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Secretive Giant TSMC鈥檚 $100 Billion Plan To Fix The Chip Shortage - YouTube
Channel: CNBC
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Chips are in everything, and they've been in short supply since just a few
months into the pandemic last year. That's why it's been hard to buy
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everything from cars to PS5s. Turns out one company makes 24% of all the
world's chips, and more than 90% of the most advanced ones, the smallest,
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fastest chips used in today's iPhones, supercomputers and automotive AI.
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Heck, we even have product that's landed on the last Mars launch that are
taking pictures of Mars.
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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, or TSMC, is not a household
name. But it's quietly making chips for every new iPhone, U.S. fighter
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jets, the highest-end processors, you name it. And now it's investing $100
billion over three years to ramp up production amid the shortage.
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The combined output of what we're doing is in excess of 12 million wafers a
year.
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But the world's massive reliance on TSMC may also leave the global chip
supply vulnerable to earthquakes, drought and geopolitical tensions with
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China.
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It's become almost a monopoly at the leading edge and all of those
manufacturing operations for the most part part out of Taiwan, Hsinchu.
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That becomes a matter of national importance for the United States. But not
only the United States, but the Western world.
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TSMC almost always keeps its production sites closed to U.S. video crews.
Until now.
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The total floor space for this fab is around a 2.3 million square feet.
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The U.S. was the birthplace of advanced silicon. But for decades now, it's
been losing market share to Asia, where 75% of chip production happens now.
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TSMC is now bringing the world's most advanced chipmaking back to the U.S.
with a $12 billion fabrication plant, or fab, in the middle of the Arizona
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desert.
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It's going to be, when it gets introduced to production in 2024, the most
advanced technology manufactured in the United States.
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We got an exclusive tour of the fab site in northern Phoenix to get the
truth about the secretive Taiwanese company and why the world's largest
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contract chipmaker is bringing bleeding edge chip manufacturing back to
U.S. soil.
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When Morris Chang first proposed the idea for TSMC in the mid 80s,
investors were skeptical. Born in China and educated at Harvard, MIT and
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Stanford. Chang moved to Taiwan after 25 years at Texas Instruments. There,
the government asked him to create a Taiwanese semiconductor company that
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would become a world leader. His idea: focus only on manufacturing, what's
known now as a pure-play foundry.
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When you're just focused on one thing, you do one thing really well.
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Rick Cassidy is TSMC's top executive in the U.S. He's been with the company
for 23 years.
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The slice we spun out was foundry. And that's what we do. And we put all of
our resources into doing that one thing.
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Chang bet big on a need that didn't exist in the 80s. When he founded TSMC
in 1987, giants like Intel and Texas Instruments took pride in designing
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and making their own chips. A legendary saying in the industry back then
was, "Real men have fabs."
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When Morris went out to get funding, he went to many named companies, and
they told him, "Morris, your idea won't get off the ground. If you get it
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off the ground, it can't scale."
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But as chips got more complex, making them became an enormous undertaking.
Building a fab today takes at least two years and $10 billion. It's become
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nearly impossible for even the biggest chip companies - Intel, NVIDIA,
Broadcom, Qualcomm, AMD - to do it all and keep up with the most advanced
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tech. Intel, for example, still designs and makes its own chips. But it's
fallen behind Samsung and TSMC in recent years, even relying on TSMC to
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make some of its chips.
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So if you were a smart designer, you didn't have to have billions of
dollars and a fab behind you for the first time with the emergence of TSM.
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Now each major step of chipmaking is often handled by a separate company.
Some like ARM and MIPS focus on IP and architecture, providing the core
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building blocks to design chips. Then there's electronic design automation,
EDA companies like Cadence and Synopsis that write the software used to
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design chips. Only one company, ASML makes the $180 million extreme
ultraviolet light machines required to etch designs into the most advanced
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chips. And then of course there are the wildly successful fabless companies
designing the chips. Think Apple, Qualcomm, NVIDIA and many more. As these
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fabulous companies took off, TSMC found itself on a flywheel making more
and more of the world's chips.
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And this has allowed TSM to not only catch up but, in my opinon, surpass
Intel to become the world's greatest manufacturing technology on the
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planet, and responsible for becoming one of the top 10 most valuable
companies in terms of market cap in the globe.
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TSMC was first listed on the Taiwan stock exchange in 1994. In 1997, it
became the first Taiwan company listed on the New York Stock Exchange. By
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the 2000s, it had caught up with the 20 or so other companies making the
most advanced chips at the time. As the tech kept advancing, more and mor
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fell behind until today, only two manufacturers remain that can make the
most advanced five-nanometer chips: TSMC and Samsung. In 2013, Apple starte
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relying on TSMC to make its A-series chips for the iPhone as it moved awa
from reliance on Samsung, a direct competitor in mobile phones. Toda
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there's a TSMC chip inside every iPhone on the market. And Apple has mo
ed away from Intel, too, now relying on TSMC to make the chips inside most
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But they remain sort of in the background. So you know, Apple gets all the
accolades when a new phone comes out.
