Why Is Venezuela Dirt Poor Despite Having The Largest Oil Reserves? - YouTube

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INTRO: Most of us associate oil reserves with enormous
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amounts of wealth, and this is for good reason. Oil has become one of the most sought after
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commodities in the world which has allowed countries with notable oil reserves to rise
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to the absolute top. Saudi Arabia, for example, has cash and gold reserves that total nearly
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half a trillion dollars. Similarly, Saudi Arabia’s flagship company, Saudi Aramco,
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is currently profiting over a quarter trillion dollars per year. Considering this, you would
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think that any country with reserves that are comparable to Saudi Arabia would be filthy
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rich, but this is actually not the case. In fact, Saudi Arabia doesn’t even have the
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world’s largest oil reserves. This title actually goes to Venezuela who has roughly
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300 billion barrels of oil. That’s nearly ⅕ of the entire world’s oil reserves.
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Yet, despite this, Venezuela isn’t particularly well off or rich. They’re actually particularly
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poor and struggling. For one, they recently experienced some of the worst hyperinflation
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known to mankind with inflation peaking in the hundreds of thousands of percent. 10 years
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ago, you could only get 4.3 Venezuealan Bolivars for 1 US dollar, but by late last year, you
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could get 419 billion Bolivars with just 1 US dollar. This number has since plummeted
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to 782,000 bolivars per dollar, but that’s not because inflation is cooling down. Rather,
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this is actually become the government decided to divide their currency notes by a million.
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So, without this conversion, each US dollar would actually be able to get nearly 800 billion
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bolivars. Fortunately, the country has oil revenue to rely on, but this hasn’t been
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nearly as helpful as you might think. Oil accounts for roughly 25% of Venezuela’s
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GDP. With a GDP of $482 billion, this means that oil accounts for approximately $120 billion
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worth of GDP. While this is not a bad figure in itself, when you consider that Saudi Aramco
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itself is able to pull in net profits that are over double this figure, you start to
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see just how behind Venezuela really is. So, why is Venezuela so poor despite having the
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world’s largest oil reserves?
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DUTCH DISEASE: Taking a look back, it’s definitely not
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a lack of trying that has screwed over Venezuela. In fact, Venezuela has been trying to capitalize
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on their oil reserves for over a 100 years. It all started in the year 1908 when a man
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named Juan Vicente Gomez became the president of Venezuela. Juan was an ambitious man who
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wanted to slash Venezuelan debt and revolutionize the country. And the way he sought to accomplish
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this was by leveraging the country’s oil reserves. At the time, people knew that Venezuela
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had enough oil for commercial purposes, but no one could have imagined the full magnitude
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of just how much was actually available. President Gomez, however, was willing to roll the dice
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and test the country's luck. So, he handed out oil concessions to his closest friends
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and told them to go enrich themselves and the country. These guys would turn around
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and hire oil companies to come in and begin the hunt. Within the next several years, these
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companies would find several viable oil reserves. However, the blowout discovery didn’t come
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till 1922 when Shell struck oil in the Maracaibo Basin. This well was able to produce over
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one hundred thousand barrels of oil by itself. As you guess, it didn’t take long for more
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oil companies to flood in and they were able to pump up production to 137 million barrels
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of oil by the end of the 1920s. For perspective, Saudi Arabia didn’t find oil till 1938,
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so Venezuela definitely had the first mover’s advantage, but what they didn’t have was
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good management. You see, when you find oil, it’s not as simple as just cashing in the
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checks and living the high life. You have to reinvest the profits and diversify the
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economy if you want the money to actually create long term change. President Gomez,
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however, didn’t do either of these. Now, this isn’t to say that he spent the money
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in poor ways per se. Of course, he enriched himself and his friends, but he also spent
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significant amounts on public projects and slashing the country’s debt. This might
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seem like a good use of money, but it actually leads to a phenomenon called Dutch Disease.
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Dutch Disease is when a country experiences a massive influx of economic growth within
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one sector which diverts the entire country’s focus. Everyone suddenly wants to work in
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this one industry or open a business in this industry. And while it’s definitely a good
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idea to follow opportunity, this sort of behavior leads to the rest of the economy to fall to
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the wayside and become underdeveloped in relation. In other words, the country becomes overly
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dependent on just one part of the economy. And this is exactly what happened in Venezuela
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given that oil accounted for 90% of their exports by the time Gomez died. This situation
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has only gotten worse over the years as oil accounts for 95% of Venezuela’s exports
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today. But, at the time, the Venezuelans didn’t realize what was ahead of them, and they would
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simply lean further into their oil dependence.
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BAD PLAYERS: Now that Venezuela had proven their viability
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to the western world, it was them who had the leverage. You see, in the beginning, it
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was the other way around. All these oil companies had to come in and make a massive gamble on
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Venezuela, but now that that gamble had proven fruitful, Venezuela could start making demands.
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One of the first demands the country made was for a larger proportion of the oil revenue
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to flow into the government. In 1943, the government introduced the Hydrocarbons Law
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which required that foreign companies hand over half of their oil profits to the state.
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This proved to be extremely lucrative as Venezuela’s income would grow six fold in the following
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5 years. But, Venezuela was just getting started. Over the next few decades, Venezuela would
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slowly nationalize the entire oil industry. In the meantime, they were also pushing for
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political reform and trying to escape a history of dictators. One piece of this puzzle was
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the Punto Fijo Pact in 1958. This agreement stipulated that the oil money would be split
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between the three main political parties in Venezuela. And the respective proportions
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would be determined by the popular vote. At first glance, this sounds like a decent system.
