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Debit Spread Strategy - How To Make Adjustments - YouTube
Channel: Option Alpha
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Hey everyone.
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This is Kirk, here again at optionalpha.com
where we show you how to make smarter trades.
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In today's video, we want to talk about debit
spread adjustments that you might possibly
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make.
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Because debit spreads are low probability
strategies that we should use sparingly in
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our portfolio to begin with, there are a very
few reasons to adjust these 50/50 bets as
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you go throughout the year.
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On the left side of the screen, this is a
very typical debit call spread that we might
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make where we’re getting a little bit directional
on the market and we’re buying an option
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that’s in the money, selling an option that’s
right out of the money, trying to take advantage
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just of the market movement with a breakeven
price very close to where the stock is currently
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trading and that’s why these end up being
50/50 bets.
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In fact, we might adjust one or two all year
out of 50 plus or 100 plus trades that we
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make in this type of strategy just to give
you an idea of how little we tweak them.
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We mainly use these in our portfolio as a
means to rebalance other positions.
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If we’re getting a little bit directionally
long or a little bit directionally short in
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the market, we’ll use debit spreads to get
a little bit more of rebalance in our portfolio
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because they have such a great Delta for a
spread compared to using just long options
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or long stock.
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That said, there is one particular market
setup that we’ll cover today in the video
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in which we will hedge this position and which
it actually makes sense to hedge this type
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of position.
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Remember that when we enter these trades,
we do so during low implied volatility markets
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and are directionally bullish.
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That's the setup of when we enter the trade.
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There’s a different setup as to when we
actually make that adjustment.
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Here's the setup that we need to make this
special adjustment to a debit spread.
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First, we want to make sure that the stock
is moving far out of the money and away from
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our breakeven points.
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Basically, we want to make sure that the stock
is far enough out of the money and basically,
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the trade is losing money to the point at
which an adjustment is worthy.
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These are low probability trades, we’re
going to do them in a low position size, so
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we’re not risking a lot of money to begin
with, so it’s really got to be a trade that’s
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gone completely against us or very far against
us.
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Number two is that implied volatility has
got to increase as a result of this.
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If you’re trading directional call debit
spreads and the market starts to go down,
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we’ll typically see a rise in implied volatility
anyway as a result, but this is also a requirement
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of this trade.
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If this happens, number three, what we’ll
do is we’ll sell a naked option against
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this position and try to take in a credit
that is worth somewhere around the debit that
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we paid to neutralize the position while still
leaving an opportunity to make some money
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if the market does rally back higher.
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This is what that new payoff diagram would
look like.
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It has a combination of a debit spread on
the left side of the payoff diagram and then
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you can see that naked call and that undefined
risk feature as it heads lower.
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Let’s actually go to Thinkorswim here and
we’ll take a look on the broker platform
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at an example.
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Let's say for example that you were trading
USO recently.
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USO closed today at about $17, but let's say
that you had traded the 18/19 debit spread
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originally.
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What I’ve done is I’ve created basically
a simulated trade here to say – If you had
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traded an 18/19 debit spread maybe a couple
of days ago, maybe a week ago, you probably
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paid around $.50 or about half the width of
the strikes which is what we usually end up
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paying for some of these debit spreads.
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If you paid about $.50 for this debit spread,
it means your breakeven is about 18.50 or
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so.
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You can see on the profit loss diagram here
that the stock is currently trading deep out
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of the money because we want our stock to
trade in the money or we want it to go higher
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and you can see our breakeven point is right
about here.
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The stock has definitely made a huge move
against our position.
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We start to look at the chart here of USO
and you can see that the stock has definitely
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had a long continued move lower.
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But as it's done that, implied volatility
has gotten really, really high, up in the
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99th percentile.
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That leaves us an opportunity to sell options
that are very, very expensive.
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What we’re going to try do is we're going
to try to go out of the money and sell an
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option that’s worth somewhere around the
debit that we paid because we basically want
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to get most of our money back.
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In our case, we’re going to go one strike
out of the money here from the original spread,
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the 18/19.
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We’re going to go to the 20 calls which
are currently trading for about $44.
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We don't get all of our money back in this
case, but we’re going to go ahead and sell
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this call for $44 and you can see this new
risk profile looks like this.
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It does have undefined risk past about 21.
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You can see the breakeven point now on this
trade is about 21, but with the stock currently
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trading right where it is, we actually only
lose about $6 on the trade versus losing about
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$50.
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What I do like about this position is that
if the stock does end up starting to rally
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back which really would be bad if it had a
huge rally back higher is that when stocks
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tend to rally higher, we typically see a drop
in implied volatility.
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Basically, what’s going to happen is that
the stock will have to go through this big
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window of profit that we have and it’ll
be on us basically to close out the trade
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at a profit before the trade gets up to our
breakeven point.
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In most cases, when we actually do make this
trade and this setup happens, we’re able
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to close out the trade at a profit if the
stock rallies because implied volatility drops
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and the value of this option that we’ve
sold for $44 drops as well, so that helps,
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plus the stock is moving higher which helps
our original call spread position.
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You can see why this is a really good adjustment,
but it's very particular for the type of market
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situation.
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With these debit spread adjustments, it does
create an unlimited risk position, so you
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just have to be aware of that which is why
it’s important that you sell this option
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at a very high probability of success level.
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We may only do this one or two times all year,
but we don’t suggest this adjustment for
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beginners.
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This is definitely more of an advanced adjustment.
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You want to make sure that you’re doing
these only if you completely understand the
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risk that’s involved.
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As always, I hope you guys enjoy these videos.
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If you have any comments or questions, please
add them right below in the lesson page.
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Until next time, happy trading!
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