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We let our products speak for themselves. Their success brings all the
business that we could ever hope for.
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As to why TSMC hasn't allowed U.S. media into its sights before now?
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Is part of the secrecy have to do with IP?
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Sure because the IP protection is very important for this industry, not
only for TSMC, but also for the other companies in the industry.
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In 2018 at age 86, Chang retired as chairman of TSMC. His radical pure-play
foundry idea continues to pay off. With the opening of a new fab in Taiwan
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next year, TSMC is in a race with Samsung to make the world's first
three-nanometer chips, with Intel planning to get there by 2025. Along with
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cutting edge three- and five-nanometer TSMC also makes far larger chips for
everything from cars to coffee makers. To understand the different kinds of
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chips and why nanometers matter, let's look at how they're made. Silicon,
an abundant element found in rocks and sand, is purified and melted down,
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then sliced into circular wafers. These wafers are the surface on which
chips are built in a grid formation. Each chip on the wafer can have
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hundreds of tiny layers, each made up of transistors and electrical
circuits, which determine what the chip can do. The miniscule circuitry is
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printed on each layer using lithography, extremely precise rays of light.
The smaller the width of the transistor gate, five nanometer, three
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nanometers, the more processing power can fit in a given space with less
power needed. The smallest transistors are more than 10,000 times thinner
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than a human hair.
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Most of the chips are probably about the size, a large one, of my
thumbnail. On there, you might have something like 50 billion-plus
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transistors, and they all have to work. These are parts that are going to
be used in lots of different places, CPUs, GPUs, IPUs, etc. They'll be used
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in smartphones.
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Bigger chips are used in most household devices, things like a TV remote or
electric toothbrush. Cars often use less advanced 28- to 40-nanometer
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chips. And all types of chips have been impacted by the shortage. Car
makers like GM and Toyota have paused production at some plants. And Apple
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is cutting its 2021 production targets for the iPhone 13, with orders for
the 13 Pro Max delayed by more than a month. Right now no fab in the U.S.
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can make five-nanometer chips, but TSMC is changing that.
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The F-35 Strike Fighter to these consumer products, their customer base is
wide. 500-plus companies are their customers in the United States. And so
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as a byproduct of that we knew they were going to need to be in the United
States at some point.
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Chris Camacho of the Greater Phoenix Economic Council got to visit TSMC's
fabs in Taiwan during the five years he was helping negotiate the deal that
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brought the project to Arizona.
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The robotics, the automation, the mechanization occurring before your eyes
and so you can see how these things not only are so capital intensive, but
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they're also their output is so significant.
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TSMC is six months into building this massive five-nanometer fab outside
Phoenix that will pump out 20,000 wafers per month starting in 2024. The
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chips from the wafers will end up in iPhones, high-end processors and much
more. Arizona project leader Tony Chen has led 17 other fab construction
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projects in his 23 years with TSMC.
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Actually this project is designed for five-nanometers fab. It's a copy from
the fab we have in Taiwan.
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Just down the road Intel is in the midst of building two new fabs, spending
$20 billion. These massive buildings used to make miniscule chips have
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brought some of the world's largest equipment to Arizona.
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This is the biggest crane that Manitowoc makes. There's only two of them in
existence. And it's a 2,300 ton crane. Since we've started, our dirt
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contractors moved over 3,731,000 cubic yards of dirt. We've also used over
260 million gallons of water.
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Indeed, building a fab and making chips takes an incredible amount of
water, something that's not easy to find in the middle of the desert.
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Arizona's biggest water source is groundwater. But deep wells at big farms
are using up groundwater faster than it's naturally replenished.
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We do need around 4.7 million galllons per day of water to support the
production.
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TSMC is no stranger to water shortages. Taiwan is facing its worst drought
in 56 years, something that TSMC says has not impacted production. In
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Arizona, TSMC says an onsite water treatment center will recycle up to 90%
of water used at the fab
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And ultimately that water will be reinjected into the aquifer in
partnership with the city of Phoenix after reverse osmosis and other
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technology solutions are provided.
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Another challenge of producing the most advanced chips stateside: the
current specialists are all in Asia.
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TSM's best engineers right now are in Taiwan. They're likely going to stay
in Taiwan. The most cutting edge r&d is going to be done in Taiwan.
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To solve this, recruiter Roxanna Vega says TSMC is bringing over some of
its top experts from Taiwan.
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They're seen as subject matter experts in what they do in our fabs over
there. So it'll be a temporary assignment depending two, maybe three years.
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TSMC has already sent some 300 new U.S. hires to Taiwan for 12 to 18 months
to get up to speed.
