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Call Vs. Put Options - Should I Buy Or Sell Them? - YouTube
Channel: NavigationTrading
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Hey everyone!
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Welcome to another trading lesson from NavigationTrading.
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the red Subscribe button, and we'll keep on
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putting out this valuable content for you
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But let us know if you'd like it.
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In this lesson, I want to talk to you about
calls versus puts and what's the difference.
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So, the chart that I'm showing right here
is SPX, the S&P 500 index, and I want
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to look at both calls and puts from the long
and short side to give you an idea of what
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the difference is.
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So if we go to the Analyze tab, the first
thing I have checked on down below is a long
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call.
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And I did these options right at about the
30 Delta.
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So what you'll notice on this long call is
that I've set this price slice right at the
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break-even point at expiration, which is annotated
by this dotted vertical line.
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And so the first thing you'll notice is that
you've got about a 70% probability of losing
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money on this trade and about a 30% probability
of making money at expiration.
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Okay?
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So not very good probabilities.
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Right?
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And the reason is, is because when you buy
options, that time decay is working against
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you.
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So, if we go down to our date down here.
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The date of this recording is 03/06/18.
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I'm showing these options at an expiration
cycle of about 45 days out.
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So on April 20th is when they would expire.
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Well, what if we took this position through
a theoretical time warp and just clicked on
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the days going up and up and up?
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Well, look what happens to that pink line.
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That's our profit line on the day that we're
displaying below.
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So as you can see, as we get closer and closer
to expiration, that keeps going down, down,
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down, down, and down.
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And, you can see if price stayed relatively
stable, if it stayed in the same spot, by
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the time you got to expiration on 04/20, you
would have lost your entire investment.
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In this case, one contract controls 100 shares.
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We're looking at an index here.
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So the bottom line is one contract is worth
$2,170, and you would have lost that entire
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amount had you kept it all the way until expiration
and price just stayed level.
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So, what you'll see is price would have had
to have moved all the way up past 28, 16,
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75 basically.
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That's when you just start making money, and
if you watch this box as I hover over, you
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can see how much you would have made had it
crossed that line and continued higher.
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So the probabilities of buying, in this case,
a 30 Delta Call are very low when it comes
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to profiting.
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Okay?
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So, that's a long call.
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Let's take a look at a long put.
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So, it works very similar except the opposite.
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If you buy a put, you want the price of the
symbol to go down.
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Okay?
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So, I moved my price slice over here to the
break even point on the put now, and what
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you'll see is it's relatively similar, right?
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We've got a just over 71% chance that this
trade is going to lose money, a little over
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28% chance that it'll actually make money
at expiration.
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So same thing, if we move through time, you
can see that profit line just continues to
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go down, down, down, and if we don't cross
over that break-even point, you know, at some
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point pretty quickly, we have a pretty good
chance of losing and a decent chance of losing
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the whole amount.
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In this case the puts are actually worth a
little bit more.
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So you would have had to pay $3,350, and if
it continues all the way to expiration without
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you getting across that break even point,
you would have lost the entire amount, $3,350.
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Okay?
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So, we are typically not buyers of out of
the money puts or calls.
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Now there are very specific times that it
can be a profitable trade around earnings
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and different things which I'm not going to
get into.
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It's beyond the scope of this class.
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We do a whole course on earnings trades and
how to profit from those, and buying directional
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options is one of those strategies.
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But, as it relates to just general trading
and on ETFs and in general markets, typically
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buying out of the money options is not a very
good idea.
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So, the next point is, well, what if we don't
buy those?
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What if we take the opposite position, and
we actually sell those same calls?
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So, we're selling around the 30 delta call.
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So we're selling the out of the money options.
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First one we'll look at is selling the out
of the money call, moving my price slides
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back to break even.
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Now, what you'll notice is that we've got
over a 70% chance of making money on this
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trade and a little under 30% chance of losing.
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So when you sell options, the key to remember
is that now you have that time decay working
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in your favor.
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So, if we take a look, and we use the theoretical
calendar down here, and we move through time,
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now look what happens to that profit line.
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It continues to move up, up, up, up, and if
price stays in our range, meaning if it doesn't
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have a huge move up and break out of that
upside, which again I said it had over 70%
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chance of staying below this line between
now and expiration.
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If it continues to stay there, you will collect
and keep all of the credit that you sold it
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for.
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So, if you go all the way to expiration on
04/20, you can see the total amount of credit
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you initially collected on this position was
$2,100, and assuming it stays in this range,
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you will keep that entire $2,100.
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So, as long as it stays below your short strike,
in this case it's the 2795.
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So as long as it stays below 2795, you'll
keep the whole amount.
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Between 2795 and the break even point of about
2816, you'll still keep a portion of that.
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As you can see as I scroll my mouse along,
you can see what that amount would be, and
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anything below 2795 down to no matter what.
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So even if it crashed down to the downside,
you're still going to keep that at 2100.
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So the key is here, when you're selling options,
you're putting the probabilities on your side.
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Time decay is working in your favor.
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The downside is that your upside profit is
capped.
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So we're capped at a total profit of $2,100.
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But that's what we want to do.
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We want to put the probabilities on our side,
cap the amount of profit and put that time
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decay in our favor.
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So in most of our strategies that we teach
at Navigation Trading, we are net sellers
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of options.
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And this is the only way to have that consistent,
successful trading profits over time.
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All right, so let's jump over to the put.
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If we're selling the put, we can move our
break-even slice over to the break-even point
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here.
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And same thing.
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So now on a put, remember puts are typically
worth more, and so what you'll see is the
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total credit collected here is 3270.
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So, assuming price stays above our short put
strike, which is the 2655, then we will collect
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that entire $3,270 if we held it all the way
to expiration.
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So again, as we go through time, that profit
line continues to move up, and we continue
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to make that money until we go all the way
to expiration.
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If price is above that short strike, we keep
the entire amount, in this case, $3,270.
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So, the key thing to remember is again, when
you sell options, time decay is working in
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your favor.
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You can set it up so that you have a very
high probability of success, and when you're
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buying options, you need a very sharp move
in your direction in a very short period of
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time.
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So, not only do you have to be right on direction,
but you have to be right on the timing of
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that trade to make a profit.
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And, one last point about puts and calls,
just to recap.
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When you buy a call, you want the stock to
go up.
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When you buy a put, you want the stock to
go down.
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When you sell a call, you want the price to
stay down, to steady.
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And when you sell a put, you want price to
stay steady to higher.
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So, that's the basis of puts and calls.
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I hope this was helpful.
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If you'd like to learn more about how we've
taught over 10,000 members how to trade options
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for consistent income, just go to our site
NavigationTrading.com.
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Click on the big orange button, and we'll
give you immediate access to our flagship
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course, Trading Options for Income.
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Also, give you the Navigation Trading Implied
Volatility Indicator that you see on our charts
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along with the watch list that we use to trade
the most profitable symbols, day in and day
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out.
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All this is yours.
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No cost.
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Just go to our site, NavigationTrading.com,
and we look forward to seeing you on the inside.
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