
million
[871]
so he can siphon off one million dollars
[873]
just to buy a house if that's his real
[875]
reason then he was already given the
[876]
opportunity
[877]
he had over two million dollars in doge
[879]
if he sells when graham told him to he
[881]
walks with probably one million dollars
[882]
after taxes
[883]
if i had that windfall i would buy two
[885]
500 000
[886]
houses here in vegas i know just the
[889]
area rent by the room would net about
[891]
three thousand dollars per month per
[892]
house
[893]
that's life-changing money around six
[895]
thousand dollars per month
[896]
net would surpass his current income
[898]
meaning he'd be able to invest more into
[900]
doge
[900]
every month than he does now while
[902]
having a safety net for the rest of his
[904]
life
[904]
and he'd owned two homes not just one
[906]
how would you feel if that were
[908]
in a month from now worth 300 grand
[911]
a few days ago andre told me to sell
[914]
when i was at 1.2
[915]
yes but that doesn't
[918]
make it right this is the joy of
[920]
investing in a mania when you
[922]
feel like the investment is going to
[923]
double by next week why would you sell
[925]
now
[926]
manias are powerful because it feels
[928]
like you can't lose and your decisions
[929]
will pay off
[930]
well what happens when the investment
[932]
drops fifty percent the next week
[933]
what makes short-term investing like
[935]
investing in crypto so difficult is
[937]
managing emotions
[938]
this guy had a winning lottery ticket
[940]
and held it out of principle
[942]
still contessato remains bullish on
[944]
dogecoin even though he isn't currently
[945]
a dogecoin millionaire on paper when i
[947]
went into this dogecoin investment i
[949]
planned on being in it for at least a
[950]
year he says i put in my life savings
[952]
because i knew i would eventually become
[954]
a millionaire
[955]
now he plans to hold the currency for
[957]
much longer than a year
[958]
whatever happens in the short term
[960]
doesn't matter to me because i'm looking
[961]
to huddle dogecoin for years to come
[963]
i'm truly not worried at the end of the
[965]
day this is why i have a lot of respect
[967]
for him
[967]
he believes in something and is sticking
[969]
with his plan even though i don't think
[971]
it's the right financial decision
[972]
the reason why i think most people
[974]
should not be investing in crypto is i
[975]
think there are better alternatives
[977]
crypto is great if you have cash sitting
[979]
in the bank and want to have a little
[980]
fun with the riskier investment
[982]
but seeing stories of millennials buying
[984]
altcoins with the only money they have
[986]
thinking it will make them rich is
[987]
disappointing right like if that's like
[989]
you playing blackjack
[991]
you're winning a hand we're like all
[992]
right let's go you're like no
[994]
you put it back in you win another hand
[996]
it doesn't mean that you keep
[997]
playing the hand okay i would i would
[1000]
sell on a heartbeat
[1001]
graham timed it perfectly imagine
[1003]
looking at your phone and knowing that
[1004]
you are a couple of clicks away from
[1006]
turning 188
[1008]
000 into 2.3 million dollars just two
[1011]
clicks away
[1012]
but for contesato volatility comes with
[1014]
the territory and if you can't stomach
[1015]
the fluctuations then maybe you're not
[1016]
cut out for crypto
[1018]
dogecoin is currently trading at around
[1019]
19 cents according to coin market cap
[1021]
with a market value of over 24 billion
[1023]
dollars
[1024]
from an outsider's perspective investing
[1026]
in a coin that basically relies on the
[1028]
news and
[1028]
whether or not people have enough cash
[1030]
to yolo into an altcoin doesn't seem fun
[1032]
to me
[1033]
i wouldn't be able to stomach the up and
[1034]
down swings personally so more respect
[1036]
to him for being able to
[1038]
my final point for this video is that
[1039]
losing money hurts way more than an
[1041]
increase in profits i lost all of my
[1043]
money with a couple house flips gone
[1045]
wrong
[1045]
and i can tell you that the pain of
[1047]
losing significant amounts of money
[1048]
is way more damaging than missing out on
[1051]
any increase in gains
[1052]
pro the doge hasn't necessarily lost
[1054]
money but his portfolio is down to
[1056]
around 800 thousand dollars
[1057]
he's claimed to have put 250 000 in so
[1060]
he's up around 320
[1062]
great investment if he cashed out now
[1064]
but a far cry from the 2.3 million
[1066]
dollars he had when hanging with graham
[1067]
and andre
[1068]
i'm glad he shows his portfolio and
[1070]
talks about the ups and downs to media
[1071]
outlets
[1072]
it's going to be really interesting to
[1074]
track his portfolio over the next few
[1075]
years as dogecoin either remains super
[1077]
volatile
[1078]
or stabilizes a little more hope you
[1080]
enjoyed the video thanks for watching