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And the opportunity to train in our five-nanometer gigafab in Taiwan is
gonna give them that insight of how immense and how state-of-the-art our
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tools, machinery and everything is going to be here in Arizona.
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Taiwan is not very good when it comes to analog semiconductor design. And
by moving to the United States they'd be able to tap into a much larger
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number of analog designers.
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This diversification is a key reason for TSMC to bring advanced
manufacturing to the U.S. And then there's proximity to its huge, fabless
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customers based in the U.S. like Apple, Nvidia and Qualcomm.
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If you want more capacity, you have to build more fabs. And that's one of
the reasons that we're moving to the U.S. Our customers want us in the
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U.S., the U.S. government wants us here.
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Over 60% of their customer base is still U.S. companies. So some of these
companies like Apple had hinted that they want their supplier to be closer
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to home, just in case
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TSMC has 12 fabs, almost all of them in Taiwan and China. They account for
nearly 54% of all global foundry revenue. And this heavy reliance on TSMC
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in Taiwan leaves the world vulnerable to potential slowdowns from
earthquakes, the current drought there, or the geopolitical tensions
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swirling around the U.S., China and Taiwan. But some refer to TSMC as
Taiwan's silicon shield.
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The silicon shield is: TSMC is extremely, extremely important. And I think
people depend on us.
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The media paints a very bleak picture of this situation. But I'm actually
much more optimistic in part because of this idea: the semiconductor
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shield. China, as of right now, needs them for their leading edge
manufacturing.
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The U.S. also depends heavily on the chips coming out of Taiwan, a key
reason the government worked hard to convince TSMC to bring its tech here.
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We're not going to have to worry about geopolitical conflict. We're not
going to have to worry about another major pandemi. We will have these kind
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of manufacturing capacities on U.S. soil.
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Today, only 12% of the world's semiconductors are made in the U.S. That's
down from 37% in 1990.
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Back in the days of Bell Labs and the early days of Silicon Valley, we were
probably 100%.
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both state and federal officials are eager to entice TSMC to bring advanced
silicon back to the country where it first took off.
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The State of Arizona has a number of programs including the Qualified
Facility tax credit, and the Quality Jobs tax credit, that's really an
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incentive to help lower the cost of operations. In addition to that, the
city of Phoenix put together a $200 million infrastructure package that
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helps TSMC access water and additional infrastructure needed.
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The Biden administration has proposed $52 billion in subsidies for chip
companies like TSMC to manufacture on U.S. soil. It's been nicknamed the
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CHIPS act.
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This is infrastructure. So look: we need to build the infrastructure of
today. Not repair the one that yesterday.
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And things like the CHIPS Act are absolutely critical for the success of
our country, not only to compete, but to recruit these kind of firms to
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operate in the U.S. Otherwise we're going to be importing chips for the
rest of our lifetime.
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Over the last 20, 30, 40 years, we've slowly slipped in that manufacturing
element, especially as we have seen the decrease in cost in other
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countries. It's somewhere between 20 to 25%. cheaper for American firms to
produce their semiconductors outside of the United States.
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TSMC's Rick Cassidy took part in discussions that led to the CHIPS Act.
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We don't want anything more than to create a level playing field so that it
doesn't cost more to make chips in the U.S. than it does in other
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locations.
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Industry reports estimate a $50 billion investment from the U.S. government
would enable the construction of 19 new fabs in the U.S. over the next 10
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years, more than doubling domestic chip manufacturing capability. As the
shortage continues, similar investments are happening around the world.
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Industry association SEMI projects 72 new fabs or major expansions will
come online by 2024, 10 of them located in North and South America.
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I heard more announcements of investments in last two, three years than my
entire life. Korea will invest $450 billion in next 10 years. EU has
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announced roughly $150 billion investments. And based on that we feel that
by the end of next year, we should start seeing some relief on the chip
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shortage.
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But until then, as demand continues to soar, TSMC is raising chip prices as
much as 20%, a cost that could trickle down to the price of consumer
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electronics.
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TSMC has always been able to charge a premium if it was necessary. And most
of their customers recognize that there's a you know if there's a good
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reason they're willing to pay for it.
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Meanwhile, TSMC will certainly continue investing in ramping up production
capacity, including in the U.S. where the 1,100-acre Arizona sight
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certainly has room for a second phase and more.
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So we've got a lot of land. And we have the ability to do more ther.,
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It will take time. But it's not just the chip and the foundries. It's going
to be the entirety of the supply chain. So it's packaging companies. It's
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companies that produce the chemicals and the gases required that go into
the manufacturing process. So I see this as an entirety of a shift in the
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semiconductor sector for the United States.
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As you can see, we can get into a lot of trouble when everything is in one
area alone. So I think it would be a great victory, in fact, to see the
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United States reverse the declines that we've had over the last few
decades.
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