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By splitting up the oil money, you ensured that one political party couldn’t just overpower
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the others. But, at the same time, this also opened up the country to loads of embezzlement.
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I mean, who was gonna make sure that these political parties would actually use the money
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in effective methods? The answer is no one. While this storm was starting to brew inside
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Venezuela, to the rest of the world, it seemed like Venezuela was killing it. In 1960, they
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would join up with the Middle Eastern countries to found OPEC. This was essentially an agreement
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that these countries would work together to maximize oil profits for all member countries.
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And now that Venezuela had the Middle East on their side, they were able to become even
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more aggressive with their own oil endeavors. That same year, Venezuela established a state
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owned oil company and increased taxes on oil companies to 65%. At this point, it was just
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a matter of time until Venezuela nationalized oil production. All it would take is one more
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monumental event, and that’s exactly what would happen in the 1970s with the oil embargo.
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In 1973, OPEC would implement a five month embargo on countries that supported Israel
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in the Yom Kippur War, and one of these countries was the United States. As all of their demand
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shifted to non OPEC countries, oil prices would quadruple which was extremely lucrative
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for all oil producing countries, but especially Venezuela. Venezuela would end up boasting
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the highest per capita income in Latin America, and this is exactly the push they needed to
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completely nationalize the country’s oil production in 1976. Normally, this would be
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a good thing. It wasn’t until Saudi Arabia nationalized their oil production that they
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became stupid rich. But, the problem was that Venezuela already had a massive leak when
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it came to oil revenue due to corruption, and nationalization just kicked this issue
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into full gear. Between 1972 and 1997, it’s estimated that $100 billion worth of oil money
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was embezzled by politicans and government officials. With that sort of leak, it’s
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no wonder why Venezuela ended up where they are today.
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HUGO CHAVEZ: At this point, you might be thinking that
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things can’t get much worse, but they did because a socialist named Hugo Chavez would
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become president in 1998. During this time period, everyday Venezuelan’s were livid
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because everyone knew what was happening. Politicians were siphoning national money
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like there was no tomorrow, so when Chavez came in with his pitch of welfare and equality
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for all, the Venezuelans ate it up. Now, people often like to blame Chavez for Venezuela’s
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downfall, and this makes sense given that he was the reason. But, you can’t really
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blame him because he didn’t really do anything unethical or immoral per se. He truly believed
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in socialism and he campaigned on the premise that he would implement socialism, and that’s
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exactly what he did. He took all the oil money and created loads of social programs focusing
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on justice, welfare, poverty, education, the military, and so on. He also peddled socialist
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ideologies that often led to horrendous results. In one of his most famous speeches, for example,
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he essentially declared that it was ok to steal if you were hungry. Honestly, I think
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he had good intentions when he said this, but what this resulted in was loads of crime.
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Meanwhile, his social programs were simply feeding into Dutch Disease. As more people
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started relying on these welfare programs, the other industries in Venezeula plummeted
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to record lows while dependance on oil rose to record highs. Also, we should note that
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Chavez didn’t really do anything to fix the corrpution problem. If anything, he partook
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in the same activities as he would eventually grow to be a billionaire. While Chavez was
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growing his wealth, however, Venezuela was quickly losing theirs. Take the 2002 Venezuelan
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oil strike for example. Tens of thousands of oil workers would go on strike and demand
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for a new election to replace Chavez in 2002. Instead of addressing their concerns though,
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Chavez would just go ahead and fire 18,000 oil workers. While Chavez was definitely able
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to show who was in charge, this would take a massive toll on the country’s oil production.
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Venezuela was not only becoming more dependent on oil revenue, but oil production was declining.
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This was simply a disaster waiting to happen, but Chavez would actually never see the consequences
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as he would die due to health problems in March of 2013. Less than a year later, oil
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prices would crash because Saudi Arabia would decide to start a price war. The entire world
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would feel the pain of their actions, but most of them would survive to see the other
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side. The same, however, could not be said about Venezuela.
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THE COLLAPSE: Given that Venezuela was nearly a 100% dependent
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on oil when this crash in prices took place, the country's economy basically fell off a
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cliff. The government would try to stimulate the economy by printing money and injecting
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it into economy. But the problem was that there was nothing to stimulate. Venezuela
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had no economy. It was just oil and that’s it. So, when oil went belly up, the country
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went belly up, and it was no time before hyperinflation settled in, and that brings us to where we
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are today. Looking back, it’s not like Venezuela wasn’t able to leverage their reserves or
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pump up production or pull in loads of money. The problem is that none of this money actually
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went to anything useful. Virtually all of it went to corruption and social programs,
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when it should’ve gone to developing the economy. Over time, Venezuela’s economic
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development just became more and more uneven until they became fully dependent on oil revenue.
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And at this point, it just took one downturn in the oil market to wipe out the entire country.
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And that’s why Venezuela is dirt poor despite having the world’s largest oil reserves.
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On the brightside, Venezuela still has their oil reserves. So, do you think Venezuela can
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turn things around? Comment that down below. Also, drop a like if you hope things get better
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in Venezuela. And of course, consider checking out our discord community to suggest future
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video ideas and consider subscribing to see more questions logically